AICME II

Final Schedule

Friday morning

Alcal´ a 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Ecology Final Schedule Thursday, September 4, 2003 17:00-23:00, Registration

Friday, September 5, 2003 8:00-11:00, Registration 11:30, Opening Ceremony (Paraninfo) 12.00.- Opening Lecture. Chair: R. Arditi. L. Ginzburg, Ecological Orbits. How planets move and populations grow. 13.00.- Reception 15:00.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: T. G. Hallam. L. J. Gross, Spatial Control in Ecology: Turning Theory into Practice for Natural System Management. 15:50.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: T. G. Hallam. R. Adler, Why do plankton cells aggregate: a view from superprocesses. 16:40-17:00.- Coffee break 17:00-20:30.- Afternoon Sessions Room 1. Individual-Based Spatial Simulations of Ecological Systems. Chair: T. Kostova. 17:00-17:25.- M. Ginovart, Individual Based Modelling of Microbial Activity to Study Mineralization and Nitrification Process in Soil. 17:25-17:50.- M. Robinson, Individual behaviour models for transmission strategies of transovarial parasites. 17:50:18:15.- V. D. Perminov, IBM based study of a disease propagation through the lemming population. I

Friday afternoon

Friday afternoon

Final Schedule

AICME II

18:15-18:40.- P. G. Mourelo , From individual-based modelling to partial differential equations. An application to the glass-eel motion inside the ‘Adour’ river. 18:50-19:15.- F. Goreaud, Using IBM to study the link between spatial structure and dynamics of plant communities. 19:15-19:40.- H. Pereira, Testing the relationship between carrying capacity of a fragmented landscape and home-range size. 19:40-20:05.- A. Breukers, Development of a modeling concept to show brown rot prevalence in the Dutch potato production chain over time, in relation to the control strategy applied. 20:05-20:30.- Y. Zadereev, Ecological and evolution consequences of life cycle variations in Cladocera: individual-based modeling. Room 2. Pattern and process in terrestrial plant communities: integrating empirical and theoretical approaches. Chair: A. Lobo. 17:00-17:25.- M. A. Zavala, Coexistence of functional-types in Mediterranean forests: computational approximations and analytical solutions. 17:25-17:50.- J. Mateu, Detection and estimation of spatial patterns in terrestrial plant communities. 17:50:18:15.- C. P. D. Birch, The Influence of Position on Clone Growth: Spatial Dynamics in a Simulated Bracken - Grass Mosaic. 18:15-18:40.- A. Bohn, Spatiotemporal Metabolic Dynamics in Leaves of a CAM Plant. Chair: M. A. Zavala. 18:50-19:15.- V. Fair´en, Simulations of two-phase mosaic vegetation patterns by means of cellular automata. 19:15-19:40.- A. Lobo, Beyond the geographic variability of environmental factors: consequences of the statistical distributions of species abundance for detailed regional dynamic vegetation models. 19:40-20:05.- C. Loehle, Forest simulation models as tools linking life history theory and ecosystem dynamics, with application to climate change, disturbance theory and biological invasions. Room 3. Control and optimization in ecological problems. Chair: J. L. Gouz´e. ´ 17:00-17:25.- L. J. Alvarez-V´ azquez, Two Optimal Control Problems Related to the Wastewater Disposal Problem. 17:25-17:50.- D. Ami, The Role of Marine Protected Area in the Optimal Management of Fisheries. 17:50:18:15.- R. D´ıaz-Sierra, Resilience vs. Bassins of Attraction: an Estimation Based on Lyapunov’s Second Method. 18:15-18:40.- G. Robledo, Feedback Control for Competition Models with Inhibition in the Chemostat.

18:50-19:15.- R. J. Hall, Fungicide resistance: invasion thresholds and optimal control strategies. 19:15-19:40.- M. de Lara, Mummy evergreen, why do you keep on growing? Stochastic dynamic programming in theoretical ecology. Friday afternoon

II

AICME II

Final Schedule

Friday afternoon

19:40-20:05.- R. Mchich, The Stabilizability of a Controlled System Describing the Dynamics of a Fishery . 20:05-20:30.- R. Salazar-Pe˜ na, A tunable multivariable non-linear robust observer for biological systems. Room 4. Stochastic versus Deterministic Modeling in Population Biology. Chair: S. Gueron. 17:00-17:25.- ˚ A. Br¨ annstr¨ om, Choosing a noise term in single-species population models. 17:25-17:50.- C. A. Braumann, Ito versus Stratonovich Calculus in Random Population Growth. 17:50:18:15.- S. J. Cornell, Fragmented metapopulations in dynamic and correlated landscapes. 18:15-18:40.- A. Garmendia, Fractal Dimension of Birds Populations Sizes Time Series. Chair: C. A. Braumann. 18:50-19:15.- S. Gueron, On Stochastic versus Deterministic Models for Pair Formation. 19:15-19:40.- A. A. King, Multiple deterministic skeletons and lattice effects in stochastic population models. 19:40-20:05.- R. Rudnicki, Long-time behaviour of a stochastic prey-predator model. 20:05-20:30.- F. A. M. Scott, Sensitivity of Density Dependent Populations to Environmental Variability.. Room 5. Mathematical modeling of population dynamics involving delay differential equations. Chair: P. Fergola. 17:00-17:25.- P. van den Driessche, Dispersal in Predator-Prey Systems. 17:25-17:50.- K. Ezzinbi, Boundedness and Almost Periodicity for Some State-Dependent Delay Differential Equations. 17:50:18:15.- M. Cavani, A delayed Holling-type I food chain model . 18:15-18:40.- F. Crauste, A mathematical model of blood production involving time-delay. 18:50-19:15.- T. Kme´t, Partial Functional Mathematical Model of Nitrogen Transformation Cycle. 19:15-19:40.- N. I. Koroleva, Complex Dynamics of Hereditary Ecological Systems. 19:40-20:05.- K. Niri, Oscillations in Differential Equations With State-Dependent Delays. 20:05-20:30.- E. Ait Dads, Existence and Almost Periodicity for Some State-Dependent Delay Differential Equations.

20:30, Welcoming Party

Saturday, September 6, 2003 08:45.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: M. A. Zavala. Y. Iwasa, Synchronized reproduction of trees in the forests. 09:40.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: S. Touzeau. III

Saturday morning

Saturday morning

Final Schedule

AICME II

M. E. J. Woolhouse, Modelling infectious diseases of livestock. 10:30-10:50.- Coffee break 10:50-13:25.- Morning Sessions Room 1. Pattern and process in terrestrial plant communities: integrating empirical and theoretical approaches. Chair: M. A. Zavala. 10:50-11:15.- J. Segarra, An Integro-Differential Approach to Modelling Different Architectural Grasses Growing Alone and on Competition. 11:15-11:40.- Y. M. Svirezhev, A simplest ”forest-grass” model of the global vegetation pattern: dynamic approach, climatic calibration, biome verification. Room 1. Ecological applications of theoretical and simulation studies of branching processes. Chair: M. Slavtchova-Bojkova. 12:10-12:35.- T. Fujimagari, On a periodic like behavior of delayed density- dependent branching processes. 12:35-13:00.- R. Mart´ınez, A bisexual bidimensional branching process in a genetic context. 13:00-13:25.- I. del Puerto, Mathematical modelling in population dynamics through the class of controlled branching processes. Room 2. Dynamic Energy Budget Theory for metabolic organization. Chair: S. A. L. M. Kooijman. 10:50-11:15.- L. L. Goloubiatnikov, Modelling the NPP Response on Climate Change for the European territory of Russia . 11:15-11:40.- L. D. J. Kuijper, The use of synthesizing units in modelling multiple nutrient limitation in Acartia tonsa. 11:40-12:05.- K. Lika, Life history implications of allocation to growth versus reproduction in Dynamic Energy Budgets . 12:10-12:35.- R. M. Nisbet, Body size scaling relations: are reserves responsible?. 12:35-13:00.- T. Sousa, Thermodynamics of Heterotrophic Organisms in the DEB theory. 13:00-13:25.- T. Troost, Specialisation of mixotrophs in homogeneous and heterogeneous environments . Room 3. Control and optimization in ecological problems. Chair: J. L. Gouz´e. 10:50-11:15.- N. Noykova, Hybrid modelling of microbial population dynamics for control purposes: an example of anaerobic wastewater treatment.. 11:15-11:40.- M. Serhani, Dynamical study of an activated sludge processes model. 11:40-12:05.- Y. N. Skiba, Pollution Estimation and Control in an Urban Area. Room 3. Matrix models of population dynamics: straightforward applications and inspiring mathematics. Saturday morning

IV

AICME II

Final Schedule

Saturday morning

Chair: H. Caswell. 12:10-12:35.- I. N. Klochkova , Potential-growth indicator problem in matrix models of population dynamics. 12:35-13:00.- N. N. Zavalishin, Combination of generative and vegetative phases of reproduction in an age-stage structured population. 13:00-13:25.- C. M. Hunter, Selective harvest of sooty shearwater chicks: population dynamic effects using a periodic matrix model. Room 4. Modelling the spread of diseases in animal populations. Chair: S. Touzeau. 10:50-11:15.- H. J. A. P. Heesterbeek, A new method to estimate the effort required to control an infectious disease. 11:15-11:40.- J. M. Ireland, The Effect Of Seasonal Host Birth Rates On Population Dynamics: A Max/Min Approach. 11:40-12:05.- M. Iannelli, Control of Epidemics: the impact of vaccination on strain dynamics. 12:10-12:35.- A. Park, The effects of strain heterology on the epidemiology of equine influenza in a vaccinated population. 12:35-13:00.- K. Glass , Kangaroos, mosquitoes and disease: persistence of Ross River virus in Australia . 13:00-13:25.- R. Ros` a, Modelling the dynamics of Lyme Disease and Tick-borne Encephalitis in Trentino (northern Italy). Room 5. Mathematical modeling of population dynamics involving delay differential equations. Chair: P. Fergola. 10:50-11:15.- Y. Saito, A model of the prey counterattack with delay. 11:15-11:40.- T. Spataro, Influence of host intraspecific competition on the dynamics of host-parasitoid systems. 11:40-12:05.- Y. Takeuchi, Global stability of an SIR epidemic model with time delay. Room 5. Behaviour-mediated population dynamics. Chair: L. Berec. 12:10-12:35.- P. A. Abrams, Different methods of modeling simple choice behavior. 12:35-13:00.- S. V. Petrovskii, Behaviourally Structured Populations are Less Prone to Extinction Under Harsh Environmental Conditions. 13:00-13:25.- V. Kˇrivan, Adaptive Foraging and Food Web Topology. 15:00.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: M. Iannelli. A. M. de Roos, The influence of size-dependent life history traits on the structure and dynamics of populations and communities. 15:50-16:40.- Poster Session 16:40-17:00.- Coffee break V

Saturday afternoon

Saturday afternoon

Final Schedule

AICME II

17:00-20:30.- Afternoon Sessions Room 1. Individual-Based Spatial Simulations of Ecological Systems. Chair: T. Kostova. 17:00-17:25.- M. Pascual, Self-organization and criticality in ecological systems with antagonistic interactions. 17:25-17:50.- A. Basset, Coexistence relationships among competitors differing in body size. 17:50:18:15.- K. Farnsworth, Ideal Free Distribution theory when competitors disagree over resource distributions. 18:15-18:40.- J. Galeano, Eden Model Modified by Age. Room 1. Ecological applications of theoretical and simulation studies of branching processes. Chair: M. Molina. 18:50-19:15.- N. Lalam, Estimation of the offspring mean in a supercritical or near-critical sizedependent branching process. Application to quantitative PCR. . 19:15-19:40.- M. Mota, The bisexual branching process with population-size dependent mating as a mathematical model to describe phenomena concerning to inhabit or re-inhabit environments with animal species. 19:40-20:05.- M. Slavtchova-Bojkova, A stochastic treatment of ecological problems using branching models with immigration. 20:05-20:30.- N. Stollenwerk, Evolution towards criticality describes the ecology of meningococci causing meningitis and septicaemia . Room 2. Life history problems and structured populations. Chair: J. Salda˜ na. 17:00-17:25.- C. Rueffler, Adaptive Walks on Changing Landscapes: Levins’ Approach Extended. 17:25-17:50.- P. Getto, On the (dis) advantages of cannibalism. 17:50:18:15.- K. Parvinen, Evolution of dispersal in structured metapopulations - Evolutionary suicide and the effect of diploid inheritance. 18:15-18:40.- J. Ripoll, Evolution of sequential hermaphroditism in a structured population model. 18:50-19:15.- M. Kirkilionis, Structural stability and evolution of biological networks. ` Calsina, Equilibria of selection-mutation models with small mutation rate. 19:15-19:40.- A. 19:40-20:05.- J. M. Yearsley, Delayed costs and their effect on adaptive growth rates. Room 3. Matrix models of population dynamics: straightforward applications and inspiring mathematics. Chair: D. O. Logofet. 17:00-17:25.- J.D. Lebreton, Age, stages and the role of generation time in matrix models. 17:25-17:50.- H. Caswell, Sensitivity analysis of density-dependent matrix population models: a generalization of the Takada-Nakajima theorem. 17:50:18:15.- A. Grant, Density dependence in matrix population models: consequences for life history evolution and population management. Saturday afternoon

VI

AICME II

Final Schedule

Saturday afternoon

18:15-18:40.- N. Davydova, On circulant populations: the algebra of semelparity.. 18:50-19:15.- J. V. Greenman, Multistate phenomena in ecological systems . 19:15-19:40.- S. Charles, Food availability and pollutant effects on population dynamics of the midge Chironomus riparius. 19:40-20:05.- H. Caswell, A seasonal model for the endangered plant Boltonia decurrens in a stochastic flood and precipitation environment. 20:05-20:30.- D. Claessen, Invasion and persistence of feral transgenic crops: analysis of a stochastic matrix model. Room 4. Modelling the spread of diseases in animal populations. Chair: H. J. A. P. Heesterbeek. 17:00-17:25.- F. M. Hilker, Spatiotemporal Propagation of FIV within Populations of Cats (Mathematical Analysis and Numerical Study of Infection Waves). 17:25-17:50.- J. O. Lloyd-Smith, Frequency-dependent incidence in STD models: portrayal of pair-based transmission and effects of illness on contact behaviour. 17:50:18:15.- J. Arino, A model for the spatial spread of a multi-species disease. 18:15-18:40.- A. White, The role of competition and disease on the replacement of red squirrels by greys. 18:50-19:15.- A. Dobson, The population dynamics of pathogens with multiple hosts.. 19:15-19:40.- E. Venturino, How diseases affect symbiotic communities. 19:40-20:05.- A. Park, Problems in estimating infectious disease transmission rates from data. Room 5. Behaviour-mediated population dynamics. Chair: V. Kˇrivan. 17:00-17:25.- J. Garay, Evolutionarily stable ecological equilibrium: Evolutionary stability in LotkaVolterra models. 17:25-17:50.- L. Berec, Role of mate search, mate choice and divorce rate in population dynamics of sexually reproducing species. 17:50-18:15.- S. K. Berke, Modeling Behavior through Reproductive Value. 18:15-18:40.- M. Egas, Evolution restricts the coexistence of specialists and generalists - the role of trade- off structure. Room 5. General. Chair: E. S´ anchez. 18:50-19.15.- T. Domingos, Structural Features and the Feasibility of Lotka-Volterra Food Webs without Omnivory: a Systematic Analysis. 19.15-19:40.- J.-L. Gouz´e, A model of microorganisms’ growth in a chemostat. 19:40-20:05.- T. G. Sazykina, Modelling the Growth and Succession in Microalgal Community following the Gradual Warming of the Environment. 20:05-20:30.- N. Bacaer, Mathematical modelling of fuel wood harvesting in Niger. VII

Saturday afternoon

Monday morning

Final Schedule

AICME II

Sunday, September 7, 2003 Excursion, 09:00

Monday, September 8, 2003 08:45.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: H. Wehde. P. Cury, Diversity: Future Challenge for modelling in fisheries Oceanography. 09:40.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: H. Wehde. N. C. Stenseth, Modelling ecological effects of climate fluctuations through the statistical modelling of long-term time series data. 10:30-10:50.- Coffee break 10:50-13:25.- Morning Sessions Room 1. Pattern Formation, Spatiotemporal Chaos, and Noise in Theoretical Population Dynamics. Chair: H. Malchow. 10:50-11:15.- F. Guichard, Phase transition and criticality controlled by local interaction strength in marine metacommunities. 11:15-11:40.- U. Feudel, Active particles in chaotic advection. 11:40-12:05.- I. Scheuring, Rock-scissors-paper game in chaotic flows . 12:10-12:35.- E. Hern´ andez-Garc´ıa, Excitable population dynamics under fluid stirring: Plankton models in open flows. 12:35-13:00.- G. K´ arolyi, Competing Populations in Flows with Chaotic Mixing. 13:00-13:25.- E. Venturino, Boundary forcing-induced oscillations in a phytoplankton-zooplankton patch.

Room 2. Life history problems and structured populations. ` Calsina. Chair: A. 10:50-11:15.- F. van den Berg, The evolution of pathogen-induced leaf shed. 11:15-11:40.- M. Gasc´ on, Conditions for the existence of a convergence stable strategy in a discrete size-structured population model . 11:40-12:05.- I. Gudelj, The adaptive dynamics of fungal speciation. 12:10-12:35.- M. Khaladi, The evolution of dispersal in Random environment. 12:35-13:00.- M. Broom, Evolutionary games with variable payoffs. 13:00-13:25.- G. D. Ruxton, A Modelling Framework for Conspecific Brood Parasitism. Room 3. Demography and Dispersal: Integrating Spatial Movement and the Life Cycle. Chair: J.-D. Lebreton. Monday morning

VIII

AICME II

Final Schedule

Monday morning

10:50-11:15.- H. Caswell, Demography and dispersal: invasion wave speed and its perturbation analysis. 11:15-11:40.- J. M. Bullock, Demography, Dispersal, and Invasion Wave Speed: a Multi-Species Analysis. 11:40-12:05.- C. C. Horvitz, The contrasting roles of chasmogamous and cleistogamous reproduction in population growth and population spread in an ant-dispersed neotropical herb, it Calathea micans (Marantaceae). 12:10-12:35.- D. C. Mistro, An Annual Plant with Seed Bank Dispersal Model. 12:35-13:00.- C. M. Hunter, Demography and dispersal: sensitivity analysis for multiregional matrix population models. 13:00-13:25.- A. Ramzi, Modeling the dynamics of the Moroccan sardine (Sardina Pilchardus). Room 4. Small and mesoscale processes in the ocean and their impact on the marine ecosystem. Chair: C. Schrum. 10:50-11:15.- C. Mohn, Tidal rectification as a retention mechanism for tracers and marine organisms at isolated topographic features. 11:15-11:40.- N. Broekhuizen, Between-Individual variations at fine-spatial scales influence plankton dynamics. 11:40-12:05.- H. Wehde, Decadal changes in ocean chlorophyll Caused by variations in penetration depths of oceanic convection in winter ? . 12:10-12:35.- K. Boushaba, Nitrogen fixation in a turbulent ocean: mesoscale forcing of phytoplanktonTrichodesmium-nutrient dynamics. 12:35-13:00.- I. Alekseeva, Investigation of ecosystem dynamics in frontal zones of the North Sea by a 3-D coupled bio-physical model HAMSOM-ECO.. Room 5. General. Chair: P. Auger. 10:50-11:15.- D. O. Logofet, Stronger-than-Lyapunov notions of matrix stability, or how “flowers” help solving problems in multi-species community dynamics. 11:15-11:40.- J. Pastor, Use of fractal techniques in the ecotoxicological evaluation of a plant population affected by soil salinity. 11:40-12:05.- L. L´ opez-Fern´ andez, The Internet Ecologies. 12:10-12:35.- S. R´ıos-Insua, A Multiattribute Decision System for Selection of Environmental Restoration Strategies. 12:35-13:00.- J. O. Vik, State-dependency of process rates: a clear concept of feedback in ecology. 13:00-13:25.- J. Wallinga, Transmission dynamics of measles in a vaccinated population. 15:00.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: A. M. de Roos. M. J. Keeling, Understanding local structure in epidemics: Networks and pair-wise approximations. 15:50-16:40.- Poster session IX

Monday morning

Monday afternoon

Final Schedule

AICME II

16:40-17:00.- Coffee break 17:00-20:05.- Afternoon Sessions Room 1. Pattern Formation, Spatiotemporal Chaos, and Noise in Theoretical Population Dynamics. Chair: F. M. Hilker. 17:00-17:25.- I. N. Senina, Modelling Clustering as a Result of Autotaxis. 17:25-17:50.- B. Cazelles, Noise Enhance Coexistence in Population Competition Models with Multiple Attractors. 17:50:18:15.- J. Chattopadhayay, Harmful algal blooms - mathematical and stochastic modelling supported by experimental findings. 18:15-18:40.- H. Malchow, Oscillations and Waves in a Plankton System with Viral Infection. Room 1. Mathematical aspects of fragmentation and coagulation models with application to ecology. Chair: O. Arino. 18:50-19:15.- M. Adioui, Travelling band solutions for a non-local model of fish schooling. 19:15-19:40.- R. Rudnicki, Stability of phytoplankton dynamics. 19:40-20:05.- Y. Inada, Interactions among individuals in a fish school based on measured parameters of natural fish school and analytical model. Room 2. Individual-Based Spatial Simulations of Ecological Systems. Chair: T. Kostova. 17:00-17:25.- S. Souissi, Describing space-time multiscale patterns in aquatic ecology using stochastic approaches and IBMs. 17:25-17:50.- B. A. Megrey, The use of spatially explicit coupled models of circulation, ecosystems and individuals to study marine ecological problems: the marriage of physics and biology. 17:50:18:15.- W. M. Mooij, Projecting Future Population Dynamics of the Florida Snail Kite in Relation to Hydrology by Means of a Suite of Models. 18:15-18:40.- K. G. Magnusson, Models of fish migrations of pelagic fish in the North Atlantic. Room 2. Life history problems and structured populations. ` Calsina. Chair: A. 18:50-19:15.- A. Pugliese, Asymptotic behaviour of structured metapopulation models. 19:15-19:40.- L. M. Abia, Age-dependent structured population models and their numerical solution. 19:40-20:05.- O. Angulo, Numerical study of a structured population model in an environment with a dynamical food-source. Room 3. From individuals to Populations and Communities. Chair: R. Bravo de la Parra. 17:00-17:25.- E. S´ anchez, Time scales in linear differential delayed equations . 17:25-17:50.- P. Auger, Effects of environmental gradients on the stability of host-parasitoid systems. 17:50:18:15.- A. Franc, Some tools for scaling: modelling hierarchies. 18:15-18:40.- L. Sanz, Time scales in multiregional models with environmental stochasticity. Monday afternoon

X

AICME II

Final Schedule

Monday afternoon

Room 3. Demography and Dispersal: Integrating Spatial Movement and the Life Cycle. Chair: H. Caswell. 18:50-19:15.- D. S. Boukal, Key demographic processes and population dynamics of cooperative breeders: Lycaon pictus as case study. 19:15-19:40.- W. C. Ferreira Jr., A Mathematical Model for Aedes egypti Dispersal. Room 4. Spatio-Temporal Complexity in Population Dynamics. Chair: S. Ruan. 17:00-17:25.- B. Blasius, Synchronized fade-outs of epidemic outbreaks in networks of cities. 17:25-17:50.- S. Cantrell, Two species competition and edge-mediated effects. 17:50:18:15.- A. James, Modelling growth and foraging using stochastic differential equations, with applications to recruitment in fisheries. . 18:15-18:40.- A. Morozov, Allee Effect Enhances Chaos in a Space-Time-Continuous Two-Species Model of Plankton Dynamics. 18:50-19:15.- V. Skakauskas, Two population dynamics models with child care. 19:15-19:40.- H. Malchow, Pattern Formation in Models of Plankton–Fish Dynamics in a Noisy and Patchy Environment. Room 5. Mathematical modeling and computer simulations in the context of the management of renewable resources. Chair: J. Brindley. 17:00-17:25.- M. L. Hbid, A mathematical study for a quasilinear model of size-structured populations . 17:25-17:50.- T. Benouaz, Study of the stability at the origin of a ratio-dependant model using the optimal derivative. 17:50:18:15.- K. Ezzinbi, Mathematical Analysis for multilayer models of phytoplankton. 18:15-18:40.- J. D. Flores, A Mathematical Model for the Sterile Insect Technique . Room 5. Molecular Ecology. Chair: M. Kimmel. 18:50-19:15.- B. Amos, Asymmetries in genetic markers: what can these tell us about evolution?. 19:15-19:40.- M. Kimmel, Imbalance index for microsatellite loci and inference on population demography, substructure and selective sweeps. 19:40-20:05.- A. Marciniak-Czochra, Self-organization and pattern formation in bacterial communities: biological finding versus mathematical models.

20:30, Banquet ()

Tuesday, September 9, 2003 08:45.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: J. C. Poggiale. XI

Tuesday morning

Tuesday morning

Final Schedule

AICME II

B. W. Kooi, Food web models as dynamical systems. 09:40.- Plenary Lecture (Room 1). Chair: A. Pugliese. M. Langlais, Structured population dynamics problems with partial migration: application to heterogeneous insular populations. 10:30-10:50.- Coffee break 10:50-13:25.- Morning Sessions Room 1. Individual-Based Spatial Simulations of Ecological Systems. Chair: L. J. Gross. 10:50-11:15.- T. G. Hallam, Ecological and evolutionary responses to insectivory in an agro-ecosystem. 11:15-11:40.- T. Kostova, Effect of Fragmentation on the Time to Extinction of Prairie Vole Populations in Tallgrass Prairie. 11:40-12:05.- T. Yamanaka, An individual-based model for sex-pheromone-oriented flight patterns of male moths. 12:10-12:35.- E. M. Griebeler, Implications for conservation from an individual based model of the grey bush cricket, Platycleis albopunctata. 12:35-13:00.- R. Clarke, Spatial simulation modelling of the interacting population dynamics of Maculinea butterflies and their host Myrmica ant colonies within heterogeneous habitat. Room 2. Theory and observations of invasion processes. Chair: S. V. Petrovskii. 10:50-11:15.- H. Seno, Temporally Intermittent Interaction Allows the Mutual Invasion of Competing Two Species Dispersing in Space. 11:15-11:40.- C. Carrillo, Modelling Dispersal and Coexistence of Two-Species with Integro-Difference Equations. 11:40-12:05.- C. Magal, Host invasion and its control by parasitoids. 12:10-12:35.- N. Sapoukhina, Modelling Biological Invasions with Application to Biological Methods of Crop Protection. ´ R. de Cara, Speciation by pattern formation. 12:35-13:00.- M. A. Room 3. From individuals to Populations and Communities. Chair: E. S´ anchez. 10:50-11:15.- O. Smirnova, Critical Body Systems in Individuals and Population Mortality under Low Level Chronic Irradiation. 11:15-11:40.- D. R. Cope, Individuality in population dynamic IBMs: a simplifying assumption too far?. 11:40-12:05.- A. M. Edwards, The unified neutral theory of biodiversity – can an analytical solution be obtained?. Tuesday morning

XII

AICME II

Final Schedule

Tuesday morning

12:10-12:35.- J.-M. Ginoux, Qualitative Approach of Plankton Communities Behaviour in a Mediterranean Bay:a Contribution to Some Biological and Mathematical Aspects. 12:35-13:00.- G. Pichon, Genetics and prehistory of the periodicity of lymphatic filariases: geometrical approach, simulation and cellular automaton.. Room 4. Bifurcation and singularities in models of biosystems. Chair: F. Berezovskaya. 10:50-11:15.- F. Berezovskaya, Basic epidemic model: demographic and disease thresholds. 11:15-11:40.- U. Feudel, On the impact of interaction functions on foodchain stability. 11:40-12:05.- C. X. J. Jensen, Gause, Luckinbill, Veilleux and What to Do: Distinguishing between the Prey-Dependent and Ratio-Dependent Limit Myths. 12:10-12:35.- R. P. Mota, Derivation and Analysis of an Ecosystem Production Function with Structural Dynamics. 12:35-13:00.- N. N. Zavalishin, Dynamic regimes and bifurcations in the compartment model of carbon cycle functioning in a mesotrophic bog ecosystem. Room 5. Mathematical modeling and computer simulations in the context of the management of renewable resources. Chair: M. L. Hbid. 10:50-11:15.- M. Jerry, Optimal strategy for structured model of fishing problem. 11:15-11:40.- R. Kon, Attenuant cycles of concave population models with periodically fluctuating environments. 11:40-12:05.- A. Moussaoui, Migration in an age structured population. 12:10-12:35.- L. Gulmann, Chargoggagoggmanchauggauggagoggchaubunagungamaugg. 12:35-13:00.- J. Rodrigues, Modelling Irreversibility in Human-Nature Interactions.

13:30, Closing Session

Posters Saturday and Monday, 14:50-16:40 1. J. Aguirre, M. A. F. Sanju´ an and E. Mosekilde, Mathematical modelling of cooperative insulin secreting β-cells. 2. P. Almaraz, Using structural modeling to unravel complex interactions between climatic oscillators, endogenous signals and stochastic noise in population dynamics. 3. P. Almaraz and J. A. Amat, The roles of error structure specification, parameter minimization and uncertainty estimation on model assessment: an information-theoretic approach with two endangered vertebrate species. 4. J. A. Camargo, Scaling Asymmetry in Competition: from Monopolization to Uniformization through Competitive Displacement. XIII

Posters

Posters

Final Schedule

AICME II

5. W. A. Conde Godoy, M. Nogueira Rossi, H. Serra, N. M. Batistelli, L. Del Bianco Faria and G. Souza Rosa, Coupled Population dynamics in Blowflies. 6. A. El Abdllaoui, J. P. Treuil and O. Arino, Global Versus Structured Model of a Zooplankton toxic Phytoplankton System. 7. N. El Saadi and O. Arino, A Stochastic Model for the Dynamics of Phytoplankton. 8. C. Fern´ andez, F. J. Acosta, J. M. Barandica, F. L´ opez and J. M. Zorrilla, Filling the gap between theoretical knowledge and landscape management. 9. C. Fern´ andez, F. J. Acosta, J. M. Barandica, F. L´ opez, J. M. Zorrilla and P. Mart´ın, A Functional Monitoring System for Visitation to Protected Areas. 10. C. Fern´ andez, F. J. Acosta, F. L´ opez, G. Abella and J. M. Barandica, Effect Fields In Spatial Ecology: Towards A Coulomb’s Law In Ecology. 11. J. Fort, V. M´endez, D. Campos and V. Ortega-Cejas, The effect of time delay on reactiondiffusion fronts modelling biological invasions. 12. S. G. Fungairi˜ no, C. Fern´ andez, F. L´ opez, J. M. Serrano and F. J. Acosta, A fitness model combining the structural and functional modular attributes in a Mediterranean perennial shrub, Retama sphaerocarpa (L.) Boiss. 13. S. G. Fungairi˜ no, C. Fern´ andez, J. M. Serrano, F. L´ opez and F.J. Acosta, Analysis of developmental instability and plant potential fitness in a Mediterranean perennial shrub, Retama sphaerocarpa L. (Boiss.). 14. A. Kacha, Modelling the Dynamic of Botulism in Fish. 15. T. Klanjscek, H. Caswell and M. G. Neubert, From Individuals to Populations: Incorporating Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) Models into Matrix Population Models.. 16. A. Kleczkowski, P. G´ ora, A. H. Fitter, C. A. Gilligan, K. Hollingworth and J. W. Pitchford, Invasion and persistence in heterogeneous environments. 17. P. Klepac, M. G. Neubert and P. van den Driessche, Stability and dispersal delays in predator– prey metapopulation models. 18. N. Kuckl¨ ander and B. Blasius, The Moran-effect in nonlinear systems. 19. K. Lehre Seip and G. Sandvik, Species interact, but how do we know what type of interaction they participate in?. 20. N. Mezouar, A singular differential equation with state-dependent delay arising in population dynamics. 21. J. M. Mui˜ no, R. Alves and A. Sorribas, A New and Generalized Theoretical Formalism for Ecological Growth Functions. 22. J. Pastor, L. Alcal´ a del Olmo, J. M. Mart´ın and A. J. Hern´ andez, Use of Geostatistics for Understanding the Process of Ecological Restoration in Gypsum Landfills. Posters

XIV

AICME II

Final Schedule

Posters

23. M. P´erez Fern´ andez, E. Calvo Magro and F. Moreno Soto, Mathematical Modelling of the Germination of Annual and Perennial Species after Exposure to Nutritious Salts and Varying pH. 24. M. P´erez Fern´ andez, F. Moreno Soto, E. Calvo Magro and C. E. David Antonio, Poissons Regression as Explanatory Model of the Germination of Annual and Perennial Species Under Heat Shock and Water Stress. 25. B. R. G. Prasad , The Consequences of Walking on a Graph: the Case of the Malabar Giant Squirrel, Ratufa Indica. 26. J.J. Robledo-Arnuncio, F. Austerlitz, L. Gil and R. Al´ıa, Pollen Dispersal in Tree Populations with Different Spatial Aggregation Patterns. 27. S. Romero and M. Cavani, Stable periodic orbits in the Harrison’s predator-prey model. 28. L. Sanz and J. A. Alonso, Approximate reduction of multiregional models governed by linear stochastic differential equations. 29. A. Sibert, C. Jacob and L. Riou-Fran¸ca, A model of mosquito population dynamics in highly variable environment. 30. Y. V. Tyutyunov, L. I. Titova and R. Arditi, An Individual-Based Model to investigate mechanisms underlying functional responses of predators. 31. Z. Varga, R. Carre˜ no, M. G´ amez and I. L´ opez, Controllability of population systems . 32. M. Verdoit and J.-L. Gouz´e, On the global asymptotic stability of a class of nonlinear, discrete time, population models. 33. Q. Zhang and L. Xu, A GIS-based dynamical programming model for landscape pattern optimizing and its convergent algorithm.

XV

Posters