The short-term Phillips curve shows that printing more money can create jobs, lowering unemployment rates. Yay! â But: Long-term we've just raised inflation?
Inflation Targeting The Primary Purpose of Central Banks
Definitions ● Inflation targeting = minimizing inflation; a component of price stability ● dual mandate = price stability with second objective: to decrease unemployment rates
One Focus ● Central banks are created to maintain financial stability. When a central bank decides their main objective, inflation targeting is always a primary goal. ● The central bank is in charge of price stability, which includes target inflation. Giving the responsibility of unemployment rates to the bank adds another responsibility and takes the bank’s duties into economic concerns. ● But central banks should not be taking on economic concerns (i.e. unemployment), which is the role of the government.
Whose job is it anyways? ● Should the central bank be taking on the role of the government? ○ Unemployment rates need to be fought, but the central bank should not be forced to decide between fulfilling their primary duty and tackling the government’s job.
Loss of Independence ● Where does the loss of central bank independence mean? ○ Allow the bank to take on the role of economic policy concerns means the central bank loses independence from the government. The government can decide to focus on short-term rather than long-term solution. BUT: Where’s the proof & how do we know?
Taking on the Phillips curve ● The short-term Phillips curve shows that printing more money can create jobs, lowering unemployment rates. Yay! ● But: Long-term we’ve just raised inflation? And with inflation, those jobs that we created (Yay?), are going to disappear once again and return to the prior rates.
But wait…. The short-term Phillip’s Curve looks beneficial though?
Short Term Phillips Curve ● You’re right: The short-term Phillips Curve is especially appealing if you’ re in government and want to be reelected. You can solve the current issues by combating unemployment and making your administration look great. ● And the best part, it leaves the issues of inflation to the next administration. ● The tactics that take on unemployment rates can go against inflation targeting- especially with a little nudge from the government. ● But inflation targeting is the key to keeping the economy stable- right?
Insufficient attention ● Some people say that “dual mandate does not necessarily mean insufficient attention to price stability” (Saraceno 2014) ● However, though dual mandate banks sometimes do choose to favor price stability, often unemployment is put first ● In times of high unemployment, the immediate relief of printing money often overshadows inflationary concerns
Isolating Price Stability ● Central banks should address inflation targeting, a portion of price stability ● Governments should institute policy to combat economic issues, i.e. unemployment and other issues ● Streamlined focuses for central banks and governments generate more effective policy reforms ● European Central Bank (ECB) embraces this model; other countries (including Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, Norway, and Israel) also employ this model
Conclusion ● The purpose of a central bank should be solely inflation targeting in order to maintain price stability ● With a stable market, the government can better address issues of unemployment ● Inflationary measures are detrimental in the long term (Phillips curve) ● Misuse by elected officials ● Single focus can provide stability for the government to implement measures to combat unemployment and other economic concern. Give the central bank one job to do well, instead of two jobs that will be done poorly.
Bibliography The Case for a Dual Mandate for the European Central Bank? | Progressive Economy. 2014. The Case for a Dual Mandate for the European Central Bank? | Progressive Economy. [ONLINE] Available at:http://www.progressiveeconomy.eu/content/case-dual-mandate-europeancentral-bank-en. [Accessed 08 October 2014]. Smaghi, Lorenzo Bini; ECB: Monetary Policy. 2014. ECB: Monetary Policy. [ONLINE] Available at:https://www.ecb.europa. eu/mopo/html/index.en.html. [Accessed 08 October 2014]. ECB: The governance of the euro area (eight years on). 2007. ECB: The governance of the euro area (eight years on). [ONLINE] Available at: http://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2007/html/sp070227.en.html. [Accessed 08 October 2014]. End Double Mandate to Save Fed’s Independence - Bloomberg View. 2014. End Double Mandate to Save Fed’s Independence - Bloomberg View. [ONLINE] Available at: http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2012-04-05/end-double-mandate-to-save-fed-s-independence. [Accessed 08 October 2014].
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