Chapter 4 The Great Depression

Macro II – Chapter 4 – The Great Depression. 1. Chapter 4. The Great Depression. Main references : • Cole and Ohanian (1999), Minneapolis Fed Quarterly ...
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Macro II – Chapter 4 – The Great Depression

Chapter 4 The Great Depression

Main references : • Cole and Ohanian (1999), Minneapolis Fed Quarterly Review, • Prescott (1999), Minneapolis Fed Quarterly Review • Beaudry and Portier (2002), Review of Economic Dynamics, • Review of Economic Dynamics, "Great Depressions of the 20th Century" volume (2002) • Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (2003), Minneapolis Fed Quarterly Review

Macro II – Chapter 4 – The Great Depression

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Facts

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GDP France & the U.S.

• First look at the raw series (constant dollars) • Then deflate by population growth and “normal growth” • Normal growth? • US: 1.19% per year, which is the average per capita growth over 1919-1929 and 1947-1997 • France: 2.98% • ...but not such a big issue...

Macro II – Chapter 4 – The Great Depression

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Macro II – Chapter 4 – The Great Depression

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Some Other Countries

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Macro II – Chapter 4 – The Great Depression

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Some More Variables

• What to observe? 1. Similarities across countries (here France and the US) 2. Investment drop, Gvt expenditures increase 3. Quite proportional drop of exports and imports 4. Fall in employment, and much larger one in worked hours 5. Deflation, but no real money supply contraction 6. Rigid real wages

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Macro II – Chapter 4 – The Great Depression

1.2.1

France

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Macro II – Chapter 4 – The Great Depression

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The U.S.

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