Accurate Mars Express orbit determination to ... - gins - dynamo

the zonal gravity changes over the 2004-2006 period. 1 Géodésie par Intégrations Numériques Simultanées, developed by CNES and applied by ROB for ...
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ROYAL OBSERVATORY OF BELGIUM

Accurate Mars Express orbit determination to improve Martian moon ephemerides. Rosenblatt P., Lainey V., Le Maistre S., Marty J.C. Dehant V., Pätzold M., Häusler B., Van Hoolst T.

Presented at the first European workshop on solar system dynamics and ephemerides, ESOC (Darmstadt), June 21-22, 2007

Introduction  ESOC’s MEX orbit  Navigation purpose. It may lack of sufficient precision for reduction of MEX’ Super Resolution Camera (SRC) observations of Phobos.  Accurate determination of MEX orbit  To improve Phobos’ ephemerides at SRC observations.  To improve Phobos’ mass estimate from close encounters  Results and discussion.

Spacecraft data and ephemerides of Phobos (1) Phobos motion during flyby MEX motion during flyby MEX Orbit Phobos orbit

Phobos’ orbit

Spacecraft’s orbit

• Images of Phobos from

Mars

camera onboard spacecraft (s/c) to get Phobos‘ position on the plane-of-sky. • Reduction of these astrometric observations needs to know the position of the spacecraft.

Astrometric observations from camera onboard spacecrafts (Mariner 9,Viking, Phobos2, MGS and MEX)

Spacecraft data and ephemerides of Phobos (2) Post-fit residuals of Phobos positions from spacecraft observations

km

Viking 1-2 MEX

Mariner9

Phobos2

MGS

Using MEX position of ESOC’s navigation orbit.

From Lainey et al., 2006

 Better MEX positioning may improve Phobos’ positioning from the observations of the Super Resolution Camera (SRC) onboard MEX.

Accurate orbit determination (1) •

We use the GINS1 software (validated on MGS tracking):



To model all the forces acting on the s/c and to numerically integrate its motion



To calculate the associated predicted tracking data



To perform an iterative least squares process on tracking data in order to adjust parameters related to these data and to dynamical model of MEX motion



Successive 7 days data-arcs to enhance the signal associated with the zonal gravity changes over the 2004-2006 period

1

Géodésie par Intégrations Numériques Simultanées, developed by CNES and applied by ROB for planetary geodesy applications

Accurate orbit determination (2)  Forces acting on the spacecraft:  Gravitational forces:  Mars’ static gravity field (95x95, JGM95J from NASA JPL)  JPL DE414 ephemeris for other Solar system bodies.  Relativistic formulation.

 Non-gravitational forces :    

Atmospheric drag (atm. density, DTM model from CNES/GSFC). solar pressure radiation. albedo & IR radiations (F. Lemoine). Residual accelerations induced by each unbalanced wheel offloading (WoL) or desaturation event.

MEX vs MGS/ODY spacecraft orbits Steerable antenna. Continuous tracking from the Earth.

ODY 2001-now

From NASA

MGS

MEX

From NASA

1999-2006

2003-now

Circular orbit: 400x400 km

Fixed High Gain Antenna ! Non-continuous tracking from the Earth. Highly eccentric orbit: 250x10500 km From ESA

Non-gravitational accelerations Peri. at 250 km

Most perturbing forces on MEX: Solar pressure: 4. 10-08 m/s2 Drag at pericenter: up to 8. 10-08 m/s2 Wheel Off Loading (WoL) events near apocenter (~1 per day or per 4 orbits) (not on the graph). ~10-4 – 10-5 m/s2

Peri. at 400 km

Most perturbing forces on MGS: Solar pressure: up to 4. 10-08 m/s2 Angular Momentum Desaturation (AMD) events (~1 per day or per 12 orbits) (not on the graph): ~10-4 – 10-5 m/s2

Non-gravitational forces act any surface area of the s/c ‘Z’ axis

Bus Solar panel ‘Y’ axis

6 m2 ‘X’ axis

2.7 m2

“Macro-Model” :

It represents MEX as flat plates (6 for the bus & 4 for solar panels) with known area and optical properties (reflectivity and absorptivity). The orientation of this model follows the attitude mode of the bus as given by the quaternions (ESOC) and of the solar panels when associated quaternions are available. The shift between the MEX center of mass and the HGA center of phase and the s/c mass is fixed to a value given in SPICE kernels.

Example of quaternions of the bus of MEX

Inertial mode

Pointing mode

Attitude mode : Earth or Mars pointing or fixed inertial modes. We assume solar panels directed toward the Sun and a fixed value for high gain antenna center of phase/ MEX center of mass offset.

Pre-Processing Spacecraft

Radio-tracking data

Input from ESOC flight dynamics : Initial state vector : MEX ephemeris (ORMM files) Attitude mode as quaternions (ATNM files) but only available for the bus Epoch & strength of each wheel offloading (EVT files)

SPICE toolkit

Input from Köln university : DSN tracking as ODF files (JPL) NNO tracking as Level 2 IFMS data

Interfaces developed at ROB (NNO) & from CNES/NASA Goddard interfaces (ODF)

input for GINS:

MEX bus attitude MEX solar panels : Oriented toward the sun Epoch & initial strength of each WoL event

input for GINS:

Doppler + range tracking data

+ Coordinates of the center of phase of the HGA & MEX mass

Input for data-arcs :

Processing

Duration : 7 days + 21 hours (overlap) Initial state vector from MEX ephemeris (ESOC) Attitude mode as quaternions from ATNM files (ESOC) Epoch and delta velocity at each WOL events (ESOC) Tracking data : Doppler + Range from NNO + DSN

GINS software : Iterative Least Squares fit of MEX dynamical model

Output from data-arcs: New orbit (position & velocity) (+overlap differences) Post-fit Doppler and range residuals Drag & solar pressure scale factors Corrections on the WoL residual accelerations Estimate of bias on range data Normal matrix with information on geophysical parameters

Post-fit residuals of tracking data

Solar conjunction

 Good residuals in Doppler and range. Effect of interplanetary plasma on signal at solar conjunction (Sept. 2004).  However, this doesn’t mean a good orbit.  Test of orbit quality: Orbit overlap (test of internal coherency).

Orbit overlap differences  Overlap of 21 hours between each 8 days successive data-arcs.  We obtain orbit ~2-3 times better than the navigation orbit of ESOC. However, it is 10 times larger than on MGS/ODY (JPL solution, Konopliv et al., 2006)  Our residual errors express the mismodeling of our MEX dynamics:  Non-gravitational forces.

Average (maximum) in meters: ROB/GINS ESOC (navigation)

Radial Tangential < 1 (5) ~17 (100) < 5 (10) ~50 (200)

Normal ~25 (100) ~50 (200)*

*T. Morley, Pers. Comm., 2007

Estimation of non-gravitational forces Period of moderate dust storms which are not taken into account in the atmospheric density model Solar conjunction

Artifact due to the default of true solar panel orientation?

 Our drag and solar pressure scale factors show magnitudes comparable to MGS+ODY (ROB/CNES or JPL solutions).  Our drag scale factors display signature of Mars’ atmospheric dynamics.  However, limited resolution because of the lack of tracking data at most of the pericenter passes.

Adjustment of linear accelerations at desaturation events

 Accelerations associated with WoL events not well resolved along the directions of the X and Y axes of the spacecraft frame. This degrades the determination of the orbit especially when WoL event is within a gap of tracking data.

Non-continuous tracking of MEX: A problem ! 7-days data-arc 7-days data-arc

Shorter data-arc

 Depending on the data-arc, several orbits are not tracked at all. The best coverage only represents ~50-60% of the duration of the data-arc.  Difficulty to correctly determine the effect of the desaturation (WoL) and of the drag around each pericenter pass (altitude of 250-400 km).  A way to explore: shorter data-arc to avoid too large gaps of tracking data.

MEX range bias estimation

Solar conjunction

2004-2005.3: A bias of ~20 meters. About 10 times larger than with MGS/ODY. Error bias on our MEX orbit estimation OR Additional bias due to range group delay of MEX transponder (temperature fluctuations, electronic disturbances, …) ? > 2005.3: Confirmation of residual errors in the JPL-DE414 planetary ephemeris.

Improvement of Phobos’ ephemeris at MEX-SRC observations (1) Phobos motion during flyby MEX motion during flyby MEX Orbit Phobos orbit

MEX’ orbit

Phobos’ orbit

• Super Resolution Camera (SRC) on board MEX: Phobos‘ position in the planeof-sky used to calculate ephemerides of Phobos. • Use of SRC observations need to know the position of MEX.

SRC observations

Accurate determination of MEX orbit to improve Phobos’ positioning from SRC observations.

• We will use 34 SRC observations of Phobos preprocessed by K. Willner and J. Oberst (DLR).

Improvement of Phobos’ ephemeris at MEX-SRC observations (2) Using GINS/ROB MEX orbit

Using ESOC MEX orbit

Right Ascension: 0.008 +/- 0.417 (km) Declination: 0.071 +/- 0.265 (km)

Right Ascension: 0.026 +/- 0.411 (km) Declination: 0.081 +/- 0.291 (km)

 Improvement of Phobos’ positions at SRC obs.  External validation of our ROB/GINS MEX orbit.

Re-estimate of Phobos’ mass from MEX tracking data (1) Close encounters (flyby): Viking1 (1977) Phobos2 (1990) Doppler LOS variations  GM of Phobos

M=?

LOS

Williams et al. 1988 0.9

Tolson et al. 1977

Model

3 2

GM [10 km /s ]

0.8

-3

Yuan et al. 2001

0.7

Kolyuka et al. 1990

0.6

Christensen et al. 1977 0.5

Smith et al. 1995

Difference of more than 40%  Systematic errors!

MEX – Phobos flyby (March 23rd, 2006) distance : ~460 km

Fraction of day

ESOC orbit takes into account an initial value of Phobos’ mass. No clear signature on Doppler LOS profile.

Fraction of day

The Phobos’ mass has been omitted in the GINS orbit. A signature appears on the LOS Doppler profile around the flyby epoch.

 Since the Phobos’ GM acts on MEX dynamics, we perform the GM estimate as a dynamical parameter in our MEX dynamics modeling despite a SNR value of 1

Preliminary estimates of Phobos’ mass with GINS Phobos’ mass (in 10^16 kg)

data used

ROB-GINS

1.27 +/- 0.03

MEX (March 23rd 2006)

Tolson et al., 1978

0.99 +/- 0.06

Viking

Duxbury et al., 1989

1.27 +/- 0.1

Viking

Kolyuka et al. 1990

1.08 +/- 0.007

Phobos2

Smith et al., 1995

0.88 +/- 0.05

Viking + Mariner 9

Konopliv et al. 2006

1.07 +/- 0.0007

Viking

Konopliv et al. 2006

1.07 +/- 0.013

MGS + Mars Odyssey

 MEX’ estimation needs to be refined because of the low SNR value which enhances the effect of strong correlation between the parameters of MEX dynamics model and the Phobos’ GM.  Another way to explore: Estimation of secular effect of Phobos’ mass on the MEX dynamics. Using all MEX orbit from 2004 to now (as done by Konopliv et al. 2006 for MGS & ODY).

CONCLUSION  Our ROB/GINS MEX orbits show internal error comparable or better than the internal error of ESOC’s navigation orbits.  A better orbit determination would require more continuous tracking of MEX !  At MEX-Phobos close encounter (< ~300 km), the Phobos’ mass determination could be improved.  A better MEX orbit is required to improve other Mars’ geophysical parameters like the seasonal gravity field by merging both MEX and MGS/Mars Odyssey tracking data.  A direct Mars to Earth radio-link: A new ‘fonction de mesure’ into GINS !

Many others projects …

A Martian Lander with radioscience experiment

LaRa: Lander Radio-science (PI V. Dehant) selected onboard ESA’s Exomars mission due to launch in 2013. Scientific goals:  Better measurement of precession rate, to better constrain the moment of inertia of the core, thus its size.  Better measurement of LOD variations over one Martian year to better constrain seasonal CO2 cycle. Work to be done:  Need to develop the GINS software to make simulations and processing of future data (S. Le Maistre’s PhD, advisors: V. Dehant & P. Rosenblatt).

Gravity field variations and Mars’ CO2 seasonal mass budget

Seasonal gravity field to determine mass transfer budget, but insufficient precision to constrain the models of CO2 seasonal deposits (error less than 10-09 ) on J2 & J3 variations (i.e. less than 1016 kg in mass changes).

Mars’ atmosphere CO2 seasonal cycle

MEX + MGS can improve the solution of first zonal harmonics variations, given the orbits are well resolved. GINS simulations (Rosenblatt et al., AGU fall meeting 2005)

A possibility of geodesy experiment with a new ESA’s Mars’ orbiter: MEMO

MEMO orbit: 130x1000 km with an inclination of 77° more favorable for determination of zonal harmonics changes than polar orbits as suggested in Karatekin Ö, Duron J., Rosenblatt, P. et al., JGR, 2005.

First simulations from GINS software: A precision of less than 1 meter is required to improve Mars’ varying gravity field.

Possible scientific investigation in geodesy: Improvement of resolution of static gravity field and of gravity seasonal changes. Accelerometer to study thermosphere and Ka band to reduce noise on the data. Work to be done (preparation of the mission): Analytical & numerical (GINS) simulation taking into account all perturbations of the orbit: atmospheric drag, … (Rosenblatt et al., Europlanet meeting, 2007).

ESA’s Bepi-Colombo cornerstone mission. Launch in 2012 & arrival in 2017 (nominal).

Star tracking Tracking DSN

Terre Mesures photographiques Principle of librations measurements: Need accurate orbit of spacecraft !

V. Dehant is Co-I on MORE (radio-science) and Co-I on the BELA (Laser altimeter). T. Van Hoolst is Co-I on SYMBIO-SYS (Camera) Scientific goal: Interior structure and gravity field of Mercury. Work to be done: Development of GINS software to simulate the effect of orbit error on librations determination (G. Pfyffer’s PhD).

Estimation of thermosphere density (altitude > 100-200 km) from accurate spacecraft orbit determination Signature of seasonal variations of Mars’ atmosphere onto the drag scale factor.

Maximum CO2 deposit at south pole around solar longitude of ~180° Dust storm season at solar longitude > ~220°

(From ROB-GINS MEX orbit determination)

The experience acquired with MEX is being applied to the Venus Express (VEX) tracking data (V. Dehant is also Co-I on the radio-science experiment of VEX):  Venus’ thermosphere density from VEX tracking data + accelerometer data (collaboration with our colleagues from CNES).  Improvement of Venus’ local gravity anomalies to constrain the structure and evolution of the lithosphere structure  M. Beuthe. Link with geological history.

Estimation of non-gravitational forces (2) Adjustment of one scale Factor of Drag (FD) per orbit

 Test-period of 6 months.  ‘Noisy’ drag scale factor series.  Low improvement of orbit quality. Average (in meters): Radial Tangential Normal 3D 1 FD arc 1.3 17 40 27 1 FD revo 1.25 17.5 33.7 23.8 a priori uncertainty (0.04)

 Mismodeling of drag effect due to lack of tracking data at pericenter passes. This prevents to get the in formation about time-variable gravity field.  A way to explore: Shorter data-arcs in order to better take into account the non-continuous tracking.

Orbit overlap differences Edge-on

~ Face-on

 Overlap of 21 hours between each 7 days successive data-arcs  We obtain orbit ~5-10 times better than the navigation orbit of ESOC. However, it is 20 times larger than on MGS/ODY (JPL solution, Konopliv et al., 2006)  Our residual errors express the mismodeling of our MEX dynamics:  Non-gravitational forces.  Need a tracking as continuous as possible, especially at pericenter pass. Average (in meters): ROB/GINS ESOC (navigation)

Radial Tangential Normal 2.9 41 39

3D 17.6 200

MGS+ODY (Konopliv et al. 2006)

Atmospheric drag scale factor. Orbit overlap differences