PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

EDITION 2013

Acronyme / Acronym

ACASIS

Titre du projet

Alerte aux Canicules Au Sahel et à leurs Impacts sur la Santé

Proposal title

Sahelian heat waves and their health impacts warning

Axe(s) thématique(s) / theme(s)

!1

Type de recherche / Type of research Coopération internationale (si applicable) / International cooperation (if applicable)

Aide totale demandée / Grant requested Partenaire coordinateur /

"2

"3

!4

!Recherche Fondamentale / Basic Research " Recherche Industrielle / Industrial Research " Développement Expérimental / Experimental Development Le projet propose une coopération internationale / International cooperation with (specify country): Sénégal, Burkina Faso

1379166 !

Durée du projet / Projet duration

48 mois

Serge Janicot (IRD) LOCEAN, UMR7159 CNRS/IRD/UPMC/MNHN

Coordinator partner

Lien avec un projet du programme Investissements d’Avenir (IA) / Link

! Non

" Oui si oui : préciser :

with a project of the Investement for the Future program

ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

EDITION 2013 Personnes impliquées dans le projet / People involved in the project (Responsible of partners & people > 12 p.m) : ! Etablissement / organization

Nom / Name

Prénom / First name

Emploi actuel / Current position

LOCEAN France

Janicot

Serge

DR2

20

OMP France

Fleury

Laurence

IR2

3

CRC France

Pohl

Benjamin

CR2

14,4

CNRM-GAME France

Guichard

Françoise

CR1

20

LOCEAN/LMD France

Hourdin

Frédéric

DR2

9,6

LPED France

Lalou

Richard

CR1

ANACIM Senegal

Ndiaye

Ousmane

DR

DGM Burkina UGB Senegal LPAOSF Senegal CSE Senegal CRSN Burkina ISSP Burkina LOCEAN/LMD LOCEAN/CIRED CRC CRC CRC CRC/LTHE CNRM-GAME LPED ANACIM LPAOSF CSE CSE

Yaka Deme Gaye Ndione Diboulo Soura Mellul Quirion Roucou Ullmann Martiny Diedhiou Roehrig Dos Santos Diongue Daouda Faye Seck

Pascal Abdoulaye Amadou Jacques-André Eric Abdramane Lydia Philippe Pascal Albin Nadege Arona Romain Stephanie Aida Badiane Abdoulaye Marieme Diallo

DR MC PR DR CR DR IR1 CR1 MC MC MC DR2 IPC CR1 DR MC CR CR

ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

Discipline* / Person.month** / Rôle & Responsabilité dans le projet / Field of research Involvement (PM) Contribution to the project

Demography

14,4 12

18 18 12 Environ & health 24 Biostatistics 9,6 Demography 9,6 15 Economy 12 19,2 14,4 14,4 12 12 Demography 12 12 18 Socio-economy 15 Socio-economy 15

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Coordinator; African climate and its predictability; Impact studies Resp Task 2; T6; information system Resp Task 3; T4; climate variability, regional modelling Resp Task 4; atmospheric processes and observations analysis Co-resp Task 4; LMDZ, atmospheric processes and parametrisation Resp Task 5; health and environment Co-resp Task 6; T3; forecasting and statistical downscaling Co-resp Task 6; climate and health Coordinator UGB ; Tasks 3; climate Coordinator LPAOSF ; Tasks 2,3,4; climate Coordinator CSE ; Tasks 5,6 Coordinator CRSN ; Task 5 Coordinator ISSP & OPO ; Task 5 Task 4; simulations and evaluation Task 5 Task 3; regional climate an variability Task 3; weather regimes and climate Task 3; climate and health Task 3; atmospheric variability Tasks 3, 4 & 6; modelling, forecasting Obs. of Population Ouagadougou ; Task 5 Task 6; meteorological extreme events Tasks 1 & 2; atmospheric physics Task 5 Task 5

PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

EDITION 2013

1.! RÉSUME DE LA PROPOSITION DE PROJET / EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF THE PROPOSAL . 3! 2.! CONTEXTE, POSITIONNEMENT ET OBJECTIFS DE LA PROPOSITION / CONTEXT, POSITION AND OBJECTIVES OF THE PROPOSAL ........................................... 4! 2.1.!

Objectifs et caractère ambitieux et novateur du projet / Objectives, originality and novelty of the project .................................................................................. 4! 2.2.! État de l'art / State of the art ....................................................................... 6! 2.3.! Positionnement du projet / Position of the project .......................................... 10! 3.! PROGRAMME SCIENTIFIQUE ET TECHNIQUE, ORGANISATION DU PROJET / SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL PROGRAMME, PROJECT ORGANISATION ............................... 10! 3.1.! Programme scientifique et structuration du projet / Scientific programme and project structure ....................................................................................... 10! 3.2.! Description des travaux par tâche / Description by task .................................. 12! 3.3.! Calendrier / Tasks schedule ........................................................................ 25! 4.! STRATÉGIE DE VALORISATION, DE PROTECTION ET D’EXPLOITATION DES RÉSULTATS / DISSEMINATION AND EXPLOITATION OF RESULTS. INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY ....... 28! 5.! DESCRIPTION DU PARTENARIAT / CONSORTIUM DESCRIPTION ....................... 28! 5.1.! Description, adéquation et complémentarité des partenaires / Partners description, relevance and complementarity ................................................. 28! 5.2.! Qualification, rôle et implication des participants / Qualification and contribution of each partner............................................................................................. 31! 6.! JUSTIFICATION SCIENTIFIQUE DES MOYENS DEMANDÉS / SCIENTIFIC JUSTIFICATION OF REQUESTED RESSOURCES ............................................................. 35! 6.1.! Partenaire 1 / Partner 1 : XXX .................................................................... 35! 6.2.! Partenaire 2 / Partner 2 : XXX .................................................................... 37! 7.! RÉFÉRENCES BIBLIOGRAPHIQUES / REFERENCES ...................................... 38!

1. RÉSUME DE LA PROPOSITION DE PROJET / EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF THE PROPOSAL "#$%&! '#&! #&('! )(*&! $+,(-'.! /0! ,12%$-! #&(%'#! #(*&! 2&&0! )$3&%4! (335&..&3! $0! 3&*&%/,&3! -/10'5$&.! &.,&-$(%%4! (6'&5! '#&! $0'&0.&! &*&0'! /*&5! "&.'! 715/,&! 315$08! .1++&5! 9::;! ?*&5! "&.'! =65$-(! ,5&%$+$0(54! $0'&5*$&).! I#$.! $.! (! 3&+/0.'5('$/0! ,5/@&-'! 6/-1.&3! /0! C&0&8(%! (03! J15H$0(! )#&5&! 0('$/0(%! )&('#&5! .&5*$-&.! #(*&! (%5&(34! .'(5'&3! 3&*&%/,$08! ,5/31-'.! 3&3$-('&3! '/! )&('#&5K-%$+('&! (03! #&(%'#! 5&%('$/0.#$,.!J(.&3!/0!A1(%$6$&3! +&'&/5/%/8$-(%! I#&$5! ,5&3$-'(2$%$'4! ('! .#/5'! (03! +&3$1+! 5(08&.! )$%%! 2&! &*(%1('&3! /0! &0.&+2%&.! /6! +1%'$G+/3&%.! 6/5&-(.'.! /1',1'.>!?0!(!%/08&5!'$+&!.-(%&! F'! )$%%! )/5H! '#5/18#! (! -%/.&! -/%%(2/5('$/0!2&')&&0!R5&0-#!(03!=65$-(0!'&(+.!)#&5&!4/108!=65$-(0!5&.&(5-#&5.!)$%%!2&!#$8#%4!$0*/%*&3>!

2. CONTEXTE, POSITIONNEMENT ET OBJECTIFS DE LA PROPOSITION / CONTEXT, POSITION AND OBJECTIVES OF THE PROPOSAL 2.1. OBJECTIFS ET CARACTÈRE AMBITIEUX ET NOVATEUR DU PROJET / OBJECTIVES, ORIGINALITY AND NOVELTY OF THE PROJECT

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

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3. PROGRAMME SCIENTIFIQUE ET TECHNIQUE, ORGANISATION DU PROJET / SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL PROGRAMME, PROJECT ORGANISATION 3.1. PROGRAMME SCIENTIFIQUE ET STRUCTURATION DU PROJET / SCIENTIFIC PROGRAMME AND PROJECT STRUCTURE

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13/40

PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

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6&*7!3)&')(*9!P.0,&('!?&324!>?MAEC!! 6)&/*! .;J23J)'9! ?MAE! PU(%l5$&! \&%(10(4!F'!($+.!'/!2&''&5!$3&0'$64!(03!103&5.'(03!'#&!-/+,/0&0'.!/6!*1%0&5(2$%$'4! /6! #1+(0! #&(%'#! '/! &D'5&+&! #&('! (.! )&%%! (.! '/! (..&..! (%'&50('$*&! .'5('&8$&.! '/! +(0(8&! 0&8('$*&! #&(%'#! /1'-/+&.>!!R5/+!'#&!5/1'$0&!3('(!-/%%&-'&3!24!B\CC!$0!J15H$0(!R(./!(03!C&0&8(%XQ>! ?0-&! '#$.! 5&%('$/0.#$,! $.! $3&0'$6$&3;Q>!=!.1,,/5'!/6!(!E\\!/6!Zk!+/0'#.!)$%%!2&!6103&3!24!=VO!/0!I(.H.! N>X!(03!N>9>! ! 6&*7!\58!>?MAEIYP:%6AN!#P$BN!%$$MC9!I&+,&5('15&!(03!+/52$3$'4K+/5'(%$'4!ZD!;5)#L)#C1-;"$-"'-#=!#M$(-0# !"#G6'/#^'O1.%1\# F0! '#$.! .12G'(.H! F0! '$+&! .&5$&.! .'13$&.! $)02;'!*+)H9!C1++(54!.'('$.'$-.!)$%%!2&!,5/31-&3!/*&5!'#&!,&5$/3!XYY:G9:X;!(2/1'!'#&!01+2&5! C&(./0(%! (03! $0'&5G(001(%! *(5$(2$%$'4! /6! #&('! 5&%('&3! +/52$3$'4K+/5'(%$'4! (03! -%$+('$-! ,(5(+&'&5.! P'&+,&5('15&! P9::nQ>! E/55&%('$/0! (03! .40-#5/04! 2&')&&0! 3$.&(.&! $0-$3&0-&.! 340(+$-.! (03! -%$+('$-! ,(5(+&'&5.! )$%%! 2&! &D,%/5&3! '/! $3&0'$64! H&4! ,(5(+&'&5.! '#('! )$%%! 2&! $0'&85('&3!$0!'#&!+/3&%$08!.&-'$/0>! J5$&6%4!E/#&5&0-4!(0(%4.$.!$.!+&'#/3/%/84!2(.&3!/0!)(*&%&'.! 3&-/+,/.$'$/0!(03!1.&3!'/!A1(0'$64!'#&!5&%('$/0.#$,.!2&')&&0!')/!0/0G.'('$/0(54!.$80(%.>!I#&!-/#&5&0-&! ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

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Tasks & subtasks / deliverables

Calendar

Task/Deliverable responsible 1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Year 1 11

12

2

4

6

8

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48

T2.1 M2.1a T2.2 M2.2a T2.3 M2.3a T2.4 D2.4a T3.1 M3.1a M3.1b D3.1a M3.1c M3.1d M3.1e D3.1b M3.1f D3.1c T3.2 M3.2a D3.2a M3.2b D3.2b T3.3 M3.3a D3.3a M3.3b D3.3b T4.1 M4.1a D4.1a D4.1b M4.1b D4.1c T4.2 M4.2a M4.2b D4.2a D4.2b T4.3 M4.3a D4.3a M4.3b D4.3b T5.1 M5.1 D5.1 T5.2 D5.2 T5.3 D5.3a M5.3a M5.3b D5.3b D5.3c T6.1 M6.1a M6.1b D6.1a T6.2 D6.2a D6.2b T1

WP1: Project Management Progress reports

M(5'0&5!01+2&5.a!Xac?E7=VK9a?LMK;aEOEKZaEVOLGd=L7KNacM7\K^a=V=EFLKna\dLKkacM=?CRKYaqdJKX:aEC7KXXaFCCMKX9aEOCV!

"MX!PI(.H!XQ!M5/85&..!5&,/5'.a!O&3aw$-HG/66KJ5/)0a+$3G,5/@&-'!+&&'$08KM15,%&a&03G,5/@&-'!+&&'$08Ki&%%/)a+$3G4&(5! 5&,/5'K!d5&&0a&03!/6!4&(5!5&,/5'>!R/5!'#&!/'#&5!I(.H.a!d5&&0aL$%&.'/0&[!O&3a\&%$*&5(2%&>!

ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

EDITION 2013

4. STRATÉGIE DE VALORISATION, DE PROTECTION ET D’EXPLOITATION DES RÉSULTATS / DISSEMINATION AND EXPLOITATION OF RESULTS. INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

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EDITION 2013 cM7\! 3&(%.! )$'#! '#&! 3$*&5.$'4! /6! '#&! ./-$(%G&0*$5/0+&0'(%! $0'&5(-'$/0.! )$'#$0! '#&! 3&*&%/,+&0'! ,(5(3$8+>! cM7\!&D(+$0&.!&0*$5/0+&0'(%!,&5-&,'$/0.!(03!,5(-'$-&.!(.!(0!$0'&56(-&!2&')&&0!H0/)%&38&!(03!'&-#0$-(%! cM7\! )/5H.! /0! '#&! 6/%%/)$08! $..1&.a! d/*&50(0-&! /6! 0('15(%! 5&./15-&.! P6/5&.'.\>! .'13&0'.! 2&%/08$08! '/! 3$66&5&0'! 3$.-$,%$0&.a! \&+/85(,#4! I#&! cM7\!+&+2&5.!(5&!$0*/%*&3!$0!'#&!7CE=M7!,5/85(+>! M&(+;)(!a9!6,)!"B"#%:!+)&/!>QfH5/C!5&,5&.&0'.!'#&!0('$/0(%!+&'&/5/%/8$-(%!(8&0-4!/6!C&0&8(%>!F'!)$%%!-/G %&(3!I(.H!^!)$'#!\dL>!F'!$.!/0&!/6!'#&!+/.'!$+,/5'(0'!0('$/0(%!+&'&/5/%/8$-(%!3&,(5'+&0'!$0!=65$-(!(03!#(.! (! %/'! /6! $0'&50('$/0(%! -//,&5('$/0.>! F'! $.! *&54! (-'$*&! $0! 21$%3$08! -/00&-'$/0.! )$'#! &03G1.&5.! '/! ,5/+/'&! +&'&/5/%/8$-(%! 6/5&-(.'! ,5/31-'.>! F'! #(.! 3&*&%/,&3! (! 5&.&(5-#! 3&,(5'+&0'! 65/+! ./+&! 4&(5.! $0! /53&5! '/! -/0'5$21'&!'/!'#&!$+,5/*&+&0'!/6!'#&!6/5&-(.'$08!.H$%%>!F'!$.!-/%%(2/5('$08!)$'#!EVOLGd=L7!/0!'#&!LFCU=! ,%('6/5+>!?>!V3$(4&!(03!=>!\$/081&!(5&!5&-/80$]&3!(.!$0'&50('$/0(%!&D,&5'.!! M&(+;)(!d9!6,)!EO:!+)&/!>aaH5/C!5&,5&.&0'.!'#&!0('$/0(%!+&'&/5/%/8$-(%!(8&0-4!/6!J15H$0(>!F'!)$%%!-/G%&(3! I(.H! ^! )$'#! =V=EFL>! =.! =V=EFL!=>!d(4&!#(.!%&3!'#&!=65$-(0!-/+,/0&0'!/6! '#&! =LL=G7q! ,5/@&-'>! B&! $.! (%./! -//53$0('$08! '#&! )/5H.#/,.! /0! -%$+('&! 5$.H! (..&..+&0'! /6! '#&! E%$+('&! E#(08&!=3(,'('$/0!$0!=65$-(!,5/85(+!/6!F\OEK\RF\>! M&(+;)(!g9!6,)!YOW!+)&/!>\hH5/C!2&%/08.!'/!q0$*&5.$'4!d(.'/0!J&58&5!PqdJQ!/6!C($0'Gc/1$.!)#$-#!.'(5'&3! $0! XYY:>! qdJ! #(.! 0/)! ^:::! .'13&0'.! qdJ! -/%%(2/5('&.! )$'#! +(04! 715/,&(0! $0.'$'1'$/0.! %/-('&3! +($0%4! $0! R5(0-&>! =E=CFC! )$%%! 2&! .1,,/5'&3!24!'#&!qRO!/6!=,,%$&3!C-$&0-&.!(03!I&-#0/%/84!)#$-#!$.!/0&!/6!'#&!k!6(-1%'$&.!/6!qdJ>!F'!#(.!(! 3&,(5'+&0'!/6!(,,%$&3!+('#&+('$-.!PM5>!=>!\$/,Q!'#('!,5/*$3&.!'5($0$08!(03!5&.&(5-#!/0!01+&5$-(%!(0(%4.$.! O&.&(5-#! $0! (,,%$&3! +('#&+('$-.! (03! F06/5+('$-.! $.! -/031-'&3! $0! ')/! +($0! 5&.&(5-#!'&(+.a!'#&!c(2/5('/54!/6!V1+&5$-(%!=0(%4.$.!(03!E/+,1'$08!Pc=VFQ!(03!'#&!c(2/5('/54!6/5!C'13$&.! (03! O&.&(5-#! (03! \&*&%/,+&0'! C'('$.'$-.! '#('! #(*&! (! *&54! 8//3! &D,&5$&0-&! 5&.&(5-#! (03! (0! &D'&0.$*&! 0&')/5H! /6! .12G5&8$/0(%! (03! $0'&50('$/0(%! -/%%(2/5('/5.>! O&.&(5-#! $0! (,,%$&3! ,#4.$-.! $.! .1,,/5'&3! 24! ')/! 5&.&(5-#! '&(+.a! '#&! c(2/5('/54! /6! ='+/.,#&5$-! C-$&0-&.! (03! ?-&(0.! (03! '#&! c(2/5('/54! /6! 7%&-'5/0$-.! M&(+;)(!8f9!6,)!#$A!+)&/!>agH5/C!PE&0'5&!3&!C1$*$!7-/%/8$A1&Q!$.!(!-&0'5&!/6!&D-&%%&0-&!$0!'#&!L$0$.'&5&!3&! %f70*$5/00&+&0'! &'! 31! \&*&%/,,&+&0'! 315(2%&! $0! C&0&8(%!F'!3&*&%/,.!)/5H.!/0! *(5$/1.! '#&+&.! %$H&! &0*$5/0+&0'(%! .15*&4! (03! 6//3! .&-15$'4!

ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

EDITION 2013 M&(+;)(! 889! 6,)! %$$M! +)&/! >DRH5/C! ! PF0.'$'1'! C1,l5$&15! 3&.! C-$&0-&.! 3&! %(! M/,1%('$/0! G! q0$*&5.$'4! /6! ?1(8(3/18/1Q! $.! #/.'&3! '#&! ?1(8(3/18/1! B&(%'#! (03! \&+/85(,#$-! C15*&$%%(0-&! C4.'&+! P?GB\CCQ>! F'! (%5&(34!#(.!(!#$.'/54!/6!$0*/%*$08!5&.&(5-#&5.!(-5/..!3$.-$,%$0&.! I#&! ?GB\CC! $.! %/-('&3! $0! 6$*&! 0&$8#2/5#//3.! ('! '#&! 0/5'#&50! ,&5$,#&54! /6! '#&! -(,$'(%! /6! J15H$0(! R(./!I#&!?GB\CC!$.!/0&!/6!/0%4!')/! 152(0!#&(%'#!(03!3&+/85(,#$-!.15*&$%%(0-&!.4.'&+!.$'&.!q0%$H&!'#&!/'#&5!152(0!=65$-(0!B\CC!$0!V($5/2$!! M&(+;)(!8D9!6,)!#P$B!+)&/!>RhH5/C!PV/10(!B&(%'#!O&.&(5-#!E&0'5&Q!$.!(!B\CC!.$'&!%/-('&3!$0!'#&!V/10(! #&(%'#! 3$.'5$-'h.! -('-#+&0'! (5&(! $0! 0/5'#)&.'! J15H$0(! R(./! I#&! -155&0'!8&/85(,#$-!&D'&0'!/6!'#&!B\CC!-/+,5$.&.!/0&!3$.'5$-'!#/.,$'(%!(03!XZ!,&5$,#&5(%!#&(%'#!6(-$%$'$&.>!F'! #(.!-/031-'&3!5&81%(5!,/,1%('$/0!-&0.1.&.!.$0-&!XYY9!P2(.&%$0&!/6!$03$*$31(%.Q! ! =%%!,(5'0&5.!#(*&!(%5&(34!#(3!$0'&5G-/%%(2/5('$/0.!'#5/18#!,5/85(+.!%$H&!=LL=!/5!'#&!=VO!,5/@&-'! 7CE=M7! Sd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ÔLE ET IMPLICATION DES PARTICIPANTS / QUALIFICATION AND CONTRIBUTION OF EACH PARTNER

$)(!B&! #(.! 2&&0! $0*/%*&3! $0! '#&! /58(0$]('$/0! /6! =LL=! $0'&50('$/0(%! ,5/85(+! .$0-&! $'.! 2&8$00$08! ('! '#&! &03! /6! '#&! XYY:h.>! B&! $.! 0/)! /0&! /6! $'.! +($0! -/G%&(3&5.! (03! #&! %&(3.! '#&! R5&0-#! =LL=! -/++10$'4>! B&! -/0'5$21'&3! .$80$6$-(0'%4!'/!'#&!&%(2/5('$/0!/6!'#&!.&-/03!$0'&50('$/0(%!.-$&0'$6$-!,%(0!/6!=LL=!P9:X:G9:9:Q>!B&!)(.!(%./!-/G /58(0$]&5!/6!'#&!6$5.'!'#5&&!=LL=!$0'&50('$/0(%!-/06&5&0-&.!(03!'#&!5&.,/0.$2%&!6/5!'#&!6/15'#!/0&!$0!9:X9>!B&! )$%%!.,&03!Z:j!/6!#$.!'$+&!/0!=E=CFC>! ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

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ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

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EDITION 2013 M&*0&3! c&7&! O&.,/0.$2%&! /6! '#&! 3&,(5'+&0'! /6! 70*$5/0+&0'! (03! J$/-%$+('/%/84! ('! \dL! .$0-&! 9::k>! 7D,&5'! $0! +&'&/5/%/8$-(%! 6/5&-(.'$08! O&8$/0(%! &D,&5'! P"&.'! =65$-(Q! /6! '#&! B7=cIBV7I! ,5/@&-'! 6/5! J15H$0(!! [#,('!6B#j,h,#T)#>8*>#+#P!$;1-$%'"0#12#3!-'-('"';#'-#,26'/$#$-=#/%'3$"!#216/!+#$!61;1%;#;"$-=#1.")#k1.6-$%#12#D10$%#P1/'!"0#S-"!62$/!B# >8*J#*8B#=1'#*8R*8IQR6;'2)>8*>)8Q*_# C$6%$# D1-/1%'B# j$U$# T)# >88I#+# &613# $//!;;'-(# "1# $;;!;;'-(# 216!/$;";+# $-# !-=# m# "1# m# !-=# ;".=0# 12# 5$6"'/'5$"160# /%'3$"!# 216!/$;"# =';;!3'-$"'1-#'-#c.6U'-$#&$;1#F?!;"#,26'/$H)##C%'3$"'/#C4$-(!#F>88IH#I>+#_JJ#m#_b8## j$U$B#T)B#!"#$%)#>88Q#+#D!%$"'1-;4'5;#O!"W!!-#/%'3$"!#$-=#0!$6@"1@0!$6#7$6'$O'%'"0#'-#3!-'-('"';#1."O6!$U;#+#,#/$;!#;".=0#'-#c.6U'-$# &$;1#$-=#A'(!6)#S-")#k)#d!$%"4#(!1(6$54'/;B#XB#=1'#+*8)**QbR*_Xb@8X>f@X@J_)# j$U$# T)# $-=# $%)# F>88XH# +# D!%$"'1-;# !-7'61--!3!-"# @# /%'3$"# !"# ;$-"g#+# C$;# =!;# g5'=g3'!;# =!# 3g-'-('"!# /g6gO61@;5'-$%!# !-# Y1-!# /%'3$"'! P$%$/U# PB# L'$--'-'# ,B# ^'$U4$"g# MB# ,V# L$0!B# M.%%!6# cB# >8*>+# e/!$-'/# '-2%.!-/!# 1-# "4!# ;.O@;!$;1-$%# "1# '-"!6$--.$%# "'3'-(# $-=# 26!8*>)8JJ9)# P0%%$B# M)# c)B# ,)# V)# L$0!B# $-=# L)# P)# k!-U'-;B# >8**#+# e-# "4!# &'-!@P/$%!# V151(6$540# D!(.%$"'-(# C4$-(!;# '-# ,"31;54!6'/# d0=61%1('/$%# C0/%!#$-=#G`"6!3!#D$'-2$%%#17!6#?!;"#,26'/$#'-#$#D!('1-$%#C%'3$"!#M1=!%#T61N!/"'1-;B#S-"!6-$"'1-$%#k1.6-$%#12#L!1540;'/;B#71%)#>8*>B# ,6"'/%!#S^#IQ*b_IB#*9#5$(!;B#>8*>)#=1'+*8)**99R>8*>RIQ*b_I# P$%$/UB#P)B#c)#M.%%!6#$-=#,)#V)#L$0!B#>8**#+#D$'-@O$;!=#2$/"16;#12#4'(4#$(6'/.%".6$%#'35$/";#17!6#P!-!($%)#T$6"#S+#'-"!(6$"'1-#12#%1/$%#"1# ;.O@6!('1-$%#"6!-=;#$-=#7$6'$O'%'"0)#V4!16)#,55%)#C%'3)B#^eS#*8)*88XR;88X8_@8**@8_*_@Y# P0%%$B# c)B# ,)V)# L$0!B# k)# T$%B# L)# k!-U'-;B# cSB# >88I+# d'(4@6!;1%."'1-# ;'3.%$"'1-;# 12# ?!;"# ,26'/$-# /%'3$"!# .;'-(# 6!('1-$%# /%'3$"!# 31=!%# FD!(CMJH#W'"4#='22!6!-"#%$"!6$%#O1.-=$60#/1-='"'1-;B#V4!16#,55%#C%'3$"1%#^eS#*8)*88XR;88X8_@88I@8**8@_# !

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ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

EDITION 2013

6. JUSTIFICATION SCIENTIFIQUE DES MOYENS DEMANDÉ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a! P$Q! '/! &0(2%&! '5(0.6&55$08! '#&! 5&.1%'.!/6!/15!5&.&(5-#!$0'/!/,&5('$/0(%!'//%.! F'! +1.'! 2&! 0/'$-&3! '#('! )&! )$%%! ,5/*$3&! (! #$8#! $0*&.'+&0'! $0! =E=CFC! )$'#! n:^,>+! /6! ,&5+(0&0'! 5&.&(5-#&5.!(03!'#('!)&!5&A1&.'!(!+/3&5('&!6103$08!'/!=VO!$0!'&5+.!/6!0/0G,&5+(0&0'!,&/,%&!P^:,>+!6/5! ,/.'G3/-+!6/5!M#\+!6/5!,/.'G3/-!('!(!=65$-(0G-/.'!%&*&%Q>!E/.'.!6/5!,12%$-('$/0.!-(0!(,,&(5!'/!2&! )&(H!21'!)&!)$%%!,12%$.#!(.!6(5!(.!,/..$2%&!$0!#$8#G%&*&%!@/150(%.!)$'#!0/!/5!)&(H!-#(58&.>!"&!)$%%!&3$'!65&&%4! (!.,&-$(%!=E=CFC!$..1&!$0!FO\!73$'$/0.!(.!)&!3$3!$0!9:X9!6/5!=LL=!/1'-/+&.!$0![$#M!"!161%1('!)! F0!'#&!6/%%/)$08!3&.-5$,'$/0!/6!'#&!2138&'!R/5!c?E7=V!'#5&&!2138&'.!(5&!0/)! ,5&.&0'&3a! ! P$Q! $'.! /)0! 2138&'!R/5!'#('!! /+5)046# G \dL! $.! ,5&.&0'%4! +(0(8$08! ;! +&'&/5/%/8$-(%! .'('$/0.! %/-('&3! ('! ;! /1'! /6! '#&! N! .$'&.! /6! '#&! ?1(8(3/18/1!B\CC>!"&!,5/,/.&!'/!214!;!(1'/+('$-!.'('$/0.!$0!/53&5!'/!-/*&5!'#&!5&+($0$08!.$'&.! (03!'/!#(*&!/0&!$0!.'/-H!P;n:::}!$0-%13$08!+($0'&0(0-&Q>! !

ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

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7. RÉFÉRENCES BIBLIOGRAPHIQUES / REFERENCES =5+.'5/08!Jd>!G5'=!3'1%1(0B!Z^noZn9>! J(.1! J&0$.'/0! R>!d%/2(%!(03!M%(0&'(54!E#(08&! J&..&+/1%$0!M>!J/153&''&!E/15'$&5! !"#$%&&"'( )*'( #+,( -*( .*( /0123'( 45567( 823#92,( /#:23( ;#"+9?32( "+( #( @#AB2A( >3"B#&2*( =20C:9$*( ;2$*( D2&&!"# $%"# &'$()(!# !"#$%&'%&()*(&&)+,&-%.&.'# J%(-H! !"#$%"&'()*'+)',"#-./#0*'1)G!"#$%&'(G!"#$%&'(&)*+,"-%&.(&/0123"45%&.(&."6$7&8&9(&:(&;>$4%&?@A?B&C104>",&">5&D*"D$>",&2-2,*D&$E&2,$05&$22044*>2*D%& ANR-GUI-AAP-06 – Doc Scientifique 2013

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PROGRAMME FACING SOCIETAL, CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGES

Projet ACASIS DOCUMENT SCIENTIFIQUE

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