Supporting Information for “Can we use surface wind fields from

study come from the daily forecast started at 0000 UTC (we found that the results .... the three reanalyses, at two different time-scales, using the daily-mean wind ...
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GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. ???, XXXX, DOI:10.1029/,

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Supporting Information for “Can we use surface wind fields from meteorological reanalyses for Sahelian dust emission simulations ?” 1

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Yann Largeron , Francoise Guichard , Dominique Bouniol , Fleur Couvreux , 2

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Laurent Kergoat and B´eatrice Marticorena

Corresponding author: Yann Largeron, CNRM/GMME/MOANA e-mail adress: [email protected] tel: +33 561079845 1

Centre National de Recherches

Meteorologiques, CNRM-GAME, CNRS, UMR 3589, Toulouse, France 2

Geoscience Environnement Toulouse,

CNRS-UPS-IRD, Toulouse, France 3

LISA, Universit´es Paris Est-Paris

Diderot-Paris 7, UMR CNRS 7583, Cr´eteil, France

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Contents of this file

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• Appendix A: Additional dataset information

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• Appendix B: 10m wind speed extrapolation, assumptions and errors

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• Appendix C: Annual cycle of 10 m wind speed at different sites

8

• Appendix D: Additional statistics : Mean Biases and Root Mean Square Errors

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• Appendix E: Diurnal cycle of 10 m wind speed at different sites

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• Appendix F: Wind speed distribution at differents sites for all reanalyses

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• Appendix G: Interannual variability : impact on distributions and diurnal cycles of

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the 10 m wind speed

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Appendix A: Additional dataset information 13

The ERA-interim (European Re-Analysis) 3-hourly sampled fields used in the present

14

study come from the daily forecast started at 0000 UTC (we found that the results are not

15

much sensitive to this particular choice; i.e. results remain similar when using the forecast

16

starting at 1200 UTC or a combination of analyses and forecast). The spatial resolution is

17

about 80 km × 80 km ([Dee et al., 2011]). The NCEP-CFSR fields come from the 6-hourly

18

analyses with forecasts providing outputs every hour. The spatial resolution is 38 km ×38

19

km ([Saha et al., 2010]). For MERRA, fields come from hourly outputs. MERRA uses

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a three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) analysis algorithm with a 6-h

21

update cycle and uses an incremental analysis update procedure in which the analysis

22

correction is gradually applied to the forecast, through an additional tendency term in

23

the model equations during the corrector segment ([Rienecker et al., 2011]). The spatial

24

resolution is 55 km ×70 km.

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The four measurement sites are located in an area of about 1000 km ×400 km (see map

26

in Figure A.1): Cinzana (Mali) 13.28o N, 5.93o W is in the south-west of the area; Bani-

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zoumbou (Niger), 13.54o N, 2.66o E in the south-east; Agoufou (Mali), 15.34o N, 1.48o W in

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the center of the area and Bamba (Mali), 17.1o N, 1.4o W to the North.

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Surface wind speed is measured with a conventional in-situ windsonic 2D at the SDT

30

sites (Banizoumbou and Cinzana). The measurements provide the wind speed as 5-min

31

average time series for the SDT sites.

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AMMA-CATCH (Agoufou and Bamba) benefits from both standard automatic weather

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stations (cup anemometer) and high-frequency sonic anemometers (Gill ans CSAT3,

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Campbell sensors). At these two sites, cup anemometers provide 15-min average time

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series of the wind speed whereas the sonic anemometers give a 20 Hz sampled wind.

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The height of measurements are 3 m for the site of Agoufou, 3 m for Bamba, 2.30 m

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for Cinzana, 6.5 m for Banizoumbou. All those measurements are extrapolated to a 10

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m wind speed by assuming a logarithmic profile (see in next section the error induced by

39

this assumption).

Appendix B: 10m wind speed extrapolation, assumptions and errors 40

In the manuscript, measurements are extrapolated to a 10 m wind speed by assuming a

41

classical logarithmic profile [Stull , 1987]. Here, we evaluate the influence of the stability at

42

Agoufou were the availability of turbulence data allows to compute the Monin-Obukhov

43

length (L). Different stability corrections for stable cases have been proposed in the liter-

44

ature [Businger et al., 1971; Garratt, 1994; Foken, 2006]. We compute the one proposed

45

by Foken [2006] which corresponds to the largest stability correction term :

φ = −6

(z − z0 ) L

(B1)

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Figure B.1 illustrates the monthly-mean diurnal cycle for 3 months (May, August and

47

December) with and without the stability correction and shows that stability correction

48

can be responsible for a maximum nocturnal bias of 0.25 and 0.19 m.s−1 in May and

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August and a higher value of 0.48 m.s−1 in December, during which nighttime surface layer

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can be strongly stable. This maximal correction value has to be compared to the December

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nighttime bias of 2.9 m.s−1 found for ERA-interim (similar for the other reanalyses) at the

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site of Agoufou (cf section 3.2 in the manuscript). Stability correction can then accounts

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for a maximal fraction of 17% of the systematic bias of ERA-interim, during the nights

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of the most stable months of the year.

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Note that further analysis confirms that the systematic bias of the reanalyses during

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the dry season can certainly not be entirely due to our extrapolation : A significant bias

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of a few m.s−1 is clearly detected at the site of M’bour (not shown) where measurements

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have been made at 10 m and are therefore directly comparable to the analyzed wind

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field without any extrapolation. The same conclusions can be drawn with the analysis of

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SYNOP stations observations at 10 m over the Sahel (not shown).

61

As the quantification of the stability correction term required turbulence data, this can

62

not be done at the sites of Banizoumbou and Cinzana. Therefore, for seek of homogeneity,

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we choose to use a logarithmic extrapolation at the four sites in the manuscript.

Appendix C: Annual cycle of 10 m wind speed at different sites 64

Figure 1a of the manuscript is produced here for the three other observational sites

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in Figure C.1 The annual cycle of the 10 m wind speed has a similar shape at the three

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southern sites. At the northern site (Bamba), the shape remain similar (increase in spring,

67

maximum at the beginning of the monsoon, progressive decrease during the later phase

68

of the monsoon and fall, and minimum at the beginning of the winter). Nevertheless, the

69

wind speed is stronger in Bamba.

70

The statistical biases and annual cycle described in section 3.1 and 4.1 are similar at

71

the four sites, except during the dry season bias at the northern site : it is negative there

72

whereas it is positive elsewhere. This is due to the underestimation of the wind speed in

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the reanalyses at this northern site.

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Appendix D: Additional statistics : Mean Biases and Root Mean Square Errors 74

Some additional statistics are computed for the two seasons at the four sites and for

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the three reanalyses, at two different time-scales, using the daily-mean wind speeds (U )

76

and for 3-hourly fluctuations around the daily-mean (Ue = U − U ).

77

78

We compute mean Biases (B) and Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE) for these two variables (cf Figure D.1).

79

During the dry season, ERA-interim performs best, particularly at sub-daily time scale,

80

as shown its correlation with observations. NCEP-CFSR displays the smallest synoptic

81

bias. Finally, MERRA is characterized by a negative correlation at sub-daily time-scale

82

and a high positive synoptic bias (2 m.s−1 ) at the three southern sites.

83

During the monsoon season, the three reanalyses perform similarly with a correlation

84

coefficient around 0.6 at synoptic time-scale which falls down to very low value at sub-

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daily time-scale. All reanalyses display a small negative bias, worst for NCEP-CFSR than

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MERRA and ERA-interim.

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These statistics show a very poor capture of the diurnal cycle and a misrepresentation of meso-scale convective processes.

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Appendix E: Diurnal cycle of 10 m wind speed at different sites 89

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In this appendix, we reproduce Figure 2 for the three reanalyses and the 12 months of the year 2006 at the four sites in Figures E.1, E.2, E.3 and E.4

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Appendix F: Wind speed distribution at differents sites for all reanalyses 91

92

In this appendix, Figure 4a of the manuscript is reproduced for the three reanalyses at the four sites in Figure F.1.

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Appendix G: Interannual variability : impact on distributions and diurnal cycles of the 10 m wind speed 93

Here, we illustrate how Fig. 2 and 4 of the manuscript are modified when considering

94

larger time series. We compare results for the entire 2006-2011 period to results for 2006

95

only and illustrate below that the same conclusions can be drawn by either focusing on

96

the entire period or only on 2006.

97

As the results from the satellite-tracking algorithm are not available for the entire period

98

(only for 2006), we can not produce the orange curve in Fig. 2 and the grey bars in Fig. 4

99

for the entire 2006-2011 period. We therefore focus on 2006 in the manuscript and extend

100

the discussion with the help of statistics for the 2006-2011 period.

101

Figure G.2 compares the results shown in Fig. 4 of the manuscript at Banizoumbou

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for these two time periods (without curves corresponding to the satellite-tracking com-

103

putation). Figure R1 shows that the interannual variability of the 10m wind Probability

104

Density Functions (PDF) during the monsoon season does not at all affect the shapes of

105

theses PDF and that conclusions of section 4.2 remain valid.

106

Similarly, Fig. G.1 illustrates that conclusions drawn in section 3.2 remain valid for the

107

2006-2011 period. It shows that the monthly-mean diurnal cycles of the 10 m wind speed

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computed with either 2006 or 2006-2011 are close; the main differences between the three

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months (May, August and December) are the same, as well as the differences between

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observations and reanalyses. The main difference is that the envelope of minima and

111

maxima (grey shade) is wider when using 2006-2011, as expected from the larger sample

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size. Therefore, focusing on 2006 only provides meaningful results for our purpose, as

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compared to using longer time series.

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References 114

Businger, J. A., J.C. Wyngaard, Y. Izumi, and E. F. Bradley (1971), Flux-profile

115

relationships in the atmospheric surface layer, J. Atmos. Sci. 28 (2), 181–189, doi:

116

http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1971)0280181:FPRITA2.0.CO;2

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Dee, D., S. Uppala, A. Simmons, P. Berrisford, P. Poli, S. Kobayashi, U. Andrae, M. Bal-

118

maseda, G. Balsamo, P. Bauer, et al. (2011), The ERA-interim reanalysis: Configura-

119

tion and performance of the data assimilation system, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc.,

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137 (656), 553–597, doi:10.1002/qj.828.

121

122

Foken, T. (2006), 0 years of the Monin-Obukhov similarity theory, Bound.-Lay. Meteorol., 119 (3), 431–447, doi:10.1007/s10546-006-9048-6

123

Garratt, J. R. (1994), The atmospheric boundary layer, Cambridge university press

124

Miller, M. A., and A. Slingo (2007), The ARM mobile facility and its first international

125

deployment: Measuring radiative flux divergence in West Africa, Bull. Amer. Meteorol.

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Soc., 88 (8), 1229–1244, doi:10.1175/BAMS-88-8-1229.

127

Rienecker, M. M., M. J. Suarez, R. Gelaro, R. Todling, J. Bacmeister, E. Liu, M. G.

128

Bosilovich, S. D. Schubert, L. Takacs, G.-K. Kim, et al. (2011), MERRA: NASA’s

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modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications, J. Climate, 24 (14),

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3624–3648, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00015.1.

131

Saha, S., S. Moorthi, H.-L. Pan, X. Wu, J. Wang, S. Nadiga, P. Tripp, R. Kistler,

132

J. Woollen, D. Behringer, et al. (2010), The NCEP climate forecast system reanaly-

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sis, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 91 (8), 1015–1057, doi:10.1175/2010BAMS3001.1.

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135

Stull, R. B. (1987), An introduction to Boundary Layer Meteorology, vol. 666, Kluwer academic publishers.

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Figure A.1.

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Locations of the observational sites in West Africa.

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Wind speed (m.s−1)

5

4

3

2

Obs U4m

1

Extrapolated U10m (log) Extrapolated U10m (stability correction) 0 0

5

10

15

20

Hour August 2006 6

Obs U

4m

Extrapolated U

10m

Wind speed (m.s−1)

(log)

Extrapolated U10m (stability correction)

5

4

3

2

1

0 0

5

10

15

20

Hour

December 2006

6

Wind speed (m.s−1)

5

4

3

2 Obs U4m

1

Extrapolated U10m (log) Extrapolated U10m (stability correction)

0 0

3

6

9

12

15

18

21

24

Hour

Figure B.1.

Monthly-mean diurnal cycle of the surface wind speed (m/s) at Agoufou.

Black dots: observed at 4m. Grey dots: extrapolated at 10m with logarithmic profile. Red crosses: extrapolated at 10m with stability correction. a) May 2006. b) August 2006. c) December 2006. D R A F T

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LARGERON ET AL.: WIND FIELDS OVER SAHEL - SUPPORTING INFORMATION 8 BAMBA

(m.s−1)

6 4 2 0 0

30

60

90

120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 Day of year

8 AGOUFOU

(m.s−1)

6 4 2 0 0

30

60

90

120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 Day of year

8 BANIZOUMBOU

(m.s−1)

6 4 2 0 0

30

60

90

120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 Day of year

8 CINZANA

(m.s−1)

6 4 2 0 0

Figure C.1.

30

60

90

120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 Day of year

Annual time series of 10 m wind speed (5-day running-mean) in 2006

at four observational sites (black: observations, red: ERA-interim, blue: NCEP-CFSR, green: MERRA). The grey shading delineates the minimum and maximum observed values over 2006-2011.

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NDJF

0.5

0.5 COR

1

COR

1

0

0.5 0

0

1 2 RMSE (m/s)

0.5 1

3

0 B

1 2 (m/s)

B

0 (m/s)

3

1

1

0.8

0.8

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.4

0.2

0.2

0

0

0

Figure D.1.

COR

COR

MJJAS

1 2 RMSE (m/s)

3

2

2

Correlation coefficient (COR) as a function of Root Mean Square Errors

(RMSE) (left panels) and mean Biases (B) (right panels) for the dry season (top panels) or the monsoon season (bottom panels) at all sites (circles: Banizoumbou, stars: Cinzana, crosses: Agoufou, squares: Bamba) for the three reanalyses and the two time scales; ERA-interim daily means (red) and 3-hourly fluctuations (orange), MERRA daily means (dark green) and 3-hourly fluctuations (light green), NCEP-CFSR daily means (dark blue) and 3-hourly fluctuations (light blue). Black circle: Observations.

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10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Figure E.1.

15

15

15

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

3

5

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

0

10

15

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

0

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

5

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

10

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

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Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

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Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

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15

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

10

5

0

10

5

0

Monthly-mean diurnal cycles and extremes of the 10 m wind speed at

Bamba for each month of 2006. Observational (δt: 5 min) mean (black) and extrema (grey shading). ERA-interim (red), MERRA (green) and NCEP-CFSR (blue) means (diamonds) and extrema (bars), and 3-h sampling of observed (yellow) mean (circles) and extrema (bars).

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5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Figure E.2.

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15

15

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

10

15

0

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

5

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

3

10

15

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

0

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

0

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

5

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

10

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

LARGERON ET AL.: WIND FIELDS OVER SAHEL - SUPPORTING INFORMATION

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10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

10

5

0

10

5

0

Same as Figure E.1 at the site of Agoufou

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10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Figure E.3.

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15

15

15

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

3

5

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

0

10

15

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

0

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

5

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

10

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

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Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

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15

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

10

5

0

10

5

0

Same as Figure E.1 at the site of Banizoumbou.

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5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Figure E.4.

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15

15

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

10

15

0

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

5

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

3

10

15

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

0

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

0

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

5

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

10

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

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15

10

5

0

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

0

3

6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time of day (UTC)

10

5

0

10

5

0

10

5

0

Same as Figure E.1 at the site of Cinzana.

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0.20

0.20

0.15

0.15

%

%

X - 20

0.10

0.05

0.00 0

0.10

0.05

5 10 Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

0.00 0

15

5 10 Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

b)

0.20

0.20

0.15

0.15

%

%

a)

0.10

0.05

0.00 0

0.10

0.05

5 10 Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

15

0.00 0

5 10 Surface wind speed (m.s−1)

c) Figure F.1.

15

15

d)

Probability density functions (PDF) of 10 m wind speed at the four

sites (a: Bamba, b: Agoufou, c: Banizoumbou, d: Cinzana) during the monsoon season (MJJAS) of 2006, observations (black) and ERA-interim (red), MERRA (green), NCEPCFSR (blue); or during convective events only : observations (grey) and ERA-interim (orange).

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LARGERON ET AL.: WIND FIELDS OVER SAHEL - SUPPORTING INFORMATION

Figure G.1.

May 2006

May, from 2006 to 2011

August 2006

August, from 2006 to 2011

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December 2006 December, from 2006 to 2011 Monthly-mean diurnal cycles of mean and extremes 10m wind speed

at Banizoumbou for May (top panels), August (centered panels) and December (bottom panels) for 2006 only (left) and for the 2006-2011 period (right). These are shown for observational mean (black) and extremes (grey shading), ERA-interim (red) mean (diaD R A F T March 5, 2015, 12:42pm D R A F T monds) and extremes (bars), and for 3-h sampled observed (yellow) mean (circles) and extremes (bars). Wind maxima associated with convective events are indicated by the orange segments.

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LARGERON ET AL.: WIND FIELDS OVER SAHEL - SUPPORTING INFORMATION

Figure G.2. Probability density functions (PDF) of 10 m wind speed at Banizoumbou during the monsoon season (MJJAS) of 2006, observations (black) and ERA-interim (red) (top panel) and for the MJJAS 2006-2011 (bottom panel).

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