Operational Risk - Yats.com

Financial Risk Management Chapter 24. Daniel HERLEMONT ... methods to measure and manage market and credit risk. ❍ The industry is turning next to operational risk which has proved to be an ... Causal Networks. ☞ Actuarial models ...
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Financial Risk Management

Operational Risk

Following P. Jorion, Financial Risk Management Chapter 24

Daniel HERLEMONT

Introduction  By now, the financial industry has developed standard methods to measure and manage market and credit risk.  The industry is turning next to operational risk which has proved to be an important cause of financial losses.  Indeed, most financial disasters can be attributed to a combination of exposure to market or credit risks along with some failure of controls that is a form of operational risk  For the first time, the Basle Committee is proposing to establish capital charges for operational risks, that is about 20% of of the overall capital requirements  Problem: operational risk is much harder to identify than market and credit risks. Even, the definition of opertional risk is still vague ... Daniel HERLEMONT

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Importance of operational risk - case histories

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Breakdown of Financial Risks

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Examples of Operational Risks

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Definition of Operational Risk  There are still no consensus on exact definition  the broadest  operational risk is any financial other than market and credit risk.  too broad, include also business risk, ...

 the narrowest  operational risk as risk arising from operations.  includes back office problems, failure in transactions and systems, ... but does not include internal fraud, improper sales practices, ...

 Intermediate definition  the risk of direct of indirect loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal process, people or systems or from external events.  exclude business risk, strategic and reputational risks.  but include external events such as external fraud, regulatory effects, natural disasters legal risks, ...  It is now the Basle II definition ... Daniel HERLEMONT

Operational Risk Classifications

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Model Risk  Among operational risk, a notable risk for complex products is Model Risk which is due to using the wrong models for valuing and hedging products  Internal risks that combines  lack of knowledge (people)  product complexitiy  valuation errors  programming errors

 Examples:  March 1997, Bank Tokio/Mitsubishi $83 million loss due to overvaluing swaps and options  1997, NatWest, £50 millions loss due to misspricing in swaptions

 Currently under active research (Rama Cont)  worst case approaches Daniel HERLEMONT

Model Risk

Input Risk

Estimation Risk

Model Risk (valuation)

Deal Database

Market Database

Statistical Tools

Model 1

Vendors of parameters

Model n

Model N

Model Calibration Deal Valuation

Hedging Risk

Hedging Models

source Crouhy-Galai-Mark

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FRM questions

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FRM questions

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FRM questions

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Approaches to Operational Risks  Models  Top Down  Bottom up

 Tools  Audit  Critical self assessment  Key risk indicators  Earnings volatility  Causal Networks  Actuarial models

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Managing Operational Risks  Like market VAR, the distirbution of operational losses can be used to estimate exptected losses as well as the amount of capital required

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Regulatory requirements  The new Basle Accord introduce charge against operational risk (www.bis.org/publ/bcbsca07.df)  3 Methods  Basic Indicator Method  Standardized approach  Internal measurement approach (IMA)

 calibration still in development stage ...

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Preventing Operational Risk  Straight Through Processing (STP)  Internal control:  clear separation of functions  dual entries  Reconciliations  Tickler Systems  Confirmations  Verification of prices  Authorization  Settlement  Internal / External Audits Daniel HERLEMONT

FRM questions

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