The Doha Round of the World Trade Organization: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute Iowa State University and University of Missouri-Columbia Working Paper 02-WP 317 November 2002

Center for Agricultural and Rural Development Iowa State University Ames, Iowa 50011-1070 www.card.iastate.edu

The authors thank participants at the World Outlook Conference, May 2002 in Washington, D.C., and at the Congress of the European Association of Agricultural Economists, August 2002 in Zaragoza, Spain, and Pierre Bascou for their comments. This publication is available online on the CARD website: www.card.iastate.edu. Permission is granted to reproduce this information with appropriate attribution to the authors and the Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011-1070. For questions or comments about the contents of this paper, please contact John Beghin, 568E Heady Hall, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011-1070; Ph: 515-294-5811; Fax: 515-294-6336; E-mail: [email protected]; or Jay Fabiosa, 579 Heady Hall, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011-1070; Ph: 515-294-6183; Fax: 515-294-6336; E-mail:[email protected]. Iowa State University does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, age, religion, national origin, sexual orientation, sex, marital status, disability, or status as a U.S. Vietnam Era Veteran. Any persons having inquiries concerning this may contact the Office of Equal Opportunity and Diversity, 1031 Wallace Road Office Building, Room 101, 515-294-7612.

Abstract

Using the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) modeling system, we investigate the multilateral removal of border taxes and farm programs and their distortion of world agricultural markets. We find that agricultural and trade distortions have significant terms-of-trade effects. Terms-of-trade effects caused by trade barriers are much larger than those caused by domestic farm programs. World trade is also significantly impacted. Trade expansion is substantial for most commodities, especially dairy, meats, and vegetable oils. Net agricultural and food exporters, such as Brazil, Australia, and Argentina, emerge with expanded exports, whereas net importing countries with limited distortions before liberalization are penalized by higher world markets prices and reduced imports. The United States gains significant export shares in livestock products and imports more dairy products. Without protection and domestic subsidies, the European Union loses many of its livestock and dairy export markets. The increase in world market prices would offset at least a portion of the subsidies foregone by U.S. producers. Keywords: Doha Round, domestic farm program, liberalization, partial equilibrium, trade distortion, World Trade Organization.

THE DOHA ROUND OF THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION: APPRAISING FURTHER LIBERALIZATION OF AGRICULTURAL MARKETS

Introduction Many developing countries became disappointed with the limited accomplishments achieved by the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture (URAA) of the World Trade Organization (WTO). This disappointment led them to express their concerns during the agricultural agenda debate preceding the Doha Declaration of the WTO (Kennedy et al. 2001; Matthews 2002; WTO 2001). These concerns were largely reflected in the policy challenges included in the Doha Declaration. The first concern is that there is a lack of market access in high-income countries. Tariff rate quotas (TRQs) and other trade barriers block access to markets in which developing economies are competitive (Anderson et al. 2001; Martin and Winters 1996). The lack of market access constrains trading opportunities for exporting developing-country members. It is important to keep in mind that many developing countries, especially net-importing ones, have also kept high border distortions, a fact that is sometimes overlooked in the current policy debate. Hence, this first contention about the lack of market access shows the heterogeneity of interests among WTO members, and even among developing-country members. A second contention is that agricultural subsidies in high-income countries gained through domestic farm and trade policies depress world market prices. Exports from some of the high-income countries are subsidized explicitly or implicitly through production subsidies and are often “dumped” on world markets. The objective of income transfer to domestic farmers is not in question; rather, the argument is with the way this is accomplished using coupled policies, which frustrates the mercantilist aspirations of competitive exporting partners on world markets. The international political economy of these domestic programs is interesting. Many developing countries do not have the fiscal resources to sustain such domestic farm programs; alternatively, they tend to use border

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measures to protect their farmers when they are pressed to do so politically. These border measures are blunt ways to subsidize agriculture: they harm poor consumers and potentially depress world prices. Among developing countries, policy interests also are heterogeneous. Some countries, such as Brazil and Argentina, are natural exporters of many commodities; they would benefit from trade liberalization and a multilateral removal of domestic farm programs. By contrast, some net-importing countries, such as Egypt, actually benefit from depressed world prices and the resulting cheaper food imports. Many countries fall in between these two extremes, importing some commodities and exporting others with varying degrees of domestic or border distortion. Again, the range of policy interests is large, extending beyond a unified front against E.U. and U.S. farm policies. The Doha Declaration was eventually agreed upon and the agricultural component of the document includes objectives directly addressing greater market access, reductions of export subsidies, and substantial reductions of trade-distorting domestic support (WTO 2001). Beyond the ruckus of the negotiations, it is important to note that even with the URAA nearly fully implemented, heterogeneous market interventions in high-income economies still distort resource allocation and trade in agriculture. European countries rely heavily on export subsidies and domestic support (Tangermann 2001). The United States has been increasing domestic production subsidies to implicitly subsidize crop exports. Both the European Union and the United States have kept prohibitive border measures that protect domestic sugar and dairy. Net-importing, high-income Asian countries (e.g., Korea and Japan) use prohibitive border measures to protect their agriculture and some food sectors. Developing countries exhibit a heterogeneous set of policies, but when they subsidize their farmers, they often rely on strict border measures when they are less competitive but successful rent seekers. Overall, the scope for relocation of production, efficiency gains, and terms-of-trade effects remains in agriculture, and it is worth asking what would happen in unfettered agricultural and food markets. This report describes an investigation that uses the FAPRI modeling system to analyze the impact of trade and farm policies on world trade flows, prices, and market equilibrium. The analysis considers two scenarios. The first represents a removal of “all”

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distortions directly affecting agriculture (domestic farm programs and border measures, e.g., TRQs and tariffs), hereafter referred to as full liberalization. In the second scenario, only trade liberalization (the elimination of border measures) is implemented. This second scenario, although somewhat contrived, allows us to gauge the respective contribution of each type of distortion (domestic versus trade) on terms of trade and market outcomes (such as trade flows and location of production). We hereafter refer to this scenario as trade-only liberalization. With these two scenarios, we assess the policy claims mentioned in the previous sections and elucidate on the empirical evidence contested between the developing members and high-income members of the WTO. We also identify outcomes for clusters of developing countries (including high-protection countries, net-importing countries, net exporters, and low-protection importing countries). We quantify the impact of trade and domestic agricultural distortions on terms of trade, trade flows of developing economies and their partners, and location of production. We consider the removal of tariffs and TRQ schemes, export subsidies, and output and input subsidies affecting production decisions for all major players in these markets. The modeling approach covers all temperate crops, many livestock products, poultry, and dairy products, for more than 25 countries including all major exporters and importers in these markets. Our report contributes to the new literature analyzing agricultural negotiation issues in the Doha Round of the WTO (Beghin, Roland-Holst, and van der Mensbrugghe forthcoming; Burfisher 2001; Diao, Roe, and Somwaru 2002; Francois 2000; Hoekman and Anderson 2000; and World Bank 2001). The departure of our analysis from the literature resides in its unique coverage of countries, rich disaggregation of commodities, and in the incorporation of the most recent policy information within a realistic baseline. The limitations of the analysis are numerous. First, the FAPRI modeling system is not well suited to analysis of economywide trade liberalization. The analysis does not take into account feedback effects from potential trade liberalization in other sectors such as textiles or food processing. Hence, the report addresses in depth a more specific but nonetheless interesting agricultural policy question. Second, the removal of some policies tests the limits of the modeling approach. Supply responses have to be assumed in markets currently constrained by supply management schemes in order to show what would happen when these schemes are removed. No one knows the “true” magnitude of these future supply responses. Furthermore,

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this analysis should be viewed as an academic exercise where the objective is to observe the results generated with the FAPRI modeling system. If FAPRI were asked to examine the same issues for policymakers, the institute would seek further comments from industry experts and would make appropriate revisions to the analysis in light of the information obtained. The paper points out some of the results most likely to induce disagreement among agricultural policy experts. The remainder of the report presents the policy scenarios, the major assumptions incorporated into the FAPRI model, the baseline used in the investigation, and the simulation results. This is followed by concluding comments. Appendix A gives tables with results under the full liberalization scenario. Appendix B gives tables with results under the trade-only liberalization scenario.

Policy Scenarios and Baseline Assumptions Scenarios

We start from a reference baseline or a business-as-usual scenario, which is the 2002–2011 baseline established for the FAPRI 2002 World Agricultural Outlook (FAPRI 2002). This baseline incorporates most major actual policies and policy commitments such as the URAA, the Berlin Accord on Agenda 2000 reforms to the E.U. Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), the 1996 U.S. Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform (FAIR) Act, and China’s accession to the WTO, as will be explained in more detail. However, as the baseline was prepared in January 2002, it does not incorporate provisions of the U.S. Food Security and Rural Investment Act, but rather, it assumes a simple extension of 1996 farm legislation. The baseline also includes important macro policy developments such as Argentina’s current crisis. The FAPRI baseline assumes that all government programs and international agreements currently in effect will remain in place over the period. The baseline includes most major policy changes that occurred recently and are currently in place. Specifically, China became a member of the WTO in December 2001, followed by Taiwan in January 2002. China implements a “tariff only” regime in livestock. Tariff rates for fluid milk, skim milk powder (SMP), whole milk powder (WMP), cheese, and butter are reduced by about 55 percent in three equal steps. For wheat, corn, and rice, in-quota tariffs are set to 1 percent throughout the baseline, while the out-of-quota rate is 71 percent in 2002/03,

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decreasing to 68 percent in 2003/04. TRQs for grains increase in two equal increments and are held constant beginning in 2004/05. TRQs for soybeans, rapeseed, and palm oil increase annually until eliminated in 2006. The in-quota rate is 9 percent while the outquota rate is 52.4 percent. The baseline also includes provisions of the 1996 FAIR Act. Although the FAIR Act included provisions only through 2002, these provisions are extended at 2002 levels to the end of the baseline period. Loan rates are fixed in the baseline at the maximum levels allowed, and the Export Enhancement Program, though available, is not used in the projection period. The baseline assumes no emergency spending package for 2002 or thereafter. NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) provisions are included in the FAPRI baseline. Tariffs on cereals and sugar have been decreasing and will be phased out by 2008. Mexico has been flexible with the management of its meat TRQs to accommodate demand for imports. Regarding the E.U. CAP, the provisions of the Agenda 2000 reforms are implemented in the baseline as outlined in the Berlin Accord, including the dairy sector reforms from 2005 to 2007. The CAP reform decreases the intervention support price for cereals, beef, and dairy, and producers are compensated with higher direct payments. Commercial cereal and oilseed producers are required to set aside 10 percent of their area. The set-aside program is accompanied by intervention prices (€101.3 per metric ton) and by compensatory payments for grains (€63 per metric ton based on reference yields). Starting in 2002/03, the compensatory payments are the same for grains and oilseeds. A voluntary set-aside program, in which farmers are allowed to set aside area above the 10 percent threshold, is also accounted for in the model. Although interrupted by the recent Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) crisis, Agenda 2000 reforms in the beef regime will continue. Several temporary support schemes were introduced, including Purchase for Destruction, which was later replaced by the Special Purchase Scheme, in effect until the end of 2001. The Over Thirty Month Slaughter (OTMS) Scheme in the United Kingdom is scheduled for termination by 2002. Only private storage aid and a safety net intervention at a low price of €1,560 per metric ton is envisioned in the long run. The pre–Berlin Accord E.U. milk quota system is retained under the new regime. Quotas are increased by an average of 1.5 percent over the three-

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year period beginning in 2005. Butter and SMP intervention prices are reduced by 15 percent in three equal steps beginning in 2005. Among the multilateral trade agreements, the URAA of the WTO has had the largest impact on agricultural trade, with provisions for developing members being implemented until 2004. After 2004, all WTO provisions are held constant until 2011/12 in the baseline run. The two policy scenarios are then presented in deviations from this baseline. FAPRI (2002, pp. 28-35) provides a detailed list of policies incorporated in the baseline that are changed in the two scenarios. Tables A.1 and A.2 summarize the main policy changes considered in both scenarios for selected countries. All policy changes are assumed to occur simultaneously and instantaneously beginning in 2002. The first scenario, the full liberalization scenario, investigates the removal of all agricultural distortions: domestic farm programs and border measures—including all TRQ schemes, tariffs, and direct export subsidies such as in the E.U. CAP. The second scenario, the trade-only scenario, considers the removal of border measures only. With this latter scenario, we can assess the contention that domestic programs depress world market prices. The scenario raises the issue of how domestic programs would hold in the absence of border restrictions. For example, dairy policies in many countries rely on border protection to maintain domestic prices above world prices but also above some reference price floor. For the domestic program in the European Union, we assume that with the removal of the border measures, the domestic price floor eventually would be reached as domestic prices fall. If trade liberalization results in market prices falling below current domestic price floors, we assume that governments would make payments to producers in an amount equal to the difference between the current domestic price floor and the market price (in many respects, this would be similar to the manner in which the U.S. loan deficiency payment program operates). Again, the objective is to identify the relative contribution of trade and farm policies. Other assumptions are also plausible. In dairy markets, the removal of domestic policies includes the following by country: in the European Union, elimination of intervention for butter and SMP, and the removal of milk production quotas; in Canada, removal of milk marketing quotas and support prices for milk, butter, and SMP; in the United States, elimination of milk support prices and Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) stocks for butter and SMP; in Hungary, Japan, and

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Slovakia, elimination of milk marketing quotas; and in Poland, elimination of milk marketing quotas, milk support prices, and intervention stocks for butter and SMP. In the meat market, limited TRQs, high border duties, subsidized exports, and price support intervention schemes are employed by many countries to protect their domestic producers. For example, with limited productive potential in meat, many Asian countries protect their domestic producers primarily with high border duties. All these were dropped to zero in the full liberalization scenario, including, among others, the 38.5 percent beef duty and the specific duty implied by the “gate price” policy of pork in Japan, and the 40 percent beef duty in South Korea and the Philippines. Accession to the WTO by China and Taiwan is already in the 2002 baseline; their respective duties for meats, which are dropped in the full liberalization scenario, are 12 to 20 percent and 12 to 15 percent. South America, a natural exporter of meat, has a zero duty for intraMERCOSUR (the Common Market of the Southern Cone of South America) trade, which is the dominant share in their meat imports. Policy changes for the European Union include removal of TRQ, out-quota duties, and subsidized exports. Also, the E.U. beef intervention scheme is terminated, with its stocks released to the market.1 Canada’s poultry TRQ and out-of-quota duties in poultry are removed. For rapeseed production in the European Union under the full liberalization scenario, our analysis assumes that the industrial rapeseed production on the set-aside land is cancelled and the set-aside land is returned to regular production. Without subsidies, it is assumed that crush demand for industrial rapeseeds is eliminated. The assumptions on the liberalization of the domestic market for the E.U. sunflower sector are similar to those of the rapeseed sector. The demand for sunflower oil is reduced by the quantity of oil produced from sunflowers grown on set-aside area in the baseline. This, however, covers only about 50 percent of the industrial oil consumption. Therefore, our analysis assumes that 50 percent of the baseline industrial oil consumption is an unsubsidized market demand. All barrier protection and domestic support policies that affect the world grain markets are eliminated, including the E.U. set-aside program. We assume that the mandatory set-aside program is removed. When exemptions for small farms are taken into account, the mandatory set-aside area represents 7.6 percent of the total potential cereal and oilseed area that is released for production under the no-barrier scenario. The removal of support to rice farmers also is

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an important feature in our scenario. Rice is not part of the set-aside program. The E.U. policy regime includes a mix of intervention prices, tariffs, export subsidies, and direct payments, which results in domestic prices that can be twice as high as world prices. All of these domestic programs, as well as border protection and export subsidies, are eliminated in the full liberalization scenario. This results in lower returns for grains and a more straightforward link between E.U. domestic prices and world prices. Two forces are thus at play in the full liberalization scenario. The removal of the set-aside area leads to a significant potential increase of the total E.U. crop area while at the same time crop returns are reduced because of the removal of trade protection and domestic support. The set-aside area has lower yield potential than does current planted area, thus limiting the impact on supply of the removal of the set-aside program. Although it is difficult to get a precise idea of the magnitude of the yield differentials, we try to capture this in the scenario by assuming lower yields (10 percent lower than the baseline projection for all crops) on the area that returns to production. As for grains in China, we include TRQs reaching 7.2 million metric tons (mmt) in corn, 5.3 mmt in rice, and 9.6 mmt in wheat with in-quota rates of 1 percent and out-quota rates of 68 percent. In-quota imports of wheat, corn, and rice are already subject to a low 1 percent tariff. The elimination of the TRQ system in the full liberalization scenario thus has a limited direct impact on Chinese grain imports. In addition to border protection, procurement prices for wheat, corn, and rice also are eliminated. This impacts significantly the Chinese farm price for these commodities. Mexican corn farmers are still protected under the NAFTA regime by a combined system of TRQ and tariff but with a phasing out of tariffs by 2007. This significantly impacts the balance between corn and sorghum in Mexican imports, as sorghum is already liberalized. The NAFTA tariffs are brought back to zero as of 2002. India has used export subsidies widely in recent years to reduce its large amount of stocks. These export subsidy programs are terminated in both scenarios, leading to higher net imports of grains by India. On the U.S. crop side, domestic farm policy is administered through two main channels: price-conditioned payments (loan deficiency payments [LDPs]) and so-called fixed (decoupled) payments based on historical production on an individual farm. Under LDP programs, producers receive the difference between the set price (loan rate) and the actual

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price. Therefore, the amount of support differs for different crops depending on the level of the loan rate for an individual crop. In the baseline, soybeans, cotton, and rice are the only crops for which LDP programs provided any benefits. These are the crops that experience a decrease in area when exposed to international market prices in the full liberalization scenario given a reduction in marginal production incentives. The international cotton trade is relatively free, but domestic markets are distorted in many countries. While cotton trade is relatively free, textile and clothing trade is highly distorted. Our analysis does not consider textile and apparel liberalization. We consider the following domestic distortions. In the European Union, under the CAP, support payments are made to ginners who are required to pass the subsidy on in the form of higher prices to growers. In the United States, LDPs and production flexibility contract (PFC) payments are paid to cotton growers. Other payments to growers include export and consumption subsidy programs known as Step 2. U.S. cotton producers are expected to receive a total of U.S.$3.7 billion in government subsidies in 2001/02. In Turkey, all growers are entitled to a premium payment calculated on the basis of seed cotton deliveries to either cooperatives or private gins. The Turkish government support was U.S.$106 million in 2000/01; it has been reduced to U.S.$59 million in 2001/02, as the premium was lowered from U.S.$90 to $50 per metric ton of seed cotton. In Egypt, the government disbursed U.S.$20 million in 1999/00 in order to pay for the difference between selling and purchase prices. Support increased to U.S.$23 million in 2000/01. It is estimated that the government of Egypt will offer the same amount of support this season. In Brazil, for 2001/02, the government has set a support price of U.S.$.0396 cents per pound. Finally, in Mexico, assistance to growers was given in 2000/01 at a rate of U.S.$194 per hectare, for a total of U.S.$14 million in government assistance.

Modeling Approach and Further Assumptions The FAPRI modeling system is a multimarket, world agricultural model. The model is extensive in terms of both its geographic and commodity coverage. Functionally, the modeling system is organized into modules according to major commodity groupings— grains, other crops, oilseeds, livestock, and dairy—with country submodels. The system captures important linkages between dairy, livestock, grain, and oilseed markets. Feed

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prices impact dairy and livestock supply decisions, and animal inventories have an impact on milk and meat production. Both dairy and livestock animal numbers are used to determine demands for feed, which ultimately influence feed prices. Oilseed markets are linked to livestock markets through oilseed meal demand. Vegetable oils are substitutes in consumption and compete in final consumption for consumers’ income. The FAPRI model solves for world prices by equating excess supply and demand in the world market. As explained in the scenario section, the FAPRI model is driven by two major groups of exogenous shifters. First, policy instruments are parameterized in the model and can be altered for policy analysis. Second, the model incorporates forecasts of macroeconomic variables, such as gross domestic product, inflation rates, exchange rates, and population. For each scenario, policy parameters are changed and a new baseline is computed for the outlook period. The two trajectories are then compared.

Results Results are reported as average annual changes over the outlook period (2002–2011) in deviation from the baseline, unless otherwise noted. Tables A.3 through A.46 show the principal results regarding prices, trade, production, and consumption for the full liberalization scenario for each year of the outlook period. The average annual change is reported in the last column of each table. Corresponding information for the trade-only liberalization scenario is given in Tables B.1 through B.44. Grains Wheat. The wheat price (U.S FOB Gulf) is up 4.8 percent in the full liberalization

scenario (removal of all distortions) and 7.6 percent in the trade-only liberalization scenario, relative to the baseline (Tables A.3 and A.4). World net trade increases by 7.9 percent following the removal of all distortions and by 5.0 percent with trade liberalization alone. Under this scenario, the increase in world price is tempered by larger E.U. and U.S. net exports and to a lesser extent by larger exports from Russia, Canada, and Argentina. A different picture emerges with the removal of all distortions. The removal of set-aside requirements in the European Union frees a much larger expansion of E.U. wheat and induces a substantial increase in E.U. wheat exports of 6.4 mmt. Russia’s export expansion under the full liberalization scenario withers to a modest 3.7

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percent increase because of the more moderate relative price increase, and Canada and Argentina still expand their wheat exports relative to the baseline. To a lesser extent, Australia increases its exports under both scenarios. The FAPRI baseline assumes that liberalization would force the E.U. price to follow the world price. The reduction in trade barriers causes the E.U. price to increase, prompting more exports. This is reinforced by a lower domestic feed demand in the European Union. The overall E.U. grain area increase is less than the area previously put into mandatory set-aside, suggesting that payments had been holding at least some land in production, all else being equal. In Eastern Europe and Other Former Soviet Union (FSU) (all except Russia), the removal of tariffs leads to a decrease of net exports (Czech Republic, Ukraine) and an increase in net imports (Other FSU, Poland) under both scenarios. In the baseline, wheat imports in China were already subject to a low tariff within the TRQ, and no imports were projected beyond the TRQ. With world prices increasing under both policy reform scenarios, Chinese imports decrease in both scenarios. Because of the removal of the export subsidy, Indian exports decrease and India becomes a net importer in 2003/04 with the full removal of all distortions (a year later with trade-only liberalization). The increase in net trade averages 3.9 mmt above baseline levels in the full liberalization scenario. Corn. The corn price goes up by 5.7 percent with the removal of all distortions and

goes slightly higher (6.2 percent) with trade-only liberalization relative to the baseline (Tables A.5 and A.6). World net trade increases by 3.5 mmt with the full removal of all distortions. With trade-only liberalization, net trade increases until 2008, and then falls slightly below baseline levels. The decrease in world net corn trade is driven by lower animal numbers in key countries, such as Japan, the European Union, and China. In both scenarios, the increase in the corn price is sustained by increased demand for feed in the United States and from other major (feed-intensive) exporters. With trade-only liberalization, U.S. corn exports decrease but the feed content of U.S. meat exports increases. With the full removal of all distortions, U.S. exports expand by an average annual 2.9 mmt, with the increase peaking in 2004 at 5.7 mmt and then decreasing progressively over the remaining period.

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As for China, net corn imports increase when all distortions are removed. The world price increases moderately, and the net effect of tariff removal and a higher world price induces an increase in imports and a decrease in domestic production. However, net imports decrease in the trade-only liberalization scenario. The drop in imports is due to the already low tariff in the baseline brought about by WTO accession, a higher world price, and lower animal numbers. With both policy reform scenarios, and despite lower animal numbers and a higher world price, E.U. imports increase because of a much lower return for farmers. Current policies sustain E.U. corn prices at a greater premium compared to world prices than E.U. prices for other grains. The average annual increase in E.U. corn imports is 1.7 mmt under the full liberalization scenario. The impact of this scenario on Mexican imports is the strongest in the first half of the projection period when the NAFTA tariff is still important. As this trade barrier vanishes over time in the baseline, Mexican trade is impacted only by the world price and increasing animal numbers. Corn imports increase by an average of 900 thousand metric tons (tmt) annually in the full liberalization scenario. Rice. The increase in world rice prices is the highest among the grains. Under the full

liberalization scenario, the price for rice goes up 10.3 percent on average compared to the baseline and it goes up a bit higher in the trade-only liberalization scenario (10.6 percent) (Tables A.7 and A.8). This price increase can be explained by high tariffs on rice and a thin and reactive world market. Rice trade increases by around 29 percent in the full liberalization scenario and by 27 percent with trade-only liberalization. Trade barriers are the main driver in the rice market. Most of this trade increase is captured by China, India, and Vietnam, followed by Thailand. Under the full liberalization scenario, U.S. exports decrease by an average of 98.3 percent, eventually turning the United States into a net importer as domestic support for rice vanishes. The removal of tariffs and other trade barriers in Japan, Korea, the Philippines, and the Rest of World (ROW) leads to higher imports despite higher world prices. Brazilian imports decrease as a result of the higher world price. As Brazil is the main export market for Argentine rice, Argentine exports decrease compared to the baseline in both

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scenarios. The latter outcome results from the specific grain trade flow between the two neighboring countries. As for the European Union, the removal of border protection results in a significant increase in both consumption and stocks. When intervention prices and direct subsidies are still in place, consumption is driven up by the decrease in price while area remains roughly at its baseline level. Trade-only liberalization thus results in an increase of both stocks and imports. Imports increase by an average of 700 tmt a year while stocks range from 1.3 mmt to 1.6 mmt (compared to below 0.8 mmt in the baseline). As rice production is not competitive on world markets, the removal of domestic support results in a drop in area. Rice area in the European Union thus drops dramatically from 400 to 25 thousand hectares. As a result, in the full liberalization scenario, E.U. imports range from 2.2 to 2.6 mmt, supplying most of the E.U. consumption. Oilseeds Soybean Complex. Soybean world price increases by an average of 3.1 percent in

the full liberalization scenario relative to the baseline (Tables A.9 through A.14). The price increase is stronger in early years and tapers off in later years. In the trade-only scenario, similar patterns emerge, and the average price increase is 2.8 percent for the decade. The removal of price supports in the United States, South Korea, and Japan boosts the price another 0.3 percent annually (relative to the trade liberalization scenario). In the conclusion section, we revisit this last finding, which is quite important in the context of the WTO debate. Soybean world production remains virtually unchanged, but the full-liberalization scenario causes shifts in production and processing locations. The liberalization of world soybean trade causes Argentina and Brazil to expand their areas. Natural importers with tariffs to protect domestic production, such as China, Japan, and India, reduce their production and crush. India did not import soybeans during the baseline period. The loss of domestic support reduces the U.S. soybean area by 4.2 percent in 2002/03. As the loan rate becomes less important relative to price, the area reduction becomes smaller; in 2011/12 it is only 1 percent compared to the baseline. Brazil expands its production by an average of 3.5 percent. Of this 1.8 mmt production expansion, about 1 mmt is crushed domestically and 0.8 mmt is exported. Brazil also consumes more meal

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(7.3 percent); the additional domestic production does not cover this increase entirely, and meal exports are reduced slightly (0.7 percent). Because of the increase in the soybean oil price, domestic consumption goes down slightly (0.3 percent). Together with the increased supply, this boosts Brazilian soybean oil exports by 11 percent. The opening of soybean markets through trade-only liberalization has similar impacts on the Brazilian market, with a slightly smaller impact on area and production (2.8 percent). Hence, the multilateral elimination of farm programs has a small effect on Brazilian production. In contrast, in Argentina, the additional production of 1.2 mmt in the full liberalization scenario is exported entirely. The removal of the export tax mostly boosts bean exports in Argentina. The main policy impact in Argentina is from the tariff and export tax removal; the domestic support removal has only a small effect. Soybean area and exports respond only slightly to the soybean price increase caused by the reduction in U.S. supply. Changes in utilization and trade of soybean meal and oil are also insignificant. Comparing the impacts in Brazil and Argentina, the former would alter its export composition in favor of value-added products (oil) while the latter would do the opposite and export more primary commodity exports (beans). China’s soybean production and demand from crush under the full liberalization scenario is slightly reduced, leading to marginally lower imports of beans (down 0.1 percent). On the meal side, production is reduced and utilization expands because of lower domestic prices, so more imports (32 percent) are needed. The Chinese oil sector exhibits similar patterns, as domestic consumers use more of a cheaper product and oil imports are increased (6 percent). Under the trade-only liberalization scenario, China decreases its area by 1.7 percent and its crush consumption by 0.2 percent. The reduction in production is larger than the slowdown in crush, leading to higher imports of beans. Soybean meal production is reduced and use expands, so more imports (22 percent) are needed. In the soybean oil market, more of a cheaper product is consumed and imports are increased. The full liberalization scenario reduces the Japanese soybean production significantly (16.3 percent), but the impact on crush consumption (down 2.4 percent) and imports (down 1.9 percent) is limited given the small level of Japanese production relative to consumption. A higher soybean world price in the trade liberalization scenario is the dominant factor for

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Japan; imports fall about 2 percent because of reduced crush demand (lower crush margin). When Japan’s domestic subsidies are removed in the full liberalization scenario, its area is reduced by 16.6 percent relative to the trade liberalization scenario. The main impact on the Japanese meal sector is from the tariff reduction, which reduces livestock production and increases meal prices so that Japanese feed demand for soybean meal is reduced by 3.8 percent and imports decline by 10.8 percent. The removal of domestic support results in lower production and higher feed demand than in the scenario focusing only on border measures. Trade liberalization and removal of domestic support have opposing impacts on the Japanese soybean oil market, with trade liberalization having the dominant effect. Trade distortion removal leads to lower prices and higher consumption and imports, but the elimination of domestic subsidies partially reverses these changes. Korea is the other Asian country with strong domestic support for soybeans. Overall, production falls by 23 percent, and utilization decreases 9 percent, leading to an 11 percent increase in imports. World trade liberalization plays only a small role, decreasing imports by 1.7 percent because of a lower crush demand (lower crush margins). The removal of all distortions reduces domestic production (by 23 percent), leaves crush almost constant, but increases domestic food consumption. This results in a 13 percent increase in imports. The soybean meal and oil sectors are less affected by trade and subsidy eliminations. Korea experiences a small substitution of domestic production with imports of both products (3 percent). World exports in meal decrease because the United States and Brazil consume more domestically, and Argentina and India crush less. Consumption decreases in most importing countries (European Union, FSU, Eastern Europe, Japan, Korea, Taiwan), lowering their imports. Total world production and consumption increase slightly (0.4 percent). Trade-only liberalization boosts world meal production and consumption; the removal of all distortions depresses them. World trade in oil increases by 4.8 percent in the full liberalization scenario. China, Japan, India, Korea, FSU, Eastern Europe, and ROW import more (due to substitution of domestic production), while the United States and Brazil export more. Argentina’s production and export contract, because its crushing industry loses protection from the export tax on beans.

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Rapeseed Complex. The total E.U. rapeseed area (food and industrial) decreases by 21

percent, and total crush is reduced by 25 percent in the full liberalization scenario (Tables A.15 and A.16). These changes turn the European Union into a net exporter of rapeseeds for the first half of the outlook and reduce imports later on. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, rapeseed prices increase 8 percent, resulting in higher production and a decrease in crush. This reduces the European Union’s import needs. The removal of all domestic distortions has a more severe impact on this sector. Industrial rapeseed production on the set-aside land and its crush are eliminated; the set-aside land is returned to regular production, and area subsidies are cancelled, decreasing returns of rapeseed by 25 percent with respect to the trade-only liberalization scenario. These assumptions result in a 21 percent reduction in area, a 23 percent crush decline, but a 58 percent increase in net trade (relative to the trade liberalization scenario). Net exports expand because despite the reduction in total area, the food rapeseed area is expanded by 1.2 percent out of the former set-aside area (relative to the trade liberalization scenario). This increases food production relative to domestic demand. The E.U. rapemeal sector also is severely influenced by the changes in rapeseed because industrial crush residue that could be used as feed is no longer available. The cancellation of the industrial oilseed program reduces E.U. rapemeal output by about 1 million tons (Tables A.17 and A.18). Trade-only liberalization causes just a moderate reduction (3 percent) in rapemeal production. In the full liberalization scenario, meal production is reduced by 20 percent, consumption shrinks by 1.9 percent, leaving the need for more imports (215 percent). On the E.U. rapeseed oil side, production is exogenously reduced by the amount of the industrial production. Consumption is decreased by the same amount. This covers all of the industrial oil demand in the baseline (we assume no unsubsidized industrial demand for rapeseed oil). Since the crush margin is reduced, food oil production decreases as well. As a result, oil exports are lowered by 11.6 percent. Trade liberalization is the dominant influence on E.U. oil trade. Oil production falls (with a lower crush margin because of the falling meal price) more than does utilization (higher price), reducing exports by 13 percent in the trade-only liberalization scenario. The removal of domestic distortions influences world price only slightly, leaving trade almost unchanged compared to the trade-only liberalization scenario. All traditional

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rapeseed exporters expand area, benefiting from the higher world market prices. The ROW (an importer with a low tariff) has a higher domestic price and increases area. India and China lose rapeseed acreage because of lower domestic prices. Crush margins fall in countries that have protective tariffs on rapeseed meal and/or oil (European Union, FSU, and Japan) and their crush consumption falls. As a result, the FSU exports more rapeseed and the European Union and Japan import less. Canada and Australia’s additional production goes mostly into exports. China decreases domestic production by 0.6 percent but increases crush 0.8 percent, requiring 8.5 percent of additional imports. India did not trade rapeseed in the baseline but averages imports of 287 tmt in the full liberalization scenario. Domestic meal prices fall in all countries. Canada, India, and China increase their use of rapeseed meal; all other countries decrease their use (driven by animal numbers and cross-price effects). Rapeseed meal trade development is driven by the relative movements of domestic crush and use in the individual countries. World trade expands by 26 percent. The rapeseed oil world price increases strongly (11 percent), driven by strong demand growth in India. Domestic prices fall in the FSU, Japan, and India, boosting their domestic consumption by 1.4 percent, 1.8 percent, and 11.9 percent, respectively (Tables A.19 and A.20). In all the other countries, consumption shrinks because these countries’ domestic prices rise along with the world price. However, world consumption does rise by 0.7 percent. The increased rapeseed oil demand in India and Japan requires additional imports of about 177 tmt and 53 tmt annually, respectively. E.U. exports shrink by 11.6 percent. Fewer imports by the ROW and China and additional Eastern European, Australian, and Canadian exports provide a market adjustment for rapeseed oil. The removal of distortions has a big impact on the Indian rapeseed complex: the domestic price falls by 26 percent, production decreases by 5.2 percent, the crush margin improves, and crush expands, resulting in imports. Domestic consumption of meal increases by 9.4 percent, and there is a trade reversal from export to import of meal. The domestic oil price declines 26 percent, while domestic consumption increases 12 percent. There is a small boost in oil production, and imports increase 364 percent. Almost all of these effects are

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due to trade liberalization. Elimination of domestic policies in Europe, the United States, Japan, and South Korea amplifies the latter results slightly. Sunflower Complex. The world sunflower price rises 4.3 percent in the full liberalization

scenario (Tables A.21 through A.26). World production responds by increasing 1.2 percent, and crush consumption in the world rises 1.9 percent. Production and consumption locations shift in the scenario, causing a 21.7 percent expansion of sunflower seed trade in the world. E.U. sunflower production decreases by 4.4 percent because of the elimination of trade and domestic distortions. Crush declines by 18 percent, reducing imports by 56 percent. The decreases in crush and imports are caused by trade liberalization. The aggregate reduction of tariffs is much more severe for oil than for meal, driving world oil demand up disproportionately. Crush responds to this increased oil demand and, because of the fixed-proportion technology, meal is “overproduced,” driving its price down. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, the sunflower price inreases 4.7 percent, the oil price increases 7.3 percent, and the meal price drops 8.7 percent. Figuring in the elimination of tariffs in the European Union, the domestic crush margin decreases 33 percent, reducing crush by 14 percent. As with the rapeseed sector, the elimination of domestic subsidies is assumed to result in the elimination of the production and crush of E.U. sunflowers for industrial purposes. The demand for oil is reduced by the resulting oil quantity, which covers only about 50 percent of industrial oil consumption. The remaining industrial oil consumption is assumed to be unsubsidized. While total sunflower area shrinks (4.6 percent) because of the elimination of industrial production on set-aside land, food area expands slightly (0.3 percent) (both relative to the trade-only liberalization scenario), because of the return of some set-aside area to regular production. Because the reductions in supply and demand are almost equal, the removal of all distortions does not have a significant impact on E.U. sunflower seed trade (down 0.4 percent) or the world price (down 0.5 percent) relative to the trade-only liberalization scenario. Because of the deterioration of the crush margin and removal of industrial production, sunflower meal production falls by 18 percent in the European Union. The domestic price falls along with the world price by 9.7 percent, boosting consumption by 2.9 percent. This requires 35 percent additional net imports of sunflower meal into the European Union. The trade-only liberalization scenario has a dominating influence in the sunflower meal market. The domestic price falls by 9 percent. Low crush margins cause production to decline by 14 percent. The elimination of

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industrial oilseed production affects the sunflower meal sector less than it does the rapeseed meal sector; less than 100 tmt are taken out of the market. Because of the deterioration of the E.U. crush margin and the elimination of the industrial crush, sunflower oil production falls by 18 percent. The increase in the world price (7 percent) is almost offset by the elimination of the tariff, but the domestic price still rises by 0.6 percent. Therefore, total E.U. consumption is reduced by the industrial share, but food consumption remains stable. Stable demand and falling production require imports to more than double (133 percent) in the full liberalization scenario. Except for the reduction of about 4 percent in production and consumption due to the elimination of the industrial support program, the elimination of domestic support programs does not affect the sunflower oil sector significantly in the European Union. The changes are overwhelmingly caused by the trade liberalization. World sunflower production changes according to the resulting movements of domestic prices. Production increases in Argentina and the FSU because of the increase in world prices. Countries with high tariffs (Eastern Europe, China, the ROW) have lower domestic prices and lower area when the tariff is removed. Overall, production increases profits from the increased demand and higher prices. Production locations shift from importers to exporters. The crush consumption increases in the ROW and Eastern Europe because of high tariffs on seeds. All other countries decease their crush because of lower crush margins. The counties with lower production import more (the ROW) or export less (Canada, Eastern Europe). Argentina and the FSU pick up the slack. These big exporters substitute raw material exports for domestic crush. The domestic prices of sunflower meal are depressed everywhere. Consumption expands in all countries except Eastern Europe, where animal numbers decrease 6.4 percent. The movements in meal trade depend on the relative magnitude of production and consumption: in Argentina, the decrease in crush is equal to meal production; the increase in use leads to lower meal exports. As a result, there is a shift into seed exports from meal exports. In the ROW, the corresponding response occurs: reduced area, and increased crush and seed imports. There is a shift into imports from domestic seed production and then fewer meal imports as domestic crush substitutes for imported meal. In the European Union, the

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markets are characterized by less crush, fewer seed imports, and higher meal use, requiring more meal imports. This constitutes a shift into processed product imports from raw material imports. Domestic sunflower oil prices in Canada, Eastern Europe, and the ROW (countries with high protection) fall, and so their domestic consumption increases. Eastern Europe and the ROW also produce more. The production gain outweighs the consumption increase, so they import less. China did not trade sun oil in the baseline; it becomes an importer in the full liberalization scenario. The traditional exporters export less oil; with reduced crush, they export more seeds. Overall, oil trade is down. Consuming countries shift into the trade of raw material and crush. Peanuts. All countries except India and the United States face higher domestic

prices because of the tariff elimination and domestic policy changes (Tables A.27 and A.28). World production expands by 1.2 percent and the world price climbs 19.2 percent. Nearly all of this rise in price is due to the tariff elimination. The termination of peanut support in the United States boosts the world price by only 2.3 percent relative to the trade-only liberalization scenario. World peanut area expands 0.6 percent, consumption rises by about the same amount, but world trade falls 14.4 percent. The reduction in trade is mainly due to the 78 percent falloff in U.S. exports (all relative to the trade-only liberalization scenario). In the baseline, the U.S. peanut program consists of the domestic production quota, a high price support for the production under quota, and import restrictions administered through a TRQ. Peanuts that can be sold for edible uses (Segregation 1 peanuts) grown under the allotted quota poundage receive a guaranteed price floor that significantly exceeds the world price. Any peanuts grown outside of the quota (“additional” peanuts) cannot be sold for domestic edible consumption and must be exported or crushed to produce peanut oil or peanut meal. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, it is assumed that only Segregation 2 and 3 peanuts (non-edible use) can be imported. Because the domestic program targets primarily Segregation 1 (edible use) peanuts trade liberalization does not interfere with the program administration. As a result, the U.S. peanut imports fall to zero because the price support in the market for additional peanuts that cannot be marketed for domestic use in

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food is set on par with the world price. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, this allows the U.S. to support a domestic peanut price that is significantly higher than the world price. Because of higher domestic prices, all countries except India expand peanut area. Because Argentina does not have any tariffs, it can take full advantage of the world price increase, expanding its area by 11.2 percent. In absolute terms, China has the largest area expansion, growing 276,000 additional hectares. The high tariffs in India lead to a reduction in domestic price and production. Crush consumption is the dominant component of Indian peanut demand. Therefore, despite the lower domestic price, consumption decreases by 1.4 percent because the peanut crush margin is also reduced, depressing crush consumption. The production reduction outweighs the consumption decrease, resulting in lower exports (an 11.1 percent decrease). China’s domestic price increases 3.1 percent, and area expands by 1.0 percent. Domestic use grows 1.9 percent, resulting in a 24 percent reduction of exports. Domestic consumption expands despite the price increase because the crush margin improves by nearly 17 percent, boosting crush consumption by 3.4 percent. The increase in domestic consumption is larger than the production expansion, reducing peanut exports by 24 percent. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, Argentina is the only country that increases exports. The other exporters, the United States, China, and India, either decrease their domestic production or increase their domestic consumption, resulting in lower exports. All peanut importers reduce their imports. Canada, Mexico, and the European Union have lower consumption because the increase in world price affects them directly. The ROW consumes more but also has a strong production increase because of the higher prices reducing the need for imports. Palm Oil. The world palm oil price increases by 4.6 percent because of the removal

of all distortions (Tables A.29 and A.30). Trade liberalization accounts for the entire price change. The cancellation of domestic supports for oil crops in the European Union and United States does not have any net impact on the palm oil price. Production expands in the producer/exporter countries (Indonesia, 1.4 percent; Malaysia: 1.1 percent). The consumption in these countries declines because domestic prices increase; therefore, exports increase more than production (Indonesia, 3.4 percent; Malaysia, 1.4 percent).

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Domestic prices fall in the importer countries (China, India, and the ROW). Domestic consumption rises accordingly. The domestic price rises slightly in the European Union. Because prices of competing oils rise significantly more, consumption of palm oil increases marginally. Along with consumption, imports rise everywhere. World trade volume expands 2.1 percent. India has the strongest increase in imports (6.3 percent), corresponding to its removal of a high tariff. Overall, palm oil becomes cheaper for consumers in importing countries, and they consume more. Producers in exporting countries realize a higher price, and they produce more, but consumers in these countries, faced with the higher price, reduce their consumption, adding to the growth in exports. Total world oilseed production falls by almost 900 tmt because of the elimination of E.U. non-food oilseed production, and an exogenous reduction in rapeseed and sunflower production. The reduction of about 2.3 mmt annually of E.U. rapeseed and sunflower production cannot be fully compensated by production expansions in other oilseeds. Correcting for this exogenous change, we find that the world production of soybeans, rapeseed, and sunflowers expands by 1.5 mmt. Soybean production expands 0.3 percent on average, accounting for about 700 tmt per year of additional production. Sunflower food production increases 480 tmt, a 1.9 percent growth. Despite the absolute decline in world rapeseed production of 4.5 percent, food production grows by 293 tmt, an increase of 0.7 percent. Because of lower baseline tariffs in the soybean sector, its production and price increase is lower than for the other seeds. Rapeseed and sunflower gain relative to soybeans, not counting the exogenous reductions in the European Union. Total consumption of the major vegetable oils (soybean, rapeseed, sunflower, palm) falls nominally by 329 tmt on average. However, the exogenous elimination of the nonfood sector in the European Union accounts for 961 tmt. Vegetable oil food consumption rises by 632 tmt, or 0.8 percent of total world consumption. This expansion of vegetable oil consumption is driven by lower domestic prices in many importing countries caused by tariff elimination. Palm oil captures the largest absolute increase, expanding about 247 tmt, followed by sunflower oil with 164 tmt. Soybean oil tariffs in the baseline are relatively low, limiting the growth in this sector to 130 tmt. Total rapeseed oil consumption falls, but food consumption rises by 90 tmt.

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Cotton

With the removal of all agricultural distortions in the full liberalization scenario, world cotton prices increase about 15 percent above baseline levels (Tables A.31 and A.32). The United States suffers a substantial impact in this scenario as the loan program, step 2 payments, and export subsidies are removed. U.S. cotton production, consumption, and net export decline by 11 percent, 2 percent, and 13 percent, respectively. The removal of all distortions also has a significant impact on E.U. cotton production and trade. E.U. cotton production falls by about 79.0 percent, and cotton net import increases by 143.1 percent. As world cotton prices rise, Africa, a large cotton exporting region, increases its cotton exports by 12.3 percent above baseline. Benefiting from both types of reforms, cotton exports from Uzbekistan increase by 5 percent in the full liberalization scenario. A similar story arises in the FSU. Both are natural exporters of cotton. In this scenario, China’s cotton imports decline by 25 percent because of low protection assumed in the baseline with China’s WTO accession. India cotton producers also benefit from the removal of distortions with the policy reforms. India’s cotton net imports decline by 14 percent. Under agricultural trade-only liberalization, nothing major happens in cotton markets. This result is in sharp contrast to what would happen with trade liberalization in textiles and apparel, which is a different issue. The world raw cotton market is generally liberalized, with only 2 percent of world imports in TRQs and 2 percent purchased by countries that apply tariffs. The world cotton price increases by about 4 percent compared to the baseline because of the removal of trade distortions. Importing countries with relatively higher duties removed increase their excess demand for cotton. These countries include Brazil, India, and Other Latin America. Importing countries with relatively lower duties removed (or duty free) slightly decrease their excess demand of cotton. These countries include China, the European Union, Turkey, Taiwan, and Japan. Major cotton exporting countries, such as South Africa, Uzbekistan, the United States, and Australia, increase their exports as world cotton price rises. Pakistan suffers the largest impact from trade liberalization because of the removal of its 15 percent duty. It becomes a net importer. Under trade liberalization, the U.S. farm price increases slightly less than the world cotton price. U.S. cotton exports also increase slightly.

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Dairy

With the removal of all distortions in the full liberalization scenario, net trade of all dairy products (butter, cheese, SMP, and WMP) increases relative to baseline levels. Argentina, Australia, and New Zealand gain market share but would gain even more under trade-only liberalization. India is likely to gain significant market share in butter and SMP markets. The European Union loses market share in all dairy products compared to the baseline. E.U. butter and SMP exports decrease significantly as the elimination of milk production quotas and intervention buying results in lower milk production, lower domestic prices, less butter and SMP production, and more domestic consumption of all dairy products. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, net trade increases for all dairy products except cheese. World dairy product prices increase by 27 to 34 percent. Canada becomes a net importer of all dairy products and is one of the countries that loses more market share under the scenario, but its consumers benefit greatly. Similar patterns emerge in South Korea, Japan, and Indonesia. The United States increases its imports of butter. However, it reduces its imports of cheese significantly and increases its exports of SMP. Still, under this trade-only liberalization scenario, the European Union loses market share in all the dairy products except SMP, in which it increases its exports by 5 percent. E.U. butter, cheese, and WMP exports decrease significantly because of the elimination of export subsidies and slight increase in domestic consumption. Domestic prices of these three products also decrease compared to the baseline, increasing domestic consumption. E.U. SMP is more internationally competitive than other dairy products, and so E.U. domestic SMP prices increase relative to prices for other products. The result is an increase in E.U. production of SMP, a reduction in domestic consumption, and an increase in E.U. SMP exports. Butter. World butter prices increase by 39.6 percent with the removal of all distortions

(about 33.4 percent with trade-only liberalization) (Tables A.33 and A.34). World total butter trade increases by 8.7 percent with the removal of all distortions (6.0 percent with trade-only liberalization). E.U. net exports decrease dramatically, by 96.4 percent (107 tmt) with some trade reversals occurring between 2003 and 2007. Trade-only liberalization also induces a sharp drop in exports (44.9 percent) due to the elimination of export subsidies.

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The United States and Canada increase their imports of butter. U.S. and Canadian imports increase by 8.7 percent (47.8 tmt) and 2,033 percent (41.7 tmt) respectively, because of the removal of tariffs and domestic support. Trade-only liberalization induces the largest impact on these imports. Canadian butter imports increase as well, because of the removal of butter support prices, while U.S. net trade increases because of the elimination of CCC stocks and decreased domestic prices. With the removal of all distortions, Argentina, Australia, and New Zealand increase their net exports of butter by 128.8 percent, 27.6 percent, and 9.1 percent, respectively. Most of the increase comes from trade liberalization (101 percent, 24.5 percent, and 6 percent, respectively), as these exporters take advantage of increased import demand from countries where high tariffs were in place. The removal of all distortions causes a sharp drop in E.U. butter exports and further expands trading opportunities for other exporters. With trade liberalization, South Korean and Indonesian butter imports increase by 565 percent and 15 percent, respectively, because of the elimination of import tariffs. With the removal of all distortions, these imports decrease slightly because of higher world butter prices. Japanese imports increase under both scenarios, by 15 tmt in the removal of all distortions and by 13 tmt under trade-only liberalization. The major impact is explained by the elimination of both import tariffs and support provided through domestic milk marketing quotas, which accounts for the larger import penetration under the full liberalization scenario. India becomes a net exporter in both scenarios—a trade pattern reversal, from about 20 tmt annual net imports in the baseline to 54 tmt net exports in the full liberalization scenario and about 17 tmt net exports for trade-only liberalization. This trend decreases over time with the largest changes occurring in the early years. The pattern is caused by higher world prices, decreased domestic consumption, and the European Union’s diminished presence in the full liberalization scenario. Under both scenarios, E.U. and U.S. butter consumers benefit from lower prices (down 6 percent and 21 percent respectively in the main scenario) while consumers in net exporting countries such as Australia and New Zealand are penalized by higher prices (up 27 percent in the full liberalization scenario).

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Cheese. World cheese prices increase about 22 percent with full removal of trade

distortions and by 28 percent with trade-only liberalization (Tables A.35 and A.36). World cheese trade increases 5.6 percent in the full liberalization scenario but decreases 4.7 percent in the trade-only liberalization scenario. Total trade starts to grow in 2010 under the trade-only liberalization scenario. With trade liberalization, U.S. imports of cheese decrease by 65 percent because of increases in world and domestic prices, which reduce domestic consumption. This pattern is less pronounced in the full liberalization scenario, but cheese imports still decrease. While this model result is possible under all the assumptions of this analysis, it does not represent a consensus view on what would happen to U.S. cheese markets under full market liberalization. Issues include policy and market responses in the European Union and the substitutability of domestic and imported cheeses in the United States. With trade-only liberalization, the European Union decreases net exports by 59 percent, although it continues to be a major cheese exporter. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, fixed milk production quotas and lower E.U. cheese prices but fixed producer support prices for butter and SMP result in reduced E.U. cheese production and higher E.U. cheese consumption. However, with the full removal of all distortions, E.U. net exports decrease much less, by only 40 percent, as the European Union uses more milk for cheese because of the elimination of intervention buying for butter and SMP. Exports from Eastern Europe increase for Romania, the Slovak Republic, and the Czech Republic, while Poland’s exports decrease. The quality of dairy products in these countries has improved, including in Poland. Hence, these predictions are tentative. Canadian and Japanese net imports increase by 64 tmt and 11 tmt respectively in the full liberalization scenario, because of the elimination of import tariffs. With the full removal of all distortions, Argentina and Australia increase their exports by 258 and 13 percent respectively because of the decreased domestic consumptions. New Zealand exports increase by only 3 percent. Finally, the European Union cheese price decreases by 10 percent, while U.S., Australian, and New Zealand prices increase by about 4 percent, 13 percent, and 13 percent, respectively.

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Nonfat Dry Milk. World SMP prices increase about 30 percent in the full liberaliza-

tion scenario and by 28 percent with trade-only liberalization (Tables A.37 and A.38). World total SMP trade increases by 6 percent in the full liberalization scenario and by 12 percent with trade-only liberalization. The main source of the difference is the lower level of E.U. exports in the full liberalization scenario, as the elimination of intervention results in lower E.U. production and exports. With the removal of all distortions, exports increase in Argentina (32 percent), Australia (29 percent), New Zealand (16 percent), and the United States (62 percent). Under trade-only liberalization, exports increase in Argentina (24 percent), Australia (26 percent), New Zealand (8 percent), and India (13 percent). Exports increase in the European Union and the United States by 4 percent and 48 percent, respectively. With the additional elimination of intervention, E.U. net exports disappear. The difference in outcomes in the European Union is striking. Without domestic support and despite higher world prices, the Europen Union becomes a marginal exporter of SMP. Under both scenarios, Canada becomes a net importer, with import levels of about 46 tmt in the full liberalization scenario and 30 tmt in the trade-only liberalization scenario. Brazil decreases its net imports under trade-only liberalization by 76 percent and even becomes a marginal exporter with the removal of all distortions. Imports in South Korea and Indonesia increase under both scenarios (21 tmt and 14.8 tmt respectively in the full liberalization scenario), because of the elimination of import tariffs offsetting higher world SMP prices. Domestic prices of SMP increase in the European Union (6 percent), Australia (28 percent), and New Zealand (28 percent) in the full liberalization scenario and by comparable magnitudes in the trade-only liberalization scenario (6.6 percent, 16.2 percent, and 16.2 percent, respectively). Whole Milk Powder. With the removal of all distortions, world WMP prices increase

by about 26 percent above baseline levels under both scenarios. World total WMP trade increases by 6 percent with the full removal of all distortions while with trade-only liberalization, aggregate WMP trade increases by 4 percent (Tables A.39 and A.40). Under the full liberalization scenario, exports increase in Argentina (16 percent), Australia (14 percent), and New Zealand (3 percent). Trade-only liberalization provides comparable export outcomes.

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E.U. exports decrease by 13 percent with the removal of all distortions because of the elimination of export subsidies and intervention support for butter and SMP and other domestic programs. China becomes a net exporter of WMP. Its 37 tmt of net imports in the baseline become 126 tmt of net exports under full liberalization and 34 tmt of net exports under trade-only liberalization. This obviously is a large number compared to current levels. Future development of the Chinese dairy industry and trade negotiations will help assess this conjecture on expansion. The E.U. WMP price decreases by 7 percent, while Australian and New Zealand prices increase 12 percent and 29 percent respectively under the full liberalization scenario. Trade-only liberalization brings comparable price changes. Livestock Markets

In livestock markets, higher prices result from both scenarios, as tariff elimination results in an expansion in demand. Price impacts are smaller under the full liberalization scenario than under the trade-only liberalization scenario, as the lower feed prices in the full liberalization scenario reduce livestock production costs, stimulating livestock production. In the full liberalization scenario, the removal of beef intervention stocks in the European Union further limits potential livestock price increases in the short run. Some of the beef stock ends up in the export market, increasing the excess supply of beef. Consequently, the world beef price decreases in 2002 by 1.6 percent. This triggers a beef price path that reflects the cycles inherent in this sector. World trade levels in both scenarios are higher than baseline levels. Over the 2002– 2011 period, trade in all three meats increases; pork has the largest increase, at 28.4 percent, followed by poultry at 18.9 percent, and beef at 9.1 percent in the main scenario. Average trade levels in the trade-only liberalization scenario are almost identical, suggesting that the trade impacts of domestic programs on the meat sector are small. Traditional exporters such as Argentina, Brazil, and the United States increase meat exports because of higher world prices. In the full liberalization scenario, E.U. exports increase slightly in 2002 as beef intervention stock is released to the export market. Thereafter, E.U. exports decline by around 500 tmt annually as support both in the beef and dairy sectors is terminated. Removing border distortions results in lower domestic prices in most high-cost exporting countries, leading to a reduction in domestic

The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 29

production and an increase in domestic consumption of meat products. Importing countries (Japan, Korea, and the Philippines) increase their demand for meat products as domestic production declines, while consumption increases with the decrease in domestic prices resulting from the removal of border distortions. Some importing countries (e.g., Mexico and Hong Kong) with already low duties reduce their meat imports, as the increase in world prices more than offsets the reduction of their duties. In the full liberalization scenario, the average annual increase in the Nebraska fed steer price is 3.8 percent, with the largest increases occurring in the early years of the baseline because of high excess demand together with lower excess supply. In the following years, buildup of inventory caused by the price increases eventually pushes the beef price down below baseline levels in 2007–09. The beef price rises again and ends at 2.8 percent above the reference level in 2011. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, the same patterns emerge, although slightly more pronounced. The pork price increases relative to the baseline throughout the simulation period, with an average annual increase of 10.3 percent. The broiler price (U.S. 12-city price) also increases throughout the simulation period, with an average annual increase of 7.46 percent above baseline levels. Beef. U.S. beef sector exports increase by 626 tmt (average annual increase above

baseline) (Tables A.41 and A.42). Other big “winners” are Argentina, with an expansion of 40.3 percent (135 tmt) and Australia, whose exports increase 9.5 percent (138 tmt). In the trade-only liberalization scenario, the export winners in the beef market remain the same, but the magnitudes of the export expansion differ, with Argentina at 35.0 percent, Australia at 7.9 percent, Brazil at 7.2 percent, and New Zealand at 4.4 percent. Except for the first year (2002), the U.S. is a net exporter throughout the simulation period, reaching a peak of 743 tmt in 2009. The European Union loses significant market share, with a reversal of trade pattern from exporter to major importer starting in 2004. The average annual increase in E.U. net imports is 467 tmt above baseline levels. Under the trade-only liberalization scenario, E.U. net exports decline on average by 55.5 percent; however, no trade reversal occurs because only duties on imports and subsidized exports are eliminated but domestic support remains in place for beef and dairy sectors. Without

30 / FAPRI Staff

the current large government payments, E.U. beef production falls more dramatically in the full liberalization scenario. A significant number of beef cattle come from the dairy sector. Under the full liberalization scenario, China increases its imports of beef by 165 tmt on average over the projection period. Japan and the Philippines increase imports of beef as their respective 39 percent and 40 to 44 percent duties are removed. Japan’s imports increase by 20 percent (21 percent for the trade-only liberalization scenario) and the Philippines’ imports increase by 72 percent (74 percent in the trade-only liberalization scenario). Mexico’s beef imports decline by 18 percent in the full liberalization scenario (15 percent in the trade-only liberalizationscenario) because its beef sector is already liberalized in the baseline and it faces a higher world beef price. The tariff-only scenario induces higher beef prices and higher feed prices. Pork. Under the full liberalization scenario, aggregate exports of pork increase by 28

percent. Brazil, Canada, and the United States gain market shares in this sector, as their respective net exports increase by 61 percent, 41 percent, and 188 percent (Tables A.43 and A.44). With its very large domestic swine-pork sector, China increases its imports significantly with removal of a modest import duty (average annual increase of 311 tmt above baseline). This tendency is accentuated under the trade-only liberalization scenario because feed prices are higher. Chinese pork imports reach 725 tmt in 2011 in the latter scenario compared to 229 tmt in the baseline. Removal of safeguard provisions limiting Japan’s pork imports results in a 26 percent increase in pork imports relative to the baseline under both scenarios. With the removal of high tariffs, South Korea increases its imports by 77 percent above baseline levels. Mexico’s imports decline by 11 percent as it faces higher world pork prices. Poultry. The United States, Brazil, and Thailand make significant gains in the export

market in both scenarios. Their net exports increase by 25 percent, 24 percent, and 42 percent respectively in the full liberalization scenario (Tables A.45 and A.46). Similar figures emerge for the trade-only scenario. The removal of duties and subsidization results in a decline of 47 percent in net exports from the European Union. Net exports relative to the baseline drop to 459 tmt in 2011 in the full liberalization scenario.

The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 31

The removal of prohibitive duties on imports outside the NAFTA TRQ turns Canada into a large net importer of poultry; it reaches 298 tmt in 2011 compared to 25 tmt in the baseline. Japan’s broiler imports decline by 12 percent under both scenarios, as the removal of its already low duties is offset by the rise in the world poultry price. Also, much higher duties are removed in beef and pork, causing a drop in their relative prices and hence a decrease in poultry consumption. The removal of a 45 percent duty in the Philippines increases its imports, with totals reaching 216 tmt in the full liberalization scenario in 2011 compared to 86 tmt in the baseline.

Conclusions Terms-of-trade effects are quite substantial but heterogeneous, with big and small changes. Most world prices increase under both scenarios, except for oilseed meals. Dairy prices exhibit the highest increases, followed by those in the meat and crops categories. A striking pattern is that the removal of domestic farm programs in aggregate does not have much impact on world prices with the exception of butter and cotton under free trade. Therefore, the contention that domestic farm programs depress world prices should be qualified carefully in light of this important result (much of which is due to the effect of set-aside on E.U. grain production). Trade flows are significantly affected by both domestic and trade distortions. Domestic distortions have the strongest effects in dairy markets, in which protection and production subsidies are substantial in many countries. Other markets are also affected. Immense changes in trade occur in highly protected markets such as oilseed and oil markets in India and meat markets in the Philippines, resulting in big gains for consumers. Significant production expansions occur in countries that are natural exporters, such as Brazil, Argentina, Australia, and other countries competing with the United States on world markets. Under both scenarios, there is a shift from feed-grain trade to feedintensive, value-added product trade and to increased feed use among traditional meat exporters. Under both scenarios, the United States emerges as a major winner in terms of meat export markets. The removal of domestic programs mitigates the feed price increase brought about by trade liberalization alone and provides an additional stimulus to

32 / FAPRI Staff

livestock and poultry production. In addition to the United States, Argentina, Brazil, Canada, and Thailand expand their meat and/or poultry product and exports significantly. Net trade of all dairy products increases under both scenarios except for cheese under the trade-only liberalization scenario. Argentina, Australia, and New Zealand expand exports. E.U. exports of all dairy products decrease drastically under the full removal of all distortions. The United States reduces its imports of cheese significantly under trade liberalization and increases its exports of SMP. Canada becomes a net importer of all dairy products under both scenarios because of the increased consumption and decreased milk production. Dairy producers in the European Union, Canada, and, to some extent, the United States lose from the removal of domestic programs. Given the computed impacts in our full liberalization scenario modeling exercise, the U.S. livestock sector gains, as livestock prices increase (by 3.2 percent in beef, 10.3 percent in pork, and 7.5 percent in poultry) more than do feed prices (5.7 percent in corn and 3.8 percent in soymeal). Expansion in production by 4 to 5 percent in response to favorable prices also contributes to livestock revenue expansion. The dairy sector also gains as the increase in world dairy product prices (at 39.5 percent in butter, 22.3 percent in cheese, 30.5 percent in nonfat dry milk, and 25.6 percent in WMP) mutes the impact of the removal of the milk support price in the United States. The milk price increases slightly while milk production remains almost unchanged. The higher value of beef products coming from the dairy sector also contributes to the sector’s favorable revenue effect. On the crop side, though, the modest price increases are not enough to offset lost payments for most producers. The share of combined PFC and LDP payments to revenue varies across crops, from a low 2 percent share in oats, a 6 to 10 percent share for most of the other grains and soybeans, to a high 20 to 45 percent share in cotton and rice. As expected, total revenue drops for wheat, corn, sorghum, barley, peanuts, soybeans, cotton, and rice. Higher prices for wheat (up 4.7 percent), corn (up 5.7 percent), sorghum (up 6.8 percent), barley (up 6.5 percent), and oats (up 4.5 percent) and production adjustments for crops less affected by the removal of program payments increase their revenue from marketing, thereby moderating the drop in total gross revenue in the crop sector. A major caveat is that although the direction of these hypothetical changes in returns and income is meaningful, their magnitudes are

The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 33

inadequate for policy debate purposes since our analysis does not include the provisions of new U.S. farm legislation. Net agricultural consumers in low-duty countries are worse off because price increases are substantial. Their net agricultural consumption is taxed under the new terms of trade. However, the many consumers in highly protected net-importing countries (e.g., the Philippines, Japan, and Korea) are better off, as the unit cost of most food items decreases. Under full integration of food markets and trade in these countries, consumers’ gains would be even greater. However, there remain large transaction costs between world prices and domestic prices, created by uncompetitive practices and market structures in importing and retailing sectors. Finally, we want to re-emphasize the “academic” nature of our modeling exercise; it is useful primarily in identifying issues of contention for further analysis and model development. We are posing questions to our model—about full removal of distortions— which are much beyond the usual scope of more modest deviations implied by limited policy changes. Thus, in the context of information provision to negotiators and other policymakers, this report is only a first step in a larger research effort that will require more consultation, model adjustment, and refinement.

Endnote

1.

In the FAPRI 2002 baseline, public intervention stacks and special purchase scheme in storage increased mostly in 2002, with another small increase in 2003 to offset the termination of the OTMS.

References

Anderson, K., B. Dimaran, J. Francois, T. Hertel, B. Hoekman, and W. Martin. 2001. “The Cost of Rich (and Poor) Country Protection to Developing Countries.” CIES Discussion Paper No. 136, Centre for International Economic Studies, Adelaide, September. Beghin J., D. Roland-Holst, and D. van der Mensbrugghe. Forthcoming. “How Will Agricultural Trade Reforms in High-Income Countries Affect the Trading Relationships of Developing Countries?” In Agriculture, Trade, and Poverty: Making Policy Analysis Count. Paris: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Publications. Burfisher, M.E., ed. 2001. Agricultural Policy Reform in the WTO—The Road Ahead. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Market and Trade Economics Division, AER 802, May. Diao, X., T. Roe, and A. Somwaru. 2002. “Developing Country Interests in Agricultural Reforms under the World Trade Organization.” TMD Discussion Paper No 85, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C., January. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) 2002. FAPRI 2002 World Agricultural Outlook. Ames, IA: Iowa State University and University of Missouri-Columbia, Staff Report 1-02, January. Francois, J. 2000. “Modelling the Impact of WTO Negotiations on EU Agriculture: An Application of the GTAP Model.” Mimeo, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, September. Hoekman, B., and K. Anderson. 2000. “Developing Country Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda.” Economic Development and Cultural Change 48(3, April): 171-80. Kennedy, L., J. Dyck, L. Brink, and D. MacLaren. 2001. “Domestic Support: Issues and Options in the Agricultural Negotiations.” IATRC Commissioned Paper No. 16, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium, University of Minnesota, May. Martin, W., and A. Winters, eds. 1996. The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries. New York: Cambridge University Press. Matthews, A. 2002. Les Pays en développement et les négociations de l’OMC sur la libéralisation des échanges agricoles.” Économie Rurale 267(January-February): 5-18. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). 2001. Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation 2001. Paris: OECD Publications. Tangermann, S. 2001. “L’Accord sur l’Agriculture de l’Uruguay Round fonctionne-t-il?” Economie Internationale 87(3): 15-44. World Bank. 2001. Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries 2002. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, October.

36 / FAPRI Staff

World Trade Organization (WTO) 2001. Ministerial Conference, Fourth Session, Doha, Qatar, 9–14 November 2001. Ministerial Declaration, WT/MIN(01)/DEC/120. November. ———. Various. “Notification.” Various issues (G/AG/N/series). Committee on Agriculture. http://docsonline.wto.org/ (accessed October 2002).

Appendix A

Impacts of the Full Liberalization Scenario Tables A.1 and A.2 give selected policies in selected countries. Tables A.3 through A.46 present the impacts of the full liberalization scenario on price, trade, production, and consumption.

Table A.1. Agricultural Policy Assumptions for Crops 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

United States Policy Prices Corn Loan Wheat Loan Barley Loan Rice Loan Cotton Loan Soybean Loan Cane Loan

74 95 79 143 1,145 193 397

74 95 81 143 1,145 193 397

74 95 81 143 1,145 193 397

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 74 74 74 74 95 95 95 95 79 78 77 76 143 143 143 143 1,145 1,145 1,145 1,145 193 193 193 193 397 397 397 397

74 95 76 143 1,145 193 397

74 95 76 143 1,145 193 397

74 95 76 143 1,145 193 397

European Union Policy Prices Cereal Intervention Rice Intervention White Sugar Intervention Sugar Beet Basic Price

101.3 315.9 631.9 47.7

101.3 315.9 631.9 47.7

101.3 315.9 631.9 47.7

101.3 315.9 631.9 47.7

101.3 315.9 631.9 47.7

101.3 315.9 631.9 47.7

101.3 315.9 631.9 47.7

101.3 315.9 631.9 47.7

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

14,438 10,843

14,438 10,843

14,438 10,843

(Thousand Metric Tons) 14,438 14,438 14,438 14,438 10,843 10,843 10,843 10,843

14,438 10,843

14,438 10,843

14,438 10,843

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

63.0

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

5,850 3,990 8,468 2,518 878 2,400

6,525 4,655 9,052 2,818 1,019 2,600

7,200 5,320 9,636 3,118 1,127 2,700

7,200 5,320 9,636 3,587 1,243 3,168

7,200 5,320 9,636 3,587 1,243 3,168

7,200 5,320 9,636 3,587 1,243 3,168

7,200 5,320 9,636 3,587 1,243 3,168

1 77

1 74

1 71

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

Wheat - in quota Wheat - out quota

1 77

1 74

1 71

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

Rice - in quota Rice - out quota

1 77

1 74

1 71

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

1 68

Barley

15

13

12

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

Soybean Oil - in quota Soybean Oil - out quota

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

Rapeseed Oil - in quota Rapeseed Oil - out quota

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

Palm Oil - in quota Palm Oil - out quota

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

9 52

Cereals Compensatory Payment Subsidized Export Limits Wheat Coarse Grains Production Aid Oilseeds Set-aside Rate * Crops China Tariff Rate Quotas Corn Rice Wheat Soybean Oil Rapeseed Oil Palm Oil Tariffs Corn - in quota Corn - out quota

06/07

07/08

(Euro per Metric Ton) 101.3 101.3 315.9 315.9 631.9 631.9 47.7 47.7 63.0

63.0

(Euro per Ton) 63.0 63.0 (Percent) 10

10

(Thousand Metric Tons) 7,200 7,200 7,200 5,320 5,320 5,320 9,636 9,636 9,636 3,587 3,587 3,587 1,243 1,243 1,243 3,168 3,168 3,168

Sources: major sources are OECD 2001, and WTO various.

(Percent ad valorem) 1 1 68 68

Table A.2. Agricultural Policy Assumptions for Livestock and Dairy Products 2002

2003

2004

2005

2008

2009

2010

2011

1,560 1,510

1,560 1,510

1,560 1,510

1,560 1,510

1,560 1,510

1,560 1,510

1,560 1,510

1,560 1,510

Tariff Rate Quota Beef Pork Poultry

144 76 30

144 76 30

144 76 30

(Thousand Metric Tons) 144 144 144 76 76 76 30 30 30

144 76 30

144 76 30

144 76 30

144 76 30

GATT Maximum Subsidized Exports Beef Pork Poultry

822 444 286

822 444 286

822 444 286

822 444 286

822 444 286

822 444 286

822 444 286

822 444 286

822 444 286

Milk Delivery Quota: E-15

119

119

119

119

(Million Metric Tons) 120 120

120

120

120

120

310 3,282 2,055

310 3,282 2,055

310 3,282 2,055

301 3,118 1,952

(Euro per Metric Ton) 284 266 2,954 2,790 1,850 1,747

257 2,790 1,747

257 2,790 1,747

257 2,790 1,747

257 2,790 1,747

399 273 321 958

399 273 321 958

399 273 321 958

399 273 321 958

399 273 321 958

399 273 321 958

399 273 321 958

Japan Beef Pork Poultry

39 4 9

39 4 9

39 4 9

39 4 9

39 4 9

39 4 9

39 4 9

39 4 9

China Beef Pork Poultry Lamb-Mutton Egg

34 17 17 20 23

23 15 13 18 22

12 12 10 15 20

12 12 10 15 20

12 12 10 15 20

12 12 10 15 20

12 12 10 15 20

12 12 10 15 20

12 12 10 15 20

12 12 10 15 20

South Korea Beef Pork Broiler

41 25 20

41 25 20

40 25 20

40 25 20

40 25 20

40 25 20

40 25 20

40 25 20

40 25 20

40 25 20

Philippines Beef Pork Poultry

44 30 45

42 30 45

40 30 45

40 30 45

40 30 45

40 30 45

40 30 45

40 30 45

40 30 45

40 30 45

European Union Policy Prices Safety Net Intervention Pork Basic

Target Price for Milk Intervention Price for Butter Intervention Price for SMP GATT Maximum Subsidized Exports Butter SMP Cheese Other Milk Products

2006

2007

(Euro per Metric Ton) 1,560 1,510

822 444 286

1,560 1,510

(Thousand Metric Tons) 399 399 399 273 273 273 321 321 321 958 958 958

Import Tariffs

Sources: major sources are OECD 2001, and WTO various.

(Percent ad valorem) 39 39 4 4 9 9

Table A.3. Wh heat Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

130.98 3.8 2.90%

133.09 5.5 4.16%

137.41 6.1 4.45%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

89,345 5,445.0 6.09%

91,166 9,539.8 10.46%

ountries Exports of Selected Cou Argentina 13,619 Baseline 16.4 Change 0.12% % chg Australia Baseline Change % chg Canada Baseline Change % chg

08/09

09/10

10/11

138.10 7.4 5.39%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 142.66 144.79 148.05 6.2 7.7 6.9 4.32% 5.34% 4.63%

150.12 8.1 5.37%

154.39 7.9 5.12%

156.22 9.3 5.97%

6.89 4.77%

94,140 8,918.7 9.47%

97,724 8,257.8 8.45%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 100,537 103,208 105,882 8,273.9 8,149.0 8,159.7 8.23% 7.90% 7.71%

108,856 7,995.8 7.35%

112,441 7,913.4 7.04%

115,312 7,634.3 6.62%

8,028.73 7.93%

14,507 84.4 0.58%

15,048 275.3 1.83%

15,608 230.7 1.48%

15,937 328.1 2.06%

16,503 241.9 1.47%

16,903 353.7 2.09%

17,400 293.4 1.69%

17,808 372.7 2.09%

18,354 351.3 1.91%

254.80 1.53%

16,743 47.6 0.28%

16,812 2.0 0.01%

17,108 92.1 0.54%

17,528 79.3 0.45%

17,954 94.0 0.52%

18,342 78.9 0.43%

18,703 96.0 0.51%

19,103 86.6 0.45%

19,518 94.8 0.49%

19,954 91.1 0.46%

76.25 0.41%

17,595 122.6 0.70%

17,645 213.1 1.21%

17,968 239.7 1.33%

18,135 303.9 1.68%

18,348 262.6 1.43%

18,490 290.2 1.57%

18,663 253.4 1.36%

18,753 284.4 1.52%

18,854 286.1 1.52%

18,906 338.3 1.79%

259.43 1.41%

11,525 5,225.0 45.34%

12,727 6,769.1 53.19%

13,691 5,925.6 43.28%

15,749 5,773.6 36.66%

16,586 6,383.0 38.49%

17,574 6,517.9 37.09%

18,478 6,912.3 37.41%

19,944 6,947.6 34.84%

21,519 7,055.4 32.79%

22,756 6,924.1 30.43%

6,443.37 38.95%

Hungary Baseline Change % chg

2,035 18.6 0.91%

2,006 78.2 3.90%

1,991 64.4 3.23%

2,013 40.8 2.03%

2,041 33.5 1.64%

2,072 21.5 1.04%

2,099 12.0 0.57%

2,126 5.8 0.27%

2,157 8.3 0.38%

2,189 11.2 0.51%

29.43 1.45%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

763 70.5 9.25%

695 -22.9 -3.30%

964 116.5 12.08%

990 69.0 6.97%

1,184 19.3 1.63%

1,291 -13.3 -1.03%

1,451 -18.2 -1.26%

1,527 11.9 0.78%

1,693 57.6 3.40%

1,742 140.3 8.05%

43.06 3.66%

Ukraine Baseline Change % chg

2,570 -98.8 -3.84%

2,551 -88.4 -3.46%

2,822 -91.6 -3.24%

3,019 -127.6 -4.23%

3,120 -129.6 -4.15%

3,191 -144.2 -4.52%

3,242 -149.7 -4.62%

3,282 -152.6 -4.65%

3,376 -142.2 -4.21%

3,479 -262.6 -7.55%

-138.71 -4.45%

United States Baseline Change % chg

23,840 139.8 0.59%

23,613 2,573.6 10.90%

23,983 2,340.1 9.76%

24,122 1,922.4 7.97%

24,830 1,317.5 5.31%

25,226 1,190.8 4.72%

25,843 742.5 2.87%

26,241 557.4 2.12%

27,041 214.9 0.79%

27,472 68.8 0.25%

1,106.78 4.53%

untries Imports of Selected Cou Japan 5,326 Baseline -58.8 Change -1.10% % chg

5,327 -37.5 -0.70%

5,326 -67.4 -1.27%

5,323 -65.8 -1.24%

5,319 -73.4 -1.38%

5,313 -74.7 -1.41%

5,305 -77.1 -1.45%

5,295 -78.5 -1.48%

5,283 -82.4 -1.56%

5,268 -86.1 -1.63%

-70.17 -1.32%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

11/12 Average

China Baseline Change % chg

1,343 -54.9 -4.09%

2,303 -343.9 -14.93%

4,478 -590.9 -13.20%

5,336 -701.9 -13.16%

5,700 -585.9 -10.28%

5,465 -523.9 -9.59%

5,413 -420.8 -7.77%

5,084 -345.2 -6.79%

5,851 -217.8 -3.72%

5,340 -164.1 -3.07%

-394.95 -8.66%

India Baseline Change % chg

-3,093 2,484.2 -80.31%

-2,724 4,782.1 -175.5%

-2,449 4,736.9 -193.5%

-2,245 4,406.8 -196.3%

-1,531 4,183.4 -273.3%

-1,087 4,019.5 -369.7%

-513 3,788.8 -739.2%

122 3,618.1 2953.7%

707 3,385.8 479.1%

1,295 3,161.7 244.10%

3,856.73 164.90%

Table A.4. Wh heat Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12 Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

17,512 0.0 0.00%

18,311 53.0 0.29%

18,809 234.4 1.25%

19,365 182.5 0.94%

19,696 283.8 1.44%

20,270 194.9 0.96%

20,678 307.8 1.49%

21,184 241.1 1.14%

21,591 315.2 1.46%

22,141 283.1 1.28%

209.57 1.02%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,950 -5.8 -0.15%

3,820 -25.0 -0.65%

3,775 -38.5 -1.02%

3,762 -44.2 -1.17%

3,773 -47.3 -1.25%

3,776 -42.9 -1.14%

3,786 -47.9 -1.26%

3,792 -49.0 -1.29%

3,797 -57.6 -1.52%

3,795 -64.1 -1.69%

-42.24 -1.12%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

25,745 0.0 0.00%

26,338 119.0 0.45%

26,933 282.4 1.05%

27,402 335.7 1.23%

27,535 432.2 1.57%

27,862 386.0 1.39%

28,068 440.8 1.57%

28,323 402.8 1.42%

28,491 442.2 1.55%

28,823 435.5 1.51%

327.67 1.17%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

8,359 7.9 0.09%

8,547 -0.2 0.00%

8,710 60.1 0.69%

8,949 66.2 0.74%

9,098 117.8 1.29%

9,250 128.6 1.39%

9,337 159.6 1.71%

9,480 150.9 1.59%

9,630 155.9 1.62%

9,828 142.1 1.45%

98.88 1.06%

105,143 6,250.3 5.94%

107,010 6,856.1 6.41%

108,194 5,505.9 5.09%

109,563 5,154.8 4.70%

111,227 4,934.2 4.44%

112,780 4,624.2 4.10%

114,131 4,310.8 3.78%

115,434 4,158.0 3.60%

117,126 3,896.5 3.33%

118,560 3,741.5 3.16%

4,943.22 4.45%

92,729 561.6 0.61%

93,049 245.8 0.26%

94,613 -429.8 -0.45%

94,341 -592.9 -0.63%

94,588 -1,257.1 -1.33%

94,758 -1,700.8 -1.79%

95,336 -2,371.3 -2.49%

95,424 -2,636.5 -2.76%

95,479 -3,034.1 -3.18%

95,579 -3,134.3 -3.28%

-1,434.96 -1.50%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

105,357 0.0 0.00%

105,436 255.3 0.24%

107,919 708.9 0.66%

110,447 567.2 0.51%

111,415 617.0 0.55%

112,953 408.5 0.36%

113,467 474.9 0.42%

114,454 354.3 0.31%

115,317 373.8 0.32%

116,813 257.4 0.22%

401.73 0.36%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

113,439 -48.6 -0.04%

114,043 -257.0 -0.23%

114,464 -138.7 -0.12%

115,570 -137.5 -0.12%

116,217 39.7 0.03%

117,270 -17.2 -0.01%

118,063 70.9 0.06%

118,967 73.5 0.06%

119,530 190.2 0.16%

120,443 156.6 0.13%

-6.81 -0.01%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

67,635 0.0 0.00%

68,744 -3,101.1 -4.51%

69,509 -2,968.6 -4.27%

70,876 -2,903.5 -4.10%

71,018 -2,519.5 -3.55%

71,878 -2,612.4 -3.63%

72,378 -2,292.1 -3.17%

73,062 -2,315.3 -3.17%

73,510 -2,056.4 -2.80%

74,309 -2,003.6 -2.70%

-2,277.25 -3.19%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

66,049 2,137.9 3.24%

67,193 1,740.3 2.59%

67,919 1,805.9 2.66%

69,254 1,553.4 2.24%

70,187 1,657.0 2.36%

71,415 1,454.4 2.04%

72,465 1,495.3 2.06%

73,734 1,339.8 1.82%

74,775 1,339.3 1.79%

76,095 1,195.3 1.57%

1,571.85 2.24%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

58,157 0.0 0.00%

59,107 2,976.8 5.04%

59,362 2,468.6 4.16%

60,417 1,703.5 2.82%

60,941 1,584.9 2.60%

62,007 1,061.8 1.71%

62,693 969.6 1.55%

63,706 484.4 0.76%

64,385 346.7 0.54%

65,409 -56.1 -0.09%

1,154.02 1.91%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

34,997 269.2 0.77%

35,664 -70.9 -0.20%

35,687 132.8 0.37%

36,300 -7.2 -0.02%

36,334 265.6 0.73%

36,828 34.2 0.09%

36,990 234.7 0.63%

37,502 71.4 0.19%

37,524 169.7 0.45%

37,969 18.6 0.05%

111.82 0.31%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.5. Corrn Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

World Price Baseline Change % chg

99 5.0 5.06%

101 2.7 2.67%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

64,307 1,380.9 2.15%

Exports of Selected Coun untries Argentina Baseline 7,496 Change 41.3 % chg 0.55%

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12 Average

103 5.5 5.34%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 104 105 107 108 5.2 6.0 6.3 6.7 5.02% 5.73% 5.85% 6.21%

110 7.1 6.45%

111 7.7 6.97%

113 8.4 7.42%

6.06 5.67%

66,829 5,947.4 8.90%

68,934 5,902.6 8.56%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 71,488 74,091 76,597 78,123 5,206.4 4,576.6 3,702.4 2,718.4 7.28% 6.18% 4.83% 3.48%

80,264 1,901 2.37%

82,067 1,771 2.16%

83,735 1,897 2.27%

3,500.32 4.82%

8,814 288.8 3.28%

9,433 142.5 1.51%

9,958 233.2 2.34%

10,431 187.8 1.80%

10,554 205.2 1.94%

10,754 227.7 2.12%

10,825 294.8 2.72%

10,929 387.0 3.54%

11,052 504.0 4.56%

251.22 2.44%

Hungary Baseline Change % chg

2,112 -197.1 -9.33%

2,224 -554.2 -24.92%

2,217 -823.0 -37.12%

2,212 -973.5 -44.00%

2,196 -1,054.7 -48.02%

2,163 -1,095.8 -50.66%

2,129 -1,122.8 -52.74%

2,086 -1,119.9 -53.69%

2,056 -1,093.6 -53.18%

2,031 -1,057.0 -52.04%

-909.14 -42.57%

South Africa Baseline Change % chg

1,373 165.1 12.03%

1,377 69.9 5.08%

1,524 189.9 12.46%

1,737 173.7 10.00%

1,996 216.4 10.84%

2,287 229.0 10.01%

2,541 252.9 9.96%

2,791 269.6 9.66%

3,027 297.2 9.82%

3,255 320.7 9.85%

218.44 9.97%

United States Baseline Change % chg

51,856 831.5 1.60%

52,695 5,594.4 10.62%

53,973 5,678.9 10.52%

55,859 4,828.2 8.64%

57,817 4,120.0 7.13%

60,063 3,159.0 5.26%

61,285 2,132.0 3.48%

63,247 1,168 1.85%

64,781 824 1.27%

66,169 767 1.16%

2,910.37 5.15%

Imports of Selected Coun ntries Canada 1,918 Baseline -60.9 Change -3.17% % chg

1,886 1.7 0.09%

2,056 52.9 2.57%

2,332 106.2 4.55%

2,549 154.9 6.08%

2,752 199.2 7.24%

2,867 228.6 7.97%

3,082 231.8 7.52%

3,359 223.3 6.65%

3,627 213.3 5.88%

135.10 4.54%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

2,127 614.8 28.9%

2,176 2,513.5 115.5%

2,212 2,351.9 106.3%

2,184 2,161.2 99.0%

2,183 2,148.7 98.4%

2,149 1,967.7 91.6%

2,131 1,556.1 73.0%

2,104 1,158.3 55.1%

2,110 1,186.2 56.2%

2,114 1,539.3 72.8%

1,719.78 79.68%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

15,162 630.3 4.16%

15,183 503.7 3.32%

15,040 249.6 1.66%

15,026 152.9 1.02%

15,076 91.4 0.61%

15,196 108.0 0.71%

15,271 118.8 0.78%

15,301 115.3 0.75%

15,284 63.6 0.42%

15,315 3.6 0.02%

203.71 1.34%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

-1,605 -280.2 17.46%

-1,383 -94.0 6.80%

-1,331 -86.7 6.52%

-1,184 -154.2 13.03%

-1,033 -150.6 14.57%

-926 -196.7 21.24%

-667 -176.7 26.5%

-581 -213.3 36.72%

-419 -233.8 55.76%

-383 -275.5 71.95%

-186.17 27.05%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

5,652 1,118.4 19.79%

5,658 2,207.0 39.01%

5,780 1,869.7 32.35%

5,950 1,471.2 24.73%

6,087 1,082.7 17.79%

6,263 688.9 11.00%

6,461 302.9 4.69%

6,707 79.3 1.18%

6,911 91.8 1.33%

7,153 89.7 1.25%

900.14 15.31%

China Baseline Change % chg

1,105 -313.8 -28.4%

2,474 1,469.1 59.38%

3,317 2,283.1 68.83%

4,125 2,418.7 58.64%

5,574 2,384.1 42.77%

6,627 2,283.2 34.5%

6,708 2,185.9 32.59%

7,171 2,175.3 30.33%

7,278 2,220.8 30.51%

7,462 2,252.3 30.18%

1,935.86 35.93%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

4,748 -145.8 -3.07%

4,811 -48.1 -1.00%

4,791 -133.5 -2.79%

4,803 -116.2 -2.42%

4,837 -144.8 -2.99%

4,900 -169.9 -3.47%

4,969 -204.4 -4.11%

5,000 -229.3 -4.59%

5,017 -240.0 -4.78%

5,036 -240.6 -4.78%

-167.26 -3.40%

Table A.6. Corrn Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12 Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

11,770 -15.9 -0.13%

13,086 272.2 2.08%

13,775 172.1 1.25%

14,388 351.6 2.44%

14,957 387.7 2.59%

15,168 468.2 3.09%

15,457 515.5 3.34%

15,582 570.6 3.66%

15,728 623.7 3.97%

15,879 693.9 4.37%

403.96 2.66%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

4,329 -32.3 -0.75%

4,305 -20.6 -0.48%

4,358 42.3 0.97%

4,442 120.9 2.72%

4,539 204.9 4.51%

4,629 265.7 5.74%

4,711 290.9 6.17%

4,769 278.7 5.84%

4,811 241.0 5.01%

4,840 194.4 4.02%

158.57 3.38%

Hungary Production Baseline Change % chg

7,571 0.0 0.00%

7,735 -464.0 -6.00%

7,804 -763.0 -9.78%

7,817 -871.8 -11.15%

7,823 -935.1 -11.95%

7,824 -951.3 -12.16%

7,828 -956.3 -12.22%

7,831 -944.0 -12.05%

7,841 -929.0 -11.85%

7,849 -908.2 -11.57%

-772.27 -9.87%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

5,321 106.5 2.00%

5,452 62.2 1.14%

5,554 64.1 1.15%

5,589 104.0 1.86%

5,616 124.0 2.21%

5,653 147.8 2.61%

5,692 170.3 2.99%

5,740 179.0 3.12%

5,779 167.8 2.90%

5,813 151.9 2.61%

127.76 2.26%

Mexico Production Baseline Change % chg

18,860 0.0 0.00%

19,374 -1,335.3 -6.89%

19,739 -1,196.7 -6.06%

20,029 -930.8 -4.65%

20,340 -691.8 -3.40%

20,674 -425.2 -2.06%

21,019 -158.3 -0.75%

21,313 120.1 0.56%

21,660 128.3 0.59%

21,981 141.9 0.65%

-434.78 -2.20%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

24,560 922.0 3.75%

25,038 896.2 3.58%

25,508 720.0 2.82%

25,971 577.1 2.22%

26,423 429.5 1.63%

26,935 299.4 1.11%

27,468 179.8 0.65%

28,016 200.1 0.71%

28,563 221.6 0.78%

29,129 233.0 0.80%

467.88 1.81%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

39,183 1,698.6 4.33%

40,200 -1,367.7 -3.40%

40,353 -1,289.5 -3.20%

40,567 -1,801.5 -4.44%

40,878 -1,841.1 -4.50%

41,652 -2,291.5 -5.50%

41,930 -2,144.6 -5.11%

42,167 -2,172.3 -5.15%

42,364 -2,018.1 -4.76%

42,959 -2,326.5 -5.42%

-1,555.42 -3.72%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

41,351 1,857.7 4.49%

42,085 1,271.0 3.02%

42,505 1,031.2 2.43%

42,859 448.4 1.05%

42,856 324.2 0.76%

43,396 -205.7 -0.47%

43,774 -517.4 -1.18%

44,184 -917.4 -2.08%

44,231 -843.9 -1.91%

44,325 -789.9 -1.78%

165.81 0.43%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

119,443 0.0 0.00%

122,440 -571.4 -0.47%

124,984 -1,614.1 -1.29%

129,403 -1,637.0 -1.27%

131,434 -1,810.0 -1.38%

133,640 -1,657.5 -1.24%

136,490 -1,704.2 -1.25%

138,636 -1,541.8 -1.11%

141,102 -1,647.6 -1.17%

143,410 -1,627.0 -1.13%

-1,381.06 -1.03%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

126,464 -404.6 -0.32%

129,060 759.3 0.59%

131,772 671.5 0.51%

134,420 761.9 0.57%

137,372 576.5 0.42%

140,101 635.8 0.45%

143,028 500.7 0.35%

145,718 619.0 0.42%

148,301 562.9 0.38%

150,769 625.3 0.41%

530.82 0.38%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

250,384 0.0 0.00%

256,021 13,500.6 5.27%

261,505 265,741 9,147.1 10,285.2 3.50% 3.87%

270,455 8,630.3 3.19%

275,225 8,428.3 3.06%

280,369 7,156.0 2.55%

284,217 6,471.3 2.28%

289,264 5,725.6 1.98%

292,933 5,843.1 1.99%

7,518.74 2.77%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

201,851 1,766.3 0.88%

204,158 5,616.2 2.75%

207,492 4,594.2 2.21%

212,785 4,947.1 2.32%

215,397 5,392.2 2.50%

218,875 5,351.9 2.45%

221,254 5,524.9 2.50%

224,502 5,224.3 2.33%

227,044 5,270.6 2.32%

4,903.72 2.28%

209,939 5,349.6 2.55%

Table A.7. Ric ce Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

World Price Baseline Change % chg

180.64 13.3 7.38%

185.84 20.5 11.01%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

19,307 4,672.6 24.20%

ountries Exports of Selected Cou China Baseline 1,493 Change 3,510.1 % chg 235.03% India Baseline Change % chg

1,999 607.0 30.37%

05/06

06/07

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

191.30 19.1 9.98%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 196.88 202.25 207.69 213.35 21.8 20.6 22.7 22.4 11.09% 10.19% 10.94% 10.49%

219.10 23.5 10.71%

225.17 23.5 10.46%

231.57 25.3 10.91%

21.27 10.32%

18,526 5,567.4 30.05%

18,620 5,567.8 29.90%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 19,010 19,437 19,974 20,585 5,843.5 5,850.1 6,039.7 6,028.0 30.74% 30.10% 30.24% 29.28%

21,658 6,196.3 28.61%

22,525 6,325.8 28.08%

23,849 6,489.7 27.21%

5,858.08 28.84%

1,348 5,340.9 396%

1,303 4,689.8 360.0%

1,339 5,508.6 411.5%

1,463 5,176.7 353.7%

1,815 5,448.5 300%

2,183 5,588.0 255.94%

2,699 5,858.3 217.0%

5,175.77 330.69%

1,331 1,064 1,073 1,052 1,204 1,355 1,419.3 1,752.8 1,343.4 1,480.7 1,392.1 1,545.7 106.65% 164.71% 125.15% 140.78% 115.61% 114.08%

1,657 1,403.4 84.71%

1,709 1,339.7 78.40%

2,027 1,180.4 58.2%

1,346.45 101.87%

1,387 5,178.6 373.4%

07/08

1,352 5,458.2 403.7%

Average

Myanmar (Burma) Baseline Change % chg

756 0.0 0.00%

751 28.5 3.80%

755 55.4 7.34%

762 65.1 8.55%

770 75.5 9.81%

780 78.5 10.07%

790 83.4 10.55%

801 84.2 10.52%

814 85.4 10.49%

829 84.7 10.2%

64.08 8.14%

Thailand Baseline Change % chg

7,226 139.0 1.92%

7,317 384.8 5.26%

7,571 611.3 8.07%

7,885 590.2 7.48%

8,136 643.1 7.90%

8,385 634.0 7.56%

8,642 672.6 7.78%

8,983 678.0 7.55%

9,315 698.5 7.50%

9,663 708.6 7.3%

576.00 6.84%

3,156 200.8 6.4%

3,117 -3,461.2 -111.1%

3,050 2,980 -3,668.4 -3,917.3 -120.3% -131.4%

2,921 -3,769.6 -129.0%

2,839 -3,791.5 -133.6%

2,753 -3,725.7 -135.3%

2,666 -3,686.1 -138.3%

2,578 -3,653.8 -141.7%

2,479 -3,636.7 -146.7%

-3,310.94 -118.10%

3,873 362.3 9.36%

3,877 882.7 22.77%

4,145 1,154.6 27.85%

4,316 1,191.9 27.62%

4,529 1,218.1 26.90%

4,659 1,247.4 26.77%

4,778 1,256.9 26.31%

4,921 1,271.5 25.84%

5,106 1,307.5 25.6%

1,098.85 24.59%

Imports of Selected Cou ountries Brazil Baseline 386 Change -119.0 % chg -30.8%

278 -257.3 -92.5%

237 209 -310.8 -350.4 -131.3% -167.7%

190 -356.7 -187.9%

176 -374.8 -213%

166 -380.3 -230%

158 -390.9 -248%

151 -395.9 -263%

143 -413.0 -289%

-334.91 -185.29%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

474 1,704.7 360%

509 2,032.0 399%

562 2,003.0 356%

569 1,975.9 347%

581 1,965.2 338%

596 1,948.5 327%

605 1,939.6 321%

619 1,927.6 311%

636 1,918.3 302%

653 1,904.3 292%

1,931.93 335%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

805 534.6 66.43%

651 897.3 137.8%

575 989.8 172.2%

504 1,014.4 201.4%

437 1,025.9 234.8%

372 1,022.2 274.8%

306 1,016.8 332.7%

237 1,010.1 426.6%

160 1,006.9 630.7%

68 1,000.1 1465%

951.81 394.23%

Philippines Baseline Change % chg

688 651.6 94.65%

727 765 833.0 881.5 114.59% 115.21%

803 882.5 110%

840 911.2 108%

877 921.8 105%

914 944.3 103%

950 961.7 101%

985 986.0 100%

1,020 999.6 98.0%

897.31 105.06%

64 879.2 1383.80%

41 85 1,124.9 1,157.5 2733.6% 1365.5%

135 1,154.8 855.5%

155 1,156.4 744.6%

174 1,169.2 670.1%

177 192 1,173.2 1,186.4 661.8% 616.46%

195 1,195.3 611.87%

205 1,208.2 589.6%

1,140.50 1023.28%

United States Baseline Change % chg Vietnam Baseline Change % chg

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

4,075 1,095.5 26.88%

Table A.8. Ric ce Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

China Production Baseline Change % chg

130,044 1,281.3 0.99%

131,879 2,060.2 1.56%

133,046 1,904.8 1.43%

134,103 2,210.3 1.65%

134,763 2,151.0 1.60%

135,350 2,276.8 1.68%

135,993 2,228.6 1.64%

136,801 2,356.5 1.72%

137,597 2,440.3 1.77%

138,444 2,565.5 1.85%

1,890.99 1.40%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

132,443 -1,698 -1.28%

131,393 -2,887 -2.20%

132,018 -2,838 -2.15%

132,734 -3,203 -2.41%

133,779 -3,121 -2.33%

134,680 -3,152 -2.34%

135,297 -3,010 -2.23%

135,431 -3,086 -2.28%

135,413 -3,172 -2.34%

135,161 -3,259 -2.41%

-2,617 -1.96%

Thailand Production Baseline Change % chg

17,241 0.0 0.00%

17,425 179.7 1.03%

17,711 427.5 2.41%

18,037 379.7 2.11%

18,288 448.3 2.45%

18,533 419.4 2.26%

18,781 465.1 2.48%

19,109 462.7 2.42%

19,419 486.6 2.51%

19,735 484.0 2.45%

326.91 1.77%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

10,115 -128.1 -1.27%

10,132 -197.1 -1.95%

10,147 -183.3 -1.81%

10,156 -208.4 -2.05%

10,155 -195.5 -1.93%

10,150 -213.4 -2.10%

10,140 -207.8 -2.05%

10,127 -214.8 -2.12%

10,104 -212.2 -2.10%

10,072 -223.8 -2.22%

-176.07 -1.74%

Vietnam Production Baseline Change % chg

20,925 0.0 0.00%

21,253 303.6 1.43%

21,582 563.0 2.61%

21,869 563.8 2.58%

22,214 629.9 2.84%

22,600 607.8 2.69%

22,969 651.3 2.84%

23,308 642.2 2.76%

23,649 659.1 2.79%

24,008 656.1 2.73%

462.07 2.05%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

17,191 -362.3 -2.11%

17,308 -562.5 -3.25%

17,487 -523.7 -2.99%

17,702 -592.9 -3.35%

17,875 -559.3 -3.13%

18,074 -612.1 -3.39%

18,311 -594.2 -3.25%

18,530 -615.8 -3.32%

18,728 -611.8 -3.27%

18,904 -651.9 -3.45%

-503.47 -2.81%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

89,078 0.0 0.00%

89,738 135.5 0.15%

90,927 1,177.3 1.29%

91,998 548.5 0.60%

93,218 847.6 0.91%

94,402 688.3 0.73%

95,518 887.0 0.93%

96,760 792.9 0.82%

97,902 808.6 0.83%

99,029 684.5 0.69%

588.57 0.63%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

87,370 -308.8 -0.35%

88,739 -1,122.4 -1.26%

90,260 -598.6 -0.66%

90,903 -749.0 -0.82%

92,211 -667.5 -0.72%

93,229 -667.8 -0.72%

94,183 -676.4 -0.72%

95,127 -598.1 -0.63%

96,218 -539.9 -0.56%

97,030 -472.5 -0.49%

-592.84 -0.65%

5,855 0 0.0%

6,001 -3,377 -56.3%

6,034 -2,584 -42.8%

6,073 -2,850 -46.9%

6,119 -2,607 -42.6%

6,141 -2,691 -43.8%

6,166 -2,621 -42.5%

6,192 -2,599 -42.0%

6,215 -2,592 -41.7%

6,229 -2,517 -40.4%

-2,192 -35.86%

3,802 -97.6 -2.57%

3,886 -95.6 -2.46%

3,968 -90.4 -2.28%

4,051 -91.9 -2.27%

4,132 -89.3 -2.16%

4,213 -89.2 -2.12%

4,296 -88.4 -2.06%

4,379 -87.1 -1.99%

4,461 -86.7 -1.94%

4,544 -43.0 -0.95%

-81.61 -1.98%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.9. Soy ybean Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

World Price Baseline Change % chg

160 3.7 2.31%

163 6.2 3.79%

169 6.7 3.98%

174 6.8 3.91%

199 5.2 2.62%

206 4.9 2.39%

211 5.7 2.72%

5.74 3.14%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

54,734 -671.4 -1.23%

55,871 -352.9 -0.63%

57,289 -368.4 -0.64%

58,814 -412.3 -0.70%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 60,299 61,923 63,461 -320.5 -156.6 42.1 -0.53% -0.25% 0.07%

65,074 224.1 0.34%

66,667 331.1 0.50%

68,479 459.5 0.67%

-122.53 -0.24%

untries Exports of Selected Cou Argentina Baseline 7,814 Change 179.3 % chg 2.30%

8,057 1,182.3 14.67%

8,346 1,347.3 16.14%

8,663 1,319.5 15.23%

8,941 1,343.1 15.02%

9,253 1,313.8 14.20%

9,587 1,315.4 13.72%

9,904 1,303.0 13.16%

10,214 1,289.2 12.62%

10,608 1,302.0 12.27%

1,189.49 12.93%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

18,734 -747.8 -3.99%

19,281 1,114.0 5.78%

20,054 1,177.2 5.87%

21,109 1,156.4 5.48%

22,080 1,050.7 4.76%

23,189 1,023.8 4.41%

24,295 951.0 3.91%

25,357 919.4 3.63%

26,394 845.7 3.20%

27,504 902.3 3.28%

839.27 3.63%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

687 -20.2 -2.94%

682 -11.8 -1.73%

719 -12.7 -1.76%

751 -14.0 -1.87%

787 -19.2 -2.44%

817 -24.4 -2.99%

852 -31.1 -3.64%

885 -34.7 -3.92%

919 -39.5 -4.29%

951 -43.2 -4.54%

-25.08 -3.01%

United States Baseline Change % chg

27,499 -82.7 -0.30%

27,851 -2,637.4 -9.47%

28,169 -2,880.2 -10.22%

28,291 -2,874.2 -10.16%

28,490 -2,695.1 -9.46%

28,663 -2,469.8 -8.62%

28,727 -2,193.3 -7.63%

28,927 -1,963.6 -6.79%

29,140 -1,764.3 -6.05%

29,416 -1,701.5 -5.78%

-2,126.20 -7.45%

Imports of Selected Coun untries Eastern Europe Baseline 150 Change -27.1 % chg -18.02%

160 -46.1 -28.85%

160 -47.4 -29.62%

162 -46.4 -28.70%

163 -44.4 -27.27%

163 -40.6 -24.85%

164 -37.4 -22.78%

166 -34.8 -20.91%

168 -33.0 -19.60%

172 -30.8 -17.91%

-38.81 -23.85%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 181 188 194 6.3 6.1 5.7 3.49% 3.25% 2.94%

Average

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

249 -19.6 -7.88%

274 -17.5 -6.37%

280 -19.8 -7.06%

285 -17.0 -5.95%

292 -13.5 -4.61%

300 -7.6 -2.54%

306 -2.8 -0.91%

313 1.2 0.39%

320 4.3 1.35%

328 7.9 2.41%

-8.43 -3.12%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

5,108 -133.3 -2.61%

5,127 -122.4 -2.39%

5,115 -117.3 -2.29%

5,114 -116.7 -2.28%

5,115 -104.3 -2.04%

5,114 -92.4 -1.81%

5,113 -79.5 -1.56%

5,111 -70.3 -1.38%

5,102 -62.5 -1.23%

5,100 -55.3 -1.09%

-95.39 -1.87%

China Baseline Change % chg

15,043 -48.8 -0.32%

15,252 -28.3 -0.19%

16,022 -100.3 -0.63%

16,803 -62.4 -0.37%

17,472 -53.3 -0.31%

18,269 -19.4 -0.11%

18,980 10.6 0.06%

19,710 63.3 0.32%

20,508 74.0 0.36%

21,374 80.0 0.37%

-8.46 -0.08%

India Baseline Change % chg

0 -39.7 N/A

0 468.9 N/A

0 366.1 N/A

0 327.6 N/A

0 265.4 N/A

0 236.7 N/A

0 201.3 N/A

0 186.0 N/A

0 180.8 N/A

0 180.4 N/A

237.35 N/A

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

1,452 118.8 8.18%

1,461 102.4 7.01%

1,444 143.0 9.91%

1,443 141.5 9.81%

1,450 155.3 10.71%

1,458 167.5 11.49%

1,464 181.1 12.37%

1,471 189.9 12.91%

1,474 196.9 13.35%

1,485 204.9 13.80%

160.14 10.95%

2,312 -24.8 -1.07%

2,348 -49.9 -2.13%

2,323 -33.2 -1.43%

2,311 -33.6 -1.45%

2,306 -9.4 -0.41%

2,301 11.1 0.48%

2,296 33.9 1.48%

2,296 48.8 2.12%

2,286 61.3 2.68%

2,293 72.6 3.16%

7.69 0.34%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

Table A.10. So oybean Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

29,406 0.0 0.00%

29,899 1,055.4 3.53%

30,368 1,242.3 4.09%

30,889 1,228.7 3.98%

31,399 1,292.4 4.12%

31,939 1,306.2 4.09%

32,484 1,345.2 4.14%

33,012 1,359.8 4.12%

33,536 1,387.5 4.14%

34,073 1,429.5 4.20%

1,164.71 3.64%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

21,596 -176.5 -0.82%

21,844 -126.3 -0.58%

22,024 -104.8 -0.48%

22,228 -90.8 -0.41%

22,460 -50.7 -0.23%

22,688 -7.6 -0.03%

22,899 29.8 0.13%

23,111 56.8 0.25%

23,324 98.5 0.42%

23,466 127.7 0.54%

-24.41 -0.12%

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

44,756 0.0 0.00%

45,959 1,977.4 4.30%

47,376 2,079.4 4.39%

49,104 2,090.9 4.26%

50,752 2,027.8 4.00%

52,544 2,048.2 3.90%

54,330 2,014.5 3.71%

56,064 2,019.0 3.60%

57,774 1,983.0 3.43%

59,548 2,059.8 3.46%

1,830.00 3.50%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

26,030 759.0 2.92%

26,690 868.6 3.25%

27,339 903.2 3.30%

28,011 933.6 3.33%

28,690 975.6 3.40%

29,373 1,023.2 3.48%

30,050 1,061.8 3.53%

30,723 1,098.1 3.57%

31,396 1,138.1 3.62%

32,048 1,158.8 3.62%

992.00 3.40%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

79,698 0.0 0.00%

80,341 -2,937.9 -3.66%

81,105 -2,751.3 -3.39%

82,191 -2,692.6 -3.28%

83,270 -2,275.0 -2.73%

84,273 -1,919.3 -2.28%

85,250 -1,441.1 -1.69%

86,402 -1,087.0 -1.26%

87,407 -814.3 -0.93%

88,771 -753.4 -0.85%

-1,667.19 -2.01%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

51,418 528.5 1.03%

52,548 76.5 0.15%

53,332 187.7 0.35%

54,241 196.0 0.36%

55,161 367.7 0.67%

56,037 528.6 0.94%

56,884 711.4 1.25%

57,762 835.5 1.45%

58,645 939.6 1.60%

59,610 1,026.6 1.72%

539.81 0.95%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

1,012 34.5 3.40%

969 17.2 1.77%

964 15.6 1.61%

971 28.2 2.90%

979 21.6 2.21%

984 19.1 1.94%

992 10.2 1.02%

1,000 3.2 0.32%

1,006 -5.8 -0.58%

1,011 -11.9 -1.18%

13.18 1.34%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

19,684 -168.8 -0.86%

19,785 -299.7 -1.51%

19,744 -239.9 -1.22%

19,748 -243.0 -1.23%

19,802 -139.9 -0.71%

19,855 -54.7 -0.28%

19,919 40.9 0.21%

20,021 103.5 0.52%

20,062 156.5 0.78%

20,200 197.7 0.98%

-64.74 -0.33%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

15,024 -1.4 -0.01%

15,515 -94.7 -0.61%

15,438 6.6 0.04%

15,387 -26.3 -0.17%

15,450 -11.2 -0.07%

15,398 -36.9 -0.24%

15,444 -53.3 -0.35%

15,543 -97.0 -0.62%

15,598 -101.4 -0.65%

15,635 -117.8 -0.75%

-53.35 -0.34%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

30,159 -61.5 -0.20%

30,822 -98.1 -0.32%

31,461 -90.4 -0.29%

32,171 -90.0 -0.28%

32,868 -71.9 -0.22%

33,600 -60.4 -0.18%

34,388 -47.6 -0.14%

35,233 -38.7 -0.11%

36,094 -30.9 -0.09%

36,984 -32.9 -0.09%

-62.24 -0.19%

5,827 0.0 0.00%

5,931 -555.0 -9.36%

6,103 -540.6 -8.86%

6,261 -567.0 -9.06%

6,450 -585.9 -9.08%

6,628 -622.1 -9.39%

6,806 -645.0 -9.48%

6,977 -676.4 -9.70%

7,132 -696.7 -9.77%

7,299 -726.4 -9.95%

-561.51 -8.46%

5,827 -48.3 -0.83%

5,931 -86.0 -1.45%

6,102 -174.3 -2.86%

6,262 -239.5 -3.82%

6,450 -320.6 -4.97%

6,628 -385.4 -5.82%

6,806 -443.8 -6.52%

6,977 -490.5 -7.03%

7,132 -516.0 -7.23%

7,299 -545.9 -7.48%

-325.03 -4.80%

India Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.11. So oybean Meal Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

World Price Baseline Change % chg

170 2.5 1.44%

176 3.9 2.23%

182 5.3 2.89%

187 5.4 2.91%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

36,608 -151.5 -0.41%

37,301 -821.2 -2.20%

37,830 -1,183.4 -3.13%

38,363 -1,407.4 -3.67%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Argentina Baseline 16,445 Change -138.1 % chg -0.84%

16,632 -122.5 -0.74%

16,770 -110.1 -0.66%

16,928 -95.8 -0.57%

17,110 -63.3 -0.37%

17,287 -27.2 -0.16%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

10,911 296.1 2.71%

10,892 143.0 1.31%

10,930 49.1 0.45%

10,932 11.0 0.10%

10,956 -38.0 -0.35%

India Baseline Change % chg

2,434 -70.4 -2.89%

2,555 -8.0 -0.31%

2,668 37.8 1.42%

2,802 100.9 3.60%

United States Baseline Change % chg

6,883 -377.9 -5.49%

7,343 -912.1 -12.42%

7,575 -1,130.5 -14.92%

Imports of Selected Coun untries Eastern Europe Baseline 3,037 Change -85.6 % chg -2.82%

3,079 -213.7 -6.94%

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

211 10.6 5.05%

216 11.6 5.37%

220 14.1 6.42%

7.77 3.83%

40,311 -1,434.9 -3.56%

40,790 -1,432.5 -3.51%

41,378 -1,425.0 -3.44%

-1,212.73 -3.08%

17,449 1.6 0.01%

17,612 23.4 0.13%

17,777 58.0 0.33%

17,880 81.0 0.45%

-39.30 -0.24%

10,916 -93.5 -0.86%

10,820 -183.7 -1.70%

10,738 -248.4 -2.31%

10,636 -293.3 -2.76%

10,783 -351.2 -3.26%

-70.88 -0.67%

2,928 149.1 5.09%

3,054 192.8 6.31%

3,172 225.8 7.12%

3,280 242.6 7.40%

3,393 260.0 7.66%

0 106.2 3.25%

106.25 -3.25%

7,835 -1,284.7 -16.40%

8,091 -1,250.0 -15.45%

8,299 -1,143.7 -13.78%

8,554 -1,030.8 -12.05%

8,789 -984.1 -11.20%

9,098 -954.5 -10.49%

9,322 -894.8 -9.60%

-996.31 -12.18%

3,120 -237.0 -7.60%

3,137 -254.1 -8.10%

3,178 -256.2 -8.06%

3,214 -279.0 -8.68%

3,245 -293.3 -9.04%

3,288 -306.0 -9.31%

3,333 -295.2 -8.85%

3,387 -289.7 -8.55%

-250.98 -7.79%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 194 201 206 6.4 8.1 9.7 3.30% 4.05% 4.69% (Thousand Metric Tons) 38,960 39,431 39,876 -1,452.2 -1,413.5 -1,405.7 -3.73% -3.58% -3.53%

Average

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

523 18.2 3.49%

513 1.4 0.27%

510 -0.4 -0.08%

508 -2.7 -0.53%

503 -5.6 -1.10%

495 -13.4 -2.70%

490 -19.9 -4.07%

486 -24.2 -4.98%

484 -23.9 -4.94%

482 -22.8 -4.73%

-9.32 -1.94%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

811 29.4 3.63%

747 -21.0 -2.82%

723 -50.5 -6.99%

723 -56.6 -7.83%

733 -54.0 -7.36%

730 -55.7 -7.63%

729 -59.3 -8.14%

718 -70.7 -9.85%

714 -83.1 -11.64%

734 -96.1 -13.08%

-51.76 -7.17%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

1,157 15.9 1.37%

1,176 -38.2 -3.25%

1,200 -117.1 -9.76%

1,230 -176.9 -14.38%

1,301 -195.1 -14.99%

1,355 -183.7 -13.56%

1,398 -162.4 -11.61%

1,401 -163.2 -11.65%

1,427 -174.9 -12.26%

0 -117.6 -8.82%

-117.57 8.82%

China Baseline Change % chg

99 51.4 51.70%

205 98.7 48.13%

357 132.2 37.06%

473 160.8 34.03%

667 180.9 27.11%

839 212.1 25.28%

942 234.3 24.87%

1,008 250.6 24.85%

1,067 255.2 23.92%

1,117 255.2 22.86%

183.12 31.98%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

1,320 99.9 7.56%

1,255 68.5 5.45%

1,283 36.7 2.86%

1,343 32.7 2.44%

1,403 13.4 0.95%

1,469 -20.6 -1.41%

1,528 -53.2 -3.48%

1,583 -73.8 -4.66%

1,626 -77.3 -4.76%

1,670 -83.1 -4.98%

-5.70 0.00%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

83 -0.8 -0.9%

17 11.2 66.4%

23 -4.0 -17.7%

37 -9.7 -26.5%

48 -42.5 -88.8%

58 -75.1 -130.1%

58 -104.2 -178.3%

45 -117.3 -260.5%

41 -125.2 -306.0%

50 -139.0 -280.2%

-60.65 -122.27%

Table A.12. So oybean Meal Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

16,655 -142.9 -0.86%

16,849 -129.9 -0.77%

16,989 -117.2 -0.69%

17,147 -105.3 -0.61%

17,328 -74.3 -0.43%

17,505 -39.5 -0.23%

17,668 -10.1 -0.06%

17,832 11.7 0.07%

17,998 44.9 0.25%

18,106 67.7 0.37%

-49.50 -0.30%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

221 -3.0 -1.37%

223 -6.1 -2.72%

225 -6.4 -2.87%

225 -9.0 -3.99%

224 -9.8 -4.38%

224 -10.9 -4.85%

225 -10.5 -4.68%

225 -10.8 -4.81%

226 -11.5 -5.08%

228 -12.1 -5.29%

-9.00 -4.00%

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

19,125 601.2 3.14%

19,621 615.9 3.14%

20,101 640.3 3.19%

20,589 664.6 3.23%

21,087 700.5 3.32%

21,583 737.9 3.42%

22,076 770.1 3.49%

22,567 799.1 3.54%

23,060 832.6 3.61%

23,535 847.2 3.60%

720.94 3.37%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

8,216 306.6 3.73%

8,732 473.9 5.43%

9,174 591.7 6.45%

9,661 654.0 6.77%

10,135 739.4 7.30%

10,671 832.6 7.80%

11,259 954.7 8.48%

11,832 1,048.1 8.86%

12,427 1,127.1 9.07%

12,752 1,199.2 9.40%

792.72 7.33%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

37,122 483.0 1.30%

37,937 167.5 0.44%

38,497 251.4 0.65%

39,152 248.8 0.64%

39,836 370.7 0.93%

40,527 482.9 1.19%

41,205 612.8 1.49%

41,911 699.8 1.67%

42,589 776.7 1.82%

43,334 847.6 1.96%

494.12 1.21%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

30,207 857.0 2.84%

30,599 1,079.2 3.53%

30,924 1,382.9 4.47%

31,318 1,533.7 4.90%

31,748 1,622.2 5.11%

32,230 1,629.0 5.05%

32,652 1,645.7 5.04%

33,122 1,685.5 5.09%

33,492 1,732.4 5.17%

34,011 1,745.1 5.13%

1,491.27 4.63%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

14,704 -141.3 -0.96%

14,787 -237.3 -1.61%

14,763 -188.3 -1.28%

14,769 -194.9 -1.32%

14,815 -111.0 -0.75%

14,862 -42.4 -0.29%

14,916 36.3 0.24%

15,000 88.0 0.59%

15,035 132.6 0.88%

15,147 168.0 1.11%

-49.04 -0.34%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

29,816 -646.0 -2.17%

30,200 -969.9 -3.21%

30,260 -1,295.8 -4.28%

30,331 -1,524.7 -5.03%

30,378 -1,525.5 -5.02%

30,329 -1,339.2 -4.42%

30,329 -1,194.5 -3.94%

30,400 -1,101.9 -3.62%

30,510 -1,072.5 -3.52%

30,706 -986.8 -3.21%

-1,165.68 -3.84%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

17,599 -55.5 -0.32%

17,977 -69.8 -0.39%

18,317 -62.7 -0.34%

18,706 -62.5 -0.33%

19,065 -52.2 -0.27%

19,442 -45.1 -0.23%

19,888 -37.8 -0.19%

20,393 -33.6 -0.16%

20,918 -29.9 -0.14%

21,455 -27.5 -0.13%

-47.65 -0.25%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

17,699 -4.1 -0.02%

18,182 28.8 0.16%

18,673 69.5 0.37%

19,179 98.3 0.51%

19,732 128.7 0.65%

20,281 167.0 0.82%

20,830 196.5 0.94%

21,401 217.0 1.01%

21,985 225.3 1.02%

22,572 227.7 1.01%

135.48 0.65%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

3,893 -54.4 -1.40%

3,962 -54.4 -1.37%

4,084 -113.2 -2.77%

4,200 -159.2 -3.79%

4,337 -220.3 -5.08%

4,467 -268.7 -6.02%

4,596 -312.9 -6.81%

4,720 -347.9 -7.37%

4,833 -366.7 -7.59%

4,955 -388.6 -7.84%

-228.62 -5.00%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,524 -122.7 -8.05%

1,528 -124.7 -8.16%

1,529 -121.3 -7.93%

1,532 -121.3 -7.92%

1,535 -119.3 -7.77%

1,538 -119.5 -7.77%

1,542 -120.1 -7.79%

1,548 -122.1 -7.88%

1,553 -124.1 -7.99%

1,562 -128.6 -8.23%

-122.38 -7.95%

Table A.13. So oybean Oil Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

09/10

10/11

11/12

World Price Baseline Change % chg

347 28.8 8.30%

348 32.4 9.32%

356 33.1 9.30%

364 33.1 9.07%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 373 383 396 30.7 26.7 23.1 8.25% 6.97% 5.85%

408 20.1 4.91%

422 17.9 4.23%

437 15.6 3.56%

26.16 6.98%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

7,118 356.7 5.01%

7,253 277.8 3.83%

7,376 302.2 4.10%

7,508 306.1 4.08%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 7,647 7,781 7,903 341.1 368.6 404.2 4.46% 4.74% 5.11%

8,027 429.4 5.35%

8,157 456.1 5.59%

8,287 474.1 5.72%

371.62 4.80%

untries Exports of Selected Cou Argentina Baseline 3,549 Change -31.2 % chg -0.88%

3,590 -27.4 -0.76%

3,620 -25.3 -0.70%

3,654 -22.5 -0.61%

3,694 -16.5 -0.45%

3,732 -9.0 -0.24%

3,768 -3.2 -0.08%

3,804 1.4 0.04%

3,841 8.3 0.22%

3,863 13.3 0.34%

-11.21 -0.31%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

1,366 175.9 12.88%

1,430 172.3 12.05%

1,502 176.8 11.77%

1,571 179.2 11.41%

1,643 181.1 11.02%

1,716 183.1 10.67%

1,786 185.2 10.37%

1,856 187.6 10.11%

1,926 191.5 9.94%

1,974 193.5 9.80%

182.61 11.00%

United States Baseline Change % chg

1,032 243.0 23.54%

1,094 175.3 16.02%

1,138 185.4 16.29%

1,187 184.1 15.51%

1,224 198.2 16.19%

1,253 205.9 16.42%

1,274 222.4 17.46%

1,289 233.1 18.08%

1,321 243.5 18.44%

1,371 249.9 18.23%

214.09 17.62%

Imports of Selected Coun untries Eastern Europe Baseline 188 Change 4.5 % chg 2.39%

191 3.8 2.01%

195 3.9 2.01%

199 3.8 1.93%

203 3.9 1.94%

208 3.9 1.86%

213 4.0 1.87%

217 4.0 1.83%

222 4.1 1.85%

227 4.1 1.80%

4.01 1.95%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

360 10.6 2.93%

365 7.1 1.94%

371 7.8 2.11%

378 7.4 1.95%

385 7.8 2.04%

393 7.8 1.99%

401 8.2 2.04%

409 8.2 2.00%

419 8.5 2.04%

428 8.6 2.00%

8.20 2.10%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

1 50.6 3665%

0 39.6 15018%

2 39.2 1782%

3 38.4 1141%

4 38.4 1004%

4 37.9 1050%

4 37.6 840%

4 37.1 982%

3 36.8 1085%

5 35.8 726%

39.14 2729.28%

China Baseline Change % chg

451 36.8 8.16%

500 20.4 4.08%

566 28.7 5.08%

637 27.9 4.37%

720 38.2 5.31%

802 45.1 5.62%

869 55.8 6.42%

931 62.2 6.68%

997 70.4 7.06%

1,061 76.0 7.17%

46.15 6.00%

India Baseline Change % chg

1,339 40.1 3.00%

1,408 27.6 1.96%

1,459 40.8 2.80%

1,509 50.0 3.32%

1,557 68.0 4.37%

1,609 82.3 5.12%

1,663 98.0 5.90%

1,722 109.3 6.35%

1,786 118.1 6.61%

1,853 126.3 6.82%

76.08 4.62%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

144 7.9 5.47%

159 9.1 5.74%

172 7.3 4.25%

182 7.6 4.19%

192 6.1 3.18%

200 5.1 2.57%

209 3.8 1.81%

217 3.1 1.44%

225 2.5 1.10%

232 1.6 0.68%

5.41 3.04%

69 -0.7 -1.08%

68 3.9 5.71%

73 2.2 3.02%

81 2.7 3.38%

87 0.0 0.03%

91 -2.0 -2.14%

96 -4.9 -5.08%

99 -6.6 -6.68%

103 -8.3 -8.02%

105 -9.7 -9.23%

-2.33 -2.01%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

Average

Table A.14. So oybean Oil Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

3,701 -31.8 -0.86%

3,744 -28.9 -0.77%

3,775 -26.1 -0.69%

3,810 -23.4 -0.61%

3,851 -16.5 -0.43%

3,890 -8.8 -0.23%

3,926 -2.2 -0.06%

3,963 2.6 0.07%

4,000 10.0 0.25%

4,024 15.1 0.37%

-11.00 -0.30%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

153 0.0 -0.02%

154 -1.3 -0.87%

155 -0.7 -0.47%

156 -1.0 -0.64%

157 -0.2 -0.13%

158 0.1 0.06%

159 0.8 0.50%

159 1.1 0.66%

159 1.6 1.00%

161 1.7 1.05%

0.20 0.12%

4,600 144.6 3.14%

4,719 148.1 3.14%

4,834 154.0 3.19%

4,952 159.8 3.23%

5,072 168.5 3.32%

5,191 177.5 3.42%

5,309 185.2 3.49%

5,428 192.2 3.54%

5,546 200.2 3.61%

5,660 203.8 3.60%

173.39 3.37%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,238 -20.0 -0.62%

3,290 -22.9 -0.70%

3,336 -22.8 -0.68%

3,385 -20.3 -0.60%

3,433 -14.9 -0.43%

3,481 -8.3 -0.24%

3,530 -2.3 -0.06%

3,579 2.7 0.08%

3,628 7.2 0.20%

3,689 9.5 0.26%

-9.20 -0.28%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

8,785 114.3 1.30%

8,982 39.7 0.44%

9,118 59.5 0.65%

9,278 59.0 0.64%

9,444 87.9 0.93%

9,612 114.5 1.19%

9,777 145.4 1.49%

9,949 166.1 1.67%

10,114 184.4 1.82%

10,296 201.4 1.96%

117.22 1.21%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

7,710 -110.2 -1.43%

7,856 -125.4 -1.60%

7,963 -127.1 -1.60%

8,075 -125.6 -1.56%

8,201 -116.5 -1.42%

8,343 -100.9 -1.21%

8,491 -86.7 -1.02%

8,649 -74.6 -0.86%

8,784 -65.4 -0.74%

8,917 -56.2 -0.63%

-98.85 -1.21%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

3,308 -31.8 -0.96%

3,327 -53.4 -1.61%

3,322 -42.4 -1.28%

3,323 -43.9 -1.32%

3,333 -25.0 -0.75%

3,344 -9.6 -0.29%

3,356 8.2 0.24%

3,375 19.8 0.59%

3,383 29.8 0.88%

3,408 37.8 1.11%

-11.04 -0.34%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,137 -0.5 -0.02%

2,187 -10.9 -0.50%

2,206 -7.7 -0.35%

2,227 -9.1 -0.41%

2,248 -3.4 -0.15%

2,265 1.5 0.06%

2,282 8.1 0.36%

2,298 12.3 0.54%

2,313 16.9 0.73%

2,329 20.3 0.87%

2.76 0.11%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

3,520 -11.1 -0.32%

3,595 -14.0 -0.39%

3,663 -12.5 -0.34%

3,741 -12.5 -0.33%

3,813 -10.4 -0.27%

3,888 -9.0 -0.23%

3,978 -7.6 -0.19%

4,079 -6.7 -0.16%

4,184 -6.0 -0.14%

4,291 -5.5 -0.13%

-9.53 -0.25%

3,976 24.9 0.63%

4,097 7.6 0.18%

4,228 16.2 0.38%

4,376 15.1 0.34%

4,527 26.9 0.59%

4,685 34.8 0.74%

4,844 47.2 0.97%

5,009 54.6 1.09%

5,179 63.8 1.23%

5,351 69.9 1.31%

36.09 0.75%

898 -12.6 -1.40%

914 -12.5 -1.37%

943 -26.1 -2.77%

969 -36.7 -3.79%

1,001 -50.8 -5.08%

1,031 -62.0 -6.02%

1,061 -72.2 -6.81%

1,089 -80.3 -7.37%

1,115 -84.6 -7.59%

1,143 -89.7 -7.84%

-52.76 -5.00%

2,237 27.6 1.23%

2,323 15.1 0.65%

2,401 14.7 0.61%

2,478 13.3 0.54%

2,557 17.2 0.67%

2,639 20.3 0.77%

2,723 25.8 0.95%

2,811 29.1 1.03%

2,902 33.5 1.15%

2,996 36.6 1.22%

23.32 0.88%

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg India Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.15. Ra apeseed Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

09/10

10/11

11/12

World Price Baseline Change % chg

208 35.2 16.97%

220 35.3 16.03%

225 43.4 19.32%

227 38.7 17.01%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 231 235 237 240 43.6 46.6 52.1 55.8 18.89% 19.85% 21.99% 23.24%

243 60.8 25.08%

246 65.7 26.66%

47.72 20.51%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

5,968 -13.4 -0.22%

6,074 341.5 5.62%

6,338 318.3 5.02%

6,497 281.0 4.33%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 6,656 6,800 6,937 291.6 319.9 349.0 4.38% 4.70% 5.03%

7,096 386.1 5.44%

7,255 417.1 5.75%

7,420 452.9 6.10%

314.42 4.62%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Australia Baseline 1,353 Change -3.0 % chg -0.22%

1,368 76.4 5.58%

1,394 71.2 5.11%

1,408 64.3 4.56%

1,442 69.7 4.83%

1,468 76.1 5.18%

1,485 77.8 5.24%

1,508 83.3 5.52%

1,533 87.4 5.70%

1,560 94.1 6.03%

69.71 4.75%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

3,606 19.8 0.55%

3,670 276.8 7.54%

3,829 262.4 6.85%

3,928 237.0 6.03%

4,005 241.4 6.03%

4,072 257.3 6.32%

4,143 277.8 6.70%

4,223 301.4 7.14%

4,302 321.3 7.47%

4,384 343.9 7.84%

253.91 6.25%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

842 -56.8 -6.75%

861 -45.9 -5.33%

926 -50.0 -5.40%

958 -52.7 -5.50%

994 -51.5 -5.18%

1,034 -46.5 -4.49%

1,071 -40.5 -3.78%

1,114 -34.4 -3.09%

1,157 -29.1 -2.52%

1,202 -24.5 -2.04%

-43.18 -4.41%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

167 26.6 15.94%

175 34.2 19.57%

190 34.8 18.35%

202 32.4 16.00%

215 32.0 14.93%

226 33.1 14.63%

238 33.9 14.25%

251 35.8 14.28%

263 37.5 14.26%

274 39.5 14.44%

33.98 15.66%

Imports of Selected Coun untries China Baseline 1,616 Change 133.9 % chg 8.28%

1,810 136.9 7.56%

2,131 197.1 9.25%

2,190 188.2 8.59%

2,181 208.8 9.58%

2,161 184.4 8.54%

2,158 192.6 8.93%

2,213 187.7 8.49%

2,290 185.1 8.08%

2,403 173.3 7.21%

178.81 8.45%

286 -541.4 -189.4%

264 -371.2 -140.7%

233 -344.1 -147.9%

282 -452.7 -160.7%

373 -409.2 -109.7%

456 -365.9 -80.3%

545 -311.2 -57.1%

579 -264.4 -45.7%

621 -207.6 -33.4%

666 -157.1 -23.6%

-342.47 -98.85%

India Baseline Change % chg

0 208.3 N/A

0 336.9 N/A

0 274.0 N/A

0 304.4 N/A

0 288.1 N/A

0 289.1 N/A

0 286.6 N/A

0 289.0 N/A

0 291.1 N/A

0 298.6 N/A

286.62 N/A

Japan Baseline Change % chg

2,174 -106.1 -4.88%

2,175 -86.1 -3.96%

2,194 -92.8 -4.23%

2,211 -87.1 -3.94%

2,229 -90.5 -4.06%

2,245 -87.9 -3.91%

2,261 -88.7 -3.92%

2,275 -86.7 -3.81%

2,290 -86.5 -3.78%

2,305 -85.2 -3.70%

-89.75 -4.02%

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

1,738 291.9 16.79%

1,672 325.0 19.44%

1,627 284.1 17.46%

1,661 328.2 19.76%

1,720 294.4 17.11%

1,786 300.2 16.81%

1,820 269.7 14.82%

1,877 260.4 13.87%

1,901 235.0 12.36%

1,893 223.3 11.80%

281.22 16.02%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

Average

Table A.16. Ra apeseed Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

1,771 0.0 0.00%

1,795 79.7 4.44%

1,830 74.6 4.08%

1,858 67.9 3.66%

1,903 73.4 3.86%

1,939 79.3 4.09%

1,967 80.7 4.10%

2,001 86.0 4.30%

2,037 90.0 4.42%

2,074 96.5 4.65%

72.81 3.76%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

418 3.0 0.71%

427 3.3 0.78%

436 3.5 0.79%

449 3.7 0.81%

461 3.7 0.79%

472 3.2 0.68%

482 3.0 0.62%

493 2.7 0.55%

504 2.6 0.51%

514 2.5 0.48%

3.10 0.67%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

7,333 0.0 0.00%

7,354 361.8 4.92%

7,551 319.5 4.23%

7,699 318.8 4.14%

7,823 301.2 3.85%

7,942 319.3 4.02%

8,077 323.8 4.01%

8,206 346.1 4.22%

8,337 354.5 4.25%

8,465 370.8 4.38%

301.59 3.80%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,698 0.4 0.01%

3,693 75.2 2.04%

3,720 59.9 1.61%

3,766 77.9 2.07%

3,813 62.9 1.65%

3,870 62.9 1.63%

3,931 49.4 1.26%

3,981 46.0 1.15%

4,034 35.7 0.89%

4,080 29.0 0.71%

49.93 1.30%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg

2,740 0.0 0.00%

2,768 31.4 1.13%

2,835 20.5 0.72%

2,893 23.7 0.82%

2,953 19.1 0.65%

3,010 22.7 0.76%

3,065 22.6 0.74%

3,122 26.0 0.83%

3,181 26.7 0.84%

3,240 29.1 0.90%

22.18 0.74%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,896 56.5 2.98%

1,908 76.7 4.02%

1,910 70.7 3.70%

1,935 76.2 3.94%

1,959 70.8 3.61%

1,975 69.3 3.51%

1,994 63.3 3.18%

2,007 60.4 3.01%

2,023 56.0 2.77%

2,038 53.7 2.64%

65.35 3.33%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

11,953 -1.1 -0.01%

11,748 -32.7 -0.28%

11,983 -84.8 -0.71%

12,087 -91.5 -0.76%

12,188 -104.8 -0.86%

12,289 -83.8 -0.68%

12,463 -85.0 -0.68%

12,646 -79.1 -0.63%

12,815 -69.6 -0.54%

12,952 -54.2 -0.42%

-68.67 -0.56%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

13,569 132.8 0.98%

13,558 104.1 0.77%

14,114 112.3 0.80%

14,277 96.7 0.68%

14,369 104.0 0.72%

14,450 100.6 0.70%

14,621 107.7 0.74%

14,859 108.7 0.73%

15,105 115.5 0.76%

15,355 119.1 0.78%

110.14 0.76%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

4,818 0.0 0.00%

4,786 -232.4 -4.86%

4,967 -301.9 -6.08%

4,979 -294.3 -5.91%

5,054 -315.2 -6.24%

5,102 -309.1 -6.06%

5,151 -305.2 -5.92%

5,191 -293.8 -5.66%

5,235 -287.5 -5.49%

5,277 -280.0 -5.31%

-261.94 -5.15%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

4,783 100.3 2.10%

4,820 83.4 1.73%

4,961 -23.0 -0.46%

4,977 6.2 0.12%

5,052 -22.6 -0.45%

5,100 -18.4 -0.36%

5,145 -12.9 -0.25%

5,187 -2.1 -0.04%

5,231 8.0 0.15%

5,273 21.8 0.41%

14.06 0.30%

Japan Production Baseline Change % chg

2 0.0 0.00%

3 -1.0 -38.61%

3 -1.1 -39.96%

3 -1.1 -40.35%

3 -1.1 -40.80%

3 -1.1 -41.03%

3 -1.1 -41.33%

3 -1.2 -41.39%

3 -1.2 -41.53%

3 -1.2 -41.55%

-1.01 -36.65%

2,161 -95.7 -4.43%

2,181 -92.2 -4.23%

2,194 -92.6 -4.22%

2,210 -90.2 -4.08%

2,228 -90.1 -4.05%

2,244 -88.8 -3.96%

2,259 -88.5 -3.92%

2,274 -87.5 -3.85%

2,289 -86.7 -3.79%

2,306 -85.6 -3.71%

-89.79 -4.02%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.17. Ra apeseed Meal Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

World Price Baseline Change % chg

129 -0.9 -0.71%

136 -4.8 -3.52%

136 -4.4 -3.27%

139 -6.0 -4.34%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 143 147 149 -4.5 -2.7 -0.5 -3.14% -1.82% -0.35%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

2,438 698.3 28.65%

2,473 623.8 25.22%

2,607 644.2 24.71%

2,580 616.3 23.89%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 2,499 2,387 2,332 609.8 612.1 630.8 24.40% 25.65% 27.05%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Australia Baseline 0 Change -2.2 % chg N/A

0 -1.9 N/A

0 -2.0 N/A

0 6.3 N/A

0 12.4 N/A

0 14.4 N/A

Average

151 0.5 0.35%

154 1.7 1.14%

156 3.8 2.44%

-1.78 -1.32%

2,319 641.3 27.66%

2,320 643.5 27.74%

2,326 640.6 27.54%

636.08 26.25%

0 18.2 N/A

0 20.3 N/A

0 23.2 N/A

0 24.2 N/A

11.27 N/A

Canada Baseline Change % chg

1,334 197.2 14.78%

1,316 220.6 16.76%

1,322 200.3 15.16%

1,335 191.6 14.35%

1,352 170.6 12.62%

1,364 165.6 12.14%

1,383 160.6 11.61%

1,398 162.8 11.64%

1,424 156.6 11.00%

1,443 148.9 10.32%

177.48 13.04%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

446 55.2 12.38%

450 81.7 18.16%

434 83.7 19.30%

442 87.2 19.74%

445 87.2 19.58%

442 92.3 20.87%

442 93.8 21.22%

437 95.1 21.76%

434 91.6 21.11%

429 90.0 20.98%

85.79 19.51%

9 -13.6 -157.6%

10 -12.9 -124.2%

9 -13.3 -139.9%

10 -13.1 -129.8%

11 -13.0 -114.9%

13 -12.3 -95.6%

14 -11.8 -85.1%

14 -11.5 -80.2%

15 -11.6 -79.9%

15 -12.0 -80.4%

-12.51 -108.8%

Imports of Selected Coun untries China Baseline -600 Change -510.9 % chg 85.11%

-595 -438.0 73.65%

-772 -445.9 57.79%

-718 -418.5 58.27%

-603 -440.3 73.02%

-466 -390 -362 -336 -319 -452.5 -473.9 -481.2 -494.7 -510.4 97.02% 121.57% 132.82% 147.02% 160.16%

-466.63 100.64%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

585 1,010.7 172.7%

622 1,012.0 162.7%

666 955.7 143.4%

629 931.4 148.1%

554 929.7 167.7%

458 964.3 210.4%

400 991.8 248.1%

368 1,019.2 276.9%

349 1,033.8 296.4%

333 1,062.1 319.0%

991.06 214.55%

India Baseline Change % chg

-49 131.6 -268.0%

-102 174.9 -171.8%

-70 202.0 -286.5%

-74 219.4 -296.0%

-88 219.8 -251.2%

-100 214.1 -213.2%

-104 203.8 -196.1%

-107 192.0 -180.2%

-111 178.2 -160.5%

-121 159.4 -131.8%

189.52 -215.5%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

86 44.9 52.01%

62 41.0 65.82%

69 35.0 51.06%

72 36.1 50.07%

77 35.3 45.72%

79 34.4 43.41%

83 32.1 38.52%

84 28.8 34.41%

86 24.7 28.61%

92 22.0 24.03%

33.43 43.37%

1,597 -439.8 -27.54%

1,620 -502.3 -31.00%

1,703 -478.0 -28.07%

1,710 -496.4 -29.03%

1,698 -487.5 -28.70%

1,680 -500.3 -29.78%

1,680 -493.0 -29.34%

1,698 -492.1 -28.99%

1,715 -482.3 -28.11%

1,733 -482.0 -27.82%

-485.36 -28.84%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

Table A.18. Ra apeseed Meal Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

231 1.7 0.72%

236 1.7 0.72%

241 1.8 0.74%

249 1.9 0.77%

255 1.9 0.75%

261 1.6 0.63%

267 1.5 0.57%

273 1.4 0.50%

279 1.3 0.46%

285 1.2 0.43%

1.60 0.63%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

231 3.8 1.65%

236 3.6 1.54%

241 3.8 1.58%

249 -4.4 -1.75%

255 -10.5 -4.09%

261 -12.8 -4.89%

267 -16.7 -6.24%

273 -18.9 -6.92%

279 -21.9 -7.84%

285 -22.9 -8.06%

-9.67 -3.50%

1,836 201.0 10.95%

1,837 229.9 12.52%

1,849 222.9 12.05%

1,874 233.5 12.46%

1,900 225.7 11.88%

1,933 225.2 11.65%

1,967 217.3 11.04%

1,996 214.6 10.75%

2,025 208.5 10.29%

2,052 204.2 9.95%

218.28 11.35%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

502 3.8 0.76%

521 9.1 1.74%

527 22.6 4.28%

538 41.9 7.78%

548 55.2 10.07%

569 59.6 10.48%

585 56.8 9.71%

598 51.9 8.69%

601 52.0 8.64%

609 55.3 9.09%

40.81 7.12%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg

1,068 33.3 3.12%

1,075 44.8 4.17%

1,075 41.4 3.85%

1,090 44.6 4.09%

1,104 41.5 3.76%

1,113 40.6 3.65%

1,123 37.1 3.30%

1,131 35.3 3.13%

1,140 32.7 2.87%

1,148 31.4 2.73%

38.27 3.47%

619 -22.1 -3.57%

625 -37.8 -6.04%

641 -42.2 -6.59%

647 -43.0 -6.63%

658 -45.3 -6.88%

670 -51.3 -7.66%

681 -56.3 -8.27%

693 -59.6 -8.60%

706 -58.6 -8.31%

719 -58.3 -8.11%

-47.45 -7.07%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

7,782 581.6 7.47%

7,797 562.5 7.21%

8,137 570.7 7.01%

8,239 560.4 6.80%

8,295 566.4 6.83%

8,343 563.6 6.76%

8,446 568.9 6.74%

8,590 569.5 6.63%

8,741 573.9 6.57%

8,895 575.9 6.47%

569.34 6.85%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

7,182 70.7 0.98%

7,203 124.5 1.73%

7,366 124.8 1.69%

7,520 141.9 1.89%

7,692 126.1 1.64%

7,877 111.1 1.41%

8,056 94.9 1.18%

8,228 88.3 1.07%

8,404 79.2 0.94%

8,577 65.5 0.76%

102.71 1.33%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

2,793 17.5 0.63%

2,816 53.6 1.90%

2,837 51.5 1.81%

2,867 65.7 2.29%

2,900 74.4 2.57%

2,935 83.5 2.84%

2,971 89.8 3.02%

3,007 100.3 3.34%

3,044 109.7 3.60%

3,083 121.2 3.93%

76.73 2.59%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,744 149.2 5.44%

2,714 228.5 8.42%

2,767 253.4 9.16%

2,793 285.1 10.21%

2,813 294.3 10.46%

2,835 297.6 10.50%

2,867 293.6 10.24%

2,900 292.3 10.08%

2,933 287.9 9.81%

2,962 280.5 9.47%

266.24 9.38%

Japan Production Baseline Change % chg

1,186 -52.6 -4.43%

1,196 -49.5 -4.14%

1,203 -49.6 -4.12%

1,212 -48.3 -3.99%

1,221 -48.2 -3.95%

1,231 -47.5 -3.86%

1,238 -47.3 -3.82%

1,247 -46.7 -3.75%

1,255 -46.3 -3.69%

1,264 -45.7 -3.61%

-48.16 -3.93%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,269 -7.8 -0.62%

1,259 -9.3 -0.74%

1,271 -14.5 -1.14%

1,283 -12.5 -0.98%

1,298 -12.6 -0.97%

1,309 -12.8 -0.97%

1,321 -14.7 -1.12%

1,329 -17.8 -1.34%

1,341 -21.4 -1.59%

1,355 -23.4 -1.72%

-14.67 -1.12%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.19. Ra apeseed Oil Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

438 54.1 12.35%

462 45.4 9.81%

475 50.6 10.66%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,346 -32.4 -2.41%

1,329 -4.5 -0.34%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Australia Baseline 59 Change 1.1 % chg 1.96% Canada Baseline Change % chg

09/10

10/11

11/12

484 47.3 9.78%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 494 506 515 525 52.1 52.7 57.4 59.5 10.56% 10.42% 11.14% 11.34%

534 63.9 11.98%

545 66.7 12.24%

54.96 11.03%

1,335 -11.4 -0.85%

1,380 2.6 0.19%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,442 1,508 1,561 -1.8 0.5 -3.9 -0.13% 0.03% -0.25%

1,596 -4.6 -0.29%

1,630 -8.2 -0.50%

1,659 -10.2 -0.62%

-7.40 -0.52%

60 1.2 2.06%

61 0.9 1.52%

66 1.3 2.01%

69 1.3 1.93%

70 1.2 1.79%

72 1.2 1.70%

74 1.3 1.76%

77 1.4 1.79%

79 1.4 1.74%

1.25 1.83%

771 10.3 1.33%

767 27.9 3.64%

767 24.0 3.13%

775 30.7 3.97%

784 26.1 3.33%

800 25.9 3.24%

816 21.3 2.61%

827 19.8 2.39%

839 16.2 1.93%

849 13.6 1.60%

21.58 2.72%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

74 24.7 33.54%

84 31.7 37.60%

82 28.7 35.13%

89 30.8 34.76%

94 29.0 30.78%

95 29.0 30.46%

97 27.3 27.98%

98 26.8 27.41%

99 25.6 25.78%

100 25.3 25.31%

27.89 30.88%

European Union Baseline WTO Change % chg

443 374 68.6 15.5%

418 352 65.4 15.6%

425 360 65.1 15.3%

451 391 60.3 13.4%

494 436 58.3 11.8%

543 487 55.7 10.3%

576 522 53.7 9.3%

596 544 52.5 8.8%

615 563 51.4 8.4%

630 580 50.5 8.0%

0 0 58.13 11.64%

Imports of Selected Coun untries China Baseline 135 Change -57.1 % chg -42.28%

191 -31.0 -16.23%

148 -35.4 -23.87%

183 -23.4 -12.83%

251 -29.1 -11.59%

330 -27.9 -8.43%

375 -33.4 -8.90%

390 -35.3 -9.05%

406 -39.4 -9.70%

418 -41.8 -9.98%

-35.37 -15.29%

Former Soviet Union Baseline WTO Change % chg

121 134 -13.2 -10.91%

127 140 -13.5 -10.64%

133 146 -13.3 -9.99%

139 152 -13.1 -9.42%

146 159 -12.8 -8.78%

154 166 -12.4 -8.09%

162 174 -12.0 -7.41%

171 183 -11.7 -6.81%

181 193 -11.3 -6.25%

0 0 -12.61 -8.90%

India Baseline Change % chg

48 16 150.2 172.4 311.2% 1095.5%

37 169.9 455.4%

48 176.9 371.8%

56 178.3 320.2%

63 182.7 291.6%

75 183.1 243.2%

89 184.7 208.7%

103 184.8 179.3%

115 186.1 161.5%

176.91 363.8%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

31 59.4 193.5%

16 59.9 366.1%

20 56.2 282.2%

24 58.3 246.1%

26 54.8 211.1%

28 53.9 192.7%

33 50.8 153.9%

36 49.4 135.7%

39 46.7 120.1%

39 44.9 115.6%

53.43 201.7%

802 -197.8 -24.65%

775 -219.1 -28.27%

793 -215.6 -27.19%

784 -222.5 -28.39%

760 -218.9 -28.82%

732 -221.1 -30.22%

714 -216.9 -30.36%

708 -215.4 -30.40%

701 -211.9 -30.25%

695 -210.8 -30.33%

-214.98 -28.89%

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

120 133 -12.8 -10.69%

06/07

07/08

08/09

Average

Table A.20. Ra apeseed Oil Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

165 1.2 0.72%

169 1.2 0.72%

172 1.3 0.74%

178 1.4 0.77%

182 1.4 0.75%

186 1.2 0.63%

191 1.1 0.57%

195 1.0 0.50%

199 0.9 0.46%

203 0.9 0.43%

1.14 0.63%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

107 0.0 0.04%

109 0.0 -0.02%

111 0.3 0.31%

112 0.0 0.04%

114 0.0 0.03%

116 -0.1 -0.06%

118 -0.1 -0.12%

121 -0.3 -0.28%

122 -0.5 -0.39%

124 -0.5 -0.40%

-0.11 -0.08%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

1,307 0.7 0.06%

1,308 21.3 1.63%

1,316 16.3 1.24%

1,334 23.9 1.79%

1,353 18.3 1.35%

1,376 17.9 1.30%

1,400 12.3 0.88%

1,421 10.4 0.73%

1,442 6.1 0.42%

1,461 3.0 0.20%

13.01 0.96%

536 -8.7 -1.62%

541 -6.8 -1.26%

549 -7.7 -1.40%

559 -6.9 -1.24%

568 -7.8 -1.37%

576 -8.0 -1.39%

585 -8.9 -1.52%

593 -9.3 -1.58%

602 -10.1 -1.68%

611 -10.6 -1.74%

-8.49 -1.48%

724 22.6 3.12%

729 30.4 4.17%

729 28.1 3.85%

739 30.2 4.09%

748 28.1 3.76%

754 27.5 3.65%

761 25.1 3.30%

767 24.0 3.13%

773 22.2 2.87%

778 21.3 2.73%

25.95 3.47%

650 -2.1 -0.33%

645 -1.6 -0.25%

647 -0.5 -0.08%

650 -0.7 -0.11%

654 -0.8 -0.12%

659 -1.5 -0.23%

664 -2.0 -0.31%

669 -2.8 -0.42%

674 -3.3 -0.49%

678 -4.0 -0.59%

-1.94 -0.29%

4,142 43.4 1.05%

4,150 33.3 0.80%

4,331 37.6 0.87%

4,385 32.1 0.73%

4,415 35.3 0.80%

4,441 33.9 0.76%

4,495 36.7 0.82%

4,572 37.0 0.81%

4,652 39.3 0.85%

4,735 40.4 0.85%

36.91 0.83%

4,277 -13.7 -0.32%

4,341 2.3 0.05%

4,479 2.2 0.05%

4,568 8.7 0.19%

4,666 6.2 0.13%

4,771 6.0 0.13%

4,870 3.3 0.07%

4,963 1.7 0.03%

5,059 -0.1 0.00%

5,153 -1.4 -0.03%

1.53 0.03%

1,376 2.7 0.19%

1,387 5.8 0.41%

1,397 4.9 0.35%

1,412 5.1 0.36%

1,428 3.8 0.27%

1,446 3.4 0.24%

1,463 2.1 0.14%

1,481 1.4 0.10%

1,499 0.4 0.02%

1,518 -0.2 -0.01%

2.94 0.21%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,424 152.8 10.73%

1,403 178.2 12.70%

1,435 174.8 12.18%

1,460 182.1 12.47%

1,484 182.1 12.27%

1,508 186.2 12.34%

1,539 185.2 12.04%

1,569 186.1 11.86%

1,602 185.1 11.55%

1,634 186.0 11.38%

179.85 11.95%

Japan Production Baseline Change % chg

884 -39.2 -4.43%

892 -36.9 -4.14%

897 -37.0 -4.12%

903 -36.0 -3.99%

910 -35.9 -3.95%

917 -35.4 -3.86%

923 -35.2 -3.82%

929 -34.8 -3.75%

936 -34.5 -3.69%

942 -34.1 -3.61%

-35.90 -3.93%

913 15.6 1.71%

909 22.2 2.44%

916 19.7 2.15%

926 22.0 2.37%

936 19.2 2.05%

945 18.5 1.96%

955 15.9 1.66%

965 14.7 1.52%

974 12.4 1.28%

981 11.0 1.12%

17.11 1.83%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg China Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg India Production Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.21. Su unflower Seed Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

257 20.5 7.99%

254 2.8 1.10%

258 14.0 5.41%

260 5.5 2.11%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,889 216.7 11.47%

1,932 519.3 26.88%

1,906 363.4 19.07%

1,911 437.8 22.91%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Argentina Baseline 478 411 Change 117.5 448.0 % chg 24.56% 108.88%

359 361 240.2 371.6 66.89% 102.91%

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

271 10.4 3.86%

273 13.9 5.10%

276 13.1 4.74%

11.30 4.26%

1,937 468.1 24.17%

1,942 455.5 23.46%

1,952 498.7 25.55%

417.92 21.70%

330 312 299 281 257 240 268.0 356.0 305.5 368.0 338.6 387.4 81.14% 113.94% 102.22% 131.06% 131.65% 161.35%

320.07 102.46%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 263 266 268 12.0 8.2 12.6 4.55% 3.10% 4.69% (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,914 1,922 1,930 363.8 442.1 413.9 19.00% 23.00% 21.44%

Average

China Baseline Change % chg

46 -9.1 -19.90%

38 -30.0 -78.92%

32 -38.1 -119.3%

28 -35.2 -125.2%

32 -40.4 -125.7%

26 -37.8 -144.9%

24 -39.7 -166.3%

24 -40.0 -166.6%

24 -40.8 -171.4%

22 -40.1 -178.2%

-35.13 -129.64%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

528 -536.1 -101.6%

528 -561.7 -106.3%

544 -508.2 -93.5%

543 -542.2 -99.9%

566 -508.1 -89.8%

597 -510.3 -85.4%

617 -483.1 -78.3%

638 -480.8 -75.3%

661 -459.6 -69.5%

688 -459.8 -66.8%

-504.99 -86.65%

837 644.4 77.00%

954 662.9 69.51%

971 669.6 68.95%

979 643.6 65.75%

986 644.4 65.36%

986 634.1 64.29%

991 631.3 63.73%

994 620.9 62.47%

1,000 617.3 61.74%

1,001 611.1 61.03%

637.95 65.98%

Imports of Selected Coun untries European Union Baseline 1,199 Change -753.1 % chg -62.83%

1,130 -607.4 -53.76%

1,108 -648.9 -58.58%

1,091 -652.8 -59.86%

1,068 -654.6 -61.30%

1,047 -606.9 -57.97%

1,029 -582.8 -56.62%

1,005 -534.3 -53.17%

982 -504.9 -51.39%

968 -464.4 -47.99%

-601.01 -56.35%

692 804 800 822 848 877 903 934 969.8 1,126.7 1,012.3 1,090.5 1,018.4 1,049.0 996.8 1,002.4 140.12% 140.21% 126.57% 132.62% 120.05% 119.56% 110.39% 107.32%

961 960.4 99.89%

986 963.0 97.65%

1,018.92 119.44%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

Table A.22. Su unflower Seed Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

4,435 -1.1 -0.02%

4,405 318.1 7.22%

4,429 91.9 2.07%

4,515 233.2 5.17%

4,567 120.9 2.65%

4,638 215.1 4.64%

4,711 161.7 3.43%

4,780 227.9 4.77%

4,844 196.2 4.05%

4,917 248.5 5.05%

181.25 3.90%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,954 -92.7 -2.35%

3,993 -146.1 -3.66%

4,074 -137.8 -3.38%

4,155 -146.2 -3.52%

4,240 -140.9 -3.32%

4,329 -144.3 -3.33%

4,415 -139.6 -3.16%

4,502 -141.9 -3.15%

4,590 -139.0 -3.03%

4,680 -139.5 -2.98%

-136.81 -3.19%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

1,982 -0.2 -0.01%

1,981 -24.4 -1.23%

1,986 -40.9 -2.06%

2,002 -33.3 -1.66%

2,042 -42.9 -2.10%

2,053 -36.4 -1.77%

2,074 -40.4 -1.95%

2,099 -39.2 -1.87%

2,122 -41.5 -1.96%

2,142 -39.4 -1.84%

-33.85 -1.64%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,936 8.9 0.46%

1,943 5.6 0.29%

1,954 -2.8 -0.14%

1,974 1.9 0.10%

2,009 -2.4 -0.12%

2,027 1.4 0.07%

2,050 -0.7 -0.03%

2,075 0.8 0.04%

2,098 -0.7 -0.03%

2,119 0.7 0.03%

1.27 0.07%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg

2,343 0.0 0.00%

2,350 10.2 0.43%

2,412 -36.4 -1.51%

2,493 -8.6 -0.35%

2,576 -32.8 -1.27%

2,654 -14.9 -0.56%

2,728 -25.1 -0.92%

2,809 -13.9 -0.50%

2,894 -19.7 -0.68%

2,981 -11.7 -0.39%

-15.30 -0.57%

1,808 531.4 29.39%

1,819 567.5 31.20%

1,868 474.7 25.42%

1,949 531.6 27.28%

2,008 477.0 23.75%

2,054 494.8 24.08%

2,110 459.1 21.76%

2,170 466.5 21.50%

2,232 440.7 19.74%

2,292 448.0 19.54%

489.12 24.37%

6,140 0.0 0.00%

6,260 600.1 9.59%

6,311 400.1 6.34%

6,411 514.4 8.02%

6,510 417.7 6.42%

6,598 497.4 7.54%

6,699 452.7 6.76%

6,793 506.0 7.45%

6,887 478.2 6.94%

6,973 517.5 7.42%

438.41 6.65%

5,304 -636.9 -12.01%

5,305 -65.8 -1.24%

5,340 -267.8 -5.02%

5,432 -130.6 -2.40%

5,524 -225.8 -4.09%

5,611 -137.3 -2.45%

5,708 -178.0 -3.12%

5,798 -115.3 -1.99%

5,887 -138.7 -2.36%

5,971 -93.8 -1.57%

-199.00 -3.62%

3,435 -41.3 -1.20%

3,412 -85.6 -2.51%

3,424 -157.5 -4.60%

3,480 -70.3 -2.02%

3,528 -123.6 -3.50%

3,580 -133.3 -3.72%

3,626 -187.5 -5.17%

3,680 -216.0 -5.87%

3,730 -269.8 -7.23%

3,770 -296.0 -7.85%

-158.08 -4.37%

4,595 -765.9 -16.67%

4,517 -717.9 -15.89%

4,533 -792.1 -17.47%

4,566 -734.1 -16.08%

4,594 -770.3 -16.77%

4,625 -745.0 -16.11%

4,652 -765.3 -16.45%

4,682 -753.1 -16.08%

4,710 -770.8 -16.36%

4,735 -761.6 -16.09%

-757.60 -16.40%

5,497 0.0 0.00%

5,449 -82.4 -1.51%

5,476 -149.2 -2.72%

5,524 -111.2 -2.01%

5,568 -144.4 -2.59%

5,610 -117.3 -2.09%

5,656 -133.2 -2.36%

5,702 -115.2 -2.02%

5,748 -124.3 -2.16%

5,792 -111.3 -1.92%

-108.85 -1.94%

6,258 925.2 14.78%

6,221 1,022.9 16.44%

6,265 877.8 14.01%

6,344 969.7 15.29%

6,410 882.5 13.77%

6,484 927.7 14.31%

6,555 869.2 13.26%

6,632 885.2 13.35%

6,705 840.4 12.53%

6,776 851.1 12.56%

905.18 14.03%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg Former Soviet Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.23. Su unflower Seed Meal Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

113 -6.3 -5.61%

122 -15.9 -13.00%

127 -12.9 -10.21%

129 -17.2 -13.30%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,732 15.1 0.87%

1,796 146.8 8.18%

1,830 88.7 4.85%

1,899 98.4 5.18%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Argentina Baseline 1,452 Change -59.5 % chg -4.09%

1,491 -101.8 -6.83%

1,514 -67.8 -4.48%

1,543 -91.0 -5.89%

1,581 -71.6 -4.53%

1,617 -80.0 -4.95%

China Baseline Change % chg

0 33.2 N/A

0 9.2 N/A

0 -1.3 N/A

0 -16.3 N/A

0 -20.5 N/A

34 291.4 854.1%

44 311.0 709.9%

49 289.0 593.0%

74 305.1 411.1%

246 -250.1 -101.8%

261 -71.6 -27.4%

267 -131.2 -49.1%

Imports of Selected Coun untries European Union Baseline 1,420 Change 469.1 % chg 33.03%

1,425 566.3 39.73%

381 -419.5 -110.2%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

322 -454.0 -141.2%

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 133 136 139 -14.8 -15.1 -12.6 -11.13% -11.10% -9.09%

141 -12.8 -9.10%

144 -11.0 -7.65%

147 -9.9 -6.75%

-12.86 -9.69%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,958 2,007 2,065 76.2 100.3 98.0 3.89% 5.00% 4.74%

2,124 112.1 5.28%

2,184 98.2 4.49%

2,246 100.8 4.49%

93.47 4.70%

1,650 -69.9 -4.23%

1,685 -77.6 -4.61%

1,723 -70.3 -4.08%

1,762 -71.3 -4.05%

-76.07 -4.77%

0 -37.5 N/A

0 -47.6 N/A

0 -57.3 N/A

0 -65.8 N/A

0 -75.9 N/A

-27.98 N/A

79 290.7 368.9%

75 306.4 408.5%

80 304.0 380.8%

85 311.4 367.9%

91 301.1 332.5%

96 302.6 316.1%

301.27 474.28%

282 -99.4 -35.2%

299 -122.3 -41.0%

315 -88.5 -28.1%

335 -88.6 -26.4%

354 -64.4 -18.2%

370 -66.8 -18.0%

388 -54.6 -14.1%

-103.75 -35.9%

1,408 476.6 33.85%

1,427 494.5 34.66%

1,429 459.3 32.14%

1,425 497.5 34.90%

1,429 490.6 34.34%

1,436 509.3 35.47%

1,446 491.9 34.01%

1,459 503.2 34.49%

495.84 34.66%

432 -387.9 -89.7%

482 -396.1 -82.1%

539 -383.1 -71.1%

592 -397.1 -67.1%

646 -392.6 -60.7%

697 -397.2 -56.9%

748 -393.7 -52.6%

797 -402.4 -50.5%

-402.36 -78.2%

Table A.24. Su unflower Seed Meal Production and Consumption 02/03 Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,636 -38.7 -2.37%

1,653 -62.3 -3.77%

1,687 -58.0 -3.44%

1,721 -62.0 -3.60%

1,757 -59.4 -3.38%

1,794 -61.2 -3.41%

1,830 -59.0 -3.22%

1,867 -60.2 -3.22%

1,904 -58.8 -3.09%

1,941 -59.2 -3.05%

-57.88 -3.26%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

189 7.8 4.12%

183 19.6 10.73%

182 15.9 8.71%

184 20.1 10.94%

184 17.2 9.33%

184 18.1 9.80%

186 16.0 8.61%

187 16.9 9.04%

180 15.3 8.49%

183 14.3 7.82%

16.11 8.76%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

595 0.1 0.01%

598 -6.8 -1.13%

601 -7.7 -1.29%

608 -7.8 -1.28%

622 -8.2 -1.32%

626 -7.4 -1.18%

634 -7.3 -1.16%

644 -7.3 -1.13%

653 -7.1 -1.09%

662 -6.7 -1.02%

-6.63 -1.06%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

595 -33.2 -5.57%

598 -15.9 -2.67%

601 -6.5 -1.08%

608 8.6 1.41%

622 12.3 1.97%

626 30.1 4.82%

634 40.3 6.36%

644 50.0 7.77%

653 58.6 8.97%

662 69.2 10.46%

21.35 3.24%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg

872 264.5 30.34%

876 281.4 32.10%

900 236.2 26.25%

940 263.8 28.08%

968 237.3 24.51%

990 245.8 24.83%

1,016 228.3 22.47%

1,045 231.8 22.18%

1,075 219.2 20.38%

1,104 222.7 20.17%

243.09 25.13%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

837 -27.7 -3.31%

833 -30.7 -3.68%

851 -52.4 -6.15%

865 -41.7 -4.82%

889 -53.1 -5.97%

914 -60.6 -6.62%

936 -75.4 -8.05%

960 -79.6 -8.29%

984 -81.8 -8.31%

1,008 -79.8 -7.91%

-58.26 -6.31%

2,045 -255.3 -12.48%

2,042 -37.2 -1.82%

2,054 -114.0 -5.55%

2,089 -61.1 -2.93%

2,123 -97.2 -4.58%

2,155 -62.9 -2.92%

2,191 -78.1 -3.56%

2,224 -53.6 -2.41%

2,256 -62.1 -2.75%

2,286 -44.5 -1.95%

-86.61 -4.10%

1,799 -6.0 -0.33%

1,781 33.4 1.87%

1,787 17.5 0.98%

1,807 37.8 2.09%

1,824 25.4 1.39%

1,840 25.6 1.39%

1,856 10.8 0.58%

1,870 10.8 0.58%

1,886 4.9 0.26%

1,898 10.2 0.54%

17.05 0.94%

2,152 -398.6 -18.52%

2,108 -378.0 -17.93%

2,118 -407.3 -19.23%

2,132 -387.3 -18.16%

2,145 -400.0 -18.65%

2,159 -387.8 -17.96%

2,171 -393.2 -18.11%

2,184 -386.1 -17.68%

2,197 -391.0 -17.80%

2,208 -385.3 -17.45%

-391.46 -18.15%

3,560 60.3 1.70%

3,535 174.6 4.94%

3,530 74.0 2.10%

3,560 101.3 2.85%

3,576 63.1 1.77%

3,585 109.6 3.06%

3,600 101.2 2.81%

3,620 123.2 3.40%

3,643 103.6 2.84%

3,668 119.6 3.26%

103.06 2.87%

2,396 482.2 20.13%

2,368 525.1 22.18%

2,381 469.1 19.70%

2,412 509.0 21.10%

2,437 475.1 19.50%

2,465 495.7 20.11%

2,493 473.3 18.99%

2,523 481.8 19.10%

2,551 465.3 18.24%

2,578 472.0 18.30%

484.86 19.73%

2,717 27.5 1.01%

2,749 104.9 3.82%

2,814 81.4 2.89%

2,894 112.6 3.89%

2,976 92.2 3.10%

3,057 98.6 3.22%

3,139 80.9 2.58%

3,220 84.6 2.63%

3,299 71.7 2.17%

3,375 69.7 2.06%

82.42 2.74%

Former Soviet Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.25. Su unflower Seed Oil Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

546 54.3 9.94%

529 23.3 4.41%

535 43.0 8.03%

539 30.4 5.64%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,210 -169.0 -13.96%

1,160 -55.1 -4.75%

1,187 -76.9 -6.48%

1,225 -60.7 -4.95%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Argentina Baseline 1,021 Change -5.1 % chg -0.50%

1,019 -60.0 -5.89%

1,049 -34.8 -3.31%

China Baseline Change % chg

0 -1.4 N/A

0 -13.7 N/A

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

-121 205.0 -169.3%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

09/10

10/11

11/12

563 36.9 6.55%

569 42.3 7.43%

576 39.8 6.91%

38.61 7.00%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,267 1,307 1,347 -67.0 -50.5 -46.9 -5.29% -3.87% -3.48%

1,383 -32.4 -2.35%

1,417 -27.3 -1.93%

1,451 -16.5 -1.14%

-60.24 -4.82%

1,075 -51.9 -4.83%

1,103 -37.6 -3.41%

1,133 -46.0 -4.06%

1,161 -36.4 -3.13%

1,189 -41.0 -3.45%

1,218 -34.0 -2.79%

1,249 -37.1 -2.97%

-38.40 -3.44%

0 -20.0 N/A

0 -27.6 N/A

0 -31.2 N/A

0 -39.7 N/A

0 -46.5 N/A

0 -53.4 N/A

0 -60.5 N/A

0 -68.4 N/A

-36.25 N/A

-139 204.6 -146.9%

-132 180.7 -136.9%

-113 195.6 -173.3%

-104 180.5 -173.3%

-103 183.9 -179.1%

-96 173.3 -180.9%

-88 174.1 -198.9%

-79 166.3 -211.0%

-71 167.7 -235.2%

183.16 -180.49%

189 -163.8 -86.70%

142 5.0 3.50%

138 -42.1 -30.63%

151 -8.8 -5.81%

164 -29.4 -17.91%

174 -4.5 -2.58%

186 -10.6 -5.68%

194 8.5 4.42%

199 6.7 3.35%

202 20.6 10.22%

-21.84 -12.78%

Imports of Selected Coun untries European Union Baseline 98 Change 226.6 % chg 232.3%

204 268.7 131.8%

188 244.8 130.0%

194 255.4 131.9%

196 241.6 123.3%

197 245.2 124.6%

200 235.2 117.8%

202 236.4 117.1%

205 229.1 111.9%

208 228.8 110.0%

241.18 133.1%

806 -132.8 -16.48%

855 -161.1 -18.83%

908 -148.1 -16.31%

956 -159.3 -16.66%

997 -151.6 -15.20%

1,041 -155.3 -14.92%

1,083 -148.2 -13.69%

1,122 -150.7 -13.43%

1,161 -146.0 -12.58%

-154.51 -15.77%

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

981 -192.1 -19.58%

06/07

07/08

08/09

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 544 551 557 41.2 34.3 40.8 7.56% 6.22% 7.32%

Average

Table A.26. Su unflower Seed Oil Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

1,558 -36.9 -2.37%

1,574 -59.4 -3.77%

1,607 -55.2 -3.44%

1,639 -59.1 -3.60%

1,673 -56.6 -3.38%

1,709 -58.2 -3.41%

1,743 -56.2 -3.22%

1,778 -57.3 -3.22%

1,813 -56.0 -3.09%

1,849 -56.4 -3.05%

-55.12 -3.26%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

539 -23.6 -4.39%

554 -4.6 -0.84%

559 -17.1 -3.05%

565 -9.4 -1.66%

571 -17.1 -2.99%

577 -13.4 -2.33%

583 -18.7 -3.20%

590 -17.0 -2.88%

596 -21.0 -3.53%

601 -19.7 -3.27%

-16.16 -2.81%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

226 0.0 0.01%

227 -2.6 -1.13%

228 -2.9 -1.29%

231 -2.9 -1.28%

236 -3.1 -1.32%

237 -2.8 -1.18%

240 -2.8 -1.16%

244 -2.8 -1.13%

248 -2.7 -1.09%

251 -2.5 -1.02%

-2.51 -1.06%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

226 1.5 0.65%

227 11.2 4.93%

228 17.1 7.50%

231 24.7 10.70%

236 28.1 11.90%

237 36.9 15.53%

240 43.7 18.18%

244 50.6 20.74%

248 57.8 23.33%

251 65.8 26.24%

33.74 13.97%

697 211.6 30.34%

701 225.1 32.10%

720 189.0 26.25%

752 211.1 28.08%

775 189.8 24.51%

792 196.6 24.83%

813 182.7 22.47%

836 185.5 22.18%

860 175.3 20.38%

883 178.2 20.17%

194.47 25.13%

816 6.0 0.73%

838 18.8 2.24%

851 9.4 1.10%

864 14.8 1.71%

878 9.9 1.13%

893 12.4 1.39%

908 9.7 1.07%

923 11.2 1.22%

938 9.3 0.99%

954 10.4 1.09%

11.18 1.27%

2,095 -261.6 -12.48%

2,092 -38.1 -1.82%

2,105 -116.8 -5.55%

2,140 -62.6 -2.93%

2,175 -99.6 -4.58%

2,208 -64.4 -2.92%

2,244 -80.0 -3.56%

2,278 -54.9 -2.41%

2,311 -63.7 -2.75%

2,342 -45.6 -1.95%

-88.72 -4.10%

1,902 -91.5 -4.81%

1,947 -46.7 -2.40%

1,966 -72.6 -3.69%

1,988 -55.3 -2.78%

2,010 -69.1 -3.44%

2,033 -60.7 -2.99%

2,058 -68.9 -3.35%

2,084 -63.9 -3.07%

2,111 -69.9 -3.31%

2,140 -66.5 -3.11%

-66.51 -3.29%

1,739 -321.9 -18.52%

1,702 -305.3 -17.93%

1,710 -329.0 -19.23%

1,722 -312.8 -18.16%

1,732 -323.1 -18.65%

1,744 -313.2 -17.96%

1,754 -317.6 -18.11%

1,764 -311.9 -17.68%

1,774 -315.8 -17.80%

1,783 -311.2 -17.45%

-316.18 -18.15%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,819 -88.0 -4.84%

1,887 -47.6 -2.52%

1,899 -77.4 -4.08%

1,914 -61.9 -3.23%

1,927 -78.0 -4.05%

1,939 -70.4 -3.63%

1,952 -80.4 -4.12%

1,965 -76.9 -3.91%

1,978 -85.1 -4.30%

1,990 -83.4 -4.19%

-74.91 -3.89%

Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg

2,183 366.9 16.81%

2,157 402.5 18.66%

2,170 348.2 16.05%

2,198 382.5 17.40%

2,220 349.7 15.75%

2,246 366.6 16.32%

2,271 344.5 15.17%

2,298 350.2 15.24%

2,324 333.2 14.33%

2,349 337.1 14.35%

358.15 16.01%

3,156 165.4 5.24%

2,957 264.0 8.93%

3,024 191.3 6.33%

3,104 232.1 7.48%

3,175 192.7 6.07%

3,242 213.8 6.60%

3,311 190.5 5.75%

3,380 201.4 5.96%

3,446 183.4 5.32%

3,510 190.7 5.43%

202.52 6.31%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg Former Soviet Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.27. Pe eanut Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

1,039 -89.0 -8.57%

1,063 -234.3 -22.05%

1,068 -275.4 -25.79%

1,076 -249.6 -23.20%

192 2.9 1.49%

218 38.7 17.78%

221 35.3 15.92%

226 40.4 17.87%

231 36.1 15.62%

236 40.2 17.02%

China Baseline Change % chg

529 -92.5 -17.46%

484 -104.2 -21.53%

482 -91.4 -18.95%

480 -110.1 -22.93%

475 -104.5 -22.01%

India Baseline Change % chg

116 173.7 149.81%

145 40.8 28.14%

150 -18.9 -12.65%

155 -1.7 -1.11%

United States Baseline Change % chg

202 -173.1 -85.90%

216 -209.6 -97.04%

214 -200.3 -93.44%

untries Imports of Selected Coun Canada Baseline 122 Change -11.6 % chg -9.58%

123 -7.8 -6.29%

454 -32.3 -7.1%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg Exports of Selected Cou Argentina Baseline Change % chg

European Union Baseline Change % chg Mexico Baseline Change % chg Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,079 1,077 1,082 -267.9 -243.8 -264.1 -24.84% -22.64% -24.42%

1,087 -250.2 -23.00%

1,091 -266.3 -24.42%

1,091 -254.2 -23.29%

-239.47 -22.22%

242 36.1 14.91%

247 40.3 16.33%

251 36.5 14.54%

255 39.8 15.59%

34.63 14.71%

464 -118.0 -25.42%

460 -115.0 -24.97%

459 -130.5 -28.40%

456 -127.6 -27.98%

451 -139.8 -31.00%

-113.35 -24.07%

159 -42.6 -26.85%

163 -35.4 -21.67%

167 -77.9 -46.66%

170 -76.8 -45.17%

173 -114.5 -66.27%

176 -120.0 -68.13%

-27.32 -11.06%

214 -178.2 -83.26%

214 -157.0 -73.28%

213 -130.7 -61.31%

212 -107.3 -50.60%

211 -83.2 -39.40%

210 -60.6 -28.78%

209 -34.2 -16.38%

-133.43 -62.94%

124 -10.8 -8.70%

125 -8.8 -7.07%

126 -10.9 -8.68%

127 -9.6 -7.59%

128 -11.6 -9.05%

129 -10.6 -8.21%

130 -12.2 -9.40%

131 -11.5 -8.81%

-10.55 -8.34%

470 -17.3 -3.7%

471 -27.8 -5.9%

475 -20.8 -4.4%

478 -27.8 -5.8%

481 -22.8 -4.7%

485 -28.8 -5.9%

490 -25.0 -5.1%

494 -30.0 -6.1%

498 -27.1 -5.4%

-25.95 -5.41%

104 -32.8 -31.47%

107 -27.9 -26.03%

111 -36.2 -32.60%

114 -31.8 -27.82%

116 -37.7 -32.42%

119 -34.8 -29.27%

122 -40.1 -32.94%

125 -38.3 -30.67%

128 -43.0 -33.67%

130 -41.9 -32.31%

-36.45 -30.92%

273 -12.3 -4.50%

276 -181.3 -65.66%

275 -200.6 -72.86%

275 -188.1 -68.39%

272 -191.6 -70.37%

264 -176.7 -66.94%

261 -183.6 -70.45%

258 -176.3 -68.29%

253 -181.1 -71.53%

246 -173.6 -70.47%

-166.52 -62.95%

Table A.28. Pe eanut Production and Consumption 02/03 Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 357 -0.3 -0.09%

389 43.4 11.15%

396 37.1 9.38%

403 48.8 12.12%

410 44.2 10.77%

417 54.6 13.07%

426 51.3 12.04%

434 62.1 14.32%

441 60.2 13.65%

449 70.4 15.70%

47.17 11.21%

168 0.3 0.18%

172 4.0 2.32%

174 2.8 1.60%

177 7.9 4.49%

179 8.7 4.88%

181 14.0 7.74%

184 15.9 8.61%

187 21.6 11.55%

190 24.4 12.79%

194 30.5 15.77%

13.02 6.99%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

13,628 -1.3 -0.01%

13,725 127.7 0.93%

13,775 69.2 0.50%

13,774 174.2 1.26%

13,775 118.1 0.86%

13,748 203.8 1.48%

13,806 137.7 1.00%

13,901 195.6 1.41%

13,981 164.7 1.18%

14,031 233.6 1.66%

142.34 1.03%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

13,098 91.2 0.70%

13,241 231.9 1.75%

13,292 160.6 1.21%

13,294 284.3 2.14%

13,301 222.6 1.67%

13,284 321.8 2.42%

13,345 252.7 1.89%

13,441 326.1 2.43%

13,525 292.3 2.16%

13,580 373.4 2.75%

255.69 1.91%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

7,575 0.0 0.00%

7,824 -183.7 -2.35%

7,916 -223.7 -2.83%

7,977 -157.8 -1.98%

8,055 -183.1 -2.27%

8,140 -137.3 -1.69%

8,226 -157.7 -1.92%

8,313 -116.9 -1.41%

8,396 -128.9 -1.54%

8,481 -93.4 -1.10%

-138.26 -1.71%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

7,459 -173.7 -2.33%

7,679 -224.5 -2.92%

7,767 -204.8 -2.64%

7,822 -156.1 -2.00%

7,896 -140.5 -1.78%

7,977 -101.9 -1.28%

8,060 -79.8 -0.99%

8,143 -40.1 -0.49%

8,223 -14.4 -0.18%

8,304 26.5 0.32%

-110.94 -1.43%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

1,598 0.5 0.03%

1,694 -30.1 -1.77%

1,690 -57.7 -3.41%

1,695 -1.3 -0.08%

1,702 -18.3 -1.08%

1,703 28.8 1.69%

1,707 24.1 1.41%

1,712 63.8 3.73%

1,717 61.3 3.57%

1,719 100.5 5.84%

17.16 0.99%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,457 176.5 12.12%

1,472 180.2 12.25%

1,478 158.7 10.74%

1,484 165.7 11.17%

1,489 148.7 9.99%

1,493 151.4 10.14%

1,498 137.9 9.21%

1,503 140.0 9.31%

1,508 127.9 8.48%

1,514 128.3 8.47%

151.54 10.19%

European Union Consumption Baseline Change % chg

457 -27.1 -5.92%

469 -18.8 -4.01%

472 -26.4 -5.59%

476 -21.6 -4.54%

479 -26.8 -5.58%

483 -23.3 -4.83%

486 -27.9 -5.73%

491 -25.4 -5.17%

495 -29.2 -5.90%

499 -27.4 -5.48%

-25.37 -5.28%

8,598 0.0 0.00%

8,841 341.6 3.86%

8,903 241.5 2.71%

8,983 349.8 3.89%

9,063 284.6 3.14%

9,144 369.1 4.04%

9,229 325.1 3.52%

9,313 403.4 4.33%

9,394 374.7 3.99%

9,476 444.2 4.69%

313.39 3.42%

8,876 -1.7 -0.02%

9,115 156.4 1.72%

9,178 45.1 0.49%

9,258 159.2 1.72%

9,335 96.0 1.03%

9,407 190.7 2.03%

9,489 144.0 1.52%

9,570 225.9 2.36%

9,646 195.8 2.03%

9,722 269.8 2.78%

148.12 1.56%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.29. Pa alm Oil Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

370 35.3 9.56%

412 25.8 6.27%

437 19.9 4.55%

450 16.1 3.58%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

15,281 200.9 1.31%

15,387 245.5 1.60%

15,676 324.8 2.07%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Malaysia Baseline 10,498 Change 94.1 % chg 0.90%

10,548 98.4 0.93%

Indonesia Baseline Change % chg

4,783 106.7 2.23%

Imports of Selected Coun untries China Baseline 2,148 Change 6.7 % chg 0.31% European Union Baseline Change % chg India Baseline Change % chg Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 460 471 483 16.2 16.1 17.6 3.53% 3.41% 3.65%

498 18.4 3.70%

514 19.9 3.86%

531 20.3 3.82%

20.57 4.59%

16,015 352.1 2.20%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 16,382 16,751 17,129 370.2 374.6 382.9 2.26% 2.24% 2.24%

17,508 390.0 2.23%

17,900 401.5 2.24%

18,308 411.5 2.25%

345.39 2.06%

10,753 151.5 1.41%

10,991 168.8 1.54%

11,247 179.2 1.59%

11,494 180.1 1.57%

11,737 184.0 1.57%

11,969 187.3 1.56%

12,202 194.2 1.59%

12,442 200.7 1.61%

163.83 1.43%

4,839 147.1 3.04%

4,923 173.3 3.52%

5,024 183.3 3.65%

5,135 191.0 3.72%

5,257 194.5 3.70%

5,392 198.9 3.69%

5,540 202.7 3.66%

5,698 207.3 3.64%

5,866 210.7 3.59%

181.56 3.44%

2,183 12.7 0.58%

2,241 22.0 0.98%

2,316 23.8 1.03%

2,394 25.6 1.07%

2,476 24.4 0.98%

2,562 25.0 0.98%

2,653 25.0 0.94%

2,747 26.2 0.95%

2,842 26.7 0.94%

21.81 0.88%

2,527 -25.1 -0.99%

2,544 -6.8 -0.27%

2,562 4.0 0.16%

2,599 5.9 0.23%

2,640 6.8 0.26%

2,677 5.6 0.21%

2,714 4.6 0.17%

2,748 3.4 0.12%

2,784 3.1 0.11%

2,822 2.9 0.10%

0.44 0.01%

4,082 290.3 7.11%

4,142 257.3 6.21%

4,287 269.1 6.28%

4,425 279.4 6.31%

4,583 286.8 6.26%

4,744 292.8 6.17%

4,909 300.1 6.11%

5,077 309.5 6.10%

5,254 319.3 6.08%

5,442 329.0 6.05%

293.35 6.27%

6,381 -71.0 -1.11%

6,375 -17.6 -0.28%

6,442 29.7 0.46%

6,531 43.0 0.66%

6,623 51.0 0.77%

6,711 51.8 0.77%

6,802 53.1 0.78%

6,887 52.1 0.76%

6,972 52.9 0.76%

7,060 52.9 0.75%

29.79 0.43%

Table A.30. Pa alm Oil Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Malaysia Production Baseline Change % chg

12,089 0.0 0.00%

12,225 103.5 0.85%

12,458 150.1 1.21%

12,781 167.0 1.31%

13,100 171.0 1.30%

13,398 172.9 1.29%

13,683 173.2 1.27%

13,963 177.6 1.27%

14,250 183.3 1.29%

14,545 191.4 1.32%

149.01 1.11%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,692 -30.1 -1.78%

1,713 -18.2 -1.06%

1,738 -12.5 -0.72%

1,783 -9.0 -0.50%

1,836 -8.8 -0.48%

1,891 -8.3 -0.44%

1,942 -9.1 -0.47%

1,994 -9.3 -0.47%

2,048 -9.8 -0.48%

2,103 -9.7 -0.46%

-12.48 -0.69%

8,087 0.0 0.00%

8,162 73.9 0.91%

8,314 113.1 1.36%

8,497 131.3 1.54%

8,694 139.8 1.61%

8,898 145.2 1.63%

9,109 148.3 1.63%

9,329 152.4 1.63%

9,558 156.2 1.63%

9,796 160.7 1.64%

122.09 1.36%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,311 -96.7 -2.92%

3,331 -75.2 -2.26%

3,394 -61.4 -1.81%

3,474 -52.8 -1.52%

3,559 -51.3 -1.44%

3,641 -49.4 -1.36%

3,718 -50.4 -1.36%

3,790 -50.2 -1.33%

3,860 -50.8 -1.32%

3,930 -50.0 -1.27%

-58.83 -1.66%

China Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,148 6.7 0.31%

2,183 12.7 0.58%

2,241 22.0 0.98%

2,316 23.8 1.03%

2,394 25.6 1.07%

2,476 24.4 0.98%

2,562 25.0 0.98%

2,653 25.0 0.94%

2,747 26.2 0.95%

2,842 26.7 0.94%

21.81 0.88%

2,539 -19.5 -0.77%

2,548 -9.9 -0.39%

2,567 2.3 0.09%

2,601 4.9 0.19%

2,640 6.8 0.26%

2,678 5.5 0.21%

2,715 4.9 0.18%

2,750 3.5 0.13%

2,786 3.3 0.12%

2,823 2.8 0.10%

0.45 0.01%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

39 0.0 0.00%

38 0.0 0.00%

41 0.0 0.00%

44 0.0 0.00%

47 -3.4 -7.12%

51 -4.0 -7.96%

53 -4.3 -8.00%

56 -4.4 -7.86%

58 -4.4 -7.54%

61 -4.4 -7.23%

-2.49 -4.57%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

4,168 189.9 4.56%

4,220 237.2 5.62%

4,337 262.4 6.05%

4,474 275.5 6.16%

4,630 283.2 6.12%

4,795 288.3 6.01%

4,964 295.7 5.96%

5,136 303.9 5.92%

5,316 314.0 5.91%

5,506 323.3 5.87%

277.34 5.82%

Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg

4,350 0.0 0.00%

4,342 2.2 0.05%

4,361 1.4 0.03%

4,413 -3.8 -0.09%

4,480 -7.4 -0.17%

4,548 -12.7 -0.28%

4,613 -17.1 -0.37%

4,676 -20.0 -0.43%

4,741 -21.3 -0.45%

4,808 -21.9 -0.46%

-10.07 -0.22%

10,763 -66.0 -0.61%

10,738 -23.5 -0.22%

10,813 26.2 0.24%

10,945 36.6 0.33%

11,101 43.6 0.39%

11,259 38.8 0.34%

11,415 36.6 0.32%

11,566 32.1 0.28%

11,716 31.9 0.27%

11,870 30.8 0.26%

18.70 0.16%

Indonesia Production Baseline Change % chg

European Union Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.31. Cotton Price P and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

837 10.42 1.25%

911 154.37 16.95%

983 175.19 17.83%

1,041 169.88 16.32%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

4,363 134 3.06%

4,368 173 3.95%

4,367 240 5.51%

4,397 248 5.63%

Exports of Selected Countries Africa Baseline Change % chg

1,198 33.1 2.76%

1,211 146.0 12.06%

1,224 201.1 16.43%

1,238 186.7 15.07%

1,251 181.6 14.52%

Australia Baseline Change % chg

650 13.3 2.04%

644 25.1 3.89%

649 19.9 3.07%

663 20.0 3.01%

683 18.8 2.76%

709 18.8 2.66%

737 18.8 2.55%

766 17.9 2.34%

Pakistan Baseline Change % chg

8 -32.4 -410%

27 -13.9 -51%

28 -7.3 -26%

31 -13.1 -43%

34 -16.1 -48%

37 -19.4 -52%

40 -22.7 -57%

2,275 33.8 1.5%

2,299 -193.5 -8.4%

2,286 -193.1 -8.4%

2,283 -151.2 -6.6%

2,296 -119.0 -5.2%

2,320 -92.9 -4.0%

735 11.8 1.61%

722 39.1 5.41%

717 52.0 7.26%

714 49.3 6.91%

713 48.6 6.81%

712 47.6 6.68%

507 -90.9 -17.9%

538 -206.1 -38.3%

537 -212.9 -39.7%

576 -205.2 -35.7%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

543 264.4 48.7%

514 471.4 91.7%

512 510.0 99.6%

India Baseline Change % chg

385 -29.5 -7.7%

393 -81.5 -20.7%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

237 -8.2 -3.45%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

353 13.6 3.86%

Turkey Baseline Change % chg

424 -28.8 -6.79%

United States Baseline Change % chg Uzbekistan Baseline Change % chg Imports of Selected Countries China Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,091 1,143 1,200 1,258 159.59 146.75 133.15 118.33 14.63% 12.84% 11.09% 9.40%

1,317 102.80 7.80%

1,378 87.21 6.33%

125.77 11.44%

4,635 320 6.91%

4,683 342 7.29%

259 5.75%

1,262 1,273 1,282 1,291 176.9 171.9 167.7 162.6 14.01% 13.50% 13.07% 12.60%

1,298 159.3 12.27%

158.68 12.63%

795 17.4 2.18%

825 17.0 2.06%

18.70 2.66%

44 -26.3 -60%

48 -29.8 -62%

54 -32.3 -60%

-21.35 -86.74%

2,347 -66.7 -2.8%

2,371 -36.6 -1.5%

2,394 -7.9 -0.3%

2,418 22.0 0.9%

-80.51 -3.50%

712 46.6 6.54%

711 45.7 6.43%

711 44.8 6.30%

711 44.0 6.20%

42.95 6.01%

613 -204.3 -33.3%

650 687 710 730 -203.0 -202.5 -201.4 -200.2 -31.2% -29.5% -28.4% -27.4%

751 -189.3 -25.2%

-191.58 -30.66%

496 506.7 102.2%

482 518.0 107.5%

466 447 428 410 524.6 532.4 542.3 550.9 112.7% 119.2% 126.6% 134.4%

390 558.8 143.4%

497.97 108.60%

400 -79.8 -20.0%

410 -76.7 -18.7%

421 -75.1 -17.9%

433 445 459 473 -73.2 -71.3 -69.4 -67.5 -16.9% -16.0% -15.1% -14.3%

488 -66.9 -13.71%

-69.09 -16.10%

228 -9.7 -4.27%

220 -6.7 -3.05%

214 -6.6 -3.10%

209 -6.3 -3.02%

204 200 196 193 -5.9 -5.6 -5.3 -5.0 -2.91% -2.81% -2.71% -2.61%

189 -4.9 -2.56%

-6.44 -3.05%

348 5.0 1.43%

346 8.3 2.40%

346 8.4 2.43%

347 8.7 2.52%

347 9.9 2.85%

347 10.0 2.90%

9.18 2.64%

423 411 -45.2 -48.1 -10.69% -11.71%

394 -41.3 -10.48%

388 -38.6 -9.95%

388 389 389 390 -38.1 -37.9 -36.9 -36.2 -9.82% -9.77% -9.49% -9.27%

393 -36.0 -9.18%

-38.72 -9.71%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 4,439 4,488 4,540 264 277 290 5.95% 6.17% 6.39%

348 9.0 2.59%

347 9.3 2.67%

4,588 306 6.67%

347 9.6 2.76%

Average

Table A.32. Cotton Production P and Consumption 02/03 Africa Production Baseline Change % chg

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,800 -9.6 -0.53%

1,803 80.5 4.46%

1,820 151.5 8.32%

1,837 138.1 7.52%

1,852 134.6 7.27%

1,864 131.7 7.06%

1,877 128.6 6.85%

1,890 126.5 6.69%

1,903 123.2 6.48%

1,915 120.7 6.30%

112.58 6.04%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

596 -31.9 -5.3%

590 -57.8 -9.8%

588 -51.4 -8.7%

586 -49.1 -8.4%

587 -47.4 -8.1%

588 -45.6 -7.8%

590 -43.7 -7.4%

593 -41.7 -7.0%

597 -39.8 -6.7%

602 -38.8 -6.4%

-44.72 -7.56%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

2,525 0.0 0.00%

2,543 11.9 0.47%

2,597 31.4 1.21%

2,668 27.6 1.03%

2,725 26.9 0.99%

2,775 26.2 0.94%

2,822 25.3 0.90%

2,870 24.6 0.86%

2,917 23.7 0.81%

2,963 22.8 0.77%

22.04 0.80%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,904 -23.0 -0.79%

2,931 -59.1 -2.01%

2,984 -51.0 -1.71%

3,058 -49.7 -1.62%

3,128 -48.8 -1.56%

3,192 3,253 3,314 3,375 -47.6 -46.6 -45.4 -44.4 -1.49% -1.43% -1.37% -1.32%

3,436 -44.3 -1.29%

-45.98 -1.46%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

3,908 -96.5 -2.5%

3,815 -696.8 -18.3%

3,772 -403.1 -10.7%

3,784 -300.4 -7.9%

3,802 -257.3 -6.8%

3,831 -121.8 -3.2%

3,840 -89.8 -2.3%

-254.22 -6.68%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,681 -47.1 -2.80%

1,649 -96.8 -5.87%

1,626 -102.0 -6.27%

1,609 -100.6 -6.26%

1,595 -96.4 -6.05%

1,580 1,566 1,553 1,539 -91.8 -88.3 -85.8 -80.8 -5.81% -5.64% -5.53% -5.25%

1,524 -76.6 -5.03%

-86.63 -5.45%

Uzbekistan Production Baseline Change % chg

1,022 0.0 0.00%

1,011 30.9 3.05%

1,007 51.5 5.11%

1,006 47.7 4.74%

1,006 46.9 4.66%

1,010 43.3 4.29%

1,011 42.5 4.20%

39.80 3.95%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

287 -1.4 -0.50%

289 -2.3 -0.81%

290 -2.1 -0.73%

292 -2.1 -0.71%

293 -2.0 -0.70%

295 296 297 299 -2.0 -1.9 -1.9 -1.8 -0.67% -0.65% -0.63% -0.61%

300 -1.8 -0.60%

-1.95 -0.66%

4,769 0.0 0.00%

4,820 44.4 0.92%

4,864 96.8 1.99%

4,912 87.1 1.77%

4,957 86.9 1.75%

5,124 84.5 1.65%

5,166 82.9 1.61%

74.05 1.48%

5,350 -68.1 -1.27%

5,396 -136.4 -2.53%

5,439 -121.0 -2.22%

5,520 -118.9 -2.15%

5,611 -118.2 -2.11%

5,661 5,722 5,783 5,859 -117.5 -117.5 -117.0 -116.7 -2.08% -2.05% -2.02% -1.99%

5,930 -108.9 -1.84%

-114.02 -2.03%

545 0.0 0.0%

556 -430.0 -77.4%

564 -442.1 -78.4%

572 -444.4 -77.7%

580 -454.2 -78.2%

589 598 607 617 -461.0 -469.1 -478.4 -486.9 -78.3% -78.4% -78.8% -78.9%

627 -495.2 -79.0%

-416.14 -70.51%

1,073 67.0 6.24%

1,056 63.3 6.00%

1,062 64.2 6.05%

1,054 64.4 6.11%

1,048 64.5 6.16%

1,002 65.3 6.51%

64.85 6.24%

China Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,811 -224.7 -5.9%

1,007 46.0 4.57%

4,999 86.5 1.73%

1,041 64.7 6.22%

3,816 -195.2 -5.1%

1,008 45.1 4.47%

5,042 85.8 1.70%

1,031 64.9 6.29%

3,824 -156.6 -4.1%

1,009 44.3 4.39%

5,083 85.5 1.68%

1,022 65.0 6.37%

1,013 65.2 6.44%

Table A.33. Butter B Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,393 736.6 52.90%

1,456 643.0 44.16%

1,498 613.2 40.94%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

630 131.8 20.92%

628 86.6 13.80%

Exports of Selected Co ountries Argentina Baseline 5 Change 5.3 % chg 112%

2008

2009

2010

2011

1,559 588.3 37.73%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,585 1,629 1,690 613.1 626.3 633.9 38.67% 38.45% 37.51%

1,765 640.5 36.28%

1,836 636.9 34.69%

1,911 654.0 34.22%

638.59 39.56%

638 80.9 12.68%

650 52.2 8.04%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 668 683 691 58.7 43.6 37.7 8.79% 6.37% 5.46%

700 30.2 4.32%

709 18.5 2.61%

721 30.4 4.22%

57.07 8.72%

6 7.2 128%

6 7.5 135%

6 7.3 127%

6 7.6 135%

6 7.7 139%

6 7.7 134%

6 7.7 130%

6 7.6 125%

6 7.6 123%

7.30 129%

119 20.4 17.08%

121 24.0 19.79%

119 32.3 27.03%

118 34.6 29.43%

121 38.3 31.63%

122 39.9 32.63%

121 40.2 33.13%

122 40.6 33.26%

122 33.2 27.09%

124 30.8 24.92%

33.43 27.60%

76 -29.9 -39%

87 -132.1 -153%

95 -133.1 -140%

103 -118.7 -115%

111 -133.7 -121%

122 -128.3 -105%

128 -118.9 -93%

137 -111.5 -82%

146 -96.2 -66%

155 -77.0 -50%

-107.94 -96%

341 20.5 6.02%

323 30.8 9.54%

326 32.3 9.91%

330 31.3 9.48%

334 31.7 9.52%

337 32.2 9.54%

340 32.0 9.39%

342 31.8 9.28%

344 31.3 9.10%

346 31.2 9.01%

30.51 9.08%

Imports of Selected Co ountries Brazil Baseline 6 Change -5.6 % chg -96%

6 -6.6 -116%

6 -6.4 -115%

4 -5.6 -127%

4 -6.3 -160%

3 -7.0 -201%

3 -7.5 -279%

2 -7.9 -453%

1 -8.0 -792%

0 -8.6 -2832%

-6.95 -517%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

3 27.7 1051%

1 45.3 4413%

-1 47.4 -4325%

-1 46.5 -4546%

0 44.7 10585%

1 42.8 2867%

1 42.6 4101%

2 41.2 2550%

2 40.1 2002%

2 38.9 1637%

41.71 2033%

India Baseline Change % chg

19 -135.5 -732%

20 -113.1 -580%

22 -101.5 -463%

22 -75.4 -341%

20 -83.6 -409%

17 -73.9 -427%

12 -59.6 -491%

14 -44.1 -322%

14 -23.1 -167%

17 -10.5 -61%

-72.04 -399%

Indonesia Baseline Change % chg

14 1.9 13.75%

14 2.0 14.25%

15 2.1 14.33%

15 2.2 14.57%

15 2.2 14.46%

16 2.2 14.45%

16 2.3 14.50%

16 2.4 14.57%

16 2.4 14.68%

17 2.5 14.69%

2.22 14.42%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

3 12.3 415%

1 15.2 1523%

1 16.4 1641%

1 16.8 1680%

1 17.3 1664%

3 15.6 562%

3 14.6 454%

4 13.2 349%

4 12.2 297%

4 11.4 277%

14.50 886%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

112 -16.2 -14.49%

118 -17.2 -14.63%

125 -19.2 -15.28%

132 -16.3 -12.32%

141 -15.3 -10.85%

150 -13.3 -8.85%

158 -10.3 -6.52%

166 -6.4 -3.87%

174 -2.2 -1.26%

183 1.6 0.85%

-11.48 -8.72%

9 178.6 2072%

9 67.9 787%

9 66.9 776%

9 48.0 557%

9 45.0 522%

9 41.9 486%

9 30.7 356%

9 15.4 179%

9 -7.8 -90%

9 -8.6 -100%

47.80 555%

Australia Baseline Change % chg European Union Baseline Change % chg New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

United States Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Table A.34. Butter B Production and Consumption 2002 Australia Production Baseline WTO Change % chg

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 182 196 13.6 7.47%

182 212 29.6 16.26%

180 214 33.3 18.48%

179 214 35.0 19.59%

182 220 37.9 20.81%

184 224 39.6 21.49%

183 223 39.7 21.68%

184 224 40.0 21.77%

184 214 29.3 15.93%

186 216 30.2 16.30%

32.82 17.98%

Consumption Baseline WTO Change % chg

60 59 -1.2 -1.99%

61 60 -1.0 -1.63%

61 60 -0.9 -1.47%

61 61 -0.8 -1.34%

62 61 -0.9 -1.42%

62 61 -0.9 -1.42%

62 61 -0.8 -1.36%

62 61 -0.8 -1.33%

62 62 -0.8 -1.29%

62 62 -0.8 -1.31%

-0.90 -1.46%

European Union Production Baseline WTO Change % chg

1,706 1,617 -88.5 -5.19%

1,704 1,643 -60.8 -3.56%

1,702 1,650 -52.4 -3.08%

1,703 1,649 -53.9 -3.17%

1,704 1,622 -81.5 -4.78%

1,705 1,612 -93.5 -5.49%

1,705 1,606 -99.6 -5.84%

1,703 1,599 -104.9 -6.16%

1,702 1,603 -98.8 -5.81%

1,700 1,608 -92.4 -5.43%

-82.62 -4.85%

Consumption Baseline WTO Change % chg

1,617 1,687 70.4 4.35%

1,614 1,685 71.9 4.46%

1,604 1,682 78.5 4.90%

1,605 1,664 59.0 3.67%

1,603 1,646 42.9 2.67%

1,594 1,619 25.1 1.57%

1,579 1,598 18.5 1.17%

1,566 1,575 8.6 0.55%

1,554 1,554 0.0 0.00%

1,542 1,531 -11.5 -0.75%

36.33 2.26%

New Zealand Production Baseline WTO Change % chg

347 364 16.8 4.83%

351 378 27.7 7.89%

354 384 29.4 8.30%

358 387 28.6 7.97%

362 391 28.9 7.99%

366 395 29.3 8.02%

369 398 29.1 7.90%

371 400 29.0 7.80%

373 402 28.6 7.66%

375 403 28.4 7.58%

27.58 7.59%

Consumption Baseline WTO Change % chg

27 24 -3.8 -13.76%

28 25 -3.2 -11.43%

28 25 -2.9 -10.40%

28 26 -2.7 -9.66%

29 26 -2.8 -9.85%

29 26 -2.8 -9.82%

29 26 -2.8 -9.70%

29 26 -2.8 -9.60%

29 26 -2.7 -9.34%

29 27 -2.7 -9.38%

-2.93 -10.29%

United States Production Baseline WTO Change % chg

546 408 -137.2 -25.1%

547 504 -42.3 -7.7%

549 510 -39.6 -7.2%

553 525 -27.9 -5.0%

555 534 -21.5 -3.9%

559 542 -17.4 -3.1%

560 554 -6.7 -1.2%

562 568 5.3 0.9%

564 587 22.6 4.0%

567 593 26.7 4.7%

-23.81 -4.37%

553 592 38.4 6.9%

555 582 26.5 4.8%

558 585 27.3 4.9%

562 582 20.6 3.7%

564 587 23.2 4.1%

568 592 24.4 4.3%

569 593 24.0 4.2%

571 592 21.0 3.7%

573 588 15.3 2.7%

575 593 17.9 3.1%

23.87 4.24%

Consumption Baseline WTO Change % chg

Table A.35. Cheese C Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

2,051 510.8 24.91%

2,108 579.0 27.47%

2,165 479.0 22.13%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

863 53.4 6.19%

887 51.7 5.83%

Exports of Selected Co ountries Argentina Baseline 12 Change 7.1 % chg 59%

2008

2009

2010

2011

2,202 472.3 21.45%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 2,221 2,266 2,334 507.4 514.7 495.4 22.85% 22.71% 21.22%

2,392 492.5 20.59%

2,445 495.0 20.25%

2,497 496.3 19.88%

504.24 22.34%

891 68.7 7.71%

914 78.4 8.58%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 946 976 995 43.8 38.7 36.7 4.63% 3.96% 3.69%

1,016 46.0 4.52%

1,034 50.5 4.89%

1,057 62.6 5.93%

53.05 5.59%

24 25.5 104%

18 24.3 139%

16 24.0 154%

12 27.4 228%

9 28.4 300%

9 26.8 292%

8 25.9 325%

6 24.9 402%

4 24.0 579%

23.82 258%

185 34.2 18.43%

181 22.6 12.46%

191 19.3 10.12%

195 26.3 13.47%

206 27.0 13.07%

213 28.3 13.32%

217 27.9 12.86%

225 28.7 12.74%

232 29.0 12.49%

240 29.4 12.24%

27.26 13.12%

281 -56.5 -20.12%

288 -72.9 -25.32%

277 -84.8 -30.63%

287 -107.5 -37.45%

301 -161.5 -53.61%

316 -175.8 -55.63%

321 -166.6 -51.90%

327 -150.8 -46.06%

334 343 -140.3 -132.7 -42.00% -38.73%

-124.94 -40.14%

New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

271 13.9 5.15%

277 2.3 0.83%

293 2.1 0.70%

305 6.1 2.00%

315 10.1 3.20%

327 12.4 3.80%

336 12.8 3.82%

342 13.1 3.84%

346 12.8 3.69%

349 12.5 3.57%

9.81 3.06%

Switzerland Baseline Change % chg

60 7.6 12.67%

57 14.1 24.69%

52 19.0 36.39%

46 19.5 42.24%

43 20.4 47.57%

41 20.7 50.43%

40 20.3 51.11%

40 19.8 50.06%

39 19.3 49.03%

39 18.7 47.71%

17.94 41.19%

Imports of Selected Co ountries Brazil Baseline 5 Change 22.8 % chg 506%

-3 47.3 -1653%

-7 57.3 -809%

-6 55.0 -982%

-2 0 51.8 51.4 -3010% 110667%

1 53.4 4859%

3 54.3 1937%

6 55.1 944%

9 55.9 600%

50.42 11306%

Australia Baseline Change % chg European Union Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Canada Baseline Change % chg

11 68.3 649%

11 62.3 587%

10 66.9 646%

10 67.5 680%

8 66.6 820%

8 65.2 811%

8 63.9 799%

8 62.5 783%

8 61.0 764%

8 59.7 746%

64.39 728%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

200 46.0 22.97%

206 36.7 17.77%

210 30.1 14.33%

216 22.4 10.39%

222 14.6 6.58%

228 6.5 2.87%

234 -0.8 -0.32%

239 -8.0 -3.36%

244 -15.1 -6.20%

249 -22.4 -8.97%

11.02 5.61%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

60 -21.0 -35%

58 -41.1 -71%

57 -52.7 -92%

57 -57.8 -102%

56 -62.7 -112%

51 -65.9 -129%

49 -67.0 -137%

45 -67.0 -150%

39 -66.6 -170%

31 -66.1 -210%

-56.80 -121%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

108 -31.3 -28.92%

113 -54.5 -48.25%

118 -56.8 -48.02%

125 -51.8 -41.29%

133 -49.3 -37.08%

140 -45.7 -32.68%

147 -41.2 -28.09%

153 -36.2 -23.57%

161 169 -31.5 -26.6 -19.56% -15.80%

-42.49 -32.33%

United States Baseline Change % chg

138 -88.7 -64.10%

138 -66.6 -48%

137 -51.8 -38%

137 -53.8 -39%

137 -60.6 -44%

137 -66.7 -49%

137 -69.3 -50%

137 -72.1 -52%

137 -72.3 -53%

137 -79.2 -58%

-68.11 -49.50%

Table A.36. Cheese C Production and Consumption 2002 Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 363 21.9 6.02%

376 16.0 4.26%

389 14.0 3.61%

401 15.6 3.88%

413 17.0 4.13%

425 18.2 4.28%

437 19.1 4.36%

449 19.8 4.40%

461 20.3 4.41%

473 20.8 4.39%

18.26 4.37%

183 -7.7 -4.19%

191 -8.5 -4.44%

198 -5.8 -2.91%

205 -9.2 -4.5%

207 -10.0 -4.8%

212 -10.0 -4.7%

218 -9.1 -4.2%

223 -8.9 -4.0%

228 -8.7 -3.8%

232 -8.6 -3.7%

-8.64 -4.13%

6,273 197.4 3.1%

6,304 7.3 0.1%

6,354 105.5 1.7%

6,434 -17.6 -0.3%

6,496 -101.6 -1.6%

6,560 -139.3 -2.1%

6,577 -117.7 -1.8%

6,612 -110.0 -1.7%

6,652 -110.1 -1.7%

6,693 -112.7 -1.7%

-39.89 -0.58%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

5,977 116.2 1.94%

6,032 88.4 1.47%

6,079 141.4 2.33%

6,136 116.0 1.89%

6,188 88.5 1.43%

6,237 62.7 1.01%

6,267 56.2 0.90%

6,297 48.9 0.78%

6,328 39.9 0.63%

6,359 30.4 0.48%

78.86 1.28%

New Zealand Production Baseline Change % chg

296 11.7 3.96%

305 -0.1 -0.03%

322 0.1 0.02%

335 4.1 1.24%

346 8.0 2.32%

359 10.4 2.90%

368 10.9 2.95%

375 11.2 2.99%

380 10.9 2.86%

384 10.6 2.75%

7.78 2.20%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

27 -2.2 -8.3%

28 -2.4 -8.6%

29 -2.0 -7.0%

30 -1.9 -6.6%

31 -2.0 -6.7%

31 -2.0 -6.5%

32 -2.0 -6.1%

33 -1.9 -5.9%

34 -1.9 -5.7%

35 -1.9 -5.5%

-2.03 -6.67%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

3,898 98 2.5%

4,026 -10 -0.3%

4,141 -7 -0.2%

4,249 -11 -0.3%

4,358 -12 -0.3%

4,463 -11 -0.2%

4,574 -15 -0.3%

4,686 -17 -0.4%

4,803 -22 -0.5%

4,913 -17 -0.3%

-2.49 -0.02%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

4,022 13 0%

4,137 -32 -1%

4,248 -35 -1%

4,358 -41 -1%

4,467 -50 -1%

4,572 -55 -1%

4,683 -61 -1%

4,796 -66 -1%

4,913 -71 -1%

5,023 -75 -1%

-47.18 -1.01%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

Table A.37. Nonfat N Dry Milk Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,739 289.9 16.67%

1,772 693.9 39.17%

1,788 635.4 35.53%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

965 106.0 10.99%

954 32.4 3.39%

ountries Exports of Selected Co Argentina Baseline 21 Change 3.3 % chg 15.17% Australia Baseline Change % chg Canada Baseline Change % chg

2008

2009

2010

2011

1,813 598.8 33.02%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,843 1,880 1,932 602.6 595.7 575.6 32.69% 31.68% 29.79%

1,963 569.0 29.00%

1,993 575.3 28.86%

2,021 571.1 28.26%

570.72 30.47%

959 45.7 4.76%

971 51.2 5.27%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 986 997 1,001 59.6 63.3 66.7 6.04% 6.35% 6.66%

1,010 68.6 6.79%

1,021 66.7 6.53%

1,033 69.5 6.73%

62.96 6.35%

22 8.1 36.50%

22 8.3 37.37%

23 7.9 34.94%

23 8.1 34.99%

23 8.1 34.62%

24 7.9 33.06%

24 7.8 32.16%

25 7.8 31.33%

25 7.7 30.64%

7.50 32.08%

222 25.0 11.28%

227 58.3 25.71%

222 62.6 28.21%

217 66.5 30.66%

222 72.8 32.74%

224 75.9 33.85%

221 76.0 34.40%

220 76.7 34.88%

219 60.7 27.70%

220 57.9 26.32%

63.24 28.57%

36 -37.4 -105%

35 -71.9 -206%

37 -81.0 -216%

37 -81.1 -219%

35 -78.9 -229%

32 -76.8 -240%

32 -77.2 -241%

31 -76.4 -247%

30 -75.4 -255%

29 -74.7 -262%

-73.08 -222%

95 -35.9 -38%

106 -107.5 -102%

101 -121.5 -121%

104 -121.4 -116%

107 -126.9 -118%

111 -129.2 -117%

112 -120.5 -108%

112 -116.5 -104%

113 -106.9 -95%

113 -99.0 -87%

-108.53 -101%

New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

198 12.3 6.23%

192 35.9 18.72%

196 39.0 19.92%

202 36.7 18.19%

208 36.9 17.77%

213 37.3 17.52%

218 36.8 16.91%

221 36.4 16.46%

224 35.7 15.94%

227 35.4 15.61%

34.26 16.33%

United States Baseline Change % chg

178 154.7 86.76%

135 41.5 30.71%

130 36.7 28.29%

124 42.4 34.23%

115 47.4 41.33%

106 51.2 48.41%

97 58.5 60.56%

97 59.3 61.36%

97 65.3 67.63%

97 60.1 62.19%

61.71 52.15%

Imports of Selected Co ountries Brazil Baseline 12 Change -5.1 % chg -43%

12 -15.2 -125%

13 -15.9 -123%

13 -15.3 -122%

12 -15.4 -128%

12 -15.7 -131%

12 -15.9 -135%

12 -16.2 -133%

13 -16.6 -132%

13 -17.0 -129%

-14.83 -120%

124 14.4 11.64%

126 14.8 11.70%

13.16 11.55%

55 57 -35.2 -39.0 -63.48% -67.87%

-22.86 -51.17%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Indonesia Baseline Change % chg

101 13.3 13.22%

104 11.3 10.82%

107 11.8 11.02%

110 12.4 11.25%

113 12.7 11.28%

115 13.1 11.38%

118 13.7 11.55%

121 14.1 11.63%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

42 -22.3 -53.02%

30 -16.5 -54.34%

28 -12.0 -43.13%

31 -13.0 -42.07%

41 -15.2 -36.97%

46 -19.9 -42.72%

50 -25.0 -50.30%

53 -30.6 -57.85%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

90 -6.0 -6.69%

95 -7.9 -8.33%

98 -8.3 -8.46%

102 -8.7 -8.60%

105 -9.3 -8.82%

107 -9.6 -8.95%

110 -9.7 -8.82%

113 -9.9 -8.71%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

42 -4.1 -9.62%

43 -20.8 -48.58%

42 -25.0 -58.97%

39 -22.2 -56.47%

36 -20.3 -56.51%

33 -17.6 -53.98%

30 -14.4 -48.88%

26 -10.5 -40.56%

116 -10.1 -8.65%

Average

119 -10.2 -8.56%

-8.97 -8.46%

22 18 -6.8 -2.7 -30.26% -14.66%

-14.44 -41.85%

Table A.38. Nonfat N Dry Milk Production and Consumption 2002 Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 264 23.4 8.88%

262 55.2 21.06%

256 62.6 24.40%

251 65.5 26.10%

256 71.0 27.69%

258 74.0 28.67%

255 74.2 29.13%

254 74.6 29.41%

253 54.0 21.35%

254 55.7 21.94%

61.02 23.86%

33 -1.6 -4.88%

34 -3.7 -10.94%

34 -3.2 -9.40%

34 -2.9 -8.40%

34 -2.9 -8.72%

34 -2.9 -8.53%

34 -2.6 -7.80%

34 -2.5 -7.53%

34 -2.5 -7.45%

33 -2.4 -7.35%

-2.73 -8.10%

972 -206.4 -21.22%

961 -122.3 -12.74%

946 -120.9 -12.78%

931 -105.5 -11.33%

922 -107.8 -11.69%

911 -105.3 -11.55%

907 -100.0 -11.03%

896 -91.2 -10.18%

884 -78.7 -8.90%

873 -65.1 -7.46%

-110.33 -11.89%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

861 65.3 7.59%

853 -13.0 -1.53%

845 1.2 0.14%

838 5.2 0.62%

828 4.9 0.59%

818 7.1 0.87%

802 13.6 1.69%

789 20.4 2.59%

776 24.2 3.12%

763 30.6 4.01%

15.94 1.97%

New Zealand Production Baseline Change % chg

198 11.6 5.86%

203 34.2 16.85%

207 37.5 18.10%

214 35.4 16.56%

219 35.5 16.20%

225 36.0 16.01%

230 35.6 15.49%

233 35.2 15.10%

236 34.5 14.61%

239 34.2 14.32%

32.97 14.91%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

11 -0.7 -6.61%

11 -1.7 -14.98%

11 -1.5 -13.02%

12 -1.4 -11.83%

12 -1.4 -11.65%

12 -1.3 -11.24%

12 -1.3 -10.61%

12 -1.2 -10.22%

12 -1.2 -10.05%

12 -1.2 -9.71%

-1.28 -10.99%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

623 -254.4 -41%

608 -66.8 -11%

592 -58.6 -10%

576 -39.6 -7%

555 -23.2 -4%

539 -13.7 -3%

515 8.8 2%

494 31.8 6%

472 63.3 13%

454 74.3 16%

-27.80 -3.74%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

403 -15.0 -3.7%

406 -40.4 -10.0%

409 -42.9 -10.5%

399 -30.0 -7.5%

402 -34.1 -8.5%

402 -35.3 -8.8%

406 -38.2 -9.4%

408 -38.8 -9.5%

410 -38.4 -9.4%

410 -40.1 -9.8%

-35.33 -8.70%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

Table A.39. Whole W Milk Powder Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,788 458.2 25.63%

1,826 577.3 31.61%

1,847 512.1 27.73%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,277 76.3 5.98%

1,293 35.8 2.77%

ountries Exports of Selected Co Argentina 100 Baseline 20.8 Change 20.92% % chg

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

1,870 495.5 26.50%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,892 1,924 1,964 492.6 480.3 470.6 26.04% 24.96% 23.96%

1,998 466.4 23.34%

2,030 473.8 23.33%

2,064 469.7 22.76%

489.64 25.59%

1,304 69.5 5.33%

1,326 75.3 5.68%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,345 1,356 1,368 83.5 94.1 99.1 6.21% 6.94% 7.24%

1,377 106.4 7.73%

1,385 108.6 7.84%

1,393 118.7 8.52%

86.72 6.42%

104 18.3 17.58%

107 16.7 15.68%

108 17.9 16.53%

109 17.6 16.18%

111 16.9 15.17%

113 16.9 14.90%

116 16.7 14.45%

118 17.1 14.54%

120 16.5 13.74%

17.56 15.97%

206 23.9 11.58%

207 25.7 12.44%

27.74 13.67%

478 478 -68.4 -65.6 -14.31% -13.73%

-62.10 -12.98%

Australia Baseline Change % chg

193 12.3 6.36%

197 18.9 9.58%

200 24.5 12.25%

201 28.5 14.14%

202 33.2 16.46%

203 35.9 17.64%

205 36.7 17.92%

206 37.7 18.35%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

476 9.2 1.94%

478 -53.8 -11.26%

471 -48.9 -10.38%

478 -72.7 -15.23%

484 -84.1 -17.39%

480 -82.5 -17.20%

479 -78.8 -16.47%

478 -75.4 -15.76%

New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

508 34.0 6.69%

513 16.3 3.17%

526 10.6 2.02%

539 15.1 2.81%

550 15.8 2.88%

562 15.5 2.75%

571 16.3 2.86%

577 16.5 2.86%

583 17.2 2.95%

588 15.9 2.71%

17.33 3.17%

ountries Imports of Selected Co Brazil Baseline 23 Change -0.7 % chg -3.11%

21 6.6 30.72%

21 12.1 56.39%

23 10.4 44.63%

24 12.9 54.86%

24 15.7 64.70%

26 16.5 62.45%

30 17.2 58.36%

33 16.3 49.18%

37 18.1 48.50%

12.50 46.67%

China Baseline Change % chg

25 7.8 31%

12 -47.6 -413%

8 -74.4 -947%

21 -107.2 -519%

29 -130.0 -446%

39 -147.1 -380%

52 -160.0 -307%

59 -170.1 -287%

63 -181.4 -290%

64 -190.5 -296%

-120.06 -385%

Indonesia Baseline Change % chg

12 2.8 23.71%

12 2.8 22.93%

13 2.9 23.09%

13 3.0 23.24%

13 3.1 23.23%

14 3.2 23.31%

14 3.3 23.43%

14 3.4 23.49%

15 3.4 23.48%

15 3.5 23.52%

3.13 23.34%

Malaysia Baseline Change % chg

47 -0.5 -1.13%

48 -0.7 -1.36%

50 -0.6 -1.18%

51 -0.6 -1.11%

53 -0.6 -1.12%

55 -0.6 -1.08%

57 -0.6 -1.03%

59 -0.6 -1.01%

61 -0.6 -1.01%

63 -0.6 -1.00%

-0.60 -1.10%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

23 4.9 21.10%

25 4.0 15.89%

26 1.4 5.49%

27 0.6 2.12%

30 0.2 0.64%

31 0.0 0.16%

31 0.0 0.10%

32 0.3 1.04%

33 0.7 2.17%

34 1.2 3.55%

1.33 5.23%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

23 -0.4 -1.72%

23 -7.1 -30.83%

22 -7.7 -34.41%

21 -6.2 -29.60%

20 -6.1 -30.52%

19 -5.5 -29.47%

17 -4.2 -24.54%

15 -2.8 -18.53%

13 -1.4 -10.40%

12 -0.2 -1.65%

-4.15 -21.17%

0 2.7 559%

0 3.0 646%

0 3.0 720%

0 3.0 831%

1 3.0 530%

1 3.0 471%

1 3.1 523%

1 3.1 501%

1 3.1 473%

1 3.1 426%

3.01 568%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

Table A.40. Whole W Milk Powder Production and Consumption 2002 Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 218 11.6 5.32%

224 18.2 8.12%

227 23.9 10.52%

229 27.9 12.20%

230 32.6 14.21%

232 35.3 15.24%

234 36.2 15.49%

235 37.2 15.85%

236 23.4 9.91%

237 25.2 10.65%

27.16 11.75%

26 -0.6 -2.42%

26 -0.7 -2.82%

27 -0.6 -2.33%

27 -0.6 -2.11%

28 -0.6 -2.10%

28 -0.6 -1.99%

29 -0.5 -1.82%

29 -0.5 -1.73%

30 -0.5 -1.69%

30 -0.5 -1.63%

-0.57 -2.06%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

975 44.3 4.54%

977 -24.1 -2.47%

969 -13.5 -1.40%

977 -40.0 -4.10%

983 -53.8 -5.47%

979 -55.3 -5.65%

975 -52.1 -5.34%

972 -49.5 -5.09%

970 -43.8 -4.52%

967 -42.1 -4.35%

-33.01 -3.39%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

499 35.1 7.02%

499 29.7 5.95%

499 35.3 7.08%

499 32.7 6.55%

499 30.3 6.07%

499 27.2 5.44%

497 26.7 5.38%

494 25.9 5.24%

492 24.5 4.99%

489 23.5 4.81%

29.09 5.85%

New Zealand Production Baseline Change % chg

536 18.1 3.38%

550 12.0 2.19%

564 12.3 2.18%

576 15.2 2.63%

587 15.3 2.60%

600 15.3 2.54%

608 16.1 2.65%

616 16.1 2.62%

622 16.5 2.66%

627 15.5 2.48%

15.24 2.59%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

34 -1.0 -2.85%

35 -1.2 -3.48%

35 -1.0 -2.89%

36 -1.0 -2.67%

36 -0.9 -2.58%

37 -0.9 -2.43%

37 -0.9 -2.30%

38 -0.8 -2.20%

38 -0.8 -2.17%

39 -0.8 -2.07%

-0.93 -2.56%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.41. Beef B Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,641 145.6 8.87%

1,684 162.5 9.65%

1,730 183.5 10.61%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

2,906 361 12.42%

3,218 432 13.42%

Exports of Selected Countries C Argentina Baseline 194 Change 115.5 % chg 59.62%

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

1,681 126.6 7.54%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,613 1,545 1,506 36.4 -16.2 -34.1 2.26% -1.05% -2.26%

1,481 -19.3 -1.30%

1,507 8.0 0.53%

1,543 43.8 2.84%

63.68 3.77%

3,484 387 11.10%

3,726 385 10.35%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 3,990 4,123 4,171 381 323 278 9.54% 7.84% 6.67%

4,233 254 6.00%

4,171 270 6.47%

4,158 309 7.44%

337.95 9.12%

280 77.4 27.62%

330 89.5 27.15%

322 76.0 23.59%

323 78.0 24.17%

326 115.5 35.37%

347 159.6 45.96%

362 198.8 55.01%

408 218.7 53.66%

438 223.0 50.86%

135.20 40.30%

Australia Baseline Change % chg

1,370 62.3 4.55%

1,421 25.9 1.82%

1,478 51.5 3.48%

1,484 84.5 5.69%

1,539 126.5 8.22%

1,526 178.3 11.68%

1,478 204.3 13.82%

1,450 216.5 14.93%

1,433 219.2 15.30%

1,404 214.2 15.26%

138.31 9.47%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

510 94.4 18.51%

575 111.7 19.44%

607 155.3 25.57%

752 135.6 18.04%

825 72.4 8.78%

841 24.1 2.86%

839 -2.2 -0.26%

820 4.1 0.50%

838 24.4 2.91%

854 54.7 6.40%

67.43 10.27%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

250 55.1 22.05%

274 28.3 10.32%

310 25.2 8.13%

332 22.0 6.62%

376 26.9 7.16%

411 43.6 10.61%

451 52.4 11.63%

478 49.4 10.33%

499 34.5 6.91%

504 15.2 3.01%

35.25 9.68%

369 18.4 5%

370 -153.3 -41%

420 -511.6 -122%

418 -525.4 -126%

413 -461.5 -112%

411 -550.6 -134%

410 -603.4 -147%

409 -636.7 -156%

410 -633.9 -155%

411 -614.7 -150%

-467.29 -114%

New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

538 50.7 9.41%

570 33.0 5.79%

600 40.4 6.74%

591 30.9 5.23%

584 16.3 2.79%

570 12.7 2.23%

568 14.1 2.48%

570 24.6 4.32%

593 35.6 5.99%

612 45.2 7.38%

30.35 5.24%

United States Baseline Change % chg

-497 341.1 -69%

-495 507.4 -102%

-507 623.4 -123%

-348 709.7 -204%

-151 725.0 -479%

30 744.1 2479%

127 720.8 569%

239 670.4 280%

67 623.4 931%

-3 595.3 -18673%

626.06 -1539%

Imports of Selected Countries C Japan Baseline 912 Change 213.5 % chg 23.40%

919 201.4 21.92%

930 189.8 20.42%

961 200.4 20.86%

997 222.0 22.26%

1,031 225.7 21.90%

1,059 217.9 20.58%

1,082 200.3 18.51%

1,096 185.8 16.95%

1,104 172.0 15.57%

202.87 20.24%

473 -102.1 -21.58%

593 53.7 9.06%

645 62.8 9.74%

693 44.9 6.47%

742 -40.0 -5.39%

681 -164.1 -24.08%

595 -238.2 -40.00%

546 -251.5 -46.03%

511 -210.4 -41.18%

539 -147.3 -27.36%

-99.22 -18.03%

Philippines Baseline Change % chg

90 80.5 89.58%

99 57.7 58.06%

102 47.9 47.13%

113 62.7 55.54%

125 86.9 69.77%

136 107.4 79.05%

143 119.2 83.37%

148 120.9 81.46%

144 115.0 80.05%

138 107.5 77.66%

90.58 72.17%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

232 48.5 20.89%

250 47.9 19.20%

265 43.3 16.32%

284 45.5 16.04%

303 52.5 17.33%

321 60.0 18.70%

336 66.3 19.72%

349 70.4 20.19%

356 72.7 20.42%

361 74.0 20.50%

58.11 18.93%

European Union * Baseline Change % chg

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

* Includes meat and me eat equivalent of live cattle trade.

Table A.42. Beef B Production and Consumption 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

2,902 77.3 2.7%

2,946 40.0 1.4%

3,010 49.8 1.7%

3,045 46.5 1.5%

3,096 66.9 2.2%

3,152 117.9 3.7%

3,221 167.8 5.2%

3,280 204.3 6.2%

3,356 217.1 6.5%

3,416 212.3 6.2%

119.97 3.72%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,709 -38.1 -1.4%

2,665 -37.4 -1.4%

2,680 -39.8 -1.5%

2,723 -29.5 -1.1%

2,773 -11.1 -0.4%

2,826 2.4 0.1%

2,873 8.2 0.3%

2,918 5.5 0.2%

2,949 -1.7 -0.1%

2,977 -10.7 -0.4%

-15.23 -0.56%

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

2,038 54.3 2.7%

2,099 16.1 0.8%

2,165 40.0 1.8%

2,188 75.3 3.4%

2,255 124.7 5.5%

2,260 182.7 8.1%

2,233 212.5 9.5%

2,221 223.1 10.0%

2,208 221.3 10.0%

2,179 211.2 9.7%

136.11 6.16%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

668 -7.7 -1.2%

678 -9.8 -1.4%

687 -11.5 -1.7%

704 -9.3 -1.3%

716 -2.0 -0.3%

733 4.3 0.6%

755 8.1 1.1%

770 6.7 0.9%

775 2.2 0.3%

775 -2.8 -0.4%

-2.18 -0.34%

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

6,883 61.2 0.9%

7,089 66.5 0.9%

7,220 99.7 1.4%

7,520 106.8 1.4%

7,767 94.9 1.2%

7,966 87.7 1.1%

8,134 80.5 1.0%

8,278 79.7 1.0%

8,417 78.6 0.9%

8,545 81.5 1.0%

83.72 1.08%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

6,373 -33.1 -0.5%

6,515 -45.2 -0.7%

6,613 -55.6 -0.8%

6,768 -28.9 -0.4%

6,942 22.5 0.3%

7,125 63.6 0.9%

7,296 82.7 1.1%

7,458 75.6 1.0%

7,578 54.3 0.7%

7,691 26.9 0.3%

16.29 0.20%

China - Mainland Production Baseline Change % chg

5,847 -158.0 -2.7%

6,103 -70.2 -1.2%

6,374 -45.0 -0.7%

6,650 -91.5 -1.4%

6,963 -116.7 -1.7%

7,276 -119.2 -1.6%

7,613 -114.9 -1.5%

8,000 -109.5 -1.4%

8,432 -106.7 -1.3%

8,899 -101.4 -1.1%

-103.32 -1.45%

5,819 168.8 2.9%

6,071 107.0 1.8%

6,348 32.8 0.5%

6,642 37.5 0.6%

6,979 46.6 0.7%

7,322 50.7 0.7%

7,693 49.9 0.6%

8,115 45.8 0.6%

8,574 41.2 0.5%

9,067 35.2 0.4%

61.53 0.92%

7,271 -206.6 -2.8%

7,492 -157.4 -2.1%

7,438 -202.7 -2.7%

7,397 -258.1 -3.5%

7,377 -303.9 -4.1%

7,322 -331.7 -4.5%

7,281 -355.6 -4.9%

7,254 -389.1 -5.4%

7,231 -414.5 -5.7%

7,205 -431.0 -6.0%

-305.05 -4.18%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

6,827 150.3 2.2%

7,099 19.3 0.3%

7,340 -12.8 -0.2%

7,258 -11.6 -0.2%

7,014 107.6 1.5%

6,961 169.1 2.4%

6,921 198.2 2.9%

6,895 197.9 2.9%

6,870 169.6 2.5%

6,844 133.7 2.0%

112.13 1.63%

Mexico Production Baseline Change % chg

1,887 48.4 3%

1,776 -87.6 -5%

1,756 -102.3 -6%

1,773 -69.9 -4%

1,797 43.3 2%

1,917 190.3 10%

2,057 276.0 13%

2,154 287.0 13%

2,227 234.5 11%

2,234 155.7 7%

97.53 4.44%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,360 -53.8 -2%

2,369 -33.9 -1%

2,401 -39.5 -2%

2,467 -25.1 -1%

2,539 3.4 0%

2,598 26.2 1%

2,653 37.8 1%

2,701 35.4 1%

2,738 24.1 1%

2,773 8.3 0%

-1.69 -0.13%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union * Production Baseline Change % chg

* Includes meat and me eat equivalent of live cattle trade.

Table A.43. Pork P Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

984 112.7 11.46%

892 109.6 12.28%

950 109.7 11.55%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

2,551 496.9 19.47%

2,735 443.1 16.20%

Exports of Selected Countries C Brazil Baseline 284 Change 145.6 % chg 51.20% Canada Baseline Change % chg European Union Baseline Change % chg

2008

2009

2010

2011

987 95.0 9.63%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,012 957 915 73.8 73.3 84.5 7.29% 7.66% 9.23%

879 100.9 11.47%

929 107.4 11.56%

997 108.4 10.88%

97.54 10.30%

2,831 685 24.19%

2,949 883 29.95%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 3,038 3,139 3,273 1,055 1,067 1,037 34.72% 33.98% 31.69%

3,414 986 28.88%

3,537 1,081 30.58%

3,644 1,252.9 34.39%

898.68 28.40%

331 156.1 47.19%

367 197.5 53.82%

380 224.9 59.17%

410 238.6 58.22%

434 266.1 61.31%

460 296.8 64.46%

486 327.8 67.46%

488 342.6 70.16%

487 351.8 72.28%

254.77 60.53%

649 173.5 26.72%

612 198.8 32.48%

658 249.6 37.90%

714 287.0 40.19%

796 311.7 39.16%

817 343.8 42.10%

825 377.7 45.77%

817 417.6 51.08%

872 435.8 49.96%

966 451.4 46.75%

324.67 41.21%

1,230 204.1 16.59%

1,329 -123.3 -9.27%

1,298 -64.7 -4.98%

1,295 -16.9 -1.30%

1,229 70.7 5.75%

1,231 -50.2 -4.08%

1,270 -215.3 -16.95%

1,340 -412.2 -30.77%

1,385 -363.3 -26.23%

1,412 -205.6 -14.56%

-117.66 -8.58%

50 -73.5 -146%

76 -71.6 -94.57%

105 -92.4 -88.07%

146 -114.2 -78.03%

181 -132.9 -73.36%

216 -123.4 -57.24%

247 -106.4 -43.02%

277 -87.0 -31.43%

284 -95.0 -33.42%

286 -112.9 -39.48%

-100.93 -68.45%

228 149.2 66%

260 328.3 126%

268 449.1 168%

275 559.3 203%

278 626.0 225%

295 681.2 231%

327 722.9 221%

351 764.6 218%

376 788.9 210%

376 808.5 215%

587.78 188%

Imports of Selected Countries C China - Mainland Baseline 79 Change 98.8 % chg 125%

87 136.1 157%

127 260.1 204%

144 345.1 240%

159 423.2 267%

178 404.4 228%

198 360.9 182%

209 303.3 145%

219 342.0 156%

229 436.6 191%

311.04 190%

Poland Baseline Change % chg United States Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Japan Baseline Change % chg

945 176.9 18.72%

1,001 161.9 16.18%

1,019 195.8 19.21%

1,041 220.1 21.15%

1,059 239.5 22.60%

1,099 286.7 26.08%

1,140 342.7 30.07%

1,181 403.6 34.16%

1,201 436.7 36.37%

1,210 452.8 37.43%

291.66 26.20%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

274 45.4 16.58%

331 -15.9 -4.80%

357 -26.2 -7.33%

372 -43.0 -11.54%

376 -57.7 -15.35%

394 -69.3 -17.59%

433 -77.7 -17.93%

485 -83.9 -17.30%

514 -84.8 -16.48%

519 -82.8 -15.94%

-49.57 -10.77%

Philippines Baseline Change % chg

32 -2.7 -8.36%

37 -2.7 -7.36%

35 17.9 50.88%

47 30.1 63.96%

51 39.7 77.74%

59 35.7 60.64%

67 31.6 47.44%

76 26.9 35.55%

94 32.7 34.83%

116 41.8 36.14%

25.11 39.15%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

66 39.4 59.66%

96 36.3 37.76%

97 51.7 53.03%

96 71.1 74.43%

92 90.7 98.18%

97 95.1 98.21%

101 92.0 90.88%

105 84.1 79.82%

102 86.1 84.17%

99 93.8 94.30%

74.02 77.04%

44 3.8 8.75%

60 8.9 14.81%

68 14.5 21.39%

78 24.2 31.06%

81 32.3 40.07%

90 37.3 41.38%

100 40.0 40.18%

109 40.3 36.87%

111 42.4 38.16%

110 45.5 41.39%

28.93 31.41%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

Table A.44. Pork P Production and Consumption 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

2,235 123.9 5.5%

2,337 137.2 5.9%

2,425 181.9 7.5%

2,488 208.5 8.4%

2,561 218.8 8.5%

2,630 236.9 9.0%

2,707 257.3 9.5%

2,786 282.0 10.1%

2,857 298.0 10.4%

2,929 312.9 10.7%

225.72 8.56%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,951 -21.7 -1.1%

2,006 -18.9 -0.9%

2,058 -15.6 -0.8%

2,108 -16.3 -0.8%

2,151 -19.8 -0.9%

2,196 -29.2 -1.3%

2,246 -39.5 -1.8%

2,300 -45.8 -2.0%

2,369 -44.7 -1.9%

2,442 -38.9 -1.6%

-29.05 -1.31%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

1,762 114.2 6.5%

1,783 127.3 7.1%

1,837 180.2 9.8%

1,900 222.1 11.7%

1,987 253.0 12.7%

2,041 276.1 13.5%

2,082 297.1 14.3%

2,106 321.9 15.3%

2,163 342.2 15.8%

2,254 364.8 16.2%

249.87 12.29%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,113 -59.3 -5.3%

1,171 -71.5 -6.1%

1,178 -69.4 -5.9%

1,186 -64.9 -5.5%

1,191 -58.7 -4.9%

1,224 -67.7 -5.5%

1,256 -80.6 -6.4%

1,289 -95.7 -7.4%

1,291 -93.6 -7.3%

1,288 -86.7 -6.7%

-74.80 -6.11%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

17,804 20.5 0.1%

17,964 -6.3 0.0%

18,009 -59.2 -0.3%

18,060 -93.2 -0.5%

18,121 -98.5 -0.5%

18,196 -130.8 -0.7%

18,294 -213.6 -1.2%

18,414 -330.4 -1.8%

18,533 -410.3 -2.2%

18,635 -407.0 -2.2%

-172.88 -0.94%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

16,569 -182.4 -1.1%

16,635 112.2 0.7%

16,709 6.5 0.0%

16,765 -75.4 -0.4%

16,892 -169.3 -1.0%

16,965 -82.8 -0.5%

17,024 0.1 0.0%

17,074 80.6 0.5%

17,148 -44.8 -0.3%

17,223 -198.8 -1.2%

-55.41 -0.33%

China - Mainland Production Baseline Change % chg

29,880 -192.6 -0.6%

30,550 -253.2 -0.8%

31,189 -305.6 -1.0%

31,897 -353.0 -1.1%

32,696 -404.4 -1.2%

33,512 -421.1 -1%

34,309 -412.4 -1.2%

35,088 -382.6 -1.1%

35,838 -373.3 -1.0%

36,556 -388.4 -1%

-348.65 -1.04%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

29,959 -93.8 -0.3%

30,636 -117.1 -0.4%

31,316 -45.5 -0.1%

32,040 -7.9 0.0%

32,854 18.8 0.1%

33,690 -16.7 0%

34,506 -51.6 -0.1%

35,297 -79.3 -0.2%

36,057 -31.3 -0.1%

36,785 48.2 0%

-37.61 -0.12%

Japan Production Baseline Change % chg

1,248 -100.9 -8.1%

1,228 -98.6 -8.0%

1,221 -120.8 -9.9%

1,216 -138.5 -11.4%

1,217 -151.7 -12.5%

1,214 -165.2 -13.6%

1,207 -176.6 -14.6%

1,198 -187.0 -15.6%

1,198 -193.8 -16.2%

1,204 -198.5 -16.5%

-153.16 -12.64%

2,193 68.4 3.1%

2,228 62.6 2.8%

2,240 74.6 3.3%

2,256 81.3 3.6%

2,277 87.2 3.8%

2,312 120.4 5.2%

2,346 165.1 7.0%

2,379 215.8 9.1%

2,398 242.8 10.1%

2,414 254.6 10.5%

137.29 5.87%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table A.45. Broiler B Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,306 104.5 8.00%

1,315 102.1 7.76%

1,323 105.5 7.98%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

5,165 985 19.06%

5,435 1,196 22.01%

Exports of Selected Countries C Brazil Baseline 1,300 Change 442.8 % chg 34.06%

2008

2009

2010

2011

1,325 101.1 7.64%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,320 1,317 1,330 88.4 86.8 89.5 6.69% 6.59% 6.73%

1,339 97.0 7.25%

1,353 104.3 7.71%

1,365 112.8 8.27%

99.22 7.46%

5,683 1,170 20.59%

5,929 1,176 19.84%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 6,176 6,419 6,614 1,172 1,172 1,190 18.97% 18.26% 17.99%

6,797 1,215 17.87%

6,991 1,229 17.58%

7,220 1,239.5 17.17%

1,174.47 18.93%

1,524 485.5 31.85%

1,683 492.9 29.29%

1,842 477.3 25.92%

1,951 454.4 23.29%

2,045 454.3 22.21%

2,186 443.8 20.30%

2,297 439 19.12%

2,393 437.1 18.26%

2,464 440.3 17.87%

456.76 24.22%

552 41.6 7.53%

559 17.0 3.04%

556 -182.4 -32.81%

564 -257.0 -45.53%

570 -317.2 -55.62%

577 -357.3 -61.88%

587 -373.8 -63.67%

596 -387.1 -64.91%

606 -419.8 -69.28%

615 -458.9 -74.67%

-269.49 -45.78%

Thailand Baseline Change % chg

409 142.1 34.77%

416 148.8 35.74%

419 158.7 37.88%

429 164.8 38.37%

430 170.5 39.66%

428 176.6 41.27%

419 185.4 44.23%

413 194.6 47.16%

402 203.3 50.64%

399 210.1 52.68%

175.49 42.24%

United States Baseline Change % chg

2,869 385.7 13.44%

2,919 573.5 19.65%

3,029 728.9 24.06%

3,098 820.6 26.49%

3,226 893.1 27.69%

3,371 927.1 27.51%

3,423 963.3 28.14%

3,489 998.4 28.62%

3,583 1,040.9 29.05%

3,731 1,082.2 29.00%

841.38 25.37%

Imports of Selected Countries C Canada Baseline 10 Change 108.1 % chg 1081%

11 145.7 1296%

14 171.4 1224%

16 192.7 1182%

17 205.2 1207%

19 221.4 1188%

20 235.0 1202%

21 248.8 1191%

22 260.8 1177%

25 272.8 1102%

206.19 1185%

China - Mainland Baseline Change % chg

505 365.2 72.36%

512 390.7 76.32%

569 313.8 55.12%

640 286.8 44.80%

727 271.7 37.37%

838 264.0 31.51%

951 263.0 27.65%

1,041 262.0 25.16%

1,106 253.8 22.95%

1,172 243.9 20.80%

291.49 41.40%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

680 -83.3 -12.24%

699 -88.8 -12.71%

716 -92.6 -12.92%

733 -91.1 -12.42%

753 -90.6 -12.04%

772 -90.6 -11.73%

787 -89.9 -11.42%

803 -88.8 -11.06%

818 -87.4 -10.67%

833 -85.6 -10.28%

-88.86 -11.75%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

245 -52.6 -21.45%

262 -44.9 -17.16%

296 -54.3 -18.37%

323 -64.0 -19.81%

350 -74.3 -21.23%

345 -81.0 -23.49%

338 -83.4 -24.69%

327 -82.9 -25.34%

337 -85.6 -25.42%

352 -90.0 -25.57%

-71.31 -22.25%

11 98.7 935%

19 127.0 654%

23 137.2 594%

26 135.8 530%

34 132.6 394%

45 129.3 290%

53 128.2 242%

62 128.8 206%

73 129.5 177%

86 129.6 151%

127.68 417%

Saudi Arabia Baseline Change % chg

386 77.0 19.95%

406 84.8 20.86%

432 93.9 21.73%

453 99.2 21.90%

477 101.1 21.21%

502 95.0 18.90%

525 90.0 17.13%

549 86.9 15.84%

574 94.8 16.53%

600 104.9 17.48%

92.76 19.15%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

82 34.8 42.29%

91 48.5 53.34%

97 52.0 53.30%

102 54.5 53.36%

107 57.6 53.97%

111 60.3 54.22%

114 63.5 55.60%

117 65.6 56.06%

120 65.7 54.82%

123 64.5 52.36%

56.71 52.93%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

Philippines Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Table A.46. Broiler B Production and Consumption 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

6,693 383.3 6%

7,062 442.9 6%

7,370 455.2 6%

7,641 425.3 6%

7,884 377.9 5%

8,119 358.4 4%

8,402 344.2 4%

8,680 347 4%

8,965 354.2 4%

9,243 365.6 4%

385.37 4.89%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

5,397 -58.1 -1%

5,539 -42.7 -1%

5,688 -37.7 -1%

5,800 -52.2 -1%

5,933 -76.7 -1%

6,074 -96.0 -2%

6,216 -99.7 -2%

6,383 -92 -1%

6,573 -82.8 -1%

6,779 -74.7 -1%

-71.29 -1.17%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

6,815 1.3 0%

6,923 -21.5 0%

6,988 -153.2 -2%

7,065 -216.6 -3%

7,161 -301.7 -4%

7,226 -372.2 -5%

7,292 -412.6 -6%

7,360 -436.6 -6%

7,426 -450.8 -6%

7,484 -462.9 -6%

-282.68 -3.88%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

6,262 -40.4 -1%

6,363 -38.8 -1%

6,432 28.2 0%

6,500 40.1 1%

6,591 15.0 0%

6,648 -15.1 0%

6,705 -38.9 -1%

6,764 -49.4 -1%

6,820 -30.9 0%

6,869 -4.0 0%

-13.42 -0.20%

Thailand Production Baseline Change % chg

1,264 52.8 4%

1,296 63.5 5%

1,327 71.4 5%

1,356 68.0 5%

1,378 61.0 4%

1,395 56.9 4%

1,407 55.9 4%

1,423 58.2 4%

1,444 61.7 4%

1,479 66.1 4%

61.55 4.48%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

855 -89.3 -10%

880 -85.3 -10%

908 -87.3 -10%

927 -96.8 -10%

948 -109.5 -12%

968 -119.7 -12%

988 -129.5 -13%

1,011 -136.4 -13%

1,043 -141.7 -14%

1,080 -144.0 -13%

-113.94 -11.76%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

924 -60.5 -7%

928 -89.9 -10%

945 -109.0 -12%

956 -126.6 -13%

973 -139.2 -14%

976 -152.6 -16%

983 -163.3 -17%

992 -172.8 -17%

1,013 -181.3 -18%

1,036 -189.8 -18%

-138.51 -14.12%

934 47.6 5%

939 55.8 6%

959 62.4 7%

972 66.1 7%

990 65.9 7%

994 68.8 7%

1,003 71.7 7%

1,012 76.0 8%

1,035 79.5 8%

1,061 83.0 8%

67.68 6.81%

China - Mainland Production Baseline Change % chg

4,687 -274.2 -6%

4,774 -295.0 -6%

4,852 -253.7 -5%

4,951 -244.9 -5%

5,075 -247.7 -5%

5,188 -244.1 -5%

5,293 -237.9 -4%

5,403 -231.0 -4%

5,512 -225.0 -4%

5,612 -218.9 -4%

-247.23 -4.85%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

5,192 -362.9 -7%

5,286 -388.2 -7%

5,422 -330.8 -6%

5,591 -312.5 -6%

5,802 -305.1 -5%

6,026 -286.7 -5%

6,244 -264.6 -4%

6,444 -249.0 -4%

6,618 -239.8 -4%

6,784 -230.7 -3%

-297.04 -5.12%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Appendix B

Impacts of the Trade-Only Liberalization Scenario Tables B.1 through B.44 present the impacts of the trade-only liberalization scenario on price, trade, production, and consumption.

Table B.1. Wheat Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

130.98 10.3 7.88%

133.09 13.1 9.87%

137.41 12.2 8.90%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

89,345 3,207.7 3.59%

91,166 5,522.4 6.06%

untries Exports of Selected Coun Argentina 13,619 Baseline 42.5 Change 0.31% % chg Australia Baseline Change % chg

08/09

09/10

10/11

138.10 12.0 8.71%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 142.66 144.79 148.05 10.4 11.1 9.6 7.29% 7.63% 6.47%

150.12 10.0 6.66%

154.39 9.3 6.01%

156.22 10.2 6.54%

10.82 7.60%

94,140 4,950.3 5.26%

97,724 4,712.6 4.82%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 100,537 103,208 105,882 5,073.1 5,190.7 5,559.9 5.05% 5.03% 5.25%

108,856 5,633.5 5.18%

112,441 5,763.6 5.13%

115,312 5,655.4 4.90%

5,126.91 5.03%

14,507 479.5 3.31%

15,048 671.3 4.46%

15,608 619.6 3.97%

15,937 631.6 3.96%

16,503 544.3 3.30%

16,903 602.7 3.57%

17,400 515.0 2.96%

17,808 551.2 3.10%

18,354 497.1 2.71%

515.47 3.16%

16,743 129.4 0.77%

16,812 190.6 1.13%

17,108 233.6 1.37%

17,528 224.3 1.28%

17,954 220.6 1.23%

18,342 203.1 1.11%

18,703 202.8 1.08%

19,103 182.1 0.95%

19,518 178.8 0.92%

19,954 164.5 0.82%

192.97 1.07%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

17,595 393.5 2.24%

17,645 648.9 3.68%

17,968 701.6 3.90%

18,135 697.6 3.85%

18,348 616.7 3.36%

18,490 597.7 3.23%

18,663 511.3 2.74%

18,753 492.9 2.63%

18,854 443.3 2.35%

18,906 445.3 2.36%

554.88 3.03%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

11,525 910.9 7.90%

12,727 1,760.6 13.83%

13,691 771.1 5.63%

15,749 778.6 4.94%

16,586 1,638.2 9.88%

17,574 1,930.1 10.98%

18,478 2,639.5 14.28%

19,944 2,825.7 14.17%

21,519 3,119.2 14.49%

22,756 3,208.5 14.10%

1,958.23 11.02%

Hungary Baseline Change % chg

2,035 33.5 1.65%

2,006 106.2 5.29%

1,991 96.0 4.82%

2,013 73.1 3.63%

2,041 65.0 3.18%

2,072 51.1 2.47%

2,099 39.1 1.86%

2,126 30.1 1.42%

2,157 30.8 1.43%

2,189 31.5 1.44%

55.64 2.72%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

763 551.1 72.27%

695 803.9 115.65%

964 892.0 92.49%

990 830.7 83.94%

1,184 701.1 59.23%

1,291 629.8 48.80%

1,451 568.0 39.14%

1,527 548.9 35.95%

1,693 541.8 32.00%

1,742 560.5 32.17%

662.78 61.16%

Ukraine Baseline Change % chg

2,570 43.5 1.69%

2,551 122.2 4.79%

2,822 104.0 3.69%

3,019 33.2 1.10%

3,120 20.4 0.65%

3,191 -5.9 -0.19%

3,242 -20.0 -0.62%

3,282 -35.8 -1.09%

3,376 -32.9 -0.97%

3,479 -167.4 -4.81%

6.13 0.42%

23,840 1,164.9 4.89%

23,613 1,435.7 6.08%

23,983 1,485.3 6.19%

24,122 1,460.6 6.05%

24,830 1,187.2 4.78%

25,226 1,253.5 4.97%

25,843 1,039.7 4.02%

26,241 1,097.9 4.18%

27,041 952.1 3.52%

27,472 931.7 3.39%

1,200.87 4.81%

ntries Imports of Selected Coun Japan 5,326 Baseline -85.5 Change -1.60% % chg

5,327 -89.1 -1.67%

5,326 -93.6 -1.76%

5,323 -86.3 -1.62%

5,319 -83.7 -1.57%

5,313 -78.4 -1.48%

5,305 -73.1 -1.38%

5,295 -67.3 -1.27%

5,283 -67.5 -1.28%

5,268 -68.0 -1.29%

-79.24 -1.49%

United States Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

11/12 Average

China Baseline Change % chg

1,343 -404.4 -30.11%

2,303 -828.5 -35.97%

4,478 -1,104.5 -24.66%

5,336 -1,187.4 -22.25%

5,700 -1,085.9 -19.05%

5,465 -1,004.3 -18.38%

5,413 -873.0 -16.13%

5,084 -803.4 -15.80%

5,851 -731.8 -12.51%

5,340 -725.2 -13.58%

-874.84 -20.84%

India Baseline Change % chg

-3,093 1,951.8 -63.10%

-2,724 3,576.5 -131.3%

-2,449 3,341.1 -136.5%

-2,245 3,142.1 -140.0%

-1,531 3,077.1 -201.0%

-1,087 2,992.0 -275.2%

-513 2,864.3 -558.9%

122 2,776.0 2266.2%

707 2,649.7 374.9%

1,295 2,520.5 194.60%

2,889.10 132.98%

Table B.2. Wheat Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12 Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

17,512 0.0 0.00%

18,311 402.5 2.20%

18,809 578.1 3.07%

19,365 521.9 2.69%

19,696 540.7 2.75%

20,270 455.1 2.25%

20,678 519.0 2.51%

21,184 430.7 2.03%

21,591 467.8 2.17%

22,141 409.2 1.85%

432.51 2.15%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,950 -13.7 -0.35%

3,820 -65.2 -1.71%

3,775 -94.1 -2.49%

3,762 -98.3 -2.61%

3,773 -95.5 -2.53%

3,776 -87.8 -2.33%

3,786 -87.6 -2.31%

3,792 -83.5 -2.20%

3,797 -85.3 -2.25%

3,795 -85.4 -2.25%

-79.66 -2.10%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

25,745 0.0 0.00%

26,338 412.6 1.57%

26,933 728.7 2.71%

27,402 742.5 2.71%

27,535 750.9 2.73%

27,862 667.8 2.40%

28,068 664.3 2.37%

28,323 589.9 2.08%

28,491 582.7 2.05%

28,823 542.5 1.88%

568.19 2.05%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

8,359 -38.6 -0.46%

8,547 -74.4 -0.87%

8,710 -18.6 -0.21%

8,949 3.3 0.04%

9,098 54.0 0.59%

9,250 67.3 0.73%

9,337 103.6 1.11%

9,480 102.5 1.08%

9,630 120.6 1.25%

9,828 125.8 1.28%

44.55 0.45%

105,143 277.8 0.26%

107,010 583.7 0.55%

108,194 -18.5 -0.02%

109,563 224.2 0.20%

111,227 342.5 0.31%

112,780 404.8 0.36%

114,131 512.3 0.45%

115,434 610.1 0.53%

117,126 575.2 0.49%

118,560 633.0 0.53%

414.50 0.37%

92,729 -525.5 -0.57%

93,049 -917.5 -0.99%

94,613 -953.6 -1.01%

94,341 -661.8 -0.70%

94,588 -1,143.5 -1.21%

94,758 -1,409.9 -1.49%

95,336 -1,948.7 -2.04%

95,424 -2,126.9 -2.23%

95,479 -2,464.0 -2.58%

95,579 -2,566.7 -2.69%

-1,471.79 -1.55%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

105,357 0.0 0.00%

105,436 477.8 0.45%

107,919 758.7 0.70%

110,447 671.8 0.61%

111,415 666.0 0.60%

112,953 508.4 0.45%

113,467 541.2 0.48%

114,454 414.2 0.36%

115,317 451.6 0.39%

116,813 387.4 0.33%

487.70 0.44%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

113,439 -420.8 -0.37%

114,043 -623.9 -0.55%

114,464 -557.7 -0.49%

115,570 -538.5 -0.47%

116,217 -399.6 -0.34%

117,270 -420.9 -0.36%

118,063 -306.7 -0.26%

118,967 -327.0 -0.27%

119,530 -268.7 -0.22%

120,443 -313.5 -0.26%

-417.74 -0.36%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

67,635 0.0 0.00%

68,744 -2,287.6 -3.33%

69,509 -1,989.2 -2.86%

70,876 -1,933.6 -2.73%

71,018 -1,767.6 -2.49%

71,878 -1,883.5 -2.62%

72,378 -1,670.7 -2.31%

73,062 -1,751.0 -2.40%

73,510 -1,574.8 -2.14%

74,309 -1,596.1 -2.15%

-1,645.41 -2.30%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

66,049 1,737.6 2.63%

67,193 1,370.4 2.04%

67,919 1,361.5 2.00%

69,254 1,223.8 1.77%

70,187 1,294.3 1.84%

71,415 1,136.2 1.59%

72,465 1,179.9 1.63%

73,734 1,046.2 1.42%

74,775 1,074.2 1.44%

76,095 952.1 1.25%

1,237.62 1.76%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

58,157 0.0 0.00%

59,107 461.1 0.78%

59,362 949.9 1.60%

60,417 758.0 1.25%

60,941 811.8 1.33%

62,007 577.5 0.93%

62,693 717.2 1.14%

63,706 541.4 0.85%

64,385 634.2 0.99%

65,409 400.3 0.61%

585.14 0.95%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

34,997 -706.3 -2.02%

35,664 -859.2 -2.41%

35,687 -661.4 -1.85%

36,300 -697.7 -1.92%

36,334 -460.8 -1.27%

36,828 -619.2 -1.68%

36,990 -405.0 -1.09%

37,502 -520.9 -1.39%

37,524 -363.1 -0.97%

37,969 -454.6 -1.20%

-574.83 -1.58%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.3. Corrn Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

World Price Baseline Change % chg

99 7.3 7.35%

101 6.9 6.85%

103 7.2 7.06%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

64,307 1,410.0 2.19%

66,829 2,805.7 4.20%

68,934 2,477.4 3.59%

Exports of Selected Coun untries Argentina Baseline 7,496 Change 59.8 % chg 0.80%

8,814 491.5 5.58%

9,433 525.4 5.57%

9,958 490.0 4.92%

10,431 392.9 3.77%

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 104 105 107 108 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.39% 6.29% 5.95% 5.71%

110 5.9 5.35%

111 6.2 5.59%

113 6.5 5.78%

6.59 6.23%

78,123 -76.4 -0.10%

80,264 -688 -0.86%

82,067 -844 -1.03%

83,735 -868 -1.04%

776.61 1.18%

10,554 348.7 3.30%

10,754 322.1 3.00%

10,825 321.1 2.97%

10,929 337.0 3.08%

11,052 402.7 3.64%

369.11 3.66%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 71,488 74,091 76,597 1,702.4 1,258.9 588.3 2.38% 1.70% 0.77%

11/12 Average

Hungary Baseline Change % chg

2,112 -175.9 -8.33%

2,224 -473.3 -21.29%

2,217 -718.5 -32.40%

2,212 -872.5 -39.44%

2,196 -966.9 -44.03%

2,163 -1,028.5 -47.55%

2,129 -1,079.1 -50.69%

2,086 -1,100.3 -52.76%

2,056 -1,094.5 -53.23%

2,031 -1,073.5 -52.86%

-858.31 -40.26%

South Africa Baseline Change % chg

1,373 239.9 17.48%

1,377 203.0 14.74%

1,524 238.5 15.65%

1,737 229.4 13.21%

1,996 242.0 12.12%

2,287 238.9 10.44%

2,541 237.7 9.36%

2,791 229.2 8.21%

3,027 244.1 8.06%

3,255 253.5 7.79%

235.62 11.71%

United States Baseline Change % chg

51,856 771.7 1.49%

52,695 1,980.7 3.76%

53,973 1,732.3 3.21%

55,859 979.2 1.75%

57,817 581.8 1.01%

60,063 -37.5 -0.06%

61,285 -620.6 -1.01%

63,247 -1,237 -1.96%

64,781 -1,497 -2.31%

66,169 -1,630 -2.46%

102.39 0.34%

Imports of Selected Coun ntries Canada 1,918 Baseline -75.9 Change -3.96% % chg

1,886 -85.0 -4.50%

2,056 -23.9 -1.16%

2,332 60.5 2.59%

2,549 134.7 5.28%

2,752 191.6 6.96%

2,867 240.4 8.38%

3,082 266.3 8.64%

3,359 281.1 8.37%

3,627 300.4 8.28%

129.01 3.89%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

2,127 2,194.8 103.2%

2,176 3,028.0 139.1%

2,212 2,765.1 125.0%

2,184 2,281.2 104.5%

2,183 2,204.2 101.0%

2,149 1,919.6 89.3%

2,131 1,466.7 68.8%

2,104 970.6 46.1%

2,110 846.3 40.1%

2,114 961.5 45.5%

1,863.79 86.26%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

15,162 573.4 3.78%

15,183 410.6 2.70%

15,040 221.7 1.47%

15,026 122.0 0.81%

15,076 70.4 0.47%

15,196 92.4 0.61%

15,271 117.6 0.77%

15,301 128.8 0.84%

15,284 86.4 0.57%

15,315 34.4 0.22%

185.77 1.22%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

-1,605 -445.8 27.77%

-1,383 -389.1 28.13%

-1,331 -190.5 14.31%

-1,184 -84.1 7.10%

-1,033 -15.0 1.45%

-926 -1.8 0.19%

-667 57.1 -8.6%

-581 60.5 -10.41%

-419 34.0 -8.12%

-383 -37.6 9.81%

-101.21 6.17%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

5,652 1,078.8 19.09%

5,658 2,080.2 36.76%

5,780 1,773.7 30.69%

5,950 1,419.5 23.86%

6,087 1,056.5 17.36%

6,263 688.2 10.99%

6,461 324.1 5.02%

6,707 122.0 1.82%

6,911 147.9 2.14%

7,153 152.1 2.13%

884.30 14.98%

China Baseline Change % chg

1,105 -1,323.8 -119.8%

2,474 -959.1 -38.77%

3,317 -768.1 -23.16%

4,125 -876.0 -21.24%

5,574 -945.9 -16.97%

6,627 -977.2 -14.7%

6,708 -942.5 -14.05%

7,171 -911.7 -12.71%

7,278 -890.8 -12.24%

7,462 -858.9 -11.51%

-945.40 -28.52%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

4,748 -189.9 -4.00%

4,811 -111.3 -2.31%

4,791 -127.3 -2.66%

4,803 -137.8 -2.87%

4,837 -164.0 -3.39%

4,900 -190.8 -3.89%

4,969 -212.9 -4.28%

5,000 -224.8 -4.50%

5,017 -227.8 -4.54%

5,036 -218.8 -4.34%

-180.55 -3.68%

Table B.4. Corrn Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12 Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

11,770 -25.5 -0.22%

13,086 440.9 3.37%

13,775 564.6 4.10%

14,388 616.7 4.29%

14,957 587.3 3.93%

15,168 580.3 3.83%

15,457 559.4 3.62%

15,582 538.6 3.46%

15,728 516.3 3.28%

15,879 546.8 3.44%

492.54 3.31%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

4,329 -49.2 -1.14%

4,305 -41.3 -0.96%

4,358 43.3 0.99%

4,442 125.0 2.82%

4,539 194.0 4.27%

4,629 230.3 4.98%

4,711 235.9 5.01%

4,769 215.7 4.52%

4,811 180.5 3.75%

4,840 146.1 3.02%

128.04 2.73%

Hungary Production Baseline Change % chg

7,571 0.0 0.00%

7,735 -447.8 -5.79%

7,804 -703.6 -9.02%

7,817 -826.8 -10.58%

7,823 -897.5 -11.47%

7,824 -930.0 -11.89%

7,828 -947.7 -12.11%

7,831 -950.9 -12.14%

7,841 -950.5 -12.12%

7,849 -940.8 -11.99%

-759.56 -9.71%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

5,321 91.2 1.71%

5,452 3.5 0.06%

5,554 14.8 0.27%

5,589 45.8 0.82%

5,616 71.4 1.27%

5,653 100.1 1.77%

5,692 133.4 2.34%

5,740 150.8 2.63%

5,779 146.1 2.53%

5,813 135.1 2.32%

89.23 1.57%

Mexico Production Baseline Change % chg

18,860 0.0 0.00%

19,374 -1,294.3 -6.68%

19,739 -1,126.8 -5.71%

20,029 -900.7 -4.50%

20,340 -666.6 -3.28%

20,674 -415.4 -2.01%

21,019 -158.5 -0.75%

21,313 106.5 0.50%

21,660 100.6 0.46%

21,981 107.8 0.49%

-424.75 -2.15%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

24,560 890.6 3.63%

25,038 817.2 3.26%

25,508 685.0 2.69%

25,971 554.3 2.13%

26,423 425.5 1.61%

26,935 306.9 1.14%

27,468 198.7 0.72%

28,016 227.2 0.81%

28,563 249.2 0.87%

29,129 260.5 0.89%

461.52 1.78%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

39,183 -36.3 -0.09%

40,200 -1,934.8 -4.81%

40,353 -1,288.7 -3.19%

40,567 -1,434.6 -3.54%

40,878 -1,251.5 -3.06%

41,652 -1,522.7 -3.66%

41,930 -1,250.9 -2.98%

42,167 -1,132.4 -2.69%

42,364 -880.8 -2.08%

42,959 -1,016.1 -2.37%

-1,174.90 -2.85%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

41,351 1,817.3 4.39%

42,085 1,250.3 2.97%

42,505 1,386.3 3.26%

42,859 918.0 2.14%

42,856 949.2 2.21%

43,396 493.0 1.14%

43,774 266.1 0.61%

44,184 -88.3 -0.20%

44,231 -50.9 -0.11%

44,325 -62.6 -0.14%

687.86 1.63%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

119,443 0.0 0.00%

122,440 127.0 0.10%

124,984 -118.1 -0.09%

129,403 -30.0 -0.02%

131,434 -86.3 -0.07%

133,640 45.0 0.03%

136,490 -23.8 -0.02%

138,636 55.5 0.04%

141,102 -39.9 -0.03%

143,410 14.2 0.01%

-5.63 0.00%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

126,464 -1,167.3 -0.92%

129,060 -833.8 -0.65%

131,772 -879.7 -0.67%

134,420 -926.6 -0.69%

137,372 -1,039.0 -0.76%

140,101 -946.6 -0.68%

143,028 -977.9 -0.68%

145,718 -872.4 -0.60%

148,301 -932.6 -0.63%

150,769 -852.5 -0.57%

-942.83 -0.68%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

250,384 0.0 0.00%

256,021 6,365.1 2.49%

261,505 5,720.8 2.19%

265,741 6,091.1 2.29%

270,455 5,523.0 2.04%

275,225 5,695.5 2.07%

280,369 5,420.4 1.93%

284,217 5,340.2 1.88%

289,264 4,564.4 1.58%

292,933 4,644.6 1.59%

4,936.51 1.81%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

201,851 1,737.4 0.86%

204,158 3,699.9 1.81%

207,492 4,074.8 1.96%

209,939 4,859.4 2.31%

212,785 4,976.5 2.34%

215,397 5,619.4 2.61%

218,875 5,987.8 2.74%

221,254 6,474.6 2.93%

224,502 6,266.7 2.79%

227,044 6,384.4 2.81%

5,008.08 2.32%

Table B.5. Rice e Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

World Price Baseline Change % chg

180.64 19.0 10.51%

185.84 23.3 12.56%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

19,307 4,345.2 22.51%

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

191.30 22.2 11.62%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 196.88 202.25 207.69 213.35 22.4 21.4 22.1 21.2 11.36% 10.57% 10.64% 9.93%

219.10 21.6 9.87%

225.17 21.6 9.57%

231.57 22.8 9.84%

21.75 10.65%

18,526 5,544.3 29.93%

18,620 5,446.2 29.25%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 19,010 19,437 19,974 20,585 5,509.7 5,514.9 5,591.3 5,559.8 28.98% 28.37% 27.99% 27.01%

21,658 5,617.1 25.94%

22,525 5,655.5 25.11%

23,849 5,752.2 24.12%

5,453.61 26.92%

ntries Exports of Selected Count China Baseline 1,493 Change 3,345.1 % chg 223.99%

1,348 3,605.9 267%

1,303 3,071.9 235.8%

1,339 3,146.3 235.1%

1,387 2,958.8 213.4%

1,352 2,995.7 221.6%

1,463 2,784.5 190.3%

1,815 2,868.4 158%

2,183 2,841.2 130.13%

2,699 3,001.2 111.2%

3,061.89 198.69%

India Baseline Change % chg

1,999 293.4 14.68%

1,331 449.6 33.79%

1,064 613.9 57.69%

1,073 600.9 55.98%

1,052 803.4 76.38%

1,204 851.0 70.67%

1,355 1,040.7 76.81%

1,657 1,036.5 62.56%

1,709 1,094.3 64.04%

2,027 1,011.3 49.9%

779.51 56.25%

Myanmar (Burma) Baseline Change % chg

756 0.0 0.00%

751 40.6 5.41%

755 67.0 8.87%

762 77.4 10.17%

770 83.5 10.84%

780 85.0 10.90%

790 86.6 10.97%

801 84.9 10.61%

814 83.7 10.29%

829 81.6 9.8%

69.04 8.79%

Thailand Baseline Change % chg

7,226 197.9 2.74%

7,317 484.1 6.62%

7,571 621.4 8.21%

7,885 622.7 7.90%

8,136 635.7 7.81%

8,385 630.1 7.51%

8,642 644.5 7.46%

8,983 640.9 7.13%

9,315 657.8 7.06%

9,663 664.9 6.9%

580.01 6.93%

3,156 104.1 3.3%

3,117 -6.8 -0.2%

3,050 -55.9 -1.8%

2,980 -59.2 -2.0%

2,921 -62.0 -2.1%

2,839 -49.4 -1.7%

2,753 -54.9 -2.0%

2,666 -43.1 -1.6%

2,578 -45.5 -1.8%

2,479 -51.1 -2.1%

-32.37 -1.20%

3,873 516.0 13.32%

3,877 1,096.6 28.29%

4,075 1,251.1 30.70%

4,145 1,252.6 30.22%

4,316 1,231.4 28.53%

4,529 1,222.1 26.98%

4,659 1,202.4 25.81%

4,778 1,179.6 24.69%

4,921 1,175.8 23.89%

5,106 1,195.2 23.4%

1,132.28 25.58%

Imports of Selected Count ntries Brazil Baseline 386 Change -169.5 % chg -43.9%

278 -314.2 -112.9%

237 209 -366.2 -381.4 -154.7% -182.5%

190 -375.8 -198.0%

176 -377.0 -214%

166 -368.9 -223%

158 -367.6 -233%

151 -366.0 -243%

143 -376.0 -264%

-346.25 -186.84%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

509 562 569 581 596 605 836.7 696.3 639.1 623.1 611.4 609.7 164.23% 123.90% 112.40% 107.17% 102.67% 100.82%

619 603.3 97.41%

636 597.8 93.98%

653 587.1 89.9%

702.05 124.91%

United States Baseline Change % chg Vietnam Baseline Change % chg

474 1,215.9 256.66%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

805 244.6 30.39%

Philippines Baseline Change % chg South Korea Baseline Change % chg

651 408.0 62.6%

05/06

06/07

07/08

Average

575 451.1 78.5%

504 476.7 94.7%

437 498.8 114.2%

372 507.8 136.5%

306 518.2 169.5%

237 523.6 221.2%

160 528.0 330.7%

68 526.7 771%

468.35 200.97%

688 594.1 86.30%

727 765 783.4 837.1 107.77% 109.41%

803 865.0 108%

840 901.1 107%

877 925.6 106%

914 958.7 105%

950 984.7 104%

985 1,012.8 103%

1,020 1,031.7 101.1%

889.43 103.65%

64 579.6 912.25%

41 85 858.3 875.8 2085.8% 1033.1%

135 871.4 645.5%

155 866.0 557.6%

174 869.8 498.5%

177 192 865.5 868.5 488.3% 451.27%

195 867.4 444.06%

205 871.3 425.2%

839.35 754.16%

Table B.6. Rice e Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

China Production Baseline Change % chg

130,044 1,122.7 0.86%

131,879 1,370.1 1.04%

133,046 1,247.9 0.94%

134,103 1,275.3 0.95%

134,763 1,223.7 0.91%

135,350 1,247.4 0.92%

135,993 1,195.4 0.88%

136,801 1,224.2 0.89%

137,597 1,218.1 0.89%

138,444 1,282.6 0.93%

1,112.48 0.83%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

132,443 -1,430 -1.08%

131,393 -1,951 -1.48%

132,018 -1,870 -1.42%

132,734 -1,901 -1.43%

133,779 -1,825 -1.36%

134,680 -1,778 -1.32%

135,297 -1,676 -1.24%

135,431 -1,662 -1.23%

135,413 -1,652 -1.22%

135,161 -1,701 -1.26%

-1,575 -1.18%

Thailand Production Baseline Change % chg

17,241 0.0 0.00%

17,425 252.5 1.45%

17,711 407.7 2.30%

18,037 409.4 2.27%

18,288 433.9 2.37%

18,533 422.4 2.28%

18,781 448.8 2.39%

19,109 443.1 2.32%

19,419 464.0 2.39%

19,735 462.6 2.34%

328.18 1.78%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

10,115 -182.5 -1.80%

10,132 -224.8 -2.22%

10,147 -213.4 -2.10%

10,156 -213.4 -2.10%

10,155 -202.8 -2.00%

10,150 -207.7 -2.05%

10,140 -196.7 -1.94%

10,127 -198.0 -1.96%

10,104 -194.2 -1.92%

10,072 -201.8 -2.00%

-183.36 -1.81%

Vietnam Production Baseline Change % chg

20,925 0.0 0.00%

21,253 431.6 2.03%

21,582 636.4 2.95%

21,869 647.2 2.96%

22,214 651.6 2.93%

22,600 628.0 2.78%

22,969 639.5 2.78%

23,308 613.6 2.63%

23,649 615.7 2.60%

24,008 608.1 2.53%

486.36 2.17%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

17,191 -516.0 -3.00%

17,308 -641.5 -3.71%

17,487 -609.4 -3.49%

17,702 -607.3 -3.43%

17,875 -580.3 -3.25%

18,074 -595.6 -3.30%

18,311 -562.6 -3.07%

18,530 -567.7 -3.06%

18,728 -560.1 -2.99%

18,904 -587.7 -3.11%

-524.04 -2.93%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

89,078 0.0 0.00%

89,738 323.0 0.36%

90,927 647.3 0.71%

91,998 519.8 0.56%

93,218 650.2 0.70%

94,402 635.1 0.67%

95,518 760.8 0.80%

96,760 696.2 0.72%

97,902 737.2 0.75%

99,029 649.7 0.66%

496.96 0.53%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

87,370 131.2 0.15%

88,739 -27.2 -0.03%

90,260 17.1 0.02%

90,903 -95.0 -0.10%

92,211 -182.4 -0.20%

93,229 -209.8 -0.22%

94,183 -309.4 -0.33%

95,127 -340.4 -0.36%

96,218 -368.1 -0.38%

97,030 -347.1 -0.36%

-138.39 -0.15%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

5,855 0 0.0%

6,001 -68 -1.1%

6,034 -63 -1.0%

6,073 -60 -1.0%

6,119 -56 -0.9%

6,141 -51 -0.8%

6,166 -52 -0.8%

6,192 -45 -0.7%

6,215 -49 -0.8%

6,229 -59 -0.9%

-44 -0.72%

3,802 -18.1 -0.47%

3,886 -21.4 -0.55%

3,968 -20.2 -0.51%

4,051 -19.9 -0.49%

4,132 -18.7 -0.45%

4,213 -19.0 -0.45%

4,296 -17.9 -0.42%

4,379 -18.1 -0.41%

4,461 -18.2 -0.41%

4,544 -19.1 -0.42%

-17.15 -0.42%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.7. Soy ybean Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

World Price Baseline Change % chg

160 5.9 3.71%

163 3.9 2.38%

169 5.8 3.46%

174 5.7 3.28%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

54,734 -843.2 -1.54%

55,871 103.7 0.19%

57,289 98.3 0.17%

58,814 -6.6 -0.01%

untries Exports of Selected Cou Argentina 7,814 Baseline 143.4 Change 1.84% % chg

8,057 1,062.5 13.19%

8,346 1,142.0 13.68%

8,663 1,177.7 13.60%

8,941 1,244.2 13.92%

9,253 1,260.5 13.62%

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 181 188 194 5.5 5.5 5.6 3.07% 2.91% 2.89%

199 5.2 2.60%

206 4.5 2.17%

211 3.9 1.84%

5.15 2.83%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 60,299 61,923 63,461 8.2 37.5 107.7 0.01% 0.06% 0.17%

65,074 167.9 0.26%

66,667 267.8 0.40%

68,479 418.4 0.61%

35.96 0.03%

9,587 1,310.9 13.67%

9,904 1,346.5 13.60%

10,214 1,370.5 13.42%

10,608 1,374.7 12.96%

1,143.30 12.35%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

18,734 -773.1 -4.13%

19,281 843.0 4.37%

20,054 559.8 2.79%

21,109 590.9 2.80%

22,080 547.5 2.48%

23,189 597.4 2.58%

24,295 627.5 2.58%

25,357 688.8 2.72%

26,394 655.3 2.48%

27,504 650.9 2.37%

498.79 2.10%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

687 -23.0 -3.35%

682 -34.4 -5.04%

719 -34.7 -4.82%

751 -30.0 -3.99%

787 -31.5 -4.00%

817 -32.7 -4.00%

852 -35.0 -4.11%

885 -35.2 -3.97%

919 -37.7 -4.10%

951 -40.7 -4.28%

-33.49 -4.17%

United States Baseline Change % chg

27,499 -190.6 -0.69%

27,851 -1,767.5 -6.35%

28,169 -1,568.8 -5.57%

28,291 -1,745.3 -6.17%

28,490 -1,752.0 -6.15%

28,663 -1,787.8 -6.24%

28,727 -1,795.7 -6.25%

28,927 -1,832.2 -6.33%

29,140 -1,720.3 -5.90%

29,416 -1,566.5 -5.33%

-1,572.65 -5.50%

untries Imports of Selected Coun Eastern Europe Baseline 150 Change -25.7 % chg -17.12%

160 -39.5 -24.69%

160 -39.7 -24.81%

162 -40.2 -24.85%

163 -39.7 -24.39%

163 -37.8 -23.15%

164 -36.5 -22.23%

166 -35.3 -21.22%

168 -34.4 -20.40%

172 -32.6 -18.96%

-36.15 -22.18%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

249 -17.4 -6.97%

274 -5.0 -1.82%

280 -6.0 -2.13%

285 -5.5 -1.94%

292 -4.8 -1.65%

300 -2.3 -0.77%

306 -1.0 -0.33%

313 0.3 0.10%

320 1.8 0.55%

328 4.3 1.33%

-3.56 -1.36%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

5,108 -132.1 -2.59%

5,127 -106.4 -2.08%

5,115 -112.3 -2.20%

5,114 -108.7 -2.13%

5,115 -102.2 -2.00%

5,114 -96.8 -1.89%

5,113 -92.0 -1.80%

5,111 -86.8 -1.70%

5,102 -81.4 -1.60%

5,100 -75.5 -1.48%

-99.43 -1.94%

China Baseline Change % chg

15,043 -101.7 -0.68%

15,252 146.7 0.96%

16,022 194.7 1.22%

16,803 195.1 1.16%

17,472 218.1 1.25%

18,269 222.2 1.22%

18,980 245.8 1.30%

19,710 247.6 1.26%

20,508 287.0 1.40%

21,374 317.4 1.48%

197.28 1.06%

India Baseline Change % chg

0 -38.0 N/A

0 459.8 N/A

0 398.2 N/A

0 340.6 N/A

0 283.4 N/A

0 243.2 N/A

0 209.1 N/A

0 182.0 N/A

0 177.4 N/A

0 174.3 N/A

243.01 N/A

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

1,452 -49.0 -3.38%

1,461 -35.5 -2.43%

1,444 -34.4 -2.38%

1,443 -35.5 -2.46%

1,450 -28.2 -1.95%

1,458 -23.2 -1.59%

1,464 -17.7 -1.21%

1,471 -13.6 -0.93%

1,474 -9.4 -0.64%

1,485 -3.7 -0.25%

-25.02 -1.72%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

2,312 -19.4 -0.84%

2,348 9.4 0.40%

2,323 4.7 0.20%

2,311 4.3 0.19%

2,306 17.1 0.74%

2,301 25.9 1.13%

2,296 34.4 1.50%

2,296 42.3 1.84%

2,286 51.4 2.25%

2,293 61.9 2.70%

23.21 1.01%

Table B.8. Soy ybean Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

29,406 0.0 0.00%

29,899 969.6 3.24%

30,368 1,064.7 3.51%

30,889 1,105.4 3.58%

31,399 1,192.5 3.80%

31,939 1,228.8 3.85%

32,484 1,297.1 3.99%

33,012 1,340.6 4.06%

33,536 1,376.2 4.10%

34,073 1,389.0 4.08%

1,096.38 3.42%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

21,596 -140.9 -0.65%

21,844 -92.8 -0.42%

22,024 -77.0 -0.35%

22,228 -72.3 -0.33%

22,460 -51.7 -0.23%

22,688 -31.6 -0.14%

22,899 -13.8 -0.06%

23,111 -6.0 -0.03%

23,324 5.6 0.02%

23,466 14.2 0.06%

-46.64 -0.21%

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

44,756 0.0 0.00%

45,959 1,722.1 3.75%

47,376 1,452.1 3.06%

49,104 1,514.4 3.08%

50,752 1,505.7 2.97%

52,544 1,594.6 3.03%

54,330 1,658.7 3.05%

56,064 1,752.9 3.13%

57,774 1,748.2 3.03%

59,548 1,752.1 2.94%

1,470.07 2.80%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

26,030 780.1 3.00%

26,690 878.8 3.29%

27,339 895.5 3.28%

28,011 922.8 3.29%

28,690 957.7 3.34%

29,373 997.2 3.39%

30,050 1,030.6 3.43%

30,723 1,062.0 3.46%

31,396 1,090.5 3.47%

32,048 1,100.2 3.43%

971.53 3.34%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

79,698 0.0 0.00%

80,341 -1,109.7 -1.38%

81,105 -1,105.2 -1.36%

82,191 -1,157.5 -1.41%

83,270 -1,071.3 -1.29%

84,273 -1,067.5 -1.27%

85,250 -1,033.7 -1.21%

86,402 -978.9 -1.13%

87,407 -758.7 -0.87%

88,771 -604.9 -0.68%

-888.74 -1.06%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

51,418 658.9 1.28%

52,548 581.9 1.11%

53,332 610.3 1.14%

54,241 585.9 1.08%

55,161 659.1 1.19%

56,037 707.5 1.26%

56,884 765.3 1.35%

57,762 814.4 1.41%

58,645 888.3 1.51%

59,610 959.9 1.61%

723.15 1.30%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

1,012 0.0 0.00%

969 11.8 1.21%

964 8.5 0.89%

971 11.5 1.18%

979 10.2 1.05%

984 10.1 1.03%

992 7.7 0.78%

1,000 6.2 0.62%

1,006 3.9 0.39%

1,011 3.5 0.34%

7.35 0.75%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

19,684 -174.0 -0.88%

19,785 -60.1 -0.30%

19,744 -80.6 -0.41%

19,748 -90.0 -0.46%

19,802 -31.1 -0.16%

19,855 7.5 0.04%

19,919 44.1 0.22%

20,021 79.8 0.40%

20,062 124.3 0.62%

20,200 175.8 0.87%

-0.44 -0.01%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

15,024 12.2 0.08%

15,515 -184.2 -1.19%

15,438 -289.8 -1.88%

15,387 -266.9 -1.73%

15,450 -279.1 -1.81%

15,398 -276.6 -1.80%

15,444 -298.2 -1.93%

15,543 -287.6 -1.85%

15,598 -314.2 -2.01%

15,635 -336.4 -2.15%

-252.09 -1.63%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

30,159 -77.8 -0.26%

30,822 -59.9 -0.19%

31,461 -76.7 -0.24%

32,171 -75.0 -0.23%

32,868 -64.5 -0.20%

33,600 -57.1 -0.17%

34,388 -52.6 -0.15%

35,233 -44.5 -0.13%

36,094 -33.8 -0.09%

36,984 -24.0 -0.06%

-56.58 -0.17%

5,827 0.0 0.00%

5,931 -539.8 -9.10%

6,103 -570.6 -9.35%

6,261 -577.8 -9.23%

6,450 -602.9 -9.35%

6,628 -628.3 -9.48%

6,806 -653.8 -9.61%

6,977 -673.5 -9.65%

7,132 -694.9 -9.74%

7,299 -722.8 -9.90%

-566.45 -8.54%

5,827 -46.4 -0.80%

5,931 -80.5 -1.36%

6,102 -172.1 -2.82%

6,262 -237.3 -3.79%

6,450 -319.6 -4.96%

6,628 -385.1 -5.81%

6,806 -444.7 -6.53%

6,977 -491.6 -7.05%

7,132 -517.6 -7.26%

7,299 -548.5 -7.51%

-324.32 -4.79%

India Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.9. Soy ybean Meal Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

170 6.1 3.56%

176 5.3 3.00%

182 7.7 4.26%

187 7.5 4.00%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

36,608 -5.1 -0.01%

37,301 -483.3 -1.30%

37,830 -757.5 -2.00%

38,363 -1,039.5 -2.71%

untries Exports of Selected Cou Argentina Baseline 16,445 Change -108.5 % chg -0.66%

16,632 -93.5 -0.56%

16,770 -82.4 -0.49%

16,928 -78.2 -0.46%

17,110 -63.1 -0.37%

17,287 -46.8 -0.27%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

10,911 328.2 3.01%

10,892 191.1 1.75%

10,930 96.6 0.88%

10,932 19.5 0.18%

10,956 -66.2 -0.60%

India Baseline Change % chg

2,369 71.3 3.01%

2,434 72.8 2.99%

2,555 12.0 0.47%

2,668 -33.1 -1.24%

6,883 -296.3 -4.30%

7,343 -653.8 -8.90%

7,575 -783.7 -10.35%

Imports of Selected Coun untries Eastern Europe Baseline 3,037 Change -81.3 % chg -2.68%

3,079 -194.0 -6.30%

United States Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

211 9.8 4.64%

216 9.6 4.43%

220 9.8 4.44%

8.23 4.16%

40,311 -1,640.5 -4.07%

40,790 -1,789.4 -4.39%

41,378 -1,922.2 -4.65%

-1,163.57 -2.93%

17,449 -34.9 -0.20%

17,612 -30.1 -0.17%

17,777 -21.4 -0.12%

17,880 -13.9 -0.08%

-57.27 -0.34%

10,916 -161.0 -1.48%

10,820 -283.8 -2.62%

10,738 -380.6 -3.54%

10,636 -463.9 -4.36%

10,783 -531.5 -4.93%

-125.16 -1.17%

2,802 -94.6 -3.38%

2,928 -143.1 -4.89%

3,054 -186.0 -6.09%

3,172 -219.6 -6.92%

3,280 -237.4 -7.24%

3,393 -257.7 -7.60%

0 -101.53 -3.09%

7,835 -947.6 -12.09%

8,091 -969.7 -11.98%

8,299 -975.8 -11.76%

8,554 -973.1 -11.38%

8,789 -1,010.3 -11.49%

9,098 -1,066.8 -11.73%

9,322 -1,119.0 -12.00%

-879.60 -10.60%

3,120 -220.8 -7.08%

3,137 -241.9 -7.71%

3,178 -251.3 -7.91%

3,214 -276.8 -8.61%

3,245 -294.7 -9.08%

3,288 -308.1 -9.37%

3,333 -297.9 -8.94%

3,387 -290.2 -8.57%

-245.71 -7.62%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 194 201 206 8.1 8.8 9.7 4.17% 4.37% 4.70% (Thousand Metric Tons) 38,960 39,431 39,876 -1,193.6 -1,326.8 -1,477.8 -3.06% -3.36% -3.71%

Average

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

523 16.6 3.17%

513 1.6 0.31%

510 -1.5 -0.29%

508 -4.7 -0.92%

503 -7.6 -1.52%

495 -13.9 -2.81%

490 -19.3 -3.93%

486 -22.3 -4.59%

484 -21.0 -4.33%

482 -17.1 -3.55%

-8.92 -1.85%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

811 11.1 1.37%

747 -30.2 -4.04%

723 -70.5 -9.75%

723 -81.0 -11.20%

733 -84.4 -11.51%

730 -85.4 -11.71%

729 -92.8 -12.74%

718 -105.1 -14.65%

714 -119.2 -16.69%

734 -128.4 -17.48%

-78.58 -10.84%

China Baseline Change % chg

99 79.5 80.04%

205 99.2 48.37%

357 95.8 26.85%

473 89.9 19.03%

667 81.6 12.23%

839 86.1 10.26%

942 82.9 8.80%

1,008 84.7 8.40%

1,067 77.9 7.30%

1,117 66.6 5.96%

84.42 22.73%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

1,051 -34.2 -3.25%

1,157 -17.1 -1.48%

1,176 43.8 3.72%

1,200 120.9 10.07%

1,230 166.2 13.51%

1,301 178.0 13.68%

1,355 165.9 12.25%

1,398 152.7 10.92%

1,401 164.7 11.76%

1,427 190.3 13.34%

0 113.13 8.45%

1,320 74.0 5.60%

1,255 46.2 3.68%

1,283 13.6 1.06%

1,343 11.2 0.83%

1,403 -7.0 -0.50%

1,469 -33.3 -2.27%

1,528 -57.9 -3.79%

1,583 -70.4 -4.45%

1,626 -66.5 -4.09%

1,670 -62.1 -3.72%

-15.23 -0.76%

83 -12.2 -14.6%

17 -34.7 -205.2%

23 -47.7 -209.7%

37 -55.3 -151.4%

48 -79.7 -166.4%

58 -98.8 -171.2%

58 -112.3 -192.3%

45 -114.2 -253.8%

41 -113.7 -278.0%

50 -119.7 -241.1%

-78.83 -188.36%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

Table B.10. So oybean Meal Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

16,655 -114.1 -0.69%

16,849 -100.6 -0.60%

16,989 -90.1 -0.53%

17,147 -87.2 -0.51%

17,328 -72.6 -0.42%

17,505 -57.0 -0.33%

17,668 -44.1 -0.25%

17,832 -38.8 -0.22%

17,998 -30.1 -0.17%

18,106 -23.2 -0.13%

-65.77 -0.38%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

221 -3.1 -1.40%

223 -6.3 -2.84%

225 -6.6 -2.95%

225 -8.8 -3.90%

224 -8.9 -3.96%

224 -9.4 -4.22%

225 -8.8 -3.91%

225 -8.7 -3.88%

226 -8.7 -3.85%

228 -9.2 -4.03%

-7.85 -3.49%

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

19,125 617.3 3.23%

19,621 631.9 3.22%

20,101 656.0 3.26%

20,589 675.7 3.28%

21,087 704.1 3.34%

21,583 732.7 3.39%

22,076 757.3 3.43%

22,567 779.1 3.45%

23,060 802.0 3.48%

23,535 809.9 3.44%

716.59 3.35%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

8,216 291.1 3.54%

8,732 441.4 5.05%

9,174 560.2 6.11%

9,661 656.4 6.79%

10,135 770.7 7.60%

10,671 894.2 8.38%

11,259 1,041.5 9.25%

11,832 1,159.6 9.80%

12,427 1,265.8 10.19%

12,752 1,341.4 10.52%

842.22 7.72%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

37,122 546.6 1.47%

37,937 505.7 1.33%

38,497 529.2 1.37%

39,152 508.8 1.30%

39,836 565.3 1.42%

40,527 602.9 1.49%

41,205 647.1 1.57%

41,911 680.8 1.62%

42,589 732.5 1.72%

43,334 788.8 1.82%

610.77 1.51%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

30,207 844.2 2.79%

30,599 1,159.4 3.79%

30,924 1,314.9 4.25%

31,318 1,456.2 4.65%

31,748 1,535.9 4.84%

32,230 1,579.7 4.90%

32,652 1,621.4 4.97%

33,122 1,691.4 5.11%

33,492 1,799.6 5.37%

34,011 1,907.9 5.61%

1,491.05 4.63%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

14,704 -130.9 -0.89%

14,787 -46.5 -0.31%

14,763 -59.5 -0.40%

14,769 -68.1 -0.46%

14,815 -21.0 -0.14%

14,862 9.8 0.07%

14,916 39.8 0.27%

15,000 68.2 0.45%

15,035 103.5 0.69%

15,147 144.0 0.95%

3.93 0.02%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

29,816 -478.4 -1.60%

30,200 -507.7 -1.68%

30,260 -741.2 -2.45%

30,331 -970.5 -3.20%

30,378 -1,051.3 -3.46%

30,329 -1,054.3 -3.48%

30,329 -1,077.6 -3.55%

30,400 -1,140.4 -3.75%

30,510 -1,269.8 -4.16%

30,706 -1,363.9 -4.44%

-965.51 -3.18%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

17,599 -56.0 -0.32%

17,977 -51.3 -0.29%

18,317 -52.3 -0.29%

18,706 -52.2 -0.28%

19,065 -45.6 -0.24%

19,442 -41.2 -0.21%

19,888 -37.6 -0.19%

20,393 -34.4 -0.17%

20,918 -30.7 -0.15%

21,455 -26.6 -0.12%

-42.80 -0.22%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

17,699 23.6 0.13%

18,182 47.9 0.26%

18,673 43.4 0.23%

19,179 37.7 0.20%

19,732 36.0 0.18%

20,281 44.8 0.22%

20,830 45.3 0.22%

21,401 50.3 0.23%

21,985 47.2 0.21%

22,572 39.9 0.18%

41.62 0.21%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

3,893 -52.3 -1.34%

3,962 -51.5 -1.30%

4,084 -110.5 -2.71%

4,200 -156.7 -3.73%

4,337 -218.4 -5.04%

4,467 -267.8 -6.00%

4,596 -312.8 -6.81%

4,720 -348.5 -7.38%

4,833 -368.1 -7.62%

4,955 -391.3 -7.90%

-227.79 -4.98%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,524 -123.6 -8.11%

1,528 -124.3 -8.14%

1,529 -122.5 -8.01%

1,532 -123.6 -8.07%

1,535 -123.8 -8.07%

1,538 -124.7 -8.10%

1,542 -126.8 -8.22%

1,548 -129.0 -8.33%

1,553 -130.8 -8.42%

1,562 -133.6 -8.55%

-126.26 -8.20%

Table B.11. So oybean Oil Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

09/10

10/11

11/12

World Price Baseline Change % chg

347 28.0 8.07%

348 22.7 6.54%

356 24.4 6.84%

364 24.7 6.79%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 373 383 396 24.2 23.1 22.7 6.48% 6.03% 5.73%

408 22.2 5.44%

422 21.6 5.11%

437 20.6 4.71%

23.42 6.17%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

7,118 362.8 5.10%

7,253 330.2 4.55%

7,376 347.8 4.71%

7,508 350.5 4.67%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 7,647 7,781 7,903 372.9 390.5 409.9 4.88% 5.02% 5.19%

8,027 426.4 5.31%

8,157 445.1 5.46%

8,287 461.2 5.56%

389.74 5.04%

untries Exports of Selected Cou Argentina Baseline 3,549 Change -25.7 % chg -0.73%

3,590 -22.2 -0.62%

3,620 -20.4 -0.56%

3,654 -19.4 -0.53%

3,694 -16.6 -0.45%

3,732 -13.1 -0.35%

3,768 -10.5 -0.28%

3,804 -9.3 -0.24%

3,841 -7.7 -0.20%

3,863 -6.1 -0.16%

-15.11 -0.41%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

1,366 168.5 12.34%

1,430 159.6 11.16%

1,502 168.2 11.20%

1,571 171.4 10.91%

1,643 175.9 10.70%

1,716 180.8 10.53%

1,786 185.2 10.37%

1,856 188.6 10.16%

1,926 191.6 9.95%

1,974 192.5 9.75%

178.23 10.71%

United States Baseline Change % chg

1,032 251.8 24.39%

1,094 206.0 18.83%

1,138 218.7 19.22%

1,187 216.7 18.26%

1,224 224.4 18.33%

1,253 228.0 18.19%

1,274 236.0 18.53%

1,289 242.6 18.82%

1,321 251.3 19.03%

1,371 257.9 18.81%

233.35 19.24%

Imports of Selected Coun untries Eastern Europe Baseline 188 Change 4.5 % chg 2.42%

191 4.0 2.12%

195 4.3 2.19%

199 4.1 2.08%

203 4.2 2.06%

208 4.1 1.95%

213 4.1 1.91%

217 4.0 1.84%

222 4.1 1.84%

227 4.0 1.78%

4.14 2.02%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

360 10.7 2.98%

365 7.9 2.16%

371 8.4 2.27%

378 7.8 2.07%

385 8.2 2.12%

393 8.0 2.04%

401 8.2 2.05%

409 8.1 1.98%

419 8.4 2.00%

428 8.4 1.96%

8.42 2.16%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

1 50.9 3685%

0 41.4 15697%

2 40.9 1855%

3 40.2 1194%

4 39.6 1036%

4 39.3 1089%

4 38.4 859%

4 37.9 1003%

3 37.6 1108%

5 37.0 750%

40.31 2827.61%

China Baseline Change % chg

451 39.6 8.78%

500 42.1 8.42%

566 46.2 8.16%

637 45.5 7.14%

720 49.7 6.91%

802 52.6 6.55%

869 56.4 6.49%

931 59.9 6.43%

997 64.6 6.48%

1,061 69.1 6.51%

52.56 7.19%

India Baseline Change % chg

1,339 40.5 3.03%

1,408 34.6 2.46%

1,459 46.8 3.21%

1,509 56.8 3.76%

1,557 72.4 4.65%

1,609 86.1 5.35%

1,663 98.8 5.94%

1,722 109.4 6.35%

1,786 116.6 6.53%

1,853 124.9 6.74%

78.70 4.80%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

144 6.3 4.37%

159 6.6 4.19%

172 5.3 3.07%

182 5.8 3.18%

192 4.8 2.51%

200 4.4 2.19%

209 3.6 1.75%

217 3.3 1.50%

225 2.9 1.28%

232 2.3 0.99%

4.53 2.50%

69 -1.8 -2.60%

68 -0.6 -0.90%

73 -2.5 -3.44%

81 -1.7 -2.10%

87 -3.4 -3.87%

91 -4.3 -4.74%

96 -5.6 -5.90%

99 -6.6 -6.66%

103 -7.7 -7.43%

105 -9.0 -8.54%

-4.32 -4.62%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

Average

Table B.12. So oybean Oil Production and Consumption 02/03 Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 3,701 -25.4 -0.69%

3,744 -22.4 -0.60%

3,775 -20.0 -0.53%

3,810 -19.4 -0.51%

3,851 -16.1 -0.42%

3,890 -12.7 -0.33%

3,926 -9.8 -0.25%

3,963 -8.6 -0.22%

4,000 -6.7 -0.17%

4,024 -5.2 -0.13%

-14.62 -0.38%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

153 0.7 0.47%

154 -0.2 -0.13%

155 0.5 0.30%

156 0.0 -0.02%

157 0.5 0.30%

158 0.4 0.23%

159 0.7 0.42%

159 0.6 0.40%

159 0.9 0.60%

161 1.0 0.60%

0.50 0.32%

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

4,600 148.5 3.23%

4,719 152.0 3.22%

4,834 157.8 3.26%

4,952 162.5 3.28%

5,072 169.3 3.34%

5,191 176.2 3.39%

5,309 182.1 3.43%

5,428 187.4 3.45%

5,546 192.9 3.48%

5,660 194.8 3.44%

172.35 3.35%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,238 -12.1 -0.37%

3,290 -9.0 -0.27%

3,336 -9.9 -0.30%

3,385 -9.1 -0.27%

3,433 -7.2 -0.21%

3,481 -5.2 -0.15%

3,530 -3.5 -0.10%

3,579 -1.7 -0.05%

3,628 0.6 0.02%

3,689 1.9 0.05%

-5.50 -0.16%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

8,785 129.4 1.47%

8,982 119.7 1.33%

9,118 125.3 1.37%

9,278 120.6 1.30%

9,444 134.0 1.42%

9,612 143.0 1.49%

9,777 153.5 1.57%

9,949 161.6 1.62%

10,114 174.0 1.72%

10,296 187.4 1.82%

144.85 1.51%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

7,710 -107.2 -1.39%

7,856 -89.3 -1.14%

7,963 -94.8 -1.19%

8,075 -95.2 -1.18%

8,201 -92.5 -1.13%

8,343 -87.7 -1.05%

8,491 -84.9 -1.00%

8,649 -82.3 -0.95%

8,784 -78.6 -0.90%

8,917 -73.8 -0.83%

-88.63 -1.07%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

3,308 -29.5 -0.89%

3,327 -10.5 -0.31%

3,322 -13.4 -0.40%

3,323 -15.3 -0.46%

3,333 -4.7 -0.14%

3,344 2.2 0.07%

3,356 9.0 0.27%

3,375 15.3 0.45%

3,383 23.3 0.69%

3,408 32.4 0.95%

0.88 0.02%

2,137 2.6 0.12%

2,187 2.3 0.11%

2,206 5.4 0.24%

2,227 2.9 0.13%

2,248 6.0 0.27%

2,265 7.3 0.32%

2,282 9.8 0.43%

2,298 10.8 0.47%

2,313 13.3 0.58%

2,329 15.3 0.66%

7.57 0.33%

3,520 -11.2 -0.32%

3,595 -10.3 -0.29%

3,663 -10.5 -0.29%

3,741 -10.4 -0.28%

3,813 -9.1 -0.24%

3,888 -8.2 -0.21%

3,978 -7.5 -0.19%

4,079 -6.9 -0.17%

4,184 -6.1 -0.15%

4,291 -5.3 -0.12%

-8.56 -0.22%

3,976 27.4 0.69%

4,097 30.1 0.73%

4,228 36.1 0.85%

4,376 35.0 0.80%

4,527 40.4 0.89%

4,685 44.0 0.94%

4,844 48.7 1.00%

5,009 52.7 1.05%

5,179 58.1 1.12%

5,351 63.4 1.18%

43.58 0.93%

898 -12.1 -1.34%

914 -11.9 -1.30%

943 -25.5 -2.71%

969 -36.2 -3.73%

1,001 -50.4 -5.04%

1,031 -61.8 -6.00%

1,061 -72.2 -6.81%

1,089 -80.4 -7.38%

1,115 -85.0 -7.62%

1,143 -90.3 -7.90%

-52.57 -4.98%

2,237 28.5 1.27%

2,323 22.7 0.98%

2,401 21.3 0.89%

2,478 20.6 0.83%

2,557 22.0 0.86%

2,639 24.3 0.92%

2,723 26.6 0.98%

2,811 28.9 1.03%

2,902 31.6 1.09%

2,996 34.7 1.16%

26.13 1.00%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg China Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg India Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.13. Ra apeseed Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

09/10

10/11

11/12

World Price Baseline Change % chg

208 42.1 20.29%

220 39.5 17.98%

225 51.5 22.91%

227 46.6 20.50%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 231 235 237 240 49.5 52.7 55.7 58.5 21.43% 22.44% 23.53% 24.38%

243 61.7 25.45%

246 65.1 26.43%

52.30 22.53%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

5,968 52.6 0.88%

6,074 386.0 6.35%

6,338 378.2 5.97%

6,497 375.1 5.77%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 6,656 6,800 6,937 377.2 397.8 413.4 5.67% 5.85% 5.96%

7,096 430.7 6.07%

7,255 449.0 6.19%

7,420 467.0 6.29%

372.70 5.50%

untries Exports of Selected Cou Australia Baseline 1,353 Change -3.0 % chg -0.22%

1,368 78.3 5.72%

1,394 76.3 5.48%

1,408 72.6 5.15%

1,442 77.7 5.39%

1,468 83.0 5.66%

1,485 82.4 5.55%

1,508 85.6 5.67%

1,533 87.8 5.73%

1,560 92.1 5.90%

73.28 5.00%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

3,606 69.3 1.92%

3,670 305.4 8.32%

3,829 299.2 7.82%

3,928 299.5 7.62%

4,005 298.0 7.44%

4,072 308.0 7.56%

4,143 320.5 7.74%

4,223 330.5 7.83%

4,302 342.2 7.96%

4,384 352.0 8.03%

292.46 7.22%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

842 -42.6 -5.07%

861 -31.9 -3.71%

926 -32.3 -3.49%

958 -30.7 -3.20%

994 -33.2 -3.34%

1,034 -29.0 -2.81%

1,071 -26.5 -2.48%

1,114 -23.6 -2.12%

1,157 -20.9 -1.80%

1,202 -18.4 -1.53%

-28.91 -2.95%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

167 29.0 17.39%

175 34.2 19.55%

190 35.0 18.45%

202 33.8 16.67%

215 34.6 16.13%

226 35.9 15.88%

238 36.9 15.53%

251 38.2 15.26%

263 39.8 15.11%

274 41.3 15.08%

35.87 16.50%

Imports of Selected Coun untries China Baseline 1,616 Change 149.0 % chg 9.22%

1,810 190.9 10.55%

2,131 309.8 14.54%

2,190 281.4 12.85%

2,181 301.5 13.82%

2,161 294.4 13.63%

2,158 296.6 13.74%

2,213 290.1 13.11%

2,290 298.1 13.02%

2,403 299.9 12.48%

271.17 12.70%

286 -369.8 -129.4%

264 -318.0 -120.5%

233 -275.7 -118.5%

282 -321.7 -114.2%

373 -319.9 -85.8%

456 -287.0 -63.0%

545 -273.9 -50.3%

579 -251.9 -43.5%

621 -239.2 -38.5%

666 -227.2 -34.1%

-288.42 -79.77%

India Baseline Change % chg

0 191.0 N/A

0 310.1 N/A

0 247.7 N/A

0 262.6 N/A

0 253.4 N/A

0 254.0 N/A

0 259.0 N/A

0 265.7 N/A

0 275.3 N/A

0 286.1 N/A

260.50 N/A

Japan Baseline Change % chg

2,174 -114.1 -5.25%

2,175 -84.9 -3.90%

2,194 -97.1 -4.43%

2,211 -89.0 -4.02%

2,229 -90.3 -4.05%

2,245 -89.1 -3.97%

2,261 -87.8 -3.88%

2,275 -86.3 -3.79%

2,290 -85.3 -3.73%

2,305 -84.0 -3.64%

-90.78 -4.07%

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

1,738 196.4 11.30%

1,672 287.8 17.21%

1,627 193.6 11.90%

1,661 241.9 14.56%

1,720 232.4 13.51%

1,786 225.4 12.63%

1,820 219.5 12.06%

1,877 213.1 11.36%

1,901 200.1 10.52%

1,893 192.2 10.15%

220.23 12.52%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

Average

Table B.14. Ra apeseed Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

1,771 0.0 0.00%

1,795 81.4 4.53%

1,830 79.4 4.34%

1,858 76.1 4.10%

1,903 81.2 4.27%

1,939 86.4 4.45%

1,967 85.7 4.36%

2,001 88.7 4.43%

2,037 91.0 4.47%

2,074 95.2 4.59%

76.50 3.95%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

418 3.0 0.72%

427 3.1 0.72%

436 3.1 0.70%

449 3.5 0.78%

461 3.5 0.77%

472 3.3 0.71%

482 3.3 0.68%

493 3.2 0.64%

504 3.1 0.62%

514 3.1 0.60%

3.22 0.69%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

7,333 0.0 0.00%

7,354 371.1 5.05%

7,551 307.9 4.08%

7,699 341.3 4.43%

7,823 332.5 4.25%

7,942 340.0 4.28%

8,077 351.9 4.36%

8,206 362.4 4.42%

8,337 371.4 4.45%

8,465 379.7 4.49%

315.82 3.98%

3,698 -40.4 -1.09%

3,693 52.4 1.42%

3,720 15.6 0.42%

3,766 37.6 1.00%

3,813 35.0 0.92%

3,870 33.0 0.85%

3,931 32.1 0.82%

3,981 32.1 0.81%

4,034 29.8 0.74%

4,080 28.2 0.69%

25.54 0.66%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg

2,740 0.0 0.00%

2,768 39.2 1.42%

2,835 24.2 0.86%

2,893 32.3 1.11%

2,953 27.8 0.94%

3,010 28.8 0.96%

3,065 28.8 0.94%

3,122 29.4 0.94%

3,181 29.2 0.92%

3,240 29.8 0.92%

26.95 0.90%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,896 42.8 2.26%

1,908 70.3 3.68%

1,910 56.9 2.98%

1,935 62.7 3.24%

1,959 61.1 3.12%

1,975 57.9 2.93%

1,994 55.4 2.78%

2,007 53.0 2.64%

2,023 50.1 2.48%

2,038 48.2 2.36%

55.84 2.85%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

11,953 9.7 0.08%

11,748 -77.6 -0.66%

11,983 -180.4 -1.51%

12,087 -165.5 -1.37%

12,188 -186.6 -1.53%

12,289 -182.2 -1.48%

12,463 -183.9 -1.48%

12,646 -177.6 -1.40%

12,815 -184.6 -1.44%

12,952 -186.1 -1.44%

-151.48 -1.22%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

13,569 158.7 1.17%

13,558 113.4 0.84%

14,114 129.4 0.92%

14,277 115.9 0.81%

14,369 114.9 0.80%

14,450 112.2 0.78%

14,621 112.7 0.77%

14,859 112.6 0.76%

15,105 113.5 0.75%

15,355 113.8 0.74%

119.69 0.83%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

4,818 0.0 0.00%

4,786 -203.3 -4.25%

4,967 -286.8 -5.78%

4,979 -257.3 -5.17%

5,054 -280.9 -5.56%

5,102 -279.1 -5.47%

5,151 -277.7 -5.39%

5,191 -273.0 -5.26%

5,235 -272.6 -5.21%

5,277 -269.3 -5.10%

-239.99 -4.72%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

4,783 92.8 1.94%

4,820 82.0 1.70%

4,961 -29.5 -0.59%

4,977 1.1 0.02%

5,052 -25.9 -0.51%

5,100 -23.4 -0.46%

5,145 -16.2 -0.32%

5,187 -5.8 -0.11%

5,231 4.8 0.09%

5,273 18.4 0.35%

9.83 0.21%

Japan Production Baseline Change % chg

2 0.0 0.00%

3 0.1 4.04%

3 0.1 2.15%

3 0.1 3.12%

3 0.1 2.57%

3 0.1 2.69%

3 0.1 2.83%

3 0.1 2.94%

3 0.1 2.99%

3 0.1 3.10%

0.07 2.64%

2,161 -99.3 -4.60%

2,181 -91.7 -4.20%

2,194 -93.8 -4.27%

2,210 -91.1 -4.12%

2,228 -90.0 -4.04%

2,244 -88.8 -3.96%

2,259 -87.6 -3.88%

2,274 -86.3 -3.80%

2,289 -85.1 -3.72%

2,306 -83.8 -3.63%

-89.76 -4.02%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.15. Ra apeseed Meal Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

129 3.2 2.51%

136 -1.1 -0.85%

136 1.0 0.71%

139 -1.1 -0.78%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

2,438 25.7 1.05%

2,473 -47.0 -1.90%

2,607 -10.2 -0.39%

untries Exports of Selected Cou Australia Baseline 0 Change -2.1 % chg N/A

0 -1.2 N/A

Canada Baseline Change % chg

1,334 -23.9 -1.79%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

09/10

10/11

11/12

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 143 147 149 -0.9 -0.5 -0.4 -0.65% -0.35% -0.24%

151 -0.8 -0.53%

154 -1.4 -0.89%

156 -1.5 -0.99%

-0.35 -0.21%

2,580 -38.4 -1.49%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 2,499 2,387 2,332 -51.8 -60.1 -53.7 -2.07% -2.52% -2.30%

2,319 -54.7 -2.36%

2,320 -66.7 -2.88%

2,326 -85.0 -3.66%

-44.21 -1.85%

0 -1.5 N/A

0 6.4 N/A

0 11.8 N/A

0 13.1 N/A

0 16.3 N/A

0 17.9 N/A

0 20.1 N/A

0 21.1 N/A

10.18 N/A

1,316 8.5 0.65%

1,322 -24.5 -1.85%

1,335 -31.9 -2.39%

1,352 -43.5 -3.22%

1,364 -47.8 -3.50%

1,383 -46.5 -3.36%

1,398 -44.0 -3.15%

1,424 -48.4 -3.40%

1,443 -55.5 -3.85%

-35.74 -2.59%

446 51.2 11.48%

450 79.1 17.57%

434 79.7 18.36%

442 83.1 18.79%

445 84.4 18.96%

442 87.8 19.84%

442 89.4 20.23%

437 89.9 20.57%

434 85.8 19.78%

429 82.8 19.30%

81.31 18.49%

9 -14.4 -166.0%

10 -13.3 -128.3%

9 -13.7 -144.7%

10 -13.5 -133.5%

11 -13.3 -117.2%

13 -12.9 -100.1%

14 -12.5 -90.2%

14 -12.4 -86.5%

15 -12.7 -87.1%

15 -13.3 -89.4%

-13.19 -114.3%

Imports of Selected Coun untries China Baseline -600 Change -64.0 % chg 10.67%

-595 18.2 -3.07%

-772 -20.3 2.63%

-718 8.3 -1.16%

-603 3.7 -0.61%

-466 -0.1 0.02%

-390 -3.5 0.89%

-362 -0.4 0.12%

-336 0.6 -0.19%

-319 -0.7 0.23%

-5.82 0.95%

585 110.6 18.9%

622 118.2 19.0%

666 82.4 12.4%

629 49.8 7.9%

554 31.5 5.7%

458 30.2 6.6%

400 28.9 7.2%

368 21.9 6.0%

349 0.6 0.2%

333 -15.9 -4.8%

45.81 7.90%

India Baseline Change % chg

-49 124.0 -252.5%

-102 181.9 -178.7%

-70 195.2 -276.8%

-74 224.1 -302.4%

-88 239.5 -273.6%

-100 249.5 -248.5%

-104 258.6 -248.9%

-107 267.6 -251.1%

-111 276.0 -248.6%

-121 281.9 -233.2%

229.82 -251.4%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

86 40.4 46.76%

62 36.1 57.97%

69 26.0 37.82%

72 25.9 35.95%

77 25.4 32.93%

79 25.0 31.65%

83 24.1 28.88%

84 21.2 25.32%

86 17.8 20.56%

92 15.8 17.24%

25.76 33.51%

1,597 -200.2 -12.54%

1,620 -281.3 -17.36%

1,703 -243.2 -14.28%

1,710 -264.1 -15.44%

1,698 -260.7 -15.35%

1,680 -264.4 -15.74%

1,680 -261.4 -15.56%

1,698 -258.9 -15.25%

1,715 -250.1 -14.58%

1,733 -245.9 -14.19%

-253.02 -15.03%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

European Union Baseline Change % chg

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

Average

Table B.16. Ra apeseed Meal Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

231 1.7 0.73%

236 1.6 0.66%

241 1.5 0.64%

249 1.8 0.73%

255 1.8 0.71%

261 1.7 0.65%

267 1.7 0.63%

273 1.6 0.59%

279 1.6 0.57%

285 1.6 0.55%

1.66 0.65%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

231 3.8 1.63%

236 2.8 1.19%

241 3.1 1.27%

249 -4.6 -1.84%

255 -9.9 -3.89%

261 -11.4 -4.37%

267 -14.6 -5.48%

273 -16.2 -5.95%

279 -18.5 -6.63%

285 -19.5 -6.86%

-8.52 -3.09%

1,836 -22.7 -1.24%

1,837 16.3 0.89%

1,849 -2.4 -0.13%

1,874 9.2 0.49%

1,900 8.2 0.43%

1,933 6.9 0.36%

1,967 6.2 0.31%

1,996 5.9 0.30%

2,025 4.4 0.22%

2,052 3.4 0.16%

3.54 0.18%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

502 1.4 0.28%

521 7.5 1.45%

527 22.2 4.20%

538 41.0 7.62%

548 51.7 9.44%

569 54.7 9.62%

585 52.6 9.00%

598 49.9 8.35%

601 52.8 8.78%

609 58.8 9.66%

39.27 6.84%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg

1,068 25.3 2.37%

1,075 41.0 3.81%

1,075 33.3 3.10%

1,090 36.6 3.36%

1,104 35.7 3.23%

1,113 33.8 3.04%

1,123 32.4 2.88%

1,131 30.9 2.74%

1,140 29.2 2.57%

1,148 28.1 2.45%

32.63 2.95%

619 -25.1 -4.06%

625 -39.1 -6.26%

641 -45.9 -7.17%

647 -46.9 -7.24%

658 -48.7 -7.39%

670 -53.8 -8.04%

681 -57.0 -8.38%

693 -59.1 -8.52%

706 -56.7 -8.03%

719 -54.8 -7.62%

-48.71 -7.27%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

7,782 99.2 1.28%

7,797 71.6 0.92%

8,137 87.9 1.08%

8,239 77.8 0.94%

8,295 78.3 0.94%

8,343 76.6 0.92%

8,446 77.0 0.91%

8,590 76.7 0.89%

8,741 77.7 0.89%

8,895 77.9 0.88%

80.07 0.96%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

7,182 35.2 0.49%

7,203 89.8 1.25%

7,366 67.5 0.92%

7,520 86.1 1.15%

7,692 82.0 1.07%

7,877 76.5 0.97%

8,056 73.6 0.91%

8,228 76.3 0.93%

8,404 78.3 0.93%

8,577 77.2 0.90%

74.25 0.95%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

2,793 2.1 0.07%

2,816 10.4 0.37%

2,837 6.6 0.23%

2,867 7.0 0.24%

2,900 5.3 0.18%

2,935 3.5 0.12%

2,971 1.5 0.05%

3,007 0.0 0.00%

3,044 -1.9 -0.06%

3,083 -3.2 -0.10%

3.13 0.11%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,744 126.1 4.60%

2,714 192.2 7.08%

2,767 201.8 7.29%

2,793 231.1 8.28%

2,813 244.8 8.70%

2,835 253.0 8.92%

2,867 260.1 9.07%

2,900 267.6 9.23%

2,933 274.1 9.34%

2,962 278.7 9.41%

232.95 8.19%

Japan Production Baseline Change % chg

1,186 -54.5 -4.60%

1,196 -50.5 -4.22%

1,203 -51.5 -4.28%

1,212 -50.1 -4.14%

1,221 -49.5 -4.05%

1,231 -48.9 -3.97%

1,238 -48.2 -3.89%

1,247 -47.5 -3.81%

1,255 -46.8 -3.73%

1,264 -46.1 -3.65%

-49.36 -4.03%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,269 -13.4 -1.06%

1,259 -15.3 -1.22%

1,271 -25.2 -1.98%

1,283 -24.6 -1.92%

1,298 -24.0 -1.85%

1,309 -23.7 -1.81%

1,321 -24.1 -1.82%

1,329 -26.4 -1.99%

1,341 -29.1 -2.17%

1,355 -30.3 -2.24%

-23.63 -1.81%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.17. Ra apeseed Oil Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

438 62.2 14.20%

462 49.0 10.59%

475 58.6 12.35%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,346 -57.7 -4.29%

1,329 -18.7 -1.40%

untries Exports of Selected Cou Australia Baseline 59 Change 1.1 % chg 1.81% Canada Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

484 55.8 11.53%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 494 506 515 525 58.4 60.9 63.5 65.7 11.84% 12.05% 12.33% 12.53%

534 68.9 12.91%

545 71.6 13.14%

61.45 12.35%

1,335 -38.2 -2.86%

1,380 -22.8 -1.65%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,442 1,508 1,561 -21.2 -19.1 -17.8 -1.47% -1.27% -1.14%

1,596 -15.7 -0.98%

1,630 -15.8 -0.97%

1,659 -14.9 -0.90%

-24.19 -1.69%

60 1.2 2.06%

61 0.9 1.51%

66 1.3 2.03%

69 1.4 1.99%

70 1.3 1.84%

72 1.3 1.75%

74 1.3 1.78%

77 1.4 1.81%

79 1.4 1.75%

1.26 1.83%

771 -4.9 -0.64%

767 19.3 2.52%

767 7.9 1.03%

775 15.3 1.98%

784 15.0 1.92%

800 14.6 1.82%

816 14.4 1.77%

827 14.5 1.76%

839 14.0 1.67%

849 13.6 1.61%

12.38 1.54%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

74 21.7 29.49%

84 30.6 36.32%

82 25.8 31.56%

89 28.3 31.92%

94 27.1 28.71%

95 26.8 28.13%

97 25.6 26.26%

98 25.3 25.81%

99 24.2 24.43%

100 24.0 23.99%

25.94 28.66%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

443 -75.6 -17.1%

418 -69.8 -16.7%

425 -72.9 -17.1%

451 -67.8 -15.0%

494 -64.7 -13.1%

543 -61.8 -11.4%

576 -59.0 -10.2%

596 -56.8 -9.5%

615 -55.5 -9.0%

630 -53.9 -8.5%

0 -63.77 -12.78%

Imports of Selected Coun untries China Baseline 135 Change -85.0 % chg -62.97%

191 -46.0 -24.08%

148 -64.4 -43.43%

183 -51.3 -28.08%

251 -50.1 -19.92%

330 -49.4 -14.95%

375 -48.8 -13.03%

390 -48.2 -12.35%

406 -48.9 -12.03%

418 -48.6 -11.62%

-54.07 -24.25%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

120 12.2 10.19%

121 12.6 10.47%

127 12.8 10.08%

133 12.4 9.33%

139 12.5 8.97%

146 12.1 8.27%

154 11.9 7.76%

162 11.5 7.12%

171 11.3 6.60%

181 11.0 6.07%

0 12.03 8.49%

India Baseline Change % chg

48 16 140.9 167.7 292.0% 1065.5%

37 160.0 428.9%

48 167.7 352.3%

56 170.5 306.3%

63 174.5 278.5%

75 176.6 234.5%

89 179.2 202.5%

103 180.2 174.9%

115 182.7 158.5%

170.00 349.4%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

31 54.9 178.8%

16 56.9 347.8%

20 50.9 255.3%

24 53.2 224.7%

26 51.3 197.6%

28 49.9 178.2%

33 48.5 146.9%

36 47.3 130.0%

39 45.5 117.0%

39 43.8 112.7%

50.21 188.9%

802 -180.7 -22.53%

775 -210.0 -27.10%

793 -197.4 -24.90%

784 -204.9 -26.15%

760 -205.5 -27.05%

732 -206.2 -28.19%

714 -205.9 -28.83%

708 -205.5 -29.01%

701 -203.9 -29.10%

695 -203.7 -29.30%

-202.37 -27.21%

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

Table B.18. Ra apeseed Oil Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

165 1.2 0.73%

169 1.1 0.66%

172 1.1 0.64%

178 1.3 0.73%

182 1.3 0.71%

186 1.2 0.65%

191 1.2 0.63%

195 1.2 0.59%

199 1.1 0.57%

203 1.1 0.55%

1.18 0.65%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

107 0.1 0.14%

109 -0.1 -0.11%

111 0.2 0.17%

112 0.0 -0.04%

114 -0.1 -0.06%

116 -0.1 -0.06%

118 -0.1 -0.06%

121 -0.2 -0.14%

122 -0.3 -0.22%

124 -0.3 -0.22%

-0.08 -0.06%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

1,307 -16.1 -1.24%

1,308 11.6 0.89%

1,316 -1.7 -0.13%

1,334 6.5 0.49%

1,353 5.9 0.43%

1,376 4.9 0.36%

1,400 4.4 0.31%

1,421 4.2 0.30%

1,442 3.2 0.22%

1,461 2.4 0.16%

2.52 0.18%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

536 -10.2 -1.91%

541 -8.0 -1.47%

549 -9.5 -1.74%

559 -8.8 -1.58%

568 -9.2 -1.61%

576 -9.6 -1.67%

585 -10.0 -1.71%

593 -10.3 -1.74%

602 -10.8 -1.80%

611 -11.2 -1.84%

-9.77 -1.71%

724 17.1 2.37%

729 27.8 3.81%

729 22.6 3.10%

739 24.8 3.36%

748 24.2 3.23%

754 22.9 3.04%

761 21.9 2.88%

767 21.0 2.74%

773 19.8 2.57%

778 19.0 2.45%

22.12 2.95%

650 -4.4 -0.67%

645 -3.2 -0.50%

647 -3.0 -0.47%

650 -3.6 -0.55%

654 -2.8 -0.43%

659 -3.8 -0.58%

664 -3.6 -0.54%

669 -4.3 -0.64%

674 -4.4 -0.65%

678 -4.9 -0.73%

-3.80 -0.58%

4,142 52.8 1.28%

4,150 38.1 0.92%

4,331 46.8 1.08%

4,385 41.4 0.94%

4,415 41.7 0.94%

4,441 40.8 0.92%

4,495 41.0 0.91%

4,572 40.8 0.89%

4,652 41.3 0.89%

4,735 41.5 0.88%

42.62 0.96%

4,277 -32.2 -0.75%

4,341 -7.8 -0.18%

4,479 -17.6 -0.39%

4,568 -9.8 -0.22%

4,666 -8.4 -0.18%

4,771 -8.6 -0.18%

4,870 -7.8 -0.16%

4,963 -7.4 -0.15%

5,059 -7.5 -0.15%

5,153 -7.1 -0.14%

-11.45 -0.25%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

1,376 1.0 0.07%

1,387 5.1 0.37%

1,397 3.3 0.23%

1,412 3.5 0.24%

1,428 2.6 0.18%

1,446 1.7 0.12%

1,463 0.7 0.05%

1,481 0.0 0.00%

1,499 -0.9 -0.06%

1,518 -1.6 -0.10%

1.54 0.11%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,424 141.9 9.96%

1,403 172.8 12.32%

1,435 163.2 11.38%

1,460 171.1 11.72%

1,484 173.2 11.67%

1,508 176.3 11.69%

1,539 177.3 11.53%

1,569 179.2 11.42%

1,602 179.3 11.19%

1,634 181.1 11.09%

171.54 11.40%

884 -40.6 -4.60%

892 -37.6 -4.22%

897 -38.4 -4.28%

903 -37.4 -4.14%

910 -36.9 -4.05%

917 -36.4 -3.97%

923 -35.9 -3.89%

929 -35.4 -3.81%

936 -34.9 -3.73%

942 -34.4 -3.65%

-36.80 -4.03%

913 10.4 1.14%

909 18.0 1.98%

916 13.2 1.44%

926 15.5 1.68%

936 14.5 1.55%

945 13.5 1.43%

955 12.7 1.33%

965 12.0 1.24%

974 10.7 1.10%

981 9.6 0.98%

13.03 1.39%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg China Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Japan Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.19. Su unflower Seed Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

257 23.9 9.32%

254 4.2 1.67%

258 18.1 6.99%

260 7.8 3.00%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,889 247.6 13.11%

1,932 522.7 27.06%

1,906 346.4 18.18%

1,911 461.2 24.13%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Argentina Baseline 478 411 Change 115.8 451.5 % chg 24.20% 109.74% China Baseline Change % chg

359 361 215.3 385.8 59.96% 106.86%

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

271 10.4 3.85%

273 12.7 4.66%

276 11.1 4.03%

12.53 4.74%

1,937 448.2 23.14%

1,942 423.5 21.81%

1,952 451.5 23.13%

411.86 21.39%

330 312 299 281 257 240 269.7 358.1 304.9 359.2 327.5 365.9 81.68% 114.61% 102.01% 127.94% 127.33% 152.38%

315.38 100.67%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 263 266 268 14.1 9.7 13.2 5.37% 3.66% 4.90% (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,914 1,922 1,930 367.6 444.8 405.1 19.20% 23.14% 20.99%

Average

46 -7.3 -15.99%

38 -34.8 -91.60%

32 -48.3 -151.2%

28 -42.8 -152.5%

32 -51.6 -160.5%

26 -47.7 -182.8%

24 -51.6 -215.9%

24 -50.0 -207.8%

24 -53.2 -223.8%

22 -53.2 -236.3%

-44.05 -163.85%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

528 -515.1 -97.6%

528 -562.2 -106.4%

544 -499.0 -91.8%

543 -533.6 -98.3%

566 -501.6 -88.6%

597 -502.9 -84.2%

617 -478.9 -77.6%

638 -478.1 -74.9%

661 -460.4 -69.7%

688 -460.9 -67.0%

-499.26 -85.61%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

837 654.3 78.19%

954 668.2 70.06%

971 678.4 69.86%

979 651.8 66.59%

986 651.0 66.04%

986 637.3 64.61%

991 630.8 63.68%

994 617.0 62.08%

1,000 609.6 60.97%

1,001 599.6 59.88%

639.79 66.20%

Imports of Selected Coun untries European Union Baseline 1,199 Change -675.7 % chg -56.37%

1,130 -601.0 -53.18%

1,108 -637.0 -57.50%

1,091 -609.2 -55.86%

1,068 -633.0 -59.27%

1,047 -591.2 -56.48%

1,029 -588.3 -57.15%

1,005 -557.3 -55.45%

982 -551.0 -56.10%

968 -531.3 -54.91%

-597.50 -56.23%

692 804 800 822 848 877 903 934 961 923.3 1,123.6 983.4 1,070.4 1,000.6 1,036.1 993.4 1,005.5 974.5 133.41% 139.83% 122.95% 130.17% 117.95% 118.09% 110.02% 107.66% 101.36%

986 982.8 99.66%

1,009.36 118.11%

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

Table B.20. Su unflower Seed Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

4,435 -1.7 -0.04%

4,405 326.9 7.42%

4,429 71.8 1.62%

4,515 253.6 5.62%

4,567 126.8 2.78%

4,638 220.7 4.76%

4,711 163.5 3.47%

4,780 220.6 4.61%

4,844 185.4 3.83%

4,917 225.2 4.58%

179.28 3.86%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,954 -88.5 -2.24%

3,993 -142.6 -3.57%

4,074 -130.5 -3.20%

4,155 -141.7 -3.41%

4,240 -137.0 -3.23%

4,329 -141.4 -3.27%

4,415 -138.0 -3.13%

4,502 -141.1 -3.13%

4,590 -139.9 -3.05%

4,680 -142.0 -3.03%

-134.27 -3.13%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

1,982 1.6 0.08%

1,981 -30.7 -1.55%

1,986 -55.7 -2.81%

2,002 -44.2 -2.21%

2,042 -58.9 -2.88%

2,053 -50.8 -2.48%

2,074 -57.5 -2.77%

2,099 -53.6 -2.55%

2,122 -59.1 -2.78%

2,142 -57.9 -2.70%

-46.68 -2.27%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,936 8.9 0.46%

1,943 4.1 0.21%

1,954 -7.4 -0.38%

1,974 -1.4 -0.07%

2,009 -7.3 -0.36%

2,027 -3.2 -0.16%

2,050 -5.9 -0.29%

2,075 -3.7 -0.18%

2,098 -5.9 -0.28%

2,119 -4.7 -0.22%

-2.62 -0.13%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg

2,343 0.0 0.00%

2,350 13.7 0.58%

2,412 -39.7 -1.65%

2,493 -1.1 -0.04%

2,576 -29.2 -1.14%

2,654 -10.7 -0.40%

2,728 -22.0 -0.81%

2,809 -12.5 -0.44%

2,894 -18.8 -0.65%

2,981 -13.0 -0.44%

-13.33 -0.50%

1,808 511.3 28.28%

1,819 571.0 31.39%

1,868 462.8 24.78%

1,949 530.1 27.20%

2,008 474.0 23.60%

2,054 491.3 23.92%

2,110 457.8 21.70%

2,170 465.2 21.44%

2,232 442.2 19.81%

2,292 447.6 19.53%

485.33 24.16%

6,140 0.0 0.00%

6,260 593.2 9.48%

6,311 364.1 5.77%

6,411 522.2 8.14%

6,510 415.4 6.38%

6,598 497.8 7.54%

6,699 452.3 6.75%

6,793 500.3 7.37%

6,887 472.6 6.86%

6,973 503.8 7.22%

432.17 6.55%

5,304 -646.3 -12.19%

5,305 -78.2 -1.47%

5,340 -312.2 -5.85%

5,432 -131.2 -2.42%

5,524 -234.8 -4.25%

5,611 -140.2 -2.50%

5,708 -178.1 -3.12%

5,798 -117.1 -2.02%

5,887 -136.7 -2.32%

5,971 -96.1 -1.61%

-207.10 -3.77%

3,435 0.0 0.00%

3,412 73.8 2.16%

3,424 -14.5 -0.42%

3,480 52.7 1.51%

3,528 25.7 0.73%

3,580 26.5 0.74%

3,626 2.5 0.07%

3,680 -2.9 -0.08%

3,730 -23.4 -0.63%

3,770 -24.6 -0.65%

11.59 0.34%

4,595 -642.4 -13.98%

4,517 -554.9 -12.29%

4,533 -633.8 -13.98%

4,566 -569.9 -12.48%

4,594 -599.6 -13.05%

4,625 -570.4 -12.33%

4,652 -581.9 -12.51%

4,682 -563.7 -12.04%

4,710 -571.9 -12.14%

4,735 -558.0 -11.78%

-584.64 -12.66%

5,497 0.0 0.00%

5,449 -84.4 -1.55%

5,476 -160.4 -2.93%

5,524 -106.2 -1.92%

5,568 -143.5 -2.58%

5,610 -115.3 -2.05%

5,656 -131.6 -2.33%

5,702 -115.6 -2.03%

5,748 -124.6 -2.17%

5,792 -114.3 -1.97%

-109.59 -1.95%

6,258 883.3 14.11%

6,221 1,015.1 16.32%

6,265 841.0 13.42%

6,344 952.2 15.01%

6,410 865.4 13.50%

6,484 916.0 14.13%

6,555 866.4 13.22%

6,632 887.3 13.38%

6,705 853.0 12.72%

6,776 867.1 12.80%

894.67 13.86%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg Former Soviet Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.21. Su unflower Seed Meal Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

113 -3.4 -3.01%

122 -12.7 -10.42%

127 -8.2 -6.44%

129 -13.3 -10.28%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,732 20.5 1.19%

1,796 158.7 8.84%

1,830 103.0 5.63%

1,899 123.5 6.50%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Argentina Baseline 1,452 Change -48.2 % chg -3.32%

1,491 -95.4 -6.40%

1,514 -55.0 -3.63%

1,543 -85.8 -5.56%

1,581 -67.1 -4.24%

1,617 -79.6 -4.92%

China Baseline Change % chg

0 34.6 N/A

0 11.1 N/A

0 2.1 N/A

0 -12.4 N/A

0 -16.8 N/A

34 285.1 835.6%

44 316.2 721.7%

49 292.6 600.5%

74 312.1 420.5%

246 -251.0 -102.2%

261 -73.2 -28.0%

267 -136.7 -51.2%

Imports of Selected Coun untries European Union Baseline 1,420 Change 381.7 % chg 26.87%

1,425 498.8 34.99%

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

381 -340.1 -89.3%

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

322 -361.1 -112.3%

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 133 136 139 -11.5 -13.3 -12.3 -8.66% -9.81% -8.88%

141 -13.9 -9.87%

144 -13.8 -9.55%

147 -14.7 -9.96%

-11.70 -8.69%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,958 2,007 2,065 97.1 111.5 100.6 4.96% 5.55% 4.87%

2,124 105.5 4.97%

2,184 81.8 3.75%

2,246 69.9 3.11%

97.21 4.94%

1,650 -71.6 -4.34%

1,685 -80.9 -4.80%

1,723 -76.4 -4.44%

1,762 -80.6 -4.58%

-74.06 -4.62%

0 -33.9 N/A

0 -44.6 N/A

0 -54.2 N/A

0 -63.7 N/A

0 -74.4 N/A

-25.22 N/A

79 297.5 377.7%

75 309.8 413.0%

80 305.0 382.1%

85 309.2 365.2%

91 296.5 327.5%

96 293.6 306.7%

301.77 475.05%

282 -90.4 -32.1%

299 -116.6 -39.0%

315 -84.8 -26.9%

335 -88.2 -26.3%

354 -68.7 -19.4%

370 -74.6 -20.1%

388 -68.8 -17.7%

-105.28 -36.3%

1,408 408.5 29.01%

1,427 438.0 30.70%

1,429 395.0 27.64%

1,425 416.1 29.19%

1,429 396.0 27.71%

1,436 399.6 27.83%

1,446 367.2 25.39%

1,459 355.5 24.36%

405.64 28.37%

432 -305.5 -70.7%

482 -314.5 -65.2%

539 -297.9 -55.3%

592 -304.6 -51.5%

646 -295.4 -45.7%

697 -294.1 -42.2%

748 -285.4 -38.1%

797 -285.6 -35.9%

-308.42 -60.6%

Table B.22. Su unflower Seed Meal Production and Consumption 02/03 Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,636 -36.9 -2.26%

1,653 -60.9 -3.68%

1,687 -54.8 -3.25%

1,721 -60.2 -3.50%

1,757 -57.8 -3.29%

1,794 -59.9 -3.34%

1,830 -58.3 -3.19%

1,867 -59.8 -3.20%

1,904 -59.1 -3.11%

1,941 -60.2 -3.10%

-56.80 -3.19%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

189 4.3 2.28%

183 15.2 8.32%

182 9.5 5.23%

184 15.0 8.16%

184 13.0 7.05%

184 15.8 8.55%

186 15.4 8.28%

187 17.7 9.47%

180 17.6 9.75%

183 18.5 10.12%

14.20 7.72%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

595 1.0 0.17%

598 -7.0 -1.18%

601 -8.8 -1.46%

608 -8.6 -1.41%

622 -9.9 -1.59%

626 -9.1 -1.46%

634 -9.7 -1.53%

644 -9.4 -1.46%

653 -10.0 -1.53%

662 -9.9 -1.50%

-8.14 -1.29%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

595 -33.6 -5.64%

598 -18.1 -3.03%

601 -10.9 -1.81%

608 3.8 0.63%

622 6.9 1.11%

626 24.8 3.96%

634 34.9 5.51%

644 44.8 6.95%

653 53.7 8.22%

662 64.4 9.74%

17.08 2.56%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg

872 254.7 29.22%

876 283.2 32.31%

900 230.5 25.62%

940 263.1 28.00%

968 235.8 24.36%

990 244.1 24.66%

1,016 227.7 22.40%

1,045 231.1 22.11%

1,075 219.9 20.45%

1,104 222.4 20.14%

241.25 24.93%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

837 -30.8 -3.68%

833 -34.1 -4.09%

851 -61.6 -7.23%

865 -49.5 -5.72%

889 -61.5 -6.92%

914 -65.8 -7.19%

936 -77.2 -8.25%

960 -78.2 -8.14%

984 -76.6 -7.78%

1,008 -71.2 -7.06%

-60.64 -6.61%

2,045 -258.8 -12.65%

2,042 -42.0 -2.06%

2,054 -131.0 -6.37%

2,089 -61.3 -2.94%

2,123 -100.6 -4.74%

2,155 -63.9 -2.97%

2,191 -78.0 -3.56%

2,224 -54.2 -2.44%

2,256 -61.3 -2.72%

2,286 -45.4 -1.98%

-89.65 -4.24%

1,799 -8.2 -0.45%

1,781 30.2 1.69%

1,787 6.3 0.35%

1,807 28.6 1.58%

1,824 16.1 0.89%

1,840 20.7 1.12%

1,856 10.3 0.56%

1,870 14.3 0.77%

1,886 13.3 0.70%

1,898 23.3 1.23%

15.49 0.84%

2,152 -324.2 -15.06%

2,108 -292.0 -13.86%

2,118 -321.7 -15.19%

2,132 -297.0 -13.93%

2,145 -308.3 -14.37%

2,159 -294.8 -13.66%

2,171 -298.1 -13.73%

2,184 -289.3 -13.24%

2,197 -291.5 -13.27%

2,208 -284.8 -12.90%

-300.18 -13.92%

3,560 52.0 1.46%

3,535 193.0 5.46%

3,530 93.9 2.66%

3,560 133.7 3.76%

3,576 89.6 2.50%

3,585 119.0 3.32%

3,600 99.7 2.77%

3,620 108.4 2.99%

3,643 76.2 2.09%

3,668 69.8 1.90%

103.53 2.89%

2,396 385.2 16.08%

2,368 438.8 18.54%

2,381 367.4 15.43%

2,412 412.7 17.11%

2,437 376.9 15.47%

2,465 397.7 16.13%

2,493 377.0 15.12%

2,523 385.3 15.27%

2,551 370.9 14.54%

2,578 376.6 14.61%

388.86 15.83%

2,717 23.6 0.87%

2,749 98.1 3.57%

2,814 62.3 2.21%

2,894 97.9 3.38%

2,976 79.1 2.66%

3,057 92.9 3.04%

3,139 81.7 2.60%

3,220 91.1 2.83%

3,299 85.6 2.59%

3,375 91.0 2.70%

80.32 2.65%

Former Soviet Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.23. Su unflower Seed Oil Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

546 58.2 10.65%

529 23.2 4.39%

535 46.6 8.71%

539 31.2 5.79%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,210 -162.3 -13.41%

1,160 -55.8 -4.81%

1,187 -80.1 -6.75%

1,225 -56.1 -4.58%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Argentina Baseline 1,021 Change 0.6 % chg 0.06%

1,019 -57.7 -5.66%

1,049 -27.2 -2.59%

China Baseline Change % chg

0 -0.8 N/A

0 -13.8 N/A

Eastern Europe Baseline Change % chg

-121 197.8 -163.5%

Former Soviet Union Baseline Change % chg

09/10

10/11

11/12

563 38.1 6.77%

569 42.8 7.52%

576 40.8 7.08%

40.05 7.26%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,267 1,307 1,347 -65.0 -48.1 -45.9 -5.13% -3.68% -3.40%

1,383 -33.0 -2.38%

1,417 -29.1 -2.06%

1,451 -19.9 -1.37%

-59.53 -4.76%

1,075 -48.7 -4.53%

1,103 -34.3 -3.11%

1,133 -43.6 -3.84%

1,161 -35.3 -3.04%

1,189 -40.4 -3.40%

1,218 -35.0 -2.87%

1,249 -38.3 -3.07%

-35.99 -3.21%

0 -20.1 N/A

0 -27.9 N/A

0 -31.7 N/A

0 -40.3 N/A

0 -47.3 N/A

0 -54.3 N/A

0 -61.6 N/A

0 -69.7 N/A

-36.75 N/A

-139 205.8 -147.7%

-132 177.3 -134.3%

-113 194.3 -172.1%

-104 179.2 -172.0%

-103 182.0 -177.2%

-96 172.2 -179.7%

-88 172.9 -197.5%

-79 166.0 -210.7%

-71 166.8 -234.0%

181.43 -178.89%

189 -162.9 -86.22%

142 1.9 1.35%

138 -52.9 -38.47%

151 -7.4 -4.92%

164 -30.8 -18.72%

174 -4.5 -2.59%

186 -10.5 -5.67%

194 7.4 3.83%

199 5.9 2.95%

202 18.5 9.16%

-23.54 -13.93%

Imports of Selected Coun untries European Union Baseline 98 Change 224.6 % chg 230.2%

204 267.1 131.1%

188 239.1 127.0%

194 254.2 131.3%

196 239.5 122.3%

197 244.3 124.2%

200 235.0 117.7%

202 236.5 117.2%

205 230.2 112.4%

208 230.1 110.7%

240.07 132.4%

806 -130.8 -16.23%

855 -162.1 -18.95%

908 -144.0 -15.86%

956 -157.0 -16.42%

997 -150.7 -15.12%

1,041 -156.0 -14.99%

1,083 -150.9 -13.94%

1,122 -154.9 -13.80%

1,161 -152.9 -13.16%

-154.93 -15.78%

Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

981 -189.9 -19.36%

06/07

07/08

08/09

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 544 551 557 42.2 35.6 41.7 7.76% 6.46% 7.49%

Average

Table B.24. Su unflower Seed Oil Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

1,558 -35.2 -2.26%

1,574 -58.0 -3.68%

1,607 -52.2 -3.25%

1,639 -57.3 -3.50%

1,673 -55.0 -3.29%

1,709 -57.1 -3.34%

1,743 -55.5 -3.19%

1,778 -57.0 -3.20%

1,813 -56.3 -3.11%

1,849 -57.3 -3.10%

-54.09 -3.19%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

539 -27.0 -5.01%

554 -6.3 -1.14%

559 -21.0 -3.75%

565 -11.3 -2.00%

571 -18.8 -3.29%

577 -14.7 -2.55%

583 -19.1 -3.28%

590 -17.2 -2.92%

596 -20.5 -3.44%

601 -19.3 -3.22%

-17.52 -3.06%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

226 0.4 0.17%

227 -2.7 -1.18%

228 -3.3 -1.46%

231 -3.3 -1.41%

236 -3.7 -1.59%

237 -3.5 -1.46%

240 -3.7 -1.53%

244 -3.6 -1.46%

248 -3.8 -1.53%

251 -3.8 -1.50%

-3.09 -1.29%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

226 1.2 0.52%

227 11.1 4.89%

228 16.7 7.34%

231 24.7 10.69%

236 27.9 11.83%

237 36.9 15.53%

240 43.7 18.17%

244 50.7 20.76%

248 57.9 23.35%

251 65.9 26.27%

33.66 13.94%

697 203.7 29.22%

701 226.5 32.31%

720 184.4 25.62%

752 210.5 28.00%

775 188.6 24.36%

792 195.3 24.66%

813 182.1 22.40%

836 184.9 22.11%

860 175.9 20.45%

883 178.0 20.14%

193.00 24.93%

816 5.5 0.67%

838 18.9 2.25%

851 8.5 1.00%

864 15.4 1.78%

878 10.1 1.15%

893 13.0 1.45%

908 10.3 1.13%

923 11.9 1.28%

938 10.1 1.08%

954 11.0 1.16%

11.45 1.29%

2,095 -265.1 -12.65%

2,092 -43.0 -2.06%

2,105 -134.1 -6.37%

2,140 -62.8 -2.94%

2,175 -103.1 -4.74%

2,208 -65.5 -2.97%

2,244 -79.9 -3.56%

2,278 -55.5 -2.44%

2,311 -62.8 -2.72%

2,342 -46.5 -1.98%

-91.84 -4.24%

1,902 -95.5 -5.02%

1,947 -49.0 -2.52%

1,966 -78.7 -4.00%

1,988 -57.1 -2.87%

2,010 -71.2 -3.54%

2,033 -61.7 -3.04%

2,058 -68.9 -3.35%

2,084 -63.4 -3.04%

2,111 -68.3 -3.24%

2,140 -65.2 -3.05%

-67.91 -3.37%

1,739 -261.8 -15.06%

1,702 -235.9 -13.86%

1,710 -259.8 -15.19%

1,722 -239.9 -13.93%

1,732 -249.0 -14.37%

1,744 -238.1 -13.66%

1,754 -240.7 -13.73%

1,764 -233.7 -13.24%

1,774 -235.5 -13.27%

1,783 -230.1 -12.90%

-242.45 -13.92%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,819 -28.5 -1.56%

1,887 18.7 0.99%

1,899 -12.6 -0.67%

1,914 8.9 0.47%

1,927 -5.9 -0.31%

1,939 3.8 0.20%

1,952 -3.9 -0.20%

1,965 1.5 0.08%

1,978 -3.9 -0.20%

1,990 -0.7 -0.04%

-2.25 -0.12%

Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg

2,183 351.0 16.08%

2,157 399.8 18.54%

2,170 334.7 15.43%

2,198 376.0 17.11%

2,220 343.4 15.47%

2,246 362.3 16.13%

2,271 343.5 15.12%

2,298 351.1 15.27%

2,324 337.9 14.54%

2,349 343.2 14.61%

354.30 15.83%

3,156 152.5 4.83%

2,957 262.5 8.88%

3,024 177.6 5.87%

3,104 229.0 7.38%

3,175 188.6 5.94%

3,242 210.3 6.49%

3,311 188.7 5.70%

3,380 199.5 5.90%

3,446 183.9 5.34%

3,510 189.9 5.41%

198.27 6.17%

Eastern Europe Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg Former Soviet Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.25. Pe eanut Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

1,039 67.5 6.50%

1,063 -95.1 -8.95%

1,068 -105.0 -9.84%

1,076 -118.6 -11.02%

192 -3.1 -1.60%

218 22.7 10.41%

221 25.6 11.56%

226 24.4 10.79%

231 26.8 11.60%

236 24.9 10.53%

China Baseline Change % chg

529 -126.2 -23.84%

484 -140.5 -29.02%

482 -145.3 -30.13%

480 -152.8 -31.82%

475 -156.9 -33.06%

India Baseline Change % chg

116 153.1 132.02%

145 -43.1 -29.70%

150 -64.6 -43.17%

155 -84.0 -54.15%

202 43.7 21.70%

216 65.8 30.45%

214 79.3 36.98%

Imports of Selected Coun untries Canada Baseline 122 Change -8.3 % chg -6.81%

123 -7.5 -6.10%

454 -22.3 -4.9%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg Exports of Selected Cou Argentina Baseline Change % chg

United States Baseline Change % chg

European Union Baseline Change % chg Mexico Baseline Change % chg Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,079 1,077 1,082 -111.3 -118.4 -118.5 -10.31% -11.00% -10.96%

1,087 -126.6 -11.64%

1,091 -128.4 -11.78%

1,091 -138.4 -12.69%

-99.29 -9.17%

242 27.0 11.16%

247 25.7 10.42%

251 27.5 10.96%

255 26.4 10.33%

22.80 9.62%

464 -158.1 -34.05%

460 -163.9 -35.60%

459 -167.0 -36.36%

456 -173.5 -38.04%

451 -176.3 -39.09%

-156.05 -33.10%

159 -91.2 -57.43%

163 -110.9 -67.94%

167 -123.1 -73.76%

170 -143.2 -84.24%

173 176 -156.3 -178.7 -90.42% -101.47%

-84.19 -47.03%

214 93.8 43.85%

214 110.0 51.32%

213 125.6 58.92%

212 141.4 66.66%

211 157.9 74.79%

210 173.9 82.61%

209 190.1 90.99%

118.16 55.83%

124 -8.0 -6.47%

125 -8.5 -6.80%

126 -8.5 -6.71%

127 -9.2 -7.26%

128 -9.3 -7.28%

129 -10.0 -7.77%

130 -10.2 -7.84%

131 -10.9 -8.36%

-9.05 -7.14%

470 -17.4 -3.7%

471 -19.5 -4.1%

475 -20.3 -4.3%

478 -20.1 -4.2%

481 -22.0 -4.6%

485 -21.8 -4.5%

490 -23.7 -4.8%

494 -23.7 -4.8%

498 -25.7 -5.2%

-21.67 -4.51%

104 -23.3 -22.38%

107 -25.7 -23.98%

111 -27.7 -24.99%

114 -29.4 -25.75%

116 -29.9 -25.76%

119 -32.3 -27.15%

122 -33.0 -27.12%

125 -35.4 -28.33%

128 -36.4 -28.56%

130 -39.0 -30.09%

-31.23 -26.41%

273 121.5 44.56%

276 -44.4 -16.08%

275 -49.8 -18.08%

275 -60.3 -21.91%

272 -52.7 -19.36%

264 -55.0 -20.86%

261 -54.2 -20.80%

258 -57.7 -22.36%

253 -57.9 -22.86%

246 -63.0 -25.56%

-37.35 -14.33%

Table B.26. Pe eanut Production and Consumption 02/03 Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 357 -0.5 -0.15%

389 28.9 7.42%

396 33.9 8.57%

403 35.2 8.74%

410 41.1 10.03%

417 41.9 10.04%

426 48.3 11.34%

434 50.4 11.61%

441 57.1 12.94%

449 60.1 13.38%

39.64 9.39%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

168 5.2 3.07%

172 6.3 3.66%

174 8.6 4.91%

177 11.0 6.22%

179 14.4 8.05%

181 17.3 9.56%

184 21.4 11.64%

187 25.0 13.35%

190 29.7 15.61%

194 34.0 17.58%

17.29 9.36%

China Production Baseline Change % chg

13,628 11.0 0.08%

13,725 -142.2 -1.04%

13,775 -125.6 -0.91%

13,774 -143.4 -1.04%

13,775 -95.0 -0.69%

13,748 -103.2 -0.75%

13,806 -73.1 -0.53%

13,901 -69.2 -0.50%

13,981 -40.1 -0.29%

14,031 -38.1 -0.27%

-81.88 -0.59%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

13,098 137.2 1.05%

13,241 -1.7 -0.01%

13,292 19.7 0.15%

13,294 9.4 0.07%

13,301 61.9 0.47%

13,284 54.9 0.41%

13,345 90.8 0.68%

13,441 97.8 0.73%

13,525 133.5 0.99%

13,580 138.2 1.02%

74.18 0.55%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

7,575 0.0 0.00%

7,824 -256.9 -3.28%

7,916 -238.2 -3.01%

7,977 -222.2 -2.78%

8,055 -200.6 -2.49%

8,140 -193.5 -2.38%

8,226 -173.6 -2.11%

8,313 -165.2 -1.99%

8,396 -143.9 -1.71%

8,481 -133.3 -1.57%

-172.72 -2.13%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

7,459 -153.1 -2.05%

7,679 -213.8 -2.78%

7,767 -173.6 -2.24%

7,822 -138.1 -1.77%

7,896 -109.4 -1.39%

7,977 -82.7 -1.04%

8,060 -50.5 -0.63%

8,143 -22.0 -0.27%

8,223 12.4 0.15%

8,304 45.3 0.55%

-88.54 -1.15%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

1,598 0.0 0.00%

1,694 54.9 3.24%

1,690 64.7 3.83%

1,695 74.1 4.37%

1,702 90.1 5.30%

1,703 103.3 6.07%

1,707 117.5 6.88%

1,712 131.7 7.69%

1,717 142.3 8.29%

1,719 153.8 8.94%

93.25 5.46%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,457 -14.4 -0.99%

1,472 -13.2 -0.90%

1,478 -14.6 -0.99%

1,484 -17.6 -1.19%

1,489 -19.3 -1.30%

1,493 -21.4 -1.43%

1,498 -23.3 -1.55%

1,503 -26.6 -1.77%

1,508 -31.3 -2.08%

1,514 -36.3 -2.40%

-21.80 -1.46%

European Union Consumption Baseline Change % chg

457 -18.6 -4.08%

469 -17.6 -3.76%

472 -19.1 -4.05%

476 -20.1 -4.23%

479 -20.1 -4.19%

483 -21.7 -4.49%

486 -21.8 -4.47%

491 -23.3 -4.75%

495 -23.6 -4.77%

499 -25.3 -5.06%

-21.12 -4.39%

Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg

8,598 0.0 0.00%

8,841 210.3 2.38%

8,903 218.3 2.45%

8,983 241.0 2.68%

9,063 264.4 2.92%

9,144 271.7 2.97%

9,229 305.2 3.31%

9,313 315.4 3.39%

9,394 351.0 3.74%

9,476 366.7 3.87%

254.40 2.77%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

8,876 127.8 1.44%

9,115 165.9 1.82%

9,178 169.4 1.85%

9,258 181.3 1.96%

9,335 211.8 2.27%

9,407 217.7 2.31%

9,489 251.2 2.65%

9,570 258.7 2.70%

9,646 293.5 3.04%

9,722 304.8 3.14%

218.22 2.32%

Table B.27. Pa alm Oil Price and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

World Price Baseline Change % chg

370 36.0 9.73%

412 25.3 6.14%

437 19.8 4.52%

450 16.3 3.61%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

15,281 204.1 1.34%

15,387 244.5 1.59%

15,676 325.1 2.07%

Exports of Selected Cou untries Malaysia Baseline 10,498 Change 95.9 % chg 0.91%

10,548 97.6 0.93%

Indonesia Baseline Change % chg

4,783 108.2 2.26%

Imports of Selected Coun untries China Baseline 2,148 Change 6.4 % chg 0.30% European Union Baseline Change % chg India Baseline Change % chg Rest of World Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 460 471 483 16.2 16.6 18.0 3.52% 3.52% 3.73%

498 19.1 3.83%

514 20.3 3.94%

531 20.8 3.92%

20.82 4.65%

16,015 352.1 2.20%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 16,382 16,751 17,129 369.9 376.6 385.7 2.26% 2.25% 2.25%

17,508 394.9 2.26%

17,900 407.0 2.27%

18,308 418.1 2.28%

347.80 2.08%

10,753 152.1 1.41%

10,991 168.8 1.54%

11,247 178.9 1.59%

11,494 181.2 1.58%

11,737 185.4 1.58%

11,969 190.2 1.59%

12,202 197.5 1.62%

12,442 204.9 1.65%

165.26 1.44%

4,839 146.8 3.03%

4,923 173.1 3.52%

5,024 183.3 3.65%

5,135 190.9 3.72%

5,257 195.4 3.72%

5,392 200.2 3.71%

5,540 204.7 3.70%

5,698 209.4 3.68%

5,866 213.2 3.63%

182.54 3.46%

2,183 12.4 0.57%

2,241 21.6 0.96%

2,316 23.9 1.03%

2,394 25.1 1.05%

2,476 24.8 1.00%

2,562 25.1 0.98%

2,653 25.6 0.97%

2,747 26.6 0.97%

2,842 27.5 0.97%

21.90 0.88%

2,527 -24.2 -0.96%

2,544 -7.1 -0.28%

2,562 4.3 0.17%

2,599 5.7 0.22%

2,640 6.9 0.26%

2,677 5.8 0.22%

2,714 5.2 0.19%

2,748 4.2 0.15%

2,784 4.1 0.15%

2,822 3.9 0.14%

0.89 0.03%

4,082 289.4 7.09%

4,142 258.3 6.24%

4,287 268.6 6.26%

4,425 280.2 6.33%

4,583 286.6 6.25%

4,744 293.5 6.19%

4,909 300.2 6.12%

5,077 310.4 6.11%

5,254 319.8 6.09%

5,442 330.2 6.07%

293.73 6.27%

6,381 -67.5 -1.06%

6,375 -19.2 -0.30%

6,442 30.7 0.48%

6,531 42.4 0.65%

6,623 51.2 0.77%

6,711 52.5 0.78%

6,802 55.2 0.81%

6,887 54.7 0.79%

6,972 56.4 0.81%

7,060 56.5 0.80%

31.28 0.45%

Table B.28. Pa alm Oil Production and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Malaysia Production Baseline Change % chg

12,089 0.0 0.00%

12,225 105.4 0.86%

12,458 149.9 1.20%

12,781 166.5 1.30%

13,100 171.1 1.31%

13,398 172.8 1.29%

13,683 174.6 1.28%

13,963 179.9 1.29%

14,250 186.7 1.31%

14,545 195.1 1.34%

150.22 1.12%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,692 -30.7 -1.81%

1,713 -17.7 -1.03%

1,738 -12.5 -0.72%

1,783 -9.1 -0.51%

1,836 -8.7 -0.47%

1,891 -8.6 -0.46%

1,942 -9.4 -0.48%

1,994 -9.7 -0.49%

2,048 -10.0 -0.49%

2,103 -9.9 -0.47%

-12.63 -0.69%

8,087 0.0 0.00%

8,162 74.9 0.92%

8,314 113.0 1.36%

8,497 131.0 1.54%

8,694 139.8 1.61%

8,898 145.2 1.63%

9,109 149.0 1.64%

9,329 153.4 1.64%

9,558 157.9 1.65%

9,796 162.5 1.66%

122.67 1.36%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

3,311 -98.0 -2.96%

3,331 -74.1 -2.22%

3,394 -61.3 -1.80%

3,474 -53.1 -1.53%

3,559 -51.2 -1.44%

3,641 -50.3 -1.38%

3,718 -51.0 -1.37%

3,790 -51.2 -1.35%

3,860 -51.4 -1.33%

3,930 -50.7 -1.29%

-59.22 -1.67%

China Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,148 6.4 0.30%

2,183 12.4 0.57%

2,241 21.6 0.96%

2,316 23.9 1.03%

2,394 25.1 1.05%

2,476 24.8 1.00%

2,562 25.1 0.98%

2,653 25.6 0.97%

2,747 26.6 0.97%

2,842 27.5 0.97%

21.90 0.88%

2,539 -18.5 -0.73%

2,548 -10.4 -0.41%

2,567 2.7 0.11%

2,601 4.8 0.18%

2,640 6.8 0.26%

2,678 5.8 0.21%

2,715 5.4 0.20%

2,750 4.3 0.16%

2,786 4.3 0.15%

2,823 3.9 0.14%

0.90 0.03%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

39 0.0 0.00%

38 0.0 0.00%

41 0.0 0.00%

44 0.0 0.00%

47 -3.4 -7.10%

51 -4.1 -7.98%

53 -4.3 -8.00%

56 -4.4 -7.86%

58 -4.4 -7.54%

61 -4.4 -7.21%

-2.49 -4.57%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

4,168 189.3 4.54%

4,220 237.7 5.63%

4,337 262.1 6.04%

4,474 276.4 6.18%

4,630 282.9 6.11%

4,795 289.3 6.03%

4,964 295.8 5.96%

5,136 305.0 5.94%

5,316 314.4 5.91%

5,506 324.5 5.89%

277.75 5.82%

Rest of World Production Baseline Change % chg

4,350 0.0 0.00%

4,342 2.4 0.06%

4,361 1.4 0.03%

4,413 -3.9 -0.09%

4,480 -7.3 -0.16%

4,548 -12.8 -0.28%

4,613 -17.1 -0.37%

4,676 -19.8 -0.42%

4,741 -21.0 -0.44%

4,808 -21.4 -0.45%

-9.94 -0.21%

10,763 -62.1 -0.58%

10,738 -25.7 -0.24%

10,813 27.6 0.26%

10,945 36.0 0.33%

11,101 43.7 0.39%

11,259 39.7 0.35%

11,415 38.7 0.34%

11,566 35.1 0.30%

11,716 35.6 0.30%

11,870 34.9 0.29%

20.35 0.18%

Indonesia Production Baseline Change % chg

European Union Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.29. Cotton Price P and Trade 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

09/10

10/11

11/12

World Price Baseline Change % chg

837 11.57 1.38%

911 21.82 2.40%

983 28.28 2.88%

1,041 32.59 3.13%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,091 1,143 1,200 1,258 35.36 37.34 39.00 41.50 3.24% 3.27% 3.25% 3.30%

1,317 43.38 3.29%

1,378 43.50 3.16%

33.43 2.93%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

4,363 -28 -0.63%

4,368 -34 -0.78%

4,367 -35 -0.80%

4,397 -39 -0.89%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 4,439 4,488 4,540 4,588 4,635 -41 -42 -42 -44 -45 -0.93% -0.94% -0.92% -0.96% -0.96%

4,683 -43 -0.92%

-39 -0.87%

Exports of Selected Countries Africa Baseline Change % chg

1,198 3.7 0.31%

1,211 22.8 1.88%

1,224 25.1 2.05%

1,238 25.7 2.07%

1,251 26.7 2.13%

1,262 27.1 2.14%

1,273 27.3 2.15%

1,282 27.6 2.15%

1,291 28.1 2.18%

1,298 28.4 2.19%

24.25 1.93%

Australia Baseline Change % chg

650 5.2 0.80%

644 5.4 0.83%

649 5.4 0.83%

663 5.8 0.87%

683 5.7 0.83%

709 5.9 0.83%

737 6.0 0.81%

766 6.1 0.79%

795 6.1 0.77%

825 6.1 0.74%

5.75 0.81%

Pakistan Baseline Change % chg

8 -62.7 -793%

27 -97.6 -361%

28 -100.2 -352%

31 -101.5 -329%

34 -102.5 -302%

37 -103.9 -280%

40 -105.6 -264%

44 -107.1 -245%

48 -108.6 -224%

54 -110.3 -203%

-100.01 -335.21%

2,275 22.7 1.0%

2,299 14.7 0.6%

2,286 10.2 0.4%

2,283 9.7 0.4%

2,296 8.8 0.4%

2,320 8.0 0.3%

2,347 9.0 0.4%

2,371 8.0 0.3%

2,394 8.0 0.3%

2,418 10.9 0.4%

10.99 0.47%

Uzbekistan Baseline Change % chg

735 4.6 0.63%

722 12.9 1.79%

717 14.0 1.96%

714 14.4 2.02%

713 14.9 2.09%

712 15.0 2.10%

712 15.0 2.11%

711 15.1 2.13%

711 15.3 2.15%

711 15.3 2.16%

13.67 1.91%

Imports of Selected Countries China Baseline Change % chg

507 -8.4 -1.7%

538 -16.0 -3.0%

537 -17.8 -3.3%

576 -20.6 -3.6%

613 -22.4 -3.6%

650 -23.5 -3.6%

687 -24.0 -3.5%

710 -25.5 -3.6%

730 -26.6 -3.6%

751 -25.6 -3.4%

-21.02 -3.29%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

543 -4.7 -0.9%

514 -9.5 -1.9%

512 -10.7 -2.1%

496 -11.0 -2.2%

482 -11.7 -2.4%

466 -11.9 -2.6%

447 -12.1 -2.7%

428 -12.4 -2.9%

410 -12.8 -3.1%

390 -12.9 -3.3%

-10.99 -2.41%

India Baseline Change % chg

385 10.5 2.7%

393 9.6 2.4%

400 9.0 2.3%

410 8.0 2.0%

421 7.6 1.8%

433 7.5 1.7%

445 7.7 1.7%

459 7.5 1.6%

473 7.5 1.6%

488 7.7 1.59%

8.27 1.95%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

237 -3.3 -1.38%

228 -2.3 -0.99%

220 -2.1 -0.95%

214 -2.2 -1.01%

209 -2.1 -1.01%

204 200 196 193 -2.0 -2.0 -2.0 -1.9 -1.00% -0.98% -1.00% -0.98%

189 -1.8 -0.96%

-2.16 -1.03%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

353 -1.5 -0.43%

348 -1.1 -0.32%

346 -1.0 -0.29%

346 -1.2 -0.34%

347 -1.2 -0.34%

348 347 347 347 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -0.34% -0.33% -0.35% -0.35%

347 -1.2 -0.35%

-1.20 -0.34%

Turkey Baseline Change % chg

424 -17.3 -4.09%

423 -22.2 -5.25%

411 -24.4 -5.94%

394 -18.9 -4.80%

388 -17.0 -4.38%

388 389 389 390 -17.2 -17.8 -17.6 -17.6 -4.45% -4.59% -4.52% -4.51%

393 -17.9 -4.55%

-18.80 -4.71%

United States Baseline Change % chg

06/07

07/08

08/09

Average

Table B.30. Cotton Production P and Consumption 02/03

03/04

04/05

05/06

06/07

07/08

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Africa Production Baseline Change % chg

1,800 0.0 0.00%

1,803 21.3 1.18%

1,820 23.8 1.31%

1,837 24.2 1.32%

1,852 25.3 1.37%

1,864 25.7 1.38%

1,877 26.0 1.39%

1,890 26.3 1.39%

1,903 26.8 1.41%

1,915 27.1 1.42%

22.65 1.22%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

596 -1.2 -0.2%

590 -1.3 -0.2%

588 -1.3 -0.2%

586 -1.3 -0.2%

587 -1.3 -0.2%

588 -1.3 -0.2%

590 -1.3 -0.2%

593 -1.3 -0.2%

597 -1.3 -0.2%

602 -1.3 -0.2%

-1.31 -0.22%

India Production Baseline Change % chg

2,525 0.0 0.00%

2,543 -4.2 -0.17%

2,597 -3.2 -0.12%

2,668 -3.2 -0.12%

2,725 -2.8 -0.10%

2,775 2,822 2,870 2,917 -2.7 -2.6 -2.7 -2.6 -0.10% -0.09% -0.09% -0.09%

2,963 -2.6 -0.09%

-2.66 -0.10%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,904 8.2 0.28%

2,931 6.0 0.20%

2,984 5.9 0.20%

3,058 5.1 0.17%

3,128 4.9 0.16%

3,192 4.9 0.15%

3,253 5.1 0.16%

3,314 4.9 0.15%

3,375 4.9 0.15%

3,436 5.1 0.15%

5.49 0.18%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

3,908 -96.5 -2.5%

3,815 -113.9 -3.0%

3,772 -114.1 -3.0%

3,784 -113.3 -3.0%

3,802 -111.7 -2.9%

3,811 -112.1 -2.9%

3,816 -112.5 -2.9%

3,824 -116.3 -3.0%

3,831 -114.8 -3.0%

3,840 -110.3 -2.9%

-111.55 -2.92%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,681 -34.4 -2.05%

1,649 -36.7 -2.22%

1,626 -40.5 -2.49%

1,609 -43.7 -2.71%

1,595 -44.3 -2.78%

1,580 1,566 1,553 1,539 -44.5 -45.7 -48.7 -48.9 -2.82% -2.92% -3.14% -3.18%

1,524 -49.0 -3.22%

-43.65 -2.75%

Uzbekistan Production Baseline Change % chg

1,022 0.0 0.00%

1,011 12.1 1.19%

1,007 13.5 1.34%

1,006 13.7 1.36%

1,006 14.2 1.41%

1,010 14.7 1.45%

1,011 14.8 1.46%

12.61 1.25%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

287 -0.6 -0.19%

289 -0.6 -0.21%

290 -0.6 -0.21%

292 -0.6 -0.22%

293 -0.6 -0.22%

295 296 297 299 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6 -0.22% -0.22% -0.22% -0.22%

300 -0.6 -0.21%

-0.62 -0.21%

4,769 0.0 0.00%

4,820 4.0 0.08%

4,864 7.1 0.15%

4,912 7.3 0.15%

4,957 8.7 0.17%

5,124 10.4 0.20%

5,166 10.5 0.20%

7.65 0.15%

5,350 -6.3 -0.12%

5,396 -10.5 -0.19%

5,439 -10.7 -0.20%

5,520 -12.7 -0.23%

5,611 -13.5 -0.24%

5,661 5,722 5,783 5,859 -14.1 -14.4 -15.6 -16.2 -0.25% -0.25% -0.27% -0.28%

5,930 -15.3 -0.26%

-12.92 -0.23%

545 0.0 0.0%

556 7.7 1.4%

564 9.3 1.6%

572 9.3 1.6%

580 10.1 1.7%

617 11.2 1.8%

627 11.5 1.8%

9.11 1.54%

1,073 -1.2 -0.11%

1,056 -1.4 -0.13%

1,062 -1.4 -0.13%

1,054 -1.5 -0.14%

1,048 -1.5 -0.14%

1,041 1,031 1,022 1,013 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -1.6 -0.15% -0.15% -0.15% -0.15%

1,002 -1.5 -0.15%

-1.47 -0.14%

China Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,007 14.4 1.43%

4,999 9.2 0.18%

589 10.4 1.8%

1,008 14.5 1.44%

5,042 9.6 0.19%

598 10.7 1.8%

1,009 14.5 1.44%

5,083 9.7 0.19%

607 10.9 1.8%

Table B.31. Butter B Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,393 562.2 40.37%

1,456 520.7 35.76%

1,498 491.4 32.81%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

630 22.4 3.56%

628 15.8 2.52%

Exports of Selected Co Countries Argentina 5 Baseline 3.9 Change 83% % chg

2008

2009

2010

2011

1,559 506.9 32.51%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,585 1,629 1,690 522.3 536.0 549.3 32.94% 32.91% 32.50%

1,765 566.6 32.09%

1,836 586.3 31.93%

1,911 608.0 31.82%

544.97 33.56%

638 25.1 3.94%

650 28.0 4.31%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 668 683 691 33.7 35.8 46.8 5.05% 5.25% 6.78%

700 51.4 7.35%

709 66.5 9.38%

721 82.0 11.38%

40.77 5.95%

6 4.3 77%

6 4.7 84%

6 4.8 84%

6 5.1 92%

6 5.3 96%

6 5.6 97%

6 5.8 98%

6 6.0 99%

6 6.2 100%

5.17 91%

119 21.0 17.56%

121 21.3 17.56%

119 25.4 21.27%

118 27.2 23.14%

121 29.0 24.00%

122 29.7 24.24%

121 30.0 24.74%

122 30.6 25.07%

122 30.9 25.27%

124 31.2 25.22%

27.64 22.81%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

76 -119.7 -157%

87 -86.1 -100%

95 -66.7 -70%

103 -57.5 -56%

111 -58.9 -53%

122 -51.2 -42%

128 -36.8 -29%

137 -25.1 -18%

146 -13.3 -9%

155 -2.6 -2%

-51.80 -54%

New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

341 16.8 4.93%

323 17.3 5.37%

326 18.6 5.70%

330 17.9 5.43%

334 18.8 5.62%

337 19.5 5.79%

340 20.4 6.00%

342 21.0 6.14%

344 21.6 6.28%

346 22.0 6.37%

19.40 5.76%

Imports of Selected Countries Co Brazil Baseline 6 Change -1.9 % chg -32%

6 -1.9 -33%

6 -1.7 -30%

4 -1.5 -35%

4 -2.0 -52%

3 -2.6 -76%

3 -3.3 -123%

2 -3.9 -222%

1 -4.6 -454%

0 -5.3 -1762%

-2.88 -282%

Australia Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Canada Baseline Change % chg

3 0.5 18%

1 35.1 3421%

-1 37.0 -3382%

-1 38.5 -3761%

0 40.3 9542%

1 40.6 2719%

1 42.3 4066%

2 42.9 2653%

2 44.0 2194%

2 45.1 1899%

36.61 1937%

India Baseline Change % chg

19 -65.6 -354%

20 -64.0 -328%

22 -48.8 -223%

22 -41.9 -189%

20 -45.3 -221%

17 -35.8 -207%

12 -24.7 -204%

14 -14.9 -109%

14 -5.3 -38%

17 4.3 25%

-34.19 -185%

Indonesia Baseline Change % chg

14 2.1 14.81%

14 2.1 15.00%

15 2.2 15.07%

15 2.2 15.05%

15 2.3 15.00%

16 2.3 14.97%

16 2.4 14.97%

16 2.4 14.97%

16 2.5 14.95%

17 2.5 14.92%

2.30 14.97%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

3 9.2 309%

1 11.3 1134%

1 12.2 1220%

1 12.8 1283%

1 14.0 1350%

3 13.5 485%

3 13.6 422%

4 13.2 351%

4 13.2 323%

4 13.4 326%

12.65 720%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

112 -7.8 -6.99%

118 -6.8 -5.74%

125 -5.7 -4.53%

132 -3.8 -2.90%

141 -2.3 -1.60%

150 -0.3 -0.18%

158 2.0 1.24%

166 4.5 2.73%

174 6.6 3.80%

183 8.9 4.85%

-0.47 -0.93%

9 8.8 102%

9 3.6 41%

9 4.0 46%

9 0.5 6%

9 0.1 2%

9 -3.0 -35%

9 -3.4 -40%

9 -5.3 -61%

9 -5.7 -66%

9 -7.6 -88%

-0.79 -9%

United States Baseline Change % chg

Table B.32. Butter B Production and Consumption 2002 Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 182 18.1 9.96%

182 22.9 12.57%

180 26.5 14.69%

179 26.7 14.98%

182 28.6 15.70%

184 29.0 15.77%

183 29.7 16.20%

184 29.9 16.31%

184 30.3 16.43%

186 30.4 16.38%

27.21 14.90%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

60 -0.9 -1.52%

61 -0.8 -1.32%

61 -0.7 -1.18%

61 -0.7 -1.15%

62 -0.7 -1.21%

62 -0.8 -1.22%

62 -0.7 -1.18%

62 -0.7 -1.18%

62 -0.7 -1.19%

62 -0.8 -1.22%

-0.76 -1.24%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

1,706 -5.1 -0.30%

1,704 -11.0 -0.64%

1,702 14.4 0.85%

1,703 9.8 0.58%

1,704 -2.7 -0.16%

1,705 -11.9 -0.70%

1,705 -12.9 -0.76%

1,703 -13.7 -0.80%

1,702 -13.7 -0.80%

1,700 -14.5 -0.86%

-6.13 -0.36%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,617 85.4 5.28%

1,614 78.2 4.85%

1,604 84.3 5.26%

1,605 61.9 3.85%

1,603 46.5 2.90%

1,594 29.2 1.83%

1,579 22.1 1.40%

1,566 12.0 0.77%

1,554 1.6 0.10%

1,542 -9.4 -0.61%

41.17 2.56%

New Zealand Production Baseline Change % chg

347 14.0 4.02%

351 14.8 4.21%

354 16.2 4.58%

358 15.6 4.34%

362 16.4 4.52%

366 17.1 4.67%

369 18.0 4.87%

371 18.5 4.99%

373 19.1 5.11%

375 19.5 5.19%

16.91 4.65%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

27 -2.9 -10.50%

28 -2.6 -9.26%

28 -2.3 -8.33%

28 -2.4 -8.33%

29 -2.4 -8.39%

29 -2.4 -8.40%

29 -2.4 -8.41%

29 -2.5 -8.50%

29 -2.5 -8.60%

29 -2.6 -8.72%

-2.49 -8.74%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

546 -5.6 -1.0%

547 6.7 1.2%

549 4.3 0.8%

553 10.0 1.8%

555 9.4 1.7%

559 15.2 2.7%

560 15.1 2.7%

562 18.3 3.3%

564 18.1 3.2%

567 20.4 3.6%

11.19 2.00%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

553 2.9 0.5%

555 9.6 1.7%

558 8.5 1.5%

562 10.3 1.8%

564 9.6 1.7%

568 12.0 2.1%

569 11.7 2.1%

571 13.0 2.3%

573 12.4 2.2%

575 12.8 2.2%

10.28 1.82%

Table B.33. Cheese C Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

2,051 755.9 36.86%

2,108 731.6 34.70%

2,165 699.0 32.29%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

863 -80.9 -9.38%

887 -102.7 -11.57%

Exports of Selected Co Countries Argentina Baseline 12 Change 11.6 % chg 97%

2008

2009

2010

2011

2,202 662.8 30.10%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 2,221 2,266 2,334 660.0 617.3 597.7 29.72% 27.24% 25.60%

2,392 578.1 24.17%

2,445 565.1 23.11%

2,497 549.7 22.01%

641.72 28.58%

891 -105.0 -11.79%

914 -79.7 -8.72%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 946 976 995 -82.6 -46.2 -26.7 -8.73% -4.74% -2.69%

1,016 -0.4 -0.04%

1,034 23.8 2.30%

1,057 49.0 4.64%

-45.14 -5.07%

24 16.5 67%

18 18.9 108%

16 18.3 117%

12 20.3 169%

9 19.0 201%

9 18.7 204%

8 18.2 227%

6 17.8 288%

4 17.0 409%

17.62 189%

185 21.8 11.73%

181 12.8 7.06%

191 12.3 6.42%

195 16.7 8.58%

206 15.9 7.71%

213 14.6 6.87%

217 12.5 5.74%

225 11.2 4.99%

232 10.0 4.31%

240 9.0 3.74%

13.68 6.72%

281 -171.3 -61.03%

288 -214.2 -74.42%

277 -225.0 -81.33%

287 -219.0 -76.28%

301 -231.9 -76.96%

316 -197.7 -62.54%

321 -172.6 -53.77%

327 -147.2 -44.97%

334 -124.1 -37.15%

343 -100.7 -29.37%

-180.37 -59.78%

New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

271 5.1 1.88%

277 0.7 0.25%

293 -2.1 -0.71%

305 -0.5 -0.16%

315 0.3 0.08%

327 -0.9 -0.28%

336 -3.5 -1.04%

342 -5.0 -1.45%

346 -6.8 -1.95%

349 -8.7 -2.48%

-2.13 -0.59%

Switzerland Baseline Change % chg

60 11.0 18.30%

57 16.7 29.18%

52 19.8 38.00%

46 20.5 44.24%

43 21.0 48.91%

41 20.8 50.69%

40 20.4 51.33%

40 20.1 50.96%

39 20.0 50.82%

39 19.7 50.19%

18.99 43.26%

Imports of Selected Countries Co Brazil Baseline 5 Change 3.0 % chg 66%

-3 8.8 -308%

-7 16.2 -229%

-6 16.4 -293%

-2 17.7 -1028%

0 22.6 48703%

1 28.6 2603%

3 32.9 1174%

6 37.0 634%

9 40.9 439%

22.42 5176%

Australia Baseline Change % chg European Union Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Canada Baseline Change % chg

11 28.5 271%

11 30.9 291%

10 40.2 388%

10 50.1 505%

8 52.0 640%

8 60.0 746%

8 62.5 782%

8 66.6 835%

8 71.0 889%

8 75.8 947%

53.76 629%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

200 26.7 13.30%

206 27.4 13.26%

210 22.8 10.82%

216 16.2 7.51%

222 9.2 4.12%

228 1.6 0.68%

234 -5.4 -2.33%

239 -12.5 -5.24%

244 -19.5 -7.98%

249 -26.6 -10.67%

3.97 2.35%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

60 -28.4 -48%

58 -46.1 -79%

57 -59.1 -103%

57 -65.8 -116%

56 -70.9 -126%

51 -73.2 -144%

49 -74.4 -152%

45 -74.5 -166%

39 -74.2 -189%

31 -73.6 -234%

-64.02 -136%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

108 -33.5 -30.94%

113 -35.1 -31.10%

118 -36.7 -31.06%

125 -31.3 -24.94%

133 -28.9 -21.73%

140 -25.8 -18.41%

147 -24.0 -16.38%

153 -21.1 -13.75%

161 -18.9 -11.74%

169 -16.3 -9.66%

-27.15 -20.97%

United States Baseline Change % chg

138 -84.9 -61.36%

138 -81.2 -59%

137 -84.7 -62%

137 -83.7 -61%

137 -88.8 -65%

137 -86.4 -63%

137 -92.6 -67%

137 -94.4 -69%

137 -97.3 -71%

137 -101.0 -73%

-89.47 -65.04%

Table B.34. Cheese C Production and Consumption 2002 Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 363 3.5 0.97%

376 3.4 0.90%

389 1.9 0.48%

401 2.9 0.72%

413 3.1 0.76%

425 2.9 0.68%

437 1.8 0.41%

449 1.0 0.22%

461 0.2 0.05%

473 -0.4 -0.09%

2.03 0.51%

183 -13.2 -7.22%

191 -11.7 -6.15%

198 -10.2 -5.17%

205 -12.9 -6.3%

207 -13.0 -6.3%

212 -12.0 -5.7%

218 -11.0 -5.1%

223 -10.4 -4.7%

228 -9.9 -4.4%

232 -9.5 -4.1%

-11.40 -5.50%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

6,273 -133.2 -2.1%

6,304 -220.0 -3.5%

6,354 -126.3 -2.0%

6,434 -189.1 -2.9%

6,496 -219.4 -3.4%

6,560 -192.7 -2.9%

6,577 -167.5 -2.5%

6,612 -142.0 -2.1%

6,652 -125.8 -1.9%

6,693 -108.1 -1.6%

-162.42 -2.51%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

5,977 23.8 0.40%

6,032 25.5 0.42%

6,079 63.8 1.05%

6,136 47.1 0.77%

6,188 30.2 0.49%

6,237 17.6 0.28%

6,267 11.6 0.19%

6,297 8.8 0.14%

6,328 3.9 0.06%

6,359 -1.4 -0.02%

23.10 0.38%

New Zealand Production Baseline Change % chg

296 2.4 0.80%

305 -1.8 -0.60%

322 -4.4 -1.38%

335 -2.6 -0.79%

346 -1.9 -0.54%

359 -2.9 -0.80%

368 -5.3 -1.45%

375 -6.7 -1.80%

380 -8.5 -2.23%

384 -10.3 -2.68%

-4.21 -1.15%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

27 -2.7 -10.1%

28 -2.5 -9.1%

29 -2.3 -8.1%

30 -2.2 -7.3%

31 -2.1 -7.0%

31 -2.0 -6.2%

32 -1.9 -5.8%

33 -1.8 -5.4%

34 -1.7 -5.0%

35 -1.6 -4.7%

-2.08 -6.88%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg

3,898 37 1.0%

4,026 20 0.5%

4,141 28 0.7%

4,249 22 0.5%

4,358 27 0.6%

4,463 20 0.5%

4,574 24 0.5%

4,686 22 0.5%

4,803 25 0.5%

4,913 24 0.5%

24.88 0.57%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

4,022 -46 -1%

4,137 -57 -1%

4,248 -59 -1%

4,358 -61 -1%

4,467 -63 -1%

4,572 -65 -1%

4,683 -69 -1%

4,796 -72 -2%

4,913 -73 -1%

5,023 -77 -2%

-64.21 -1.41%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.35. Nonfat N Dry Milk Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,739 521.6 30.00%

1,772 553.0 31.22%

1,788 577.5 32.29%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

965 53.9 5.59%

954 76.7 8.04%

Countries Exports of Selected Co Argentina 21 Baseline 3.6 Change 16.69% % chg Australia Baseline Change % chg Canada Baseline Change % chg

2008

2009

2010

2011

1,813 515.2 28.41%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,843 1,880 1,932 516.6 492.8 511.3 28.03% 26.21% 26.46%

1,963 511.1 26.04%

1,993 518.3 26.00%

2,021 519.5 25.71%

523.68 28.04%

959 83.3 8.69%

971 109.7 11.30%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 986 997 1,001 125.2 141.5 146.0 12.69% 14.19% 14.58%

1,010 150.2 14.86%

1,021 153.7 15.06%

1,033 158.0 15.30%

119.80 12.03%

22 4.4 19.63%

22 5.1 22.70%

23 4.7 20.77%

23 5.0 21.77%

23 5.1 21.82%

24 5.4 22.66%

24 5.6 22.98%

25 5.8 23.45%

25 5.9 23.63%

5.06 21.61%

222 39.1 17.65%

227 45.0 19.84%

222 52.1 23.48%

217 52.3 24.11%

222 56.7 25.49%

224 57.4 25.60%

221 59.0 26.72%

220 59.7 27.15%

219 60.5 27.58%

220 60.9 27.65%

54.26 24.53%

36 4.6 13%

35 -50.5 -145%

37 -65.6 -176%

37 -68.7 -186%

35 -71.9 -208%

32 -72.9 -227%

32 -75.5 -235%

31 -76.8 -249%

30 -78.6 -266%

29 -80.6 -283%

-63.66 -196%

95 -9.1 -10%

106 -6.5 -6%

101 -6.1 -6%

104 9.4 9%

107 20.6 19%

111 17.4 16%

112 17.5 16%

112 7.0 6%

113 6.8 6%

113 1.3 1%

5.81 5%

New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

198 8.7 4.42%

192 10.9 5.70%

196 14.1 7.20%

202 12.4 6.11%

208 13.8 6.64%

213 15.3 7.16%

218 17.3 7.95%

221 18.6 8.40%

224 19.9 8.87%

227 20.8 9.20%

15.18 7.17%

United States Baseline Change % chg

178 3.8 2.16%

135 46.9 34.72%

130 38.0 29.30%

124 54.0 43.60%

115 50.9 44.32%

106 67.9 64.25%

97 67.5 69.82%

97 77.2 79.92%

97 75.4 78.08%

97 81.2 84.06%

56.29 53.02%

Imports of Selected Countries Co Brazil Baseline 12 Change -5.7 % chg -48%

12 -7.0 -58%

13 -8.6 -66%

13 -7.8 -62%

12 -8.3 -69%

12 -8.9 -74%

12 -10.3 -88%

12 -11.2 -92%

13 -12.3 -98%

13 -13.2 -100%

-9.35 -76%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Indonesia Baseline Change % chg

101 11.9 11.83%

104 12.1 11.57%

107 12.1 11.33%

110 12.9 11.71%

113 13.2 11.74%

115 13.8 11.92%

118 14.0 11.89%

121 14.4 11.93%

124 14.7 11.93%

126 15.1 11.96%

13.44 11.78%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

42 8.0 19.13%

30 5.4 17.76%

28 4.7 16.70%

31 3.8 12.34%

41 2.6 6.35%

46 0.7 1.60%

50 -0.8 -1.69%

53 -2.4 -4.52%

55 -2.6 -4.62%

57 -2.0 -3.50%

1.74 5.96%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

90 -7.8 -8.67%

95 -8.9 -9.35%

98 -9.7 -9.87%

102 -10.1 -9.91%

105 -10.5 -10.01%

107 -10.6 -9.91%

110 -10.8 -9.76%

113 -10.9 -9.57%

116 -10.9 -9.41%

119 -11.0 -9.25%

-10.12 -9.57%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

42 -5.8 -13.68%

43 -8.1 -18.97%

42 -9.9 -23.45%

39 -6.4 -16.29%

36 -4.3 -11.99%

33 -1.9 -5.83%

30 -0.3 -0.97%

26 2.1 8.17%

22 4.0 17.71%

18 6.2 33.55%

-2.44 -3.17%

Table B.36. Nonfat N Dry Milk Production and Consumption 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

264 34.7 13.16%

262 43.9 16.75%

256 51.0 19.90%

251 51.4 20.46%

256 54.9 21.42%

258 55.8 21.59%

255 57.2 22.45%

254 57.8 22.78%

253 58.5 23.12%

254 58.8 23.18%

52.40 20.48%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

33 -2.9 -8.78%

34 -2.9 -8.72%

34 -2.9 -8.54%

34 -2.5 -7.23%

34 -2.5 -7.47%

34 -2.4 -7.06%

34 -2.3 -6.92%

34 -2.3 -6.76%

34 -2.3 -6.72%

33 -2.2 -6.69%

-2.52 -7.49%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

972 9.4 0.97%

961 9.8 1.02%

946 47.5 5.02%

931 46.7 5.02%

922 24.5 2.66%

911 0.9 0.10%

907 -4.7 -0.52%

896 -9.8 -1.09%

884 -11.9 -1.35%

873 -15.9 -1.82%

9.65 1.00%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

861 24.6 2.86%

853 20.7 2.43%

845 40.3 4.77%

838 37.5 4.48%

828 13.2 1.59%

818 -9.1 -1.11%

802 -16.9 -2.11%

789 -15.7 -1.99%

776 -16.0 -2.07%

763 -15.1 -1.98%

6.34 0.69%

New Zealand Production Baseline Change % chg

198 7.4 3.76%

203 9.6 4.73%

207 12.7 6.15%

214 11.2 5.23%

219 12.6 5.75%

225 14.2 6.30%

230 16.2 7.06%

233 17.5 7.50%

236 18.8 7.95%

239 19.8 8.28%

14.00 6.27%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

11 -1.3 -11.89%

11 -1.3 -11.93%

11 -1.4 -11.84%

12 -1.2 -10.17%

12 -1.2 -9.99%

12 -1.1 -9.30%

12 -1.1 -9.43%

12 -1.1 -9.18%

12 -1.1 -9.06%

12 -1.1 -8.83%

-1.18 -10.16%

623 -0.5 0%

608 31.9 5%

592 26.0 4%

576 38.9 7%

555 37.1 7%

539 50.6 9%

515 50.6 10%

494 58.2 12%

472 57.1 12%

454 62.1 14%

41.19 7.97%

403 -4.0 -1.0%

406 -14.2 -3.5%

409 -12.3 -3.0%

399 -14.9 -3.7%

402 -13.9 -3.5%

402 -17.0 -4.2%

406 -16.9 -4.2%

408 -18.9 -4.6%

410 -18.4 -4.5%

410 -19.1 -4.7%

-14.96 -3.69%

United States Production Baseline Change % chg Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.37. Whole W Milk Powder Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,788 559.3 31.28%

1,826 557.8 30.54%

1,847 548.5 29.70%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

1,277 -0.8 -0.06%

1,293 1.1 0.09%

Exports of Selected Co Countries Argentina Baseline 100 Change 20.5 % chg 20.56% Australia Baseline Change % chg

2008

2009

2010

2011

1,870 515.8 27.58%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,892 1,924 1,964 501.7 475.9 484.3 26.52% 24.73% 24.65%

1,998 481.4 24.10%

2,030 482.4 23.76%

2,064 481.4 23.33%

508.83 26.62%

1,304 16.8 1.29%

1,326 28.6 2.16%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 1,345 1,356 1,368 44.6 65.6 66.1 3.32% 4.83% 4.83%

1,377 72.1 5.23%

1,385 80.3 5.80%

1,393 90.3 6.48%

46.48 3.40%

104 21.4 20.56%

107 21.2 19.91%

108 21.4 19.83%

109 20.4 18.68%

111 19.0 17.06%

113 19.0 16.77%

116 18.7 16.15%

118 18.3 15.53%

120 17.8 14.83%

19.78 17.99%

193 15.3 7.95%

197 20.7 10.49%

200 24.0 12.00%

201 26.0 12.92%

202 29.0 14.37%

203 30.3 14.90%

205 30.5 14.89%

206 31.1 15.10%

206 31.4 15.24%

207 32.0 15.45%

27.03 13.33%

476 -68.7 -14.43%

478 -77.8 -16.28%

471 -84.2 -17.90%

478 -79.6 -16.66%

484 -65.1 -13.46%

480 -36.6 -7.62%

479 -30.2 -6.31%

478 -20.6 -4.30%

478 -12.2 -2.56%

478 -2.4 -0.51%

-47.74 -10.00%

508 32.2 6.33%

513 12.1 2.36%

526 10.4 1.98%

539 10.6 1.96%

550 9.8 1.77%

562 8.2 1.46%

571 9.0 1.58%

577 8.3 1.44%

583 7.6 1.30%

588 6.5 1.11%

11.46 2.13%

Imports of Selected Countries Co Brazil Baseline 23 Change -9.3 % chg -41.46%

21 -8.9 -41.67%

21 -6.9 -32.09%

23 -5.8 -24.98%

24 -2.2 -9.34%

24 1.5 6.11%

26 2.4 9.28%

30 4.0 13.50%

33 5.7 17.28%

37 7.5 20.21%

-1.20 -8.32%

European Union Baseline Change % chg New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

China Baseline Change % chg

25 -6.7 -26%

12 -36.2 -314%

8 -53.2 -678%

21 -70.8 -343%

29 -79.8 -273%

39 -83.3 -215%

52 -89.8 -172%

59 -93.9 -158%

63 -98.0 -156%

64 -100.8 -156%

-71.25 -249%

Indonesia Baseline Change % chg

12 2.7 23.17%

12 2.8 23.03%

13 2.9 22.91%

13 3.0 23.14%

13 3.1 23.18%

14 3.2 23.33%

14 3.3 23.37%

14 3.3 23.42%

15 3.4 23.44%

15 3.5 23.46%

3.12 23.25%

Malaysia Baseline Change % chg

47 -0.6 -1.36%

48 -0.6 -1.31%

50 -0.6 -1.26%

51 -0.6 -1.16%

53 -0.6 -1.14%

55 -0.6 -1.08%

57 -0.6 -1.06%

59 -0.6 -1.04%

61 -0.6 -1.03%

63 -0.6 -1.02%

-0.62 -1.15%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

23 5.7 24.80%

25 2.9 11.60%

26 0.8 3.04%

27 -0.5 -2.04%

30 -1.3 -4.22%

31 -1.7 -5.54%

31 -1.6 -5.16%

32 -1.4 -4.35%

33 -1.0 -3.09%

34 -0.6 -1.93%

0.13 1.31%

Russia Baseline Change % chg

23 -1.8 -7.63%

23 -2.1 -9.18%

22 -2.5 -11.11%

21 -1.1 -5.38%

20 -1.0 -4.95%

19 -0.3 -1.44%

17 0.5 2.81%

15 1.4 8.96%

13 2.0 14.87%

12 2.8 23.89%

-0.21 1.09%

0 2.8 573%

0 2.8 601%

0 2.8 676%

0 2.9 783%

1 2.9 502%

1 2.9 446%

1 2.9 500%

1 3.0 481%

1 3.0 458%

1 3.0 413%

2.88 543%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

Table B.38. Whole W Milk Powder Production and Consumption 2002 Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons) 218 14.6 6.66%

224 20.0 8.93%

227 23.4 10.28%

229 25.4 11.10%

230 28.4 12.37%

232 29.7 12.84%

234 30.0 12.82%

235 30.5 12.99%

236 30.9 13.10%

237 31.5 13.27%

26.43 11.44%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

26 -0.8 -2.95%

26 -0.7 -2.73%

27 -0.7 -2.49%

27 -0.6 -2.19%

28 -0.6 -2.14%

28 -0.6 -1.97%

29 -0.5 -1.87%

29 -0.5 -1.78%

30 -0.5 -1.72%

30 -0.5 -1.67%

-0.60 -2.15%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

975 -56.8 -5.83%

977 -66.3 -6.79%

969 -69.3 -7.15%

977 -66.7 -6.83%

983 -54.2 -5.52%

979 -28.4 -2.90%

975 -23.1 -2.37%

972 -14.4 -1.48%

970 -7.2 -0.74%

967 1.5 0.15%

-38.50 -3.95%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

499 11.9 2.38%

499 11.5 2.30%

499 14.9 2.99%

499 12.9 2.58%

499 10.9 2.18%

499 8.2 1.64%

497 7.1 1.43%

494 6.2 1.25%

492 5.0 1.03%

489 3.9 0.80%

9.24 1.86%

New Zealand Production Baseline Change % chg

536 12.7 2.36%

550 11.7 2.13%

564 10.2 1.81%

576 10.9 1.90%

587 9.4 1.60%

600 8.3 1.38%

608 8.1 1.34%

616 7.7 1.25%

622 6.9 1.11%

627 5.9 0.95%

9.18 1.58%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

34 -1.3 -3.90%

35 -1.3 -3.69%

35 -1.2 -3.46%

36 -1.1 -3.13%

36 -1.1 -2.97%

37 -1.0 -2.74%

37 -1.0 -2.71%

38 -1.0 -2.61%

38 -1.0 -2.54%

39 -1.0 -2.47%

-1.10 -3.02%

Table B.39. Beef B Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,641 175.3 10.68%

1,684 173.3 10.29%

1,730 130.3 7.53%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

2,906 298 10.24%

3,218 454 14.10%

Countries Exports of Selected Co Argentina Baseline 194 Change 136.7 % chg 70.60%

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

1,681 57.1 3.40%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,613 1,545 1,506 -2.6 -31.5 -29.3 -0.16% -2.04% -1.94%

1,481 -4.1 -0.28%

1,507 25.4 1.68%

1,543 55.8 3.62%

54.96 3.28%

3,484 479 13.75%

3,726 462 12.41%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 3,990 4,123 4,171 403 362 331 10.11% 8.77% 7.94%

4,233 329 7.77%

4,171 358 8.58%

4,158 401 9.63%

387.58 10.33%

280 72.3 25.82%

330 46.3 14.03%

322 44.6 13.85%

323 71.5 22.18%

326 106.9 32.73%

347 142.8 41.13%

362 169.1 46.77%

408 176.8 43.38%

438 172.8 39.41%

114.00 34.99%

Australia Baseline Change % chg

1,370 74.0 5.40%

1,421 20.2 1.42%

1,478 28.6 1.93%

1,484 73.5 4.95%

1,539 122.0 7.93%

1,526 155.9 10.21%

1,478 168.2 11.38%

1,450 173.2 11.94%

1,433 171.0 11.94%

1,404 162.8 11.59%

114.94 7.87%

Brazil Baseline Change % chg

510 121.6 23.85%

575 112.4 19.56%

607 94.3 15.53%

752 56.2 7.48%

825 15.3 1.86%

841 -16.9 -2.01%

839 -22.4 -2.67%

820 -2.5 -0.30%

838 23.4 2.79%

854 51.9 6.07%

43.34 7.22%

Canada Baseline Change % chg

250 55.2 22.11%

274 34.0 12.41%

310 20.3 6.56%

332 30.1 9.07%

376 49.2 13.11%

411 61.6 14.98%

451 64.7 14.36%

478 57.5 12.02%

499 43.2 8.65%

504 28.3 5.60%

44.41 11.89%

369 -220.3 -60%

370 -163.4 -44%

420 -136.1 -32%

418 -128.8 -31%

413 -218.0 -53%

411 -254.5 -62%

410 -280.5 -68%

409 -290.8 -71%

410 -281.4 -69%

411 -267.0 -65%

-224.08 -55%

New Zealand Baseline Change % chg

538 59.9 11.13%

570 31.5 5.54%

600 20.3 3.39%

591 12.3 2.07%

584 8.5 1.45%

570 7.6 1.33%

568 13.7 2.42%

570 25.6 4.48%

593 34.8 5.87%

612 41.1 6.72%

25.53 4.44%

United States Baseline Change % chg

-497 419.4 -84%

-495 552.2 -112%

-507 541.6 -107%

-348 582.3 -167%

-151 606.6 -401%

30 588.7 1961%

127 548.1 433%

239 503.7 211%

67 477.5 713%

-3 474.9 -14896%

529.48 -1245%

Imports of Selected Countries Co Japan Baseline 912 Change 198.2 % chg 21.73%

919 194.6 21.18%

930 211.7 22.77%

961 229.9 23.92%

997 237.7 23.84%

1,031 230.4 22.35%

1,059 214.7 20.28%

1,082 195.0 18.02%

1,096 182.3 16.63%

1,104 172.9 15.66%

206.73 20.64%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

473 -119.9 -25.33%

593 76.2 12.85%

645 96.3 14.93%

693 23.5 3.39%

742 -88.6 -11.94%

681 -173.9 -25.53%

595 -209.7 -35.22%

546 -194.3 -35.55%

511 -143.1 -28.00%

539 -86.9 -16.13%

-82.04 -14.65%

Philippines Baseline Change % chg

90 74.2 82.50%

99 57.3 57.65%

102 59.3 58.39%

113 77.2 68.42%

125 96.0 77.08%

136 112.1 82.53%

143 118.9 83.17%

148 118.1 79.56%

144 112.0 77.99%

138 105.9 76.52%

93.12 74.38%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

232 45.3 19.50%

250 47.4 19.02%

265 49.6 18.71%

284 54.0 19.03%

303 58.5 19.32%

321 63.5 19.79%

336 67.4 20.07%

349 70.2 20.13%

356 72.0 20.22%

361 73.6 20.39%

60.16 19.62%

European Union * Baseline Change % chg

* Includes meat and mea at equivalent of live cattle trade.

Table B.40. Beef B Production and Consumption 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Argentina Production Baseline Change % chg

2,902 91.8 3.2%

2,946 33.6 1.1%

3,010 18.2 0.6%

3,045 31.1 1.0%

3,096 70.9 2.3%

3,152 114.2 3.6%

3,221 150.5 4.7%

3,280 170.8 5.2%

3,356 170.7 5.1%

3,416 158.8 4.6%

101.07 3.15%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,709 -44.9 -1.7%

2,665 -38.7 -1.5%

2,680 -28.1 -1.0%

2,723 -13.5 -0.5%

2,773 -0.7 0.0%

2,826 7.3 0.3%

2,873 7.7 0.3%

2,918 1.7 0.1%

2,949 -6.2 -0.2%

2,977 -14.0 -0.5%

-12.93 -0.48%

Australia Production Baseline Change % chg

2,038 64.0 3.1%

2,099 9.9 0.5%

2,165 21.0 1.0%

2,188 70.7 3.2%

2,255 124.8 5.5%

2,260 162.8 7.2%

2,233 175.9 7.9%

2,221 177.4 8.0%

2,208 170.4 7.7%

2,179 158.0 7.3%

113.49 5.14%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

668 -9.6 -1.4%

678 -10.3 -1.5%

687 -7.6 -1.1%

704 -3.0 -0.4%

716 2.6 0.4%

733 6.7 0.9%

755 7.7 1.0%

770 4.2 0.6%

775 -0.5 -0.1%

775 -4.6 -0.6%

-1.43 -0.23%

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

6,883 73.0 1.1%

7,089 67.8 1.0%

7,220 75.6 1.0%

7,520 77.1 1.0%

7,767 72.3 0.9%

7,966 64.6 0.8%

8,134 60.4 0.7%

8,278 62.2 0.8%

8,417 63.5 0.8%

8,545 67.5 0.8%

68.40 0.89%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

6,373 -48.5 -0.8%

6,515 -44.6 -0.7%

6,613 -18.7 -0.3%

6,768 20.8 0.3%

6,942 57.0 0.8%

7,125 81.5 1.1%

7,296 82.8 1.1%

7,458 64.7 0.9%

7,578 40.1 0.5%

7,691 15.6 0.2%

25.07 0.33%

China - Mainland Production Baseline Change % chg

5,847 -150.8 -2.6%

6,103 -71.3 -1.2%

6,374 -59.1 -0.9%

6,650 -106.9 -1.6%

6,963 -129.6 -1.9%

7,276 -137.1 -1.9%

7,613 -138.9 -1.8%

8,000 -139.5 -1.7%

8,432 -141.3 -1.7%

8,899 -139.8 -1.6%

-121.43 -1.68%

5,819 159.1 2.7%

6,071 105.7 1.7%

6,348 49.7 0.8%

6,642 58.3 0.9%

6,979 59.4 0.9%

7,322 56.8 0.8%

7,693 50.6 0.7%

8,115 43.4 0.5%

8,574 37.3 0.4%

9,067 31.4 0.3%

65.17 0.97%

7,271 -139.9 -1.9%

7,492 -97.7 -1.3%

7,438 -72.1 -1.0%

7,397 -49.5 -0.7%

7,377 -39.3 -0.5%

7,322 -25.6 -0.3%

7,281 -33.5 -0.5%

7,254 -50.2 -0.7%

7,231 -70.6 -1.0%

7,205 -89.1 -1.2%

-66.75 -0.91%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

6,827 37.6 0.6%

7,099 16.8 0.2%

7,340 11.8 0.2%

7,258 21.2 0.3%

7,014 128.7 1.8%

6,961 179.1 2.6%

6,921 197.3 2.9%

6,895 190.9 2.8%

6,870 160.9 2.3%

6,844 127.9 1.9%

107.23 1.55%

Mexico Production Baseline Change % chg

1,887 57.6 3%

1,776 -111.2 -6%

1,756 -117.3 -7%

1,773 -22.9 -1%

1,797 109.5 6%

1,917 209.1 11%

2,057 247.3 12%

2,154 223.9 10%

2,227 159.6 7%

2,234 89.4 4%

84.50 3.94%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

2,360 -62.3 -3%

2,369 -35.1 -1%

2,401 -21.1 -1%

2,467 0.6 0%

2,539 20.9 1%

2,598 35.2 1%

2,653 37.6 1%

2,701 29.6 1%

2,738 16.5 1%

2,773 2.5 0%

2.46 0.04%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg European Union * Production Baseline Change % chg

* Includes meat and mea eat equivalent of live cattle trade.

Table B.41. Pork P Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

984 119.6 12.16%

892 119.1 13.34%

950 112.3 11.83%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

2,551 511.8 20.06%

2,735 466.4 17.05%

Exports of Selected Co Countries Brazil Baseline 284 Change 149.5 % chg 52.58% Canada Baseline Change % chg European Union Baseline Change % chg

2008

2009

2010

2011

987 96.5 9.78%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,012 957 915 81.1 83.1 94.1 8.02% 8.68% 10.29%

879 108.1 12.29%

929 111.0 11.95%

997 108.1 10.84%

103.31 10.92%

2,831 690 24.37%

2,949 880 29.84%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 3,038 3,139 3,273 1,057 1,079 1,062 34.78% 34.37% 32.45%

3,414 1,022 29.93%

3,537 1,125 31.81%

3,644 1,301.2 35.71%

919.41 29.04%

331 160.7 48.59%

367 200.7 54.71%

380 233.2 61.37%

410 252.8 61.69%

434 282.3 65.04%

460 312.9 67.98%

486 343.6 70.70%

488 357.9 73.29%

487 365.8 75.15%

265.95 63.11%

649 177.4 27.33%

612 199.7 32.62%

658 243.1 36.92%

714 279.0 39.07%

796 309.1 38.83%

817 343.3 42.05%

825 381.0 46.18%

817 423.5 51.80%

872 443.8 50.88%

966 461.0 47.74%

326.08 41.34%

1,230 205.3 16.68%

1,329 -118.6 -8.93%

1,298 -66.3 -5.10%

1,295 -24.2 -1.87%

1,229 62.7 5.10%

1,231 -53.3 -4.33%

1,270 -214.3 -16.87%

1,340 -409.5 -30.57%

1,385 -362.4 -26.16%

1,412 -207.8 -14.72%

-118.84 -8.68%

50 -71.8 -143%

76 -69.7 -91.96%

105 -92.3 -87.96%

146 -114.8 -78.43%

181 -130.8 -72.20%

216 -119.9 -55.58%

247 -102.8 -41.59%

277 -84.4 -30.51%

284 -93.2 -32.78%

286 -111.9 -39.15%

-99.16 -67.28%

228 153.1 67%

260 341.2 131%

268 461.6 172%

275 565.8 205%

278 623.3 225%

295 677.0 229%

327 722.7 221%

351 772.0 220%

376 804.0 214%

376 831.3 221%

595.20 191%

Imports of Selected Countries Co China - Mainland Baseline 79 Change 104.5 % chg 132%

87 146.6 169%

127 269.4 211%

144 359.3 250%

159 445.8 281%

178 434.7 245%

198 399.2 202%

209 348.8 167%

219 394.7 181%

229 496.3 217%

339.93 205%

Poland Baseline Change % chg United States Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Japan Baseline Change % chg

945 185.7 19.65%

1,001 166.3 16.62%

1,019 180.4 17.71%

1,041 193.9 18.63%

1,059 218.5 20.63%

1,099 273.3 24.86%

1,140 336.9 29.56%

1,181 402.8 34.10%

1,201 438.6 36.53%

1,210 455.1 37.61%

285.16 25.59%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

274 46.6 17.04%

331 -15.3 -4.62%

357 -28.7 -8.02%

372 -46.8 -12.56%

376 -60.2 -16.02%

394 -71.1 -18.07%

433 -79.0 -18.23%

485 -85.1 -17.54%

514 -86.1 -16.75%

519 -84.9 -16.35%

-51.06 -11.11%

Philippines Baseline Change % chg

32 -1.9 -5.92%

37 -2.5 -6.67%

35 16.8 47.77%

47 28.5 60.55%

51 37.5 73.47%

59 34.4 58.41%

67 31.0 46.48%

76 26.6 35.18%

94 32.2 34.30%

116 40.8 35.25%

24.35 37.88%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

66 38.2 57.89%

96 35.4 36.87%

97 51.6 52.90%

96 70.9 74.15%

92 89.3 96.60%

97 92.7 95.78%

101 89.2 88.11%

105 81.2 77.13%

102 83.5 81.67%

99 91.7 92.12%

72.36 75.32%

44 4.1 9.29%

60 12.2 20.34%

68 20.3 29.91%

78 30.8 39.47%

81 39.2 48.64%

90 43.1 47.77%

100 43.8 44.06%

109 41.9 38.34%

111 41.7 37.48%

110 42.5 38.66%

31.96 35.40%

Taiwan Baseline Change % chg

Table B.42. Pork P Production and Consumption 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

2,235 129.7 5.8%

2,337 141.2 6.0%

2,425 178.7 7.4%

2,488 207.1 8.3%

2,561 224.0 8.7%

2,630 246.1 9.4%

2,707 269.9 10.0%

2,786 297.1 10.7%

2,857 314.3 11.0%

2,929 328.4 11.2%

233.64 8.85%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,951 -19.8 -1.0%

2,006 -19.5 -1.0%

2,058 -22.1 -1.1%

2,108 -26.1 -1.2%

2,151 -28.8 -1.3%

2,196 -36.2 -1.6%

2,246 -43.1 -1.9%

2,300 -46.5 -2.0%

2,369 -43.6 -1.8%

2,442 -37.4 -1.5%

-32.31 -1.46%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

1,762 116.7 6.6%

1,783 124.5 7.0%

1,837 170.8 9.3%

1,900 210.6 11.1%

1,987 245.5 12.4%

2,041 270.2 13.2%

2,082 295.7 14.2%

2,106 324.6 15.4%

2,163 349.2 16.1%

2,254 375.0 16.6%

248.27 12.20%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

1,113 -60.7 -5.5%

1,171 -75.2 -6.4%

1,178 -72.3 -6.1%

1,186 -68.4 -5.8%

1,191 -63.6 -5.3%

1,224 -73.2 -6.0%

1,256 -85.3 -6.8%

1,289 -98.8 -7.7%

1,291 -94.6 -7.3%

1,288 -86.0 -6.7%

-77.81 -6.36%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

17,804 20.1 0.1%

17,964 -13.8 -0.1%

18,009 -79.8 -0.4%

18,060 -126.6 -0.7%

18,121 -135.2 -0.7%

18,196 -161.0 -0.9%

18,294 -232.0 -1.3%

18,414 -337.9 -1.8%

18,533 -410.5 -2.2%

18,635 -404.2 -2.2%

-188.09 -1.02%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

16,569 -183.7 -1.1%

16,635 100.3 0.6%

16,709 -12.8 -0.1%

16,765 -101.5 -0.6%

16,892 -197.8 -1.2%

16,965 -109.8 -0.6%

17,024 -19.4 -0.1%

17,074 70.3 0.4%

17,148 -46.1 -0.3%

17,223 -194.0 -1.1%

-69.44 -0.41%

China - Mainland Production Baseline Change % chg

29,880 -192.2 -0.6%

30,550 -266.3 -0.9%

31,189 -338.0 -1.1%

31,897 -400.5 -1.3%

32,696 -457.2 -1.4%

33,512 -474.9 -1%

34,309 -463.9 -1.4%

35,088 -432.7 -1.2%

35,838 -424.9 -1.2%

36,556 -444.2 -1%

-389.48 -1.17%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

29,959 -87.7 -0.3%

30,636 -119.7 -0.4%

31,316 -68.5 -0.2%

32,040 -41.3 -0.1%

32,854 -11.5 0.0%

33,690 -40.1 0%

34,506 -64.7 -0.2%

35,297 -84.0 -0.2%

36,057 -30.2 -0.1%

36,785 52.2 0%

-49.55 -0.16%

Japan Production Baseline Change % chg

1,248 -100.5 -8.1%

1,228 -99.7 -8.1%

1,221 -123.4 -10.1%

1,216 -140.6 -11.6%

1,217 -153.2 -12.6%

1,214 -165.9 -13.7%

1,207 -176.5 -14.6%

1,198 -186.2 -15.5%

1,198 -192.5 -16.1%

1,204 -197.0 -16.4%

-153.55 -12.67%

2,193 77.7 3.5%

2,228 65.9 3.0%

2,240 56.6 2.5%

2,256 52.9 2.3%

2,277 64.8 2.8%

2,312 106.4 4.6%

2,346 159.5 6.8%

2,379 215.8 9.1%

2,398 245.9 10.3%

2,414 258.2 10.7%

130.39 5.56%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

Table B.43. Broiler B Price and Trade 2002

2003

2004

2005

World Price Baseline Change % chg

1,306 111.7 8.55%

1,315 116.7 8.88%

1,323 114.4 8.65%

Total Trade Baseline Change % chg

5,165 975 18.87%

5,435 1,174 21.60%

Exports of Selected Co Countries Brazil Baseline 1,300 Change 442.2 % chg 34.01%

2008

2009

2010

2011

1,325 106.3 8.03%

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,320 1,317 1,330 96.2 94.4 96.0 7.29% 7.16% 7.22%

1,339 101.0 7.54%

1,353 105.0 7.76%

1,365 109.3 8.01%

105.10 7.91%

5,683 1,141 20.08%

5,929 1,150 19.39%

(Thousand Metric Tons) 6,176 6,419 6,614 1,150 1,161 1,191 18.61% 18.09% 18.00%

6,797 1,226 18.04%

6,991 1,253 17.93%

7,220 1,270.2 17.59%

1,169.04 18.82%

1,524 488.7 32.07%

1,683 488.6 29.04%

1,842 472.8 25.67%

1,951 452.7 23.20%

2,045 449.2 21.97%

2,186 441.6 20.20%

2,297 439 19.12%

2,393 437.1 18.27%

2,464 439.0 17.81%

455.11 24.14%

552 38.0 6.88%

559 10.5 1.88%

556 -185.2 -33.33%

564 -261.1 -46.26%

570 -318.9 -55.92%

577 -360.0 -62.35%

587 -377.8 -64.35%

596 -393.8 -66.03%

606 -427.9 -70.61%

615 -469.6 -76.42%

-274.59 -46.65%

Thailand Baseline Change % chg

409 140.8 34.44%

416 148.4 35.65%

419 157.4 37.57%

429 165.2 38.48%

430 172.4 40.11%

428 179.3 41.91%

419 187.7 44.77%

413 196.7 47.68%

402 206.0 51.30%

399 213.7 53.57%

176.76 42.55%

United States Baseline Change % chg

2,869 381.8 13.31%

2,919 555.4 19.03%

3,029 707.8 23.37%

3,098 801.2 25.86%

3,226 871.0 27.00%

3,371 920.0 27.29%

3,423 968.0 28.28%

3,489 1,015.2 29.10%

3,583 1,071.1 29.90%

3,731 1,121.9 30.07%

841.34 25.32%

Imports of Selected Countries Co Canada Baseline 10 Change 108.2 % chg 1082%

11 145.3 1292%

14 170.3 1216%

16 191.7 1176%

17 204.1 1201%

19 220.8 1184%

20 234.7 1201%

21 248.9 1192%

22 261.2 1178%

25 273.4 1105%

205.87 1183%

China - Mainland Baseline Change % chg

505 356.5 70.64%

512 387.6 75.72%

569 318.4 55.92%

640 298.5 46.63%

727 285.7 39.30%

838 281.3 33.57%

951 282.3 29.67%

1,041 283.2 27.19%

1,106 277.9 25.13%

1,172 270.5 23.08%

304.19 42.69%

Japan Baseline Change % chg

680 -81.5 -11.98%

699 -88.8 -12.71%

716 -96.4 -13.46%

733 -98.2 -13.39%

753 -96.9 -12.88%

772 -95.1 -12.31%

787 -92.4 -11.73%

803 -90.2 -11.23%

818 -88.2 -10.78%

833 -86.3 -10.36%

-91.39 -12.08%

Mexico Baseline Change % chg

245 -50.7 -20.68%

262 -47.6 -18.20%

296 -63.4 -21.44%

323 -74.7 -23.14%

350 -82.4 -23.54%

345 -86.1 -24.97%

338 -85.3 -25.26%

327 -82.5 -25.20%

337 -84.0 -24.93%

352 -87.7 -24.92%

-74.44 -23.23%

11 98.9 936%

19 123.9 638%

23 131.9 571%

26 131.0 512%

34 128.8 383%

45 126.9 284%

53 127.3 241%

62 129.1 207%

73 130.3 178%

86 130.7 152%

125.88 410%

Saudi Arabia Baseline Change % chg

386 77.4 20.04%

406 83.1 20.44%

432 89.6 20.73%

453 94.3 20.81%

477 97.1 20.38%

502 92.3 18.37%

525 88.7 16.88%

549 86.6 15.79%

574 95.0 16.56%

600 105.3 17.54%

90.93 18.75%

South Korea Baseline Change % chg

82 34.4 41.74%

91 47.2 51.92%

97 50.9 52.22%

102 53.6 52.49%

107 56.2 52.72%

111 58.9 52.97%

114 62.2 54.45%

117 64.6 55.20%

120 65.1 54.31%

123 64.5 52.35%

55.77 52.04%

European Union Baseline Change % chg

Philippines Baseline Change % chg

2006

2007

Average

Table B.44. Broiler B Production and Consumption 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Average

(Thousand Metric Tons)

Brazil Production Baseline Change % chg

6,693 385.7 6%

7,062 433.1 6%

7,370 421.3 6%

7,641 388.3 5%

7,884 352.7 4%

8,119 340.9 4%

8,402 340.4 4%

8,680 353 4%

8,965 363.8 4%

9,243 374.5 4%

375.36 4.76%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

5,397 -55.0 -1%

5,539 -55.6 -1%

5,688 -67.4 -1%

5,800 -84.7 -1%

5,933 -100.2 -2%

6,074 -108.4 -2%

6,216 -101.2 -2%

6,383 -86 -1%

6,573 -73.3 -1%

6,779 -64.5 -1%

-79.65 -1.32%

European Union Production Baseline Change % chg

6,815 0.8 0%

6,923 -33.6 0%

6,988 -173.6 -2%

7,065 -241.0 -3%

7,161 -318.2 -4%

7,226 -382.8 -5%

7,292 -417.8 -6%

7,360 -439.8 -6%

7,426 -453.4 -6%

7,484 -467.2 -6%

-292.66 -4.02%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

6,262 -37.2 -1%

6,363 -44.4 -1%

6,432 10.6 0%

6,500 19.7 0%

6,591 0.3 0%

6,648 -23.0 0%

6,705 -40.1 -1%

6,764 -46.0 -1%

6,820 -25.5 0%

6,869 2.4 0%

-18.31 -0.28%

Thailand Production Baseline Change % chg

1,264 52.3 4%

1,296 61.3 5%

1,327 64.9 5%

1,356 62.3 5%

1,378 58.3 4%

1,395 57.0 4%

1,407 58.1 4%

1,423 62.3 4%

1,444 67.1 5%

1,479 72.2 5%

61.58 4.47%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

855 -88.4 -10%

880 -87.1 -10%

908 -92.5 -10%

927 -102.9 -11%

948 -114.2 -12%

968 -122.3 -13%

988 -129.6 -13%

1,011 -134.4 -13%

1,043 -138.9 -13%

1,080 -141.5 -13%

-115.18 -11.91%

Canada Production Baseline Change % chg

924 -60.2 -7%

928 -90.1 -10%

945 -110.3 -12%

956 -128.3 -13%

973 -140.0 -14%

976 -152.7 -16%

983 -162.9 -17%

992 -172.3 -17%

1,013 -180.8 -18%

1,036 -189.5 -18%

-138.71 -14.14%

934 48.0 5%

939 55.2 6%

959 60.0 6%

972 63.4 7%

990 64.1 6%

994 68.0 7%

1,003 71.8 7%

1,012 76.7 8%

1,035 80.4 8%

1,061 83.9 8%

67.16 6.75%

China - Mainland Production Baseline Change % chg

4,687 -266.7 -6%

4,774 -295.5 -6%

4,852 -264.9 -5%

4,951 -262.8 -5%

5,075 -264.4 -5%

5,188 -259.7 -5%

5,293 -251.9 -5%

5,403 -244.7 -5%

5,512 -240.1 -4%

5,612 -236.1 -4%

-258.67 -5.07%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg

5,192 -355.1 -7%

5,286 -387.4 -7%

5,422 -341.5 -6%

5,591 -330.2 -6%

5,802 -321.9 -6%

6,026 -302.8 -5%

6,244 -279.5 -4%

6,444 -263.3 -4%

6,618 -255.1 -4%

6,784 -247.3 -4%

-308.40 -5.30%

Consumption Baseline Change % chg