Relation of Unemployment to the Ratio of Net-Investment/Net-Profits Several OECD and BRICS Countries Germany
Rate of Unemployment
Unemployment as a Function of the Investment/Profit Ratio Germany 1950-2010 Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
12% 10% 8% 6% 4%
f(x) = -0,16x + 0,12 R² = 0,73
2% 0% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Net-Investment/Net-Profit Ratio
France
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits France 1955-2009 Net-Investment as % of Net Profits Linear Regression for Net-Investment as % of Net Profits
Rate of Unemployment
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 20%
f(x) = -0,25x + 0,17 R² = 0,84
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits 1
55%
60%
65%
70%
Italy
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits Italy 1970-2009 Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
Rate of Unemployment
14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4%
f(x) = -0,13x + 0,12 R² = 0,41
2% 0% 5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
UK
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits U.K. 1970-2009 14%
Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
Rate of Unemployment
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 10%
f(x) = -0,18x + 0,12 R² = 0,47 15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
2
45%
50%
55%
60%
Japan
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits Japan 1970-2009 Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
Rate of Unemployment
6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
f(x) = -0,05x + 0,05 R² = 0,81
1% 0% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
Canada
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits Canada 1970 - 2010 14%
Rate of Unemployment
12%
Net-Investment as % of Net Profits Linear Regression for Net-Investment as % of Net Profits
10% 8% 6% 4%
f(x) = -0,08x + 0,11 R² = 0,2
2% 0% 15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
3
50%
55%
60%
Canada 1970 - 1992
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits Canada 1970 - 1992 Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
14%
Rate of Unemployment
12% 10% 8% 6% f(x) = -0,21x + 0,18 R² = 0,65
4% 2% 0% 25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
Russian Federation
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits Russian Federation 1989-2009 Net-Investment as % of Net Profits Linear Regression for Net-Investment as % of Net Profits 14%
Rate of Unemployment
12% 10% 8% 6% f(x) = -0,07x + 0,11 R² = 0,48
4% 2% 0% -30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
4
50%
60%
70%
U.S. 1970 – 1984
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits U.S. 1970-1984
Rate of Unemployment
12%
Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
10% 8% 6% 4%
f(x) = -0,26552x + 0,16942 R² = 0,79958
2% 0% 28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
38%
40%
42%
44%
46%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
US 1984 – 2009
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits U.S. 1984-2009 Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
10%
Rate of Unemployment
9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% f(x) = -0,13x + 0,09 R² = 0,36
3% 2% 1% 0% 5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
5
30%
35%
40%
U.S. 1986 – 2009
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits U.S. 1986-2009 Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
10%
Rate of Unemployment
9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4%
f(x) = -0,17028x + 0,10432 R² = 0,66549
3% 2% 1% 0% 5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
Copyright © 2011 Klaus Hagendorf. All Rights Reserved!
6
30%
35%
40%
U.S. 1970 - 2009
Unemployment as a Function of Net-Investment/Net-Profits U.S. 1970-2009 Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees Linear Regression for Unemployment as % of Civilian Employees
Rate of Unemployment
12% 10% 8% 6% 4%
f(x) = -0,05x + 0,08 R² = 0,07
2% 0% 5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Net-Investment/Net-Profits
7
40%
45%
50%